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South Carolina (1-0) at Vanderbilt (1-0)
Line: South Carolina by 10.
Thursday, 8:30 ET
The line on this game opened up with USC being a 8.5/9 favorite, but has moved up to -10 since the public bet hard after the Gamecocks crushed North Carolina State 34-0 in its opener… but the public doesn’t understand this matchup at all. South Carolina still managed to give up 101 yards rushing on 4.8 ypc to RB Andre Brown. Remember, last year South Carolina ranked 110th against the run giving up 4.9 ypc. This is a defense built to stop the pass… and guess who is playing quarterback for Vanderbilt? Chris Nickson isn’t going to pass the ball. He is a highly athletic quarterback who is a dual threat at that position. Vandy put up 269 rushing yards on Miami (OH) last week, and should be successful versus South Carolina at home. I also like Vanderbilt to stop the run in this matchup against South Carolina’s ineffective offensive line.
Prediction: South Carolina 24, Vanderbilt 20
Vanderbilt +10 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Vanderbilt 24, South Carolina 17
Eastern Michigan (1-0) vs. Michigan State (0-1)
Line: Michigan State by 21.
Saturday, 12:00 ET
Eastern Michigan just put up 52 points against Indiana State. Granted, it was a cupcake in Indiana State, but I’m still impressed they were able to be an offensive juggernaut in this matchup. I do think they will be competitive against an MSU team that lost to an average Cal team 31-38 last weekend. Javon Ringer is an overrated talent, and I really like Eastern Michigan to make this a close game.
Prediction: Michigan State 30, Eastern Michigan 18
Eastern Michigan +21 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Michigan State 42, Eastern Michigan 10
Ohio (0-1) at Ohio State (1-0)
Line: Ohio State by 34.5.
Saturday, 12:00 ET
It really doesn’t matter what RB Beanie Wells’ injury status is, he isn’t playing in this game. Without Wells, this Ohio State offense loses a lot of explosion. I really love Ohio to cover in this matchup. Why? Look out for superstar Ohio CB Mark Parson, the best CB in the country you have never heard of. He will shut down one side of the field against Ohio State and limit the passing game. Ohio could generate a few turnovers, and don’t forget OSU is looking ahead to the USC matchup on Sept. 13.
Prediction: Ohio State 38, Ohio 17
Ohio +34.5 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Ohio State 26, Ohio 14
Air Force (1-0) at Wyoming (1-0)
Line: Wyoming by 3.
Saturday, 3:30 ET
This is a big Mountain West matchup, and a game I really like the look of. Air Force gained 508 yards in their last contest and they are going up against a really tough Wyoming defensive front that ranked 16th nationally in 2007 against the run. However, Air Force has a big edge defensively against Wyoming’s offense. I like Air Force to pull the upset on the road as their option attack confuses Wyoming’s defensive line. Air Force will win the battle in field position and make enough plays to win the game.
Prediction: Air Force 20, Wyoming 17
Air Force +135 (1.5 Units) — Correct; +$200
Air Force 23, Wyoming 3
Northwestern (1-0) at Duke (0-1)
Line: Northwestern by 6.5.
Saturday, 7:00 ET
Northwestern averaged 6.4 yards per rush against Syracuse, and that isn’t likely to change much against Duke. Don’t get me wrong I like big time prospect DT Vince Oghobaase, but the rest of the Duke defense is terrible. Duke’s offense won’t generate much in this matchup, and RB Tyler Sutton should dominate.
Prediction: Northwestern 27, Duke 13
Northwestern -6.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Northwestern 24, Duke 20
Louisiana Tech (1-0) at Kansas (1-0)
Line: Kansas by 21.5.
Saturday, 7:00 ET
This isn’t the same Kansas squad last year that dominated in the Orange Bowl and had a great season. Nearly all of the talent is gone and it showed after only putting up 40 points against Florida International. Louisiana Tech is coming off a very solid win versus Mississippi State. Tech should keep this one competitive, and cover nicely.
Prediction: Kansas 35, Louisiana Tech 17
Louisiana Tech +21.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Kansas 29, Louisiana Tech 0
Tulane (0-0) at Alabama (1-0)
Line: Alabama by 29.5.
Saturday, 7:00 ET
Tulane was competitive last year, but let’s forget about their 2007 season for a second because RB Matt Forte is gone. Bama proved they are for real against Clemson. Their offensive line will dominate in this game, John Parker Wilson won’t turn the ball over, and Tulane will be lucky to generate 180 yards of offense.
Prediction: Alabama 43, Tulane 6
Alabama -29.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Alabama 20, Tulane 6
South Florida (1-0) at Central Florida (1-0)
Line: South Florida by 14.
Saturday, 7:00 ET
The strength of UCF’s defense is their secondary led by Joe Burnett, but that’ll be a non-factor in this game. South Florida will pound the ball with their rushing trio of Ben Williams, Moise Plancher and Mike Ford. USF cannot turn the ball over in this game as they had three fumbles versus Tennessee-Martin. All of this said, I don’t see UCF scoring any touchdowns.
Prediction: South Florida 24, Central Florida 3
South Florida -14 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
South Florida 31, Central Florida 24
Miami (1-0) at Florida (1-0)
Line: Florida by 23.
Saturday, 8:00 ET
Tim Tebow’s accuracy was atrocious against Hawaii, and Miami is a much tougher defense than what he faced last week. This Miami offense is also more balanced and talented than Hawaii, so this should be a tougher matchup. Percy Harvin returns for Florida, but he doesn’t seem to be 100 percent, while Miami has the speed to matchup effectively.
Prediction: Florida 37, Miami 24
Miami +23 (1 Unit) — Push; -$10
Florida 26, Miami 3
Kent State (0-1) at Iowa State (1-0)
Line: Iowa State by 7.
Saturday, 9:05 ET
Kent State was shut down by one of the best rushing defenses in the country last week by Boston College. That won’t happen this week, and Iowa State is a weaker offensive unit. I really like the odds I am getting on this moneyline with Kent at +260. Iowa State gave up 3.95 yards per carry in 2007, but it will be more against Kent’s option attack with RB Eugene Jarvis and QB Julian Edelman.
Prediction: Kent State 27, Iowa State 21
Kent State +260 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$100
Iowa State 48, Kent State 28
Stanford (1-0) at Arizona State (1-0)
Line: Arizona State by 14.
Saturday, 10:00 ET
One of the more overrated teams this preseason has been the Sun Devils, and gratned I am guilty here because they used to be in my top 15 CFB power rankings. You’re supposed to have a huge passing game, so how do you only put up 30 points against Northern Arizona? That’s a pathetic performance and it won’t hold up against Stanford.
Prediction: Stanford 34, Arizona State 28
Stanford +14 (3 Units – Pick of the Week) — Incorrect; -$330
Stanford +470 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$100
Arizona State 41, Stanford 17
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