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NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 7 matchup
Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · Line: Panthers -3 (Circa)
Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.
| Buccaneers | Panthers | |
|---|---|---|
| #25 | Power rank ▶ | #16 |
| 1-5 | Record (straight up) ▶ | 3-2 |
| 2-4 | Against the spread ▶ | 3-2 |
| 1-1on the road | ATS on the road / at home even | 1-1at home |
| 2-3as underdog | ATS as favorite / underdog ▶ | 2-1as favorite |
| -1.5pts per game | Avg. cover margin ▶ | +4.7pts per game |
| -19 | Point differential ▶ | +23 |
| 17.3avg. opp. rank | Strength of schedule so far ◀ | 20.8avg. opp. rank |
| #19 | Net EPA rank ▶ | #2 |
Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Weeks 2-6, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Buccaneers offense | Panthers defense | |
|---|---|---|
| #32 | EPA per play ▶ | #2 |
| #32 | Dropback EPA ▶ | #5 |
| #15 | Rush EPA ▶ | #3 |
| #30 | Success rate ▶ | #4 |
| #1227.9% of dropbacks | Pressure rate allowed vs. pressure rate ▶ | #1130.9% of dropbacks |
| Buccaneers defense | Panthers offense | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | EPA per play ◀ | #10 |
| #11 | Dropback EPA even | #11 |
| #2 | Rush EPA ◀ | #11 |
| #8 | Success rate ◀ | #17 |
| #2923.6% of dropbacks | Pressure rate vs. pressure rate allowed ◀ | #3238.1% of dropbacks |
Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
Tampa Bay BuccaneersBENGALS 33, Buccaneers 27 (CIN -3.5). The Buccaneers gave this game away with four lost fumbles. They were down big, but made the game interesting. They couldn't get off the field on the final Cincinnati drive, however. 351-282 CIN, 5.6-5.4 CIN
Browns 23, BUCCANEERS 19 (TB -8.5). Baker Mayfield made many terrible throws in this game. One of his few good ones gave the Buccaneers a 16-6 lead, but Tampa Bay couldn't stop the Browns at all late in the game. A 2-and-a-half thunderstorm delayed the inevitable. 313-267 TB, 5.0-4.9 TB
Vikings 23, BUCCANEERS 16 (TB +1). The Buccaneers looked in disarray the entire game. They made many mistakes, including allowing a punt return touchdown and having a hold negate an 87-yard touchdown pass to Chris Godwin. Baker Mayfield got hurt at the end. 243-230 TB, 4.2-3.8 MIN
Packers 17, BUCCANEERS 14 (TB +3.5). The Packers squandered numerous opportunities in the red zone with turnovers, and they were given those scoring chances because Jalon Daniels gave them possessions on two interceptions. 283-275 GB, 5.1-4.5 GB
Buccaneers 24, COWBOYS 16 (DAL -8). The Cowboys put forth no effort in this game. They were lethargic and the Buccaneers played with much more emotion. A chunk of Dallas' yards came in garbage time when it was 24-10. 419-366 TB, 6.7-6.4 DAL
Steelers 26, BUCCANEERS 19 (TB +2.5). The Buccaneers led 13-0 and 16-3, as the Steelers were very sloppy. Aaron Rodgers couldn't deal with Tampa Bay's pressure for most of the afternoon, but eventually overcame it with some great drives. Jalon Daniels made some great plays early, but turned into a pumpkin late. 300-224 PIT, 3.9-3.1 PIT
Carolina PanthersBears 59, PANTHERS 37 (CAR +3). The Bears made a couple of mistakes to allow the Panthers to hang around. It was 21-all, but Chicago's offense was far too much for a Carolina defense that couldn't stop anything the opposition was doing. 552-478 CHI, 7.9-7.7 CHI
Panthers 34, FALCONS 3 (ATL +2.5). The Falcons had a pathetic offense that made lots of mistakes the entire game. Bryce Young made some great throws in the second half. 340-286 CAR, 5.7-4.3 CAR
BROWNS 21, Panthers 18 (CLE +2.5). The Panthers were the better team in this game, but squandered some drives by failing on fourth down, giving the Browns points on one occasion. The Panthers took an 18-13 lead late in the game and sealed the victory, but a roughing-the-passer penalty helped the Browns get a win. 360-259 CAR, 4.9-4.1 CAR
PANTHERS 32, Lions 26 (CAR +3.5). Bryce Young was on fire, and Tetairoa McMillan couldn't be stopped. The Panthers were up two touchdowns to begin the fourth quarter before a garbage-time Detroit score. 452-445 DET, 6.6-6.2 DET
Panthers 25, EAGLES 14 (PHI +1). Tanner McKee was outmatched against the Eagles defense, but it was the Eagles special teams that was primarily responsible for this loss with a horrible punt and a blocked punt. 399-222 CAR, 5.4-3.6 CAR
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
All Week 7 matchups · Tampa Bay Buccaneers team page · Carolina Panthers team page
