Patrick Mahomes is coming off his worst statistical season, as teams limited him with a cover-2 shell. Perhaps Andy Reid will come up with a way to beat this scheme, though that'll be difficult with Tyreek Hill gone. Either way, with teams limiting the deep pass, Mahomes will be overdrafted in your league because he's a big name.
Projected 2022 Fantasy Stats: 4,700 passing yards. 38 passing TDs. 10 INTs. 340 rushing yards. 3 rushing TDs.
Projected 2022 Fantasy Points: 352.