October 13, 2026

NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 6 matchup

Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons

Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18 · Line: Bears -3.5 (Circa)

Chicago Bears logoChicago Bears#8 Group BAway · Team page › Atlanta Falcons logoAtlanta Falcons#17 Group CHome · Team page ›

Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.

Side by side

BearsFalcons
#8Power rank ◀#17
3-2Record (straight up) ◀2-3
3-2Against the spread ◀2-3
1-1on the roadATS on the road / at home ◀0-2at home
2-2as favoriteATS as favorite / underdog even2-2as underdog
+3.1pts per gameAvg. cover margin ◀+1.3pts per game
+23Point differential ◀-3
19.4avg. opp. rankStrength of schedule so far ▶18.4avg. opp. rank
#10Net EPA rank ▶#5

Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Weeks 2-5, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.

Bears offense vs. Falcons defense

Bears offenseFalcons defense
#5EPA per play ◀#17
#25Dropback EPA ▶#12
#10Rush EPA ◀#24
#11Success rate ▶#10

Falcons offense vs. Bears defense

Bears defenseFalcons offense
#19EPA per play ▶#3
#10Dropback EPA ◀#17
#28Rush EPA ▶#2
#6Success rate ◀#7

Season so far

Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.

Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F

Chicago Bears

Week 1Sun, Sep 13 at Carolina Panthers Opp. rank #23Group D
W 59-37 Line -3 ATS: Covered (+19)

Bears 59, PANTHERS 37 (CAR +3). The Bears made a couple of mistakes to allow the Panthers to hang around. It was 21-all, but Chicago's offense was far too much for a Carolina defense that couldn't stop anything the opposition was doing. 552-478 CHI, 7.9-7.7 CHI

Week 2Sun, Sep 20 vs. Minnesota Vikings Opp. rank #21Group D
L 3-9 Line -4.5 ATS: Did not cover (-10.5)

Vikings 9, BEARS 3 (CHI -4.5). This was a windy and wet game where both offenses struggled. Caleb Williams got hurt in the fourth quarter. Tyson Bagent got the Bears close to winning, but couldn't complete the drive. 297-246 CHI, 4.8-4.2 MIN

Week 3Mon, Sep 28 vs. Philadelphia Eagles Opp. rank #12Group B
W 27-7 Line +4.5 ATS: Covered (+24.5)

BEARS 27, Eagles 7 (CHI +4.5). Case Keenum threw all over the Eagles secondary. Saquon Barkley ran well in the first half, but Barkley was given just four carries in the second half. 375-248 CHI, 5.4-5.3 CHI

Week 4Sun, Oct 4 vs. New York Jets Opp. rank #20Group D
W 23-12 Line -3 ATS: Covered (+8)

BEARS 23, Jets 12 (CHI -3). The Bears stalled at the goal line early with Tyson Bagent, but eventually got their act together and were able to win time of possession by 25 minutes. 492-157 CHI, 5.5-4.9 CHI

Week 5Sun, Oct 11 at Green Bay Packers Opp. rank #21Group D
L 7-31 Line -1.5 ATS: Did not cover (-25.5)

PACKERS 31, Bears 7 (GB +1.5). Jordan Love completed a million Hail Marys in this game despite getting nothing from his running game, while Tyson Bagent was so bad that he was benched for Case Keenum. 428-246 GB, 7.3-3.6 GB

Atlanta Falcons

Week 1Sun, Sep 13 at Pittsburgh Steelers Opp. rank #25Group D
L 13-20 Line +3.5 ATS: Did not cover (-3.5)

STEELERS 20, Falcons 13 (PIT -3.5). The Steelers allowed the Falcons to hang around with some sluggish offense and a Jaylen Warren fumble, but the Steelers came up big with huge plays against Cooper Rush. 264-238 PIT, 4.2-4.1 ATL

Week 2Sun, Sep 20 vs. Carolina Panthers Opp. rank #24Group D
L 3-34 Line +2.5 ATS: Did not cover (-28.5)

Panthers 34, FALCONS 3 (ATL +2.5). The Falcons had a pathetic offense that made lots of mistakes the entire game. Bryce Young made some great throws in the second half. 340-286 CAR, 5.7-4.3 CAR

Week 3Thu, Sep 24 at Green Bay Packers Opp. rank #17Group C
W 35-14 Line +4.5 ATS: Covered (+25.5)

Falcons 35, PACKERS 14 (GB -4.5). The Packers couldn't pass protect or run the ball, and they had severe issues stopping Bijan Robinson. The Packers went up 7-0 but allowed 27 consecutive points after that. 498-328 ATL, 7.5-5.2 ATL

Week 4Mon, Oct 5 at New Orleans Saints Opp. rank #21Group D
W 45-24 Line +2.5 ATS: Covered (+23.5)

Falcons 45, SAINTS 24 (NO -2.5). The Falcons ran all over the inept Saints defense. Tyler Shough had no time to throw, and a chunk of his yardage came in garbage time. 420-320 ATL, 7.5-4.6 ATL

Week 5Sun, Oct 11 vs. Baltimore Ravens Opp. rank #5Group A
L 23-30 Line -3.5 ATS: Did not cover (-10.5)

Ravens 30, FALCONS 23 (ATL -3.5). The Falcons led for most of the game because of Mark Andrews' mistakes, but Tyler Huntley caught fire at the end of the game leading drives to tie at the end of regulation and in overtime to win it. Michael Penix got hurt at the end. 391-367 BAL, 5.7-5.5 ATL

Injuries

Chicago Bears

QBs

  • Caleb Williams out 3-4
  • Tyson Bagent DDF3 (out)
  • Tyson Bagent returns 4
  • Caleb Williams DDL 5

WR/TE

  • Rome Odunze LLL 1 (in)

OL

  • Ozzy Trapilo LLL 1 (out)
  • Ozzy Trapilo out 2
  • Ozzy Trapilo returns 3
  • Braxton Jones out 4-IR
  • Ozzy Trapillo out 5 (surprise)

CBs

  • Kyler Gordon out 1-4
  • Kyler Gordon FFF 5

Safeties

  • Coby Bryant out 1-IR
  • Xavier Woods FLL 1 (out)
  • Xavier Woods returns 2
  • Cam Lewis out 4

Atlanta Falcons

QBs

  • Michael Penix out 1-2
  • Tua Tagovailoa out 1-2

OL

  • Chris Lindstrom DLF 2 (in)
  • Jake Matthews DLF 5 (in)

Pass Rush

  • Jalon Walke out 1-IR
  • James Pearce out 1-IR
  • Samson Ebukam out 3
  • Samson Ebukam returns 4
  • Za'Darius Smith DDL 5 (out)
  • Samson Ebukam LLL 5 (in)

LBs

  • Divine Deableo LLL 5 (in)

CBs

  • A.J. Terrell DFD 2 (in)
  • A.J. Terrell out 3-IR

Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.

All Week 6 matchups · Chicago Bears team page · Atlanta Falcons team page