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Minnesota (6-2) at Purdue (2-5)
Line: Minnesota by 1.
Saturday, 12:00 ET
Probably no quarterback in college has disappointed more than Curtis Painter. He is completing 56 percent of his passes for 6.1 YPA, and has thrown nine interceptions on the season. Adam Weber on the other hand is having a fantastic season, completing 68 percent of his passes and having a 9-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Purdue’s defense is solid, but I don’t see them being able to contain Eric Decker for four quarters.
Prediction: Minnesota 34, Purdue 20
Minnesota -1 (3 Units – Pick of the Week) — Correct; +$300
Minnesota 17, Purdue 6
Rice (4-3) at Tulane (2-4)
Tulane by 2.5.
Saturday, 3:00 ET
I’m really surprised at this line, as I expected Rice to be favored in this matchup. I’ll take Chase Clement any day on the road against a pretty average defense. He should throw for around 350 yards and four touchdowns. Jarrett Dillard can’t be covered in this game, and Tulane doesn’t have the defensive line to pressure Clement. Let’s go with the moneyline outright in a big road win for the Owls.
Prediction: Rice 38, Tulane 34
Rice +120 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$120
Rice 42, Tulane 17
N.C. State (2-5) at Maryland (5-2)
Line: Maryland by 10.5.
Saturday, 3:30 ET
The Wolfpack offense can’t play on the road, pure and simple. Against a pretty average Clemson team, they threw for nearly 3 YPA and only gained 3.5 yards per rush. Let’s take Maryland squad that is 4-1 ATS in its last five games. At home this season, they are averaging 413 yards of offense per game. I really don’t see a game here.
Prediction: Maryland 30, N.C. State 13
Maryland -10.5 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Maryland 27, N.C. State 24
Colorado (4-3) at Missouri (5-2)
Line: Missouri by 23.5.
Saturday, 6:30 ET
Missouri is simply a different defensive team at home. They giving up nine less points per game and 65 yards per game compared to their overall stats. Cody Hawkins is going to be pressured, and I don’t see much of a running game happening for the Buffs. Chase Daniel will get back into a rhythm, and Jeremy Maclin will find his stride.
Prediction: Missouri 49, Colorado 20
Missouri -23.5 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Missouri 58, Colorado 0
Troy (4-2) at North Texas (0-7)
Line: Troy by 24.
Saturday, 7:00 ET
North Texas is a terrible team. They are 2-12 ATS against teams that have winning records and are averaging a -34 point differential. Troy’s explosive offense should be able to win this game with ease against a squad with no home crowd advantage.
Prediction: Troy 54, North Texas 17
Troy -24 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Troy State 45, North Texasy 17
Ole Miss (3-4) at Arkansas (3-4)
Line: Ole Miss by 5.
Saturday, 7:00 ET
Big gameplanning edge for Ole Miss. Houston Nutt was Arkansas’ former coach, and he knows all of the strengths and weaknesses of his former players, and how to exploit them. Bobby Petrino on the other hand is still not familiar with anyone in the SEC West. I like Jevan Snead to exploit the Hogs secondary, and Greg Hardy and company to shut down Casey Dick.
Prediction: Ole Miss 23, Arkansas 13
Ole Miss -5 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Ole Miss 23, Arkansas 21
Alabama (7-0) at Tennessee (3-4)
Line: Alabama by 6.
Saturday, 7:45 ET
This looks like a sucker bet, since 68 percent of the public is taking Alabama in this matchup. Bama is the No. 2 team in the country and the public automatically thinks that this is an easy blowout. As my friend Lee Corso would say, “Not so fast my friend!” Tennesse is giving up only 11.2 points per game at home. They held Tim Tebow to only 96 yards passing and Florida to 3.8 yards per carry. Tennessee simply steps up at home on defense. Nose tackle Terrence Cody is out, so their run defense will be hurting against a veteran offensive line. Tennessee will have the advantage in field position by creating turnovers led by superstar safety Eric Berry who is leading the country with five interceptions.
Prediction: Alabama 17, Tennessee 14
Tennessee +6 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Alabama 29, Tennessee 9
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Week 7 NFL Picks
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