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Michigan (3-8) at Ohio State (9-2)
Line: Ohio State by 20.5.
Saturday, 12:00 ET
I love getting 20-plus points in a huge rivalry game. I have criticized Walter in the past for just betting any rivalry if the spread is 10 or more points, but there is a big difference between 10 and 20, or 10 points for all you mathematically challenged people out there (don’t be shy Alaska). Also, I do not have confidence in Ohio State’s passing game to be able to cover in this matchup.
Prediction: Ohio State 27, Michigan 10
Michigan +20.5 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Ohio State 42, Michigan 7
Air Force (8-3) at TCU (9-2)
TCU by 19.5.
Saturday, 3:30 ET
This is one of the easiest lines I have come across in an extremely long time, so I will be disappointed if I lose this bet. Air Force has NO PASSING GAME. Think about that. If they have to rely on their passing attack, nothing is going to happen, much less against TCU’s defense. TCU has the best rushing defense in the country – by a mile. In my book, 0.86 yards is a mile. The No. 1 ranked TCU rushing defense is giving up a measly 1.46 yards per carry. The No. 2 rushing defense is Nevada (2.32 per carry.) This is a phenomenal mismatch we will exploit easily. Granted, Air Force has a solid defense as well, but I am taking the Horned Frogs who are 5-0 ATS at home this year.
Prediction: TCU 38, Air Force 6
TCU -19.5 (6 Units – Pick of the Year) — Correct; +$600
TCU 44, Air Force 10
Marshall (4-6) at Rice (7-3)
Line: Rice by 9.5. Total: 65.
Saturday, 3:30 ET
I have been drinking the Chase Clement Kool-Aid all season. Rice is 4-0 ATS at home and going up against a mediocre Thundering Herd defense. I’ll take that any day. The over is 24-3 in Rice’s last 27 home games and 26-5 in their last 31 conference games.
Prediction: Rice 42, Marshall 31
Rice -9.5 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Over 65 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Rice 35, Marshall 10
Florida State (7-3) at Maryland (7-3)
Line: Florida State by 1.
Saturday, 7:45 ET
I really like taking home, in-conference dogs when two teams are battling it out for the divisional title. If Maryland wins this game, they have a great shot at a berth in the ACC Championship game. Maryland has covered three of the last four times in this matchup. Last year, Florida State covered the line by an impressive 0.5 points. Covers.com experts are pounding the Terps hard (10 of 11 like Maryland ATS). This is going to be a cold-weather game, which means it will come down to who can run the ball the most effectively. At home, Maryland has a +91.8 rushing yard edge. I do not bet on point spreads on dogs of less than 3, so let’s take the moneyline and avoid the juice.
Prediction: Maryland 23, Florida State 20
Maryland +105 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$200
Florida State 37, Maryland 3
Texas Tech (10-0) at Oklahoma (9-1)
Line: Oklahoma by 7.
Saturday, 8:00 ET
I was really shocked when I saw this line. I know Oklahoma is the better team, so I expected them to be favored, but not by seven points. I was projecting anywhere from a one- to two-point spread in favor of the Sooners. I do not understand this. Oklahoma is 93rd in the nation in passing defense going against Graham Harrell and Mike Crabtree, who just shredded the Oklahoma State Cowboys. This isn’t a great Oklahoma defense of years past. Their safety play is unimpressive. I like Oklahoma to win, but not by much. Therefore, I am taking a rare prop bet of +400 for OU to win by 1-6 points.
Prediction: Oklahoma 30, Texas Tech 28
Texas Tech +7 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Oklahoma to win by 1-6 point +400 (.5 Units) — Incorrect; -$50
Oklahoma 65, Texas Tech 21
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