By Chet Gresham – @ChetGresham
Published Aug. 25, 2016
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For this mock draft the settings were:
QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex, Superflex, DST, K, 8 Bench
I picked sixth, which is not my favorite spot in non-2QB leagues, but when you add that second quarterback to the equation, everything goes nuts.
Superflex, which is a flex spot for QB/RB/WR/TE is my favorite way to play 2QB leagues. During bye weeks, it is tough to even have two starting quarterbacks on your team, so the superflex allows you to throw another position in there to keep you from getting a zero. But, of course, you want to have two starting quarterbacks on your team.
The question that usually comes up in 2QB leagues is, when do I draft my quarterbacks? That is always one of the toughest questions I get, because so much depends on how quickly quarterbacks are flying off the board. For this league, I started with a wide receiver and planned on going with a quarterback in Round 2, but I felt like there were enough options left for me to wait another round. So, you often need to play it by ear when deciding when to pounce on that signal-caller.
So without further adieu, I bring you my 12-team, Superflex, PPR mock draft.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 1-2: I went with Odell Beckham Jr. with my first pick, which was from the fifth spot. Cam Newton and Aaron Rodgers went before me, which left Beckham Jr. I don’t believe he’s hit his upside yet, and the Giants plan on pushing their offense even faster, which could lead to more targets, receptions, touchdowns, fantasy points and happiness.
My second-round pick was Allen Robinson. And again, I skipped a quarterback. Six of the first 16 picks were quarterbacks, which left me feeling like I could grab two of my favorites still, but it wasn’t a given. But Robinson is right up there as far as upside with the top receivers, and I got greedy, especially because I could have five wide receivers starting if I used the two flex spots on them. I wanted a solid base there.
BEST PICK, ROUNDS 1-2: As usual, it is difficult to have a bad pick in the first two rounds, but if I can help it, I try hard not to take a quarterback with my first pick in 2QB leagues. I feel like the safety and upside from a top wide receiver is worth the drop at quarterback. So, I believe Antonio Brown was the best pick in the first round because he is the safest and has an insanely high ceiling.
In the second round, I like Lamar Miller. He should have the volume in Houston to fight for the top running back spot in fantasy this season and I think he has a decent shot at reaching that mark.
WORST PICK, ROUNDS 1-2: I want to say a quarterback, but I completely understand why you go ahead and grab a stud early. So I’m going to pass on the first round, because I don’t see any picks who I don’t understand or wouldn’t make for myself at some point.
In the second round, I’d go with Tom Brady as being too early. He, of course, will miss the first four games, which means you’ll need to reach on a third quarterback. I’d rather get value from Brady if I get him.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 3-4: There were nine quarterbacks off the board by my third-round pick, which left Eli Manning for me. I have him as the eighth-best fantasy quarterback this season, so I was okay with that. Like I mentioned with Odell Beckham Jr., this Giants team could be a great source for fantasy points, plus Manning has Sterling Shepard and Will Tye added to his targets and Rueben Randle subtracted. That’s not bad.
In the fourth round, I was eyeing Tyrod Taylor, but I felt like I could wait and if I missed him, there were still enough decent quarterbacks out there. Instead, I wanted to grab a running back who I thought I had Top-5 upside, and C.J. Anderson is that back. His quarterback will be suspect, but the Broncos’ defense and commitment to the run game should give Anderson plenty of opportunities.
BEST PICK, ROUNDS 3-4: I have been drafting Brandin Cooks quite a bit this season, and I’d say he’s my favorite third-round pick. Brandon Marshall is safe, but Cooks could see a full season of stats that he put up in the second half of last year, which is up there with the top guys. With a more seasoned Willie Snead, good rookie in Michael Thomas and offseason acquisition Coby Fleener, Cooks should have an easier time getting open for Drew Brees.
I like a few fourth-round picks, but my favorite running back is LeSean McCoy and my favorite receiver is Sammy Watkins. I know picking Buffalo Bills players seems scary, but these guys can play. McCoy is going to see all the work he can handle and won’t have Karlos Williams sniping touchdowns from him, while Watkins built a great connection with Tyrod Taylor in the second half of last season and showed that he can elevate his game to elite status.
WORST PICK, ROUNDS 3-4: I love Jordan Reed’s upside, but just last season, he was the backup tight end before Niles Paul was hurt and now Paul is back, along with Josh Doctson, who should be a great red-zone threat at some point this season. Then, there are the many nagging injuries Reed has suffered. I just rather wait on a tight end like Dwayne Allen.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 5-6: My dilemma in Round 5 was, will Tyrod Taylor last one more round? Well, I decided to take the risk and went with Carlos Hyde to fill out my two starting running back spots. I’ve been back and forth on Hyde this year, but seeing that Chip Kelly doesn’t like to slow down his offense by switching players during a drive, I believe Hyde won’t get replaced by Shaun Draughn on passing downs. That should boost up Hyde’s receiving numbers and keep him on the field even in hurry-up.
So, Tyrod Taylor did not last, but Matt Ryan was there and even though he seems to have leveled off and regressed last season, I do have hope for him with Mohamed Sanu there to help out and, of course, Julio Jones and Devonta Freeman. Ryan was fifth in total passing yards last season, but had his worst touchdown total since his rookie year. I expect those touchdowns to come back up to his norms to make Ryan a good QB2, and the fact that he doesn’t get hurt is an upgrade over Taylor, who I would have to worry about more.
BEST PICK, ROUNDS 5-6: Donte Moncrief in the sixth round is probably my favorite pick here. I’ve been beating the drum on Moncrief all offseason, and I believe he could lead the Colts in receptions and touchdowns this season.
WORST PICK, ROUNDS 5-6: I am a big proponent of Gio Bernard, but this is too early for him, plus I’m starting to worry about Jeremy Hill having a resurgence this season. Bernard was by far the better back between the two last year, but Hill still got double-digit touchdowns. If Hill gets even a slightly larger share of snaps and touches than last season, Bernard’s margin of error is going to be razor thin.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 7-8: Marvin Jones is easily the player I have drafted the most this year, and I have seen no need to waver on that conviction. I expect the Lions to play faster and throw the ball a whole lot this year, and Jones is better than you think.
My eighth-round pick was a new addition to my PPR plans after seeing Dion Lewis go under the knife. James White isn’t as good as Lewis, but he is a good receiver and should be a good flex-play week in and week out in PPR leagues.
BEST PICK, ROUNDS 7-8: I usually shy away from older running backs, but Frank Gore should have enough left in the tank to put up one more solid season and if Andrew Luck can stay healthy, I expect that to happen. The Colts have nobody who is going to push Gore for work, so he has that going for him, and the receiving corps is outstanding, which should give him plenty of light defensive fronts to navigate.
WORST PICK, ROUNDS 7-8: I like Jordan Matthews’ ability, but I’m afraid for the Eagles’ fantasy players this year. With Chip Kelly coaching, you knew your fantasy player would at the very least get plenty of snaps and opportunities just based on the tempo. That isn’t going to happen in Doug Pederson’s offense.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 9-10: Jonathan Stewart isn’t my favorite pick this season, but in the ninth round, I felt like he was a nice value on a team that will move the ball well and score plenty of points.
I may have waited on tight end just a little too long, as four went right after I picked, including Dwayne Allen, who I was hoping to pick in Round 10. Instead, I went with Martellus Bennett, who is starting to look like a bona fide fantasy starter now that the Patriots are planning to use two-tight end sets as their base.
BEST PICK, ROUNDS 9-10: Rashad Jennings was a nice pick late in the 10th round. As I’ve mentioned, I’m on board with mining the Giants’ offensive starters for fantasy, and Jennings showed well to end last year, well enough for coach Ben McAdoo to scrap the ludicrous four-headed running back committee.
WORST PICK, ROUNDS 9-10: Kamar Aiken wouldn’t have even been close to being called the worst pick just a week ago, but now both Breshad Perriman and Steve Smith have come off the PUP list and are obviously going to cut into Aiken’s targets if they are healthy. Then, add in Mike Wallace, Ben Watson, Dennis Pitta and the running backs who will all see targets, and I think we have a slippery slope.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 11-12: Chip Kelly has done wonders for his No. 1 receivers so far in the NFL and with suspect quarterback play. That shouldn’t change in San Francisco, as Torrey Smith is now the No. 1 receiver in a Kelly-run offense.
With my 12th-round pick, I went for another running back receiving specialist in Chris Thompson. I don’t love Matt Jones, and Keith Marshall has already fallen back down the depth chart, which puts Thompson as possibly the safest fantasy back on their team.
BEST PICK, ROUNDS 11-12: What in the heck is going to happen with the Ravens’ running backs? Well, it’s really confusing, but the only thing we do know is that Justin Forsett is currently the No. 1 back. He’ll have plenty of competition this year, but I’m fine with getting him this late in a PPR league.
WORST PICK, ROUNDS 11-12: Laquon Treadwell would need to be the no-doubt No. 1 receiver for the Vikings for me to draft him this early, and right now, he’s not even starting.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 13-14: Devin Funchess’ upside this year depends a lot on how the Panthers use Ted Ginn, but I expect them to do everything they can to get Funchess, who has been the best receiver in camp, plenty of snaps. Kelvin Benjamin doesn’t seem to be 100 percent back, and Funchess could start out the season as the lead target or at least close to it.
Christine Michael has looked great in preseason and appears to have won the backup job to Thomas Rawls, with even some talk that they could share time early in the season. I like Rawls and think he can hold onto the job, but he won’t play this preseason, and if he has any setback at all, Michael will be ready to go.
BEST PICK, ROUNDS 13-14: Jerick McKinnon is going to see more receiving work this year than last, and I expect he’ll start to cut into Adrian Peterson’s upside this season, as Peterson isn’t the receiver that McKinnon is. Then, if anything were to happen to Peterson, McKinnon would be a Top-10 fantasy running back straight away. He’s a lottery ticket, but at the same time, he still holds stand-alone value in PPR leagues like this one.
WORST PICK, ROUNDS 13-14: Charcandrick West was outplayed by Spencer Ware last season and would be behind him if Jamaal Charles were to go down again this year.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 15-16: I’m slowly coming over to the Rishard Matthews side of things. Tajae Sharpe is getting the headlines, but Matthews could easily lead this Titans team in targets this year. He was a solid player last year for the Dolphins and has the leg up on all of Tennessee’s receivers right now.
I needed a backup tight end, and I could choose between Will Tye and Austin Seferian-Jenkins. Right now, I like them about the same, but I also believe Seferian-Jenkins has more talent if he can screw his head on straight.
BEST PICK, ROUNDS 15-16: Steve Smith could be a total bust or the leading receiver on his team, but those are the kind of picks you make late in drafts. I want to see Smith return from his double Achilles rupture, so I may have a little wishful thinking here, but we know what he can do when he’s healthy.
WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 15-16: I’m starting to think Nelson Agholor may be beaten out by Dorial Green-Beckham, and even if Agholor doesn’t, I would want someone with a bit more upside here.
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