November 12, 2026

NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 10 matchup

Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns

Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · Line: Texans -5 (Circa)

Houston Texans logoHouston Texans#13 Group BAway · Team page › Cleveland Browns logoCleveland Browns#22 Group DHome · Team page ›

Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.

Side by side

TexansBrowns
#13Power rank ◀#22
3-5Record (straight up) ▶5-4
3-5Against the spread ▶6-3
2-1on the roadATS on the road / at home ▶3-0at home
2-4as favoriteATS as favorite / underdog ▶5-3as underdog
-1.1pts per gameAvg. cover margin ▶-0.2pts per game
+17Point differential ◀-35
17.4avg. opp. rankStrength of schedule so far ◀19.7avg. opp. rank
#16Net EPA rank ◀#22

Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Week 2 onward, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.

Texans offense vs. Browns defense

Texans offenseBrowns defense
#3EPA per play ◀#18
#2Dropback EPA ◀#9
#23Rush EPA ◀#26
#11Success rate ◀#15
#927.4% of dropbacksPressure rate allowed vs. pressure rate ◀#1529.6% of dropbacks

Browns offense vs. Texans defense

Texans defenseBrowns offense
#28EPA per play ▶#25
#16Dropback EPA ◀#24
#28Rush EPA ▶#18
#18Success rate ◀#20
#931.4% of dropbacksPressure rate vs. pressure rate allowed ◀#3034.3% of dropbacks

Season so far

Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.

Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F

Houston Texans

Week 1Sun, Sep 13 vs. Buffalo Bills Opp. rank #3Group A
L 31-36 Line +0.5 ATS: Did not cover (-4.5)

Bills 36, TEXANS 31 (HOU +0.5). This was a back-and-forth thriller with big plays by both teams on both sides of the ball. The Texans forgot to run the ball in the second half and Kamari Lassiter dropped a game-sealing interception. The Texans had a chance to win at the end, but the Bills sacked C.J. Stroud twice in the red zone. 409-381 BUF, 7.9-5.2 BUF

Week 2Sun, Sep 20 vs. Cincinnati Bengals Opp. rank #6Group B
L 6-20 Line -2.5 ATS: Did not cover (-16.5)

Bengals 20, TEXANS 6 (HOU -2.5). The Texans botched some early scoring opportunities. The Bengals had two amazing touchdowns to Ja'Marr Chase, and then Cincinnati's pass rush smothered C.J. Stroud. 374-267 HOU, 4.8-4.5 HOU

Week 3Sun, Sep 27 at Indianapolis Colts Opp. rank #26Group D
L 17-19 Line -1.5 ATS: Did not cover (-3.5)

COLTS 19, Texans 17 (IND +1.5). The Texans strip-sacked Daniel Jones twice in this game, but Jones otherwise shredded Houston's secondary, while C.J. Stroud couldn't get anything going on offensive. The Texans once again blew a scoring opportunity on a fourth-down stuff. 300-223 IND, 4.4-4.2 HOU

Week 4Sun, Oct 4 vs. Dallas Cowboys Opp. rank #10Group B
L 30-34 Line -3 ATS: Did not cover (-7)

Cowboys 34, TEXANS 30 (HOU -3). The Texans led 16-6 at halftime, but couldn't stop CeeDee Lamb in the second half. They had some big plays from Nico Collins, but kicked way too many field goals in an eventual shootout. 399-397 DAL, 7.6-5.5 HOU

Week 5Sun, Oct 11 at Tennessee Titans Opp. rank #30Group F
W 26-3 Line -7.5 ATS: Covered (+15.5)

Texans 26, TITANS 3 (TEN +7.5). The Titans kicked an early field goal and then the Texans outscored them 26-0 the rest of the way. Their defensive line gave Cam Ward no chance. 329-187 HOU, 5.2-3.2 HOU

Week 6Sun, Oct 18 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (neutral) Opp. rank #4Group A
W 34-31 Line +2.5 ATS: Covered (+5.5)

Texans 34, Jaguars 31 (JAX -2.5). The Jaguars had the body-clock advantage, but they were lethargic and sloppy in this game. They had first-half drives end at the Houston 32 and 5. They tried to play catch-up in the second half, but couldn't stop C.J. Stroud. They settled for a 60-yard field goal, giving the Texans a good chance to win. 426-412 HOU, 7.2-6.1 HOU

Week 7Sun, Oct 25 vs. New York Giants Opp. rank #28Group D
L 21-27 Line -10 ATS: Did not cover (-16)

Giants 27, TEXANS 21 (HOU -10). The Texans could barely move the ball in this game, as C.J. Stroud nearly threw multiple interceptions. Houston had no answer for the Giants, with J.J. McCarthy completing many impressive passes in the first half and then being unable to stop the run in overtime. 420-237 NYG, 6.5-4.4 NYG

Week 8Bye week
Week 9Sun, Nov 8 at Los Angeles Chargers Opp. rank #32Group F
W 44-22 Line -4.5 ATS: Covered (+17.5)

Texans 44, CHARGERS 22 (LAC +4.5). The Texans threw all over the hapless Chargers. This was a 10-9 game when C.J. Stroud caught fire with some amazing throws. Much of the Chargers' production came in garbage time. 485-315 HOU, 7.3-4.6 HOU

Cleveland Browns

Week 1Sun, Sep 13 at Jacksonville Jaguars Opp. rank #10Group B
L 10-34 Line +8.5 ATS: Did not cover (-15.5)

JAGUARS 34, Browns 10 (JAX -8.5). Deshaun Watson was a disaster in this game with many turnovers. The Jaguars took advantage of all the errors. Cleveland's yardage came in garbage time. 360-272 JAX, 6.4-5.6 JAX

Week 2Sun, Sep 20 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Opp. rank #19Group C
W 23-19 Line +8.5 ATS: Covered (+12.5)

Browns 23, BUCCANEERS 19 (TB -8.5). Baker Mayfield made many terrible throws in this game. One of his few good ones gave the Buccaneers a 16-6 lead, but Tampa Bay couldn't stop the Browns at all late in the game. A 2-and-a-half thunderstorm delayed the inevitable. 313-267 TB, 5.0-4.9 TB

Week 3Sun, Sep 27 vs. Carolina Panthers Opp. rank #20Group D
W 21-18 Line +2.5 ATS: Covered (+5.5)

BROWNS 21, Panthers 18 (CLE +2.5). The Panthers were the better team in this game, but squandered some drives by failing on fourth down, giving the Browns points on one occasion. The Panthers took an 18-13 lead late in the game and sealed the victory, but a roughing-the-passer penalty helped the Browns get a win. 360-259 CAR, 4.9-4.1 CAR

Week 4Thu, Oct 1 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Opp. rank #22Group D
W 27-24 Line +3 ATS: Covered (+6)

BROWNS 27, Steelers 24 (CLE +3). The Steelers went up 7-0, but the Browns dominated most of the game until late when there was a Deshaun Watson interception. The Steelers tied the game, but Watson came up big in the clutch. 372-361 CLE, 6.0-5.6 CLE

Week 5Sun, Oct 11 at New York Jets Opp. rank #23Group D
L 12-17 Line +1.5 ATS: Did not cover (-3.5)

JETS 17, Browns 12 (NYJ -1.5). The Jets led by one or four for most of the game, but allowed a long touchdown to Denzel Boston. The Browns gave them a short field on a botched snap that turned into a touchdown, and then New York's pass rush hounded Deshaun Watson. 276-198 NYJ, 4.2-3.0 NYJ

Week 6Sun, Oct 18 vs. Baltimore Ravens Opp. rank #5Group A
W 13-10 Line +5.5 ATS: Covered (+8.5)

BROWNS 13, Ravens 10 (CLE +5.5). The Ravens ran well with Derrick Henry early in the game, going up 10-0. They forgot to run him in the second half and couldn't do anything offensively in the second half. The Browns eventually got enough together to win with a field goal at the end. 237-235 CLE, 4.1-4.0 BAL

Week 7Sun, Oct 25 at Tennessee Titans Opp. rank #30Group F
W 27-24 Line -2.5 ATS: Covered (+0.5)

Browns 27, TITANS 24 (TEN +2.5). The Titans got out to a 14-0 lead with some Tony Pollard runs, but forgot to run with Pollard near the goal line on one play. The Browns then bounced back with some big KC Concepcion and Quinshon Judkins plays. The Titans had a great drive to tie the game, but Harold Fannin made a big play to set up the winning field goal. 491-322 CLE, 7.4-5.2 CLE

Week 8Sun, Nov 1 at Pittsburgh Steelers Opp. rank #21Group D
L 6-27 Line +3 ATS: Did not cover (-18)

STEELERS 27, Browns 6 (PIT -3). The Steelers dominated on both sides of the ball. Deshaun Watson got hurt early and then when he came back in, he committed a turnover. The Steelers ran all over Cleveland's defense. Most of Cleveland's yardage came in garbage time. 361-319 PIT, 6.1-5.0 PIT

Week 9Sun, Nov 8 at New Orleans Saints Opp. rank #27Group D
L 22-23 Line +3 ATS: Covered (+2)

SAINTS 23, Browns 22 (NO -3). Both teams messed up throughout the game, constantly turning the ball over or failing to score near the goal line. Chris Olave and Harold Fannin made big plays late in the game, and the Browns had to go for two in overtime because there was one minute left. 396-355 NO, 5.5-5.1 NO

Injuries

Houston Texans

RBs

  • David Montgomery out 6-9

WR/TE

  • Jayden Higgins out 1-IR
  • Tank Dell out 1-6
  • Nico Collins out 2-3
  • Nico Collins returns 4
  • Tank Dell FFF 7 (returns)

OL

  • Braden Smith out 1-6
  • Ed Ingram out 2-3
  • Trent Brown DLF 3 (in)
  • Ed Ingram LLF 4 (returns)
  • Braden Smith returns 7

Int DL

  • Kayden McDonald out 2-4
  • Mario Edwards out 4-IR
  • Logan Hall LFL 4 (in)
  • Kayden McDonald LFF 5 (returns)

Pass Rush

  • Jadeveon Clowney out 2-3
  • Jadeveon Clowney LLD 4 (returns)

LBs

  • Henry To'oTo'o out 2-5
  • Jake Hansen LLF 4 (in)
  • Azeez Al-Shaair out 4
  • Azeez Al-Shaair returns 5
  • Henry To'oTo'o LFF 6 (returns)

Safeties

  • Jalen Pitre out 6-7
  • Reed Blankenship out 9

Cleveland Browns

QBs

  • Deshaun Watson DDL 9 (out)

RBs

  • Quinshon Judkins DDL 6 (out)

OL

  • Teven Jenkins out 1-7
  • Elgton Jenkins out 4
  • Elgton Jenkins returns 5
  • Tytus Howard DDD 8 (in)

Int DL

  • Mason Graham out 5-6
  • Michael Hall out 5-7
  • Mason Graham returns 7
  • Michael Hall returns 8
  • Maliek Collins out 9

Pass Rush

  • Derek Barnett DDL 6 (in)

LBs

  • Owusu Koramoah out 1-IR
  • Carson Schweinger DDL 6 (in)
  • Quincy Williams FDL 7 (in)

CBs

  • Tyson Campbell FDL 2 (in)
  • Tyson Campbell LLL 3 (out)
  • Tyson Campbell returns 4
  • Denzel Ward FFL 7 (in)
  • Myles Harden LLL 8 (in)

Safeties

  • Grant Delpit LLL 3 (in)
  • Grant Delpit DLL 7 (in)

Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.

All Week 10 matchups · Houston Texans team page · Cleveland Browns team page