2024 NFL Season Preview: Miami Dolphins

Tua Tagovailoa

Miami Dolphins (Last Year: 11-6)



Season Summary:
The Dolphins appeared to be the best team in the NFL at one point last year, as both Tua Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill garnered plenty of MVP discussion. That quickly went away, as Miami limped to the finish line as a result of numerous injuries.



2024 NFL Season Preview:

Veteran Additions:
TE Jonnu Smith, OT Jack Driscoll, C Aaron Brewer, DT Calais Campbell, DT Neville Gallimore, DT Benito Jones, DE/OLB Shaq Barrett, LB Jordyn Brooks, LB Anthony Walker, CB Kendall Fuller, CB Siran Neal, S Jordan Poyer.
Early Draft Picks:
DE Chop Robinson, OT Patrick Paul, RB Jaylen Wright, DE/OLB Mo Kamara. Dolphins Rookie Forecast
Offseason Losses:
WR Cedrick Wilson, G Robert Hunt, C Connor Williams, DE Andrew Van Ginkel, DE Emmanuel Ogbah, DT Christian Wilkins, DT Raekwon Davis, LB Jerome Baker, CB Xavien Howard, CB Eli Apple, S Brandon Jones, S Jerome Baker.

2024 Miami Dolphins Offense:
Miami’s success in 2023 was going to be determined by a simple if-then-else statement. If Tua Tagovailoa could remain healthy the entire year, then the Dolphins would have a legitimate chance to win the Super Bowl. Else, they would either miss the playoffs, or once again sneak in as a lower seed and lose right away.

This proved to be incorrect, but also right at the same time. Instead of Tagovailoa suffering an injury, half the roster did instead. Tagovailoa had a great year in which he threw for 4,624 yards and 29 touchdowns, all while completing 69.3 percent of his passes. He played all 17 games, though it’s still wrong to assume that he can remain on the field all year just because he had a completely healthy season.

One of the primary players to suffer an injury was Tyreek Hill. The dynamic receiver recently turned 30, so perhaps injuries will begin to pile up for him. When he’s healthy, however, Hill will continue to be one of the most dangerous threats in all of football when he has the ball in his hands. Jaylen Waddle, another dynamic receiver, was just rewarded with an $84 million contract. There wasn’t any sort of depth behind Hill and Waddle last year, so the Dolphins signed Odell Beckham. The veteran wideout isn’t nearly the same electric player he once was, but he had some bright moments for the Ravens this past season. The Dolphins also signed Jonnu Smith, a mediocre tight end, but a big upgrade at the position from what Miami had last year.

Terron Armstead also suffered an injury, missing seven games as a result. Armstead is one of the most talented left tackles in the NFL, but he’s just as unreliable. He’ll return as the starter once again, but Miami can’t count on him playing most of the season. His bookend, Austin Jackson, didn’t miss time last year, but barely played in 2022. Jackson isn’t nearly as skilled as Armstead, but he’s a fine blocker.

There’s concern with the interior blocking as well. Guards Robert Jones and Isaiah Wynn combined to play just 14 of 34 possible games in 2023. The Dolphins lost the talented Robert Hunt, so they’ll have to rely on Jones and Wynn more than they did last year. Center Connor Williams, who was on the field for only nine games last season, is also gone. He’ll be replaced by Aaron Brewer, who had a decent season for Tennessee in 2023.

If the blockers remain healthy, the Dolphins should be able to maintain a terrific ground attack. Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane have incredible speed, especially the latter. Achane can score every single time he touches the football, but he also has durability concerns. The Dolphins added another backfield threat in the draft, selecting Jaylen Wright in the fourth round.



2024 Miami Dolphins Defense:
The injuries extended to the defense as well. Miami was so banged up on this side of the ball by the playoffs that it barely had any functional front-seven players available for the game against the Chiefs, which resulted in a predictable loss.

Jaelan Phillips was one of the first defenders to go down. He suffered an Achilles tear in Week 12. Phillips is a devastating pass rusher who notched 6.5 sacks in only eight games, so he was sorely missed down the stretch. Bradley Chubb was one of the players who picked up the slack. The former Bronco led the team with 11 sacks. Andrew Van Ginkel was another defender who rose to the challenge, but he also got hurt late in the year. Van Ginkel signed with the Vikings, prompting Miami to use its first-round pick on edge rusher Chop Robinson. The Dolphins also signed Shaq Barrett, but he’s past his prime and probably won’t do much in 2024.

A third player who stepped up in the wake of Phillips’ injury was Zach Sieler, who recorded 10 sacks. Sieler will return as a starter on the defensive line, but he won’t be playing next to Christian Wilkins and his nine sacks, as Wilkins signed with the Raiders this offseason. With Wilkins gone, the Dolphins had a hole that they plugged with the recently signed Calais Campbell. While Campbell is not quite the dominant force he once was, he can still perform at a high level.

Another player the Dolphins lost is Jerome Baker, who signed with the Seahawks this offseason. Baker also missed the Chiefs playoff game, so Miami will need his replacement to be more reliable. There are three linebackers competing for two spots. The lone incumbent is David Long Jr., who is coming off a solid year. Jordyn Brooks, signed over from Seattle, was far worse than Baker last year. There’s also Anthony Walker, a talented linebacker who gets injured far too often.

As for the secondary, Miami added some talent to counter some of the lethal passing attacks in the AFC. At cornerback, the Dolphins signed Kendall Fuller away from the Redskins. Fuller was the lone bright spot in Washington’s defensive backfield, so he’ll make for a great complement to Jalen Ramsey, who missed seven games in 2023. Kader Kohou is a decent player in the slot.

The other defensive back addition is Jordan Poyer, formerly of the Bills. While Poyer is past his prime, he can still play well and offer an upgrade next to Jevon Holland, who has emerged as one of the top safeties in the NFL.



2024 Miami Dolphins Schedule and Intangibles:
Jason Sanders is coming off a great year. He was 24-of-28, and he drilled 5-of-7 attempts from beyond 50.

Punter Jake Bailey needed to be upgraded. He routinely finishes toward the bottom of the league in net punting average.

The Dolphins have just a single 1 p.m. home game prior to Oct. 27, so they won’t be able to take advantage of the absurd Miami heat and humidity. As for the opponents themselves, it’s a mixed bag.




2024 Miami Dolphins Rookies:
Go here for the Dolphins Rookie Forecast, a page with predictions like which rookie will bust and which rookie will become a solid starter.



2024 Miami Dolphins Positional Rankings (1-5 stars):
Quarterbacks
Offensive Line
Secondary
Running Backs
Defensive Line
Special Teams
Receivers
Linebackers
Coaching


2024 Miami Dolphins Analysis: The Dolphins looked like the best team in the NFL at times last year. Injuries derailed their chances, however. If all goes well, Miami will be in Super Bowl contention, but there hasn’t been any evidence that Tua Tagovailoa or anyone else on the roster can avoid injury misfortune.

Projection: 10-7 (3rd in AFC East)

2023 Projection: 11-6. 2023 Actual Result: 11-6.
2022 Projection: 8-9. 2022 Actual Result: 9-8.
2021 Projection: 10-7. 2021 Actual Result: 9-8.
2020 Projection: 4-12. 2020 Actual Result: 10-6.
2019 Projection: 1-15. 2019 Actual Result: 5-11.
2018 Projection: 4-12. 2018 Actual Result: 7-9.
2017 Projection: 7-9. 2017 Actual Result: 6-10.
2016 Projection: 4-12. 2016 Actual Result: 10-6.

NFL Draft Team Grade:

B Grade

Goals Entering the 2024 NFL Draft: The Dolphins have just two picks in the top 150, so they’ll need to trade down to acquire more resources. These resources will have to be used to strengthen the trenches on both sides of the ball. Miami lost so much pass-rushing talent this offseason, while the blocking continues to be a problem.

2024 NFL Draft Accomplishments: It wasn’t a surprise that the Dolphins used their first two picks to bolster the trenches. Chop Robinson was a pass-rushing upgrade the team sorely needed at No. 21, while Patrick Paul was a steal in the middle of the second round. Protecting Tua Tagovailoa is imperative, and Paul will allow that to happen.

While the Dolphins didn’t trade down, they moved into the fourth round, using a third-round pick from next year. While this wasn’t a bad idea because the team’s Super Bowl window is wide open right now, it seemed odd that Miami would relinquish a valuable asset on a running back when the team already has several talented players at the position. I like Jaylen Wright as a prospect, but the move was a waste, although the Dolphins made up for it with their next two picks – Mo Kamara, Malik Washington – being great values. Washington seems like a tremendous fit for Mike McDaniel’s offense, and he’ll ease the pain from Tyreek Hill’s impending retirement. Kamara provides more needed pass-rushing help.

Though Miami didn’t acquire more assets, the team had a decent draft overall. There was one major blunder with the Wright selection, but the Dolphins addressed positions of need with solid value picks.

NFL Draft Individual Grades:


21. Chop Robinson, DE, Penn State – B Grade

This pick makes a lot of sense. The Dolphins really needed a pass rusher with the team losing so many of them in free agency. Chop Robinson’s range was in the 20s – arguably a bit ahead of Jared Verse, depending on whom you ask – so the Dolphins are getting appropriate value. They needed a pass rusher to hound all the great quarterbacks in the AFC, and Robinson will help them do that.


55. Patrick Paul, OT, Houston – A Grade

I’m all for the Dolphins using resources to protect Tua Tagovailoa, given the injury history with the talented quarterback. Patrick Paul could have gone more than a dozen picks earlier than this, so I really like the value.


120. Jaylen Wright, RB, Tennessee – MILLEN Grade

I like Jaylen Wright and thought he should have been chosen in the third round. However, why would the Dolphins surrender a third-round pick to acquire him. They have a solid running back stable, so they didn’t need to give up an important resource like this.


158. Mo Kamara, DE/OLB, Colorado State – A Grade

Here’s another stellar value pick in the fifth round. Mo Kamara appeared in the third round of my mock at times, so he’s a steal here in the middle of the fifth frame. Kamara is a dangerous pass rusher, which was needed for the Dolphins after losing so many front-seven players this offseason.


184. Malik Washington, WR, Virginia – A Grade

This is a steal, as I thought Malik Washington could go in the fourth round. Washington is an elusive receiver who could emerge as a starter down the road when Tyreek Hill retires. Hill has stated that he won’t play much longer, so a successor was needed.


198. Patrick McMorris, S/CB, California – B+ Grade

Patrick McMorris is a very versatile, Jack of all trades-type player, who will be very useful for the Dolphins. He can be used at safety, nickel cornerback, and special teams. This is a solid choice.


241. Tahj Washington, WR, USC – A Grade

I thought Tahj Washington could potentially sneak into the third round, so this is a steal for the Dolphins. Miami didn’t have much receiving depth last year, so that’s been fixed here and with other picks, as Washington is a slot receiver who can make some big plays.



Season Summary:
The Dolphins appeared to be the best team in the NFL at one point last year, as both Tua Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill garnered plenty of MVP discussion. That quickly went away, as Miami limped to the finish line as a result of numerous injuries.






Offseason Moves:







  • Team Needs:
    1. Three Interior Offensive Linemen: Upgrading Tua Tagovailoa’s pass protection is crucial. Guard was already a need, but Connor Williams and Robert Hunt being impending free agents complicates matters. Signed Aaron Brewer

    2. Two Linebackers: Only one linebacker will be needed if Jerome Baker is retained. This area was a big weakness when Baker got hurt last year. Signed Jordyn Brooks and Anthony Walker

    3. Two Defensive Tackles: Make it one defensive tackle if Christian Wilkins is re-signed. Miami needs to get better in the interior of the defensive line. Signed Benito Jones and Neville Gallimore

    4. Offensive Tackle: An offensive tackle who could compete with Austin Jackson or serve behind the oft-injured Terron Armstead would be a nice addition.

    5. Tight End: Miami hasn’t had much production from its tight ends in several years. Signed Jonnu Smith

    6. Wide Receiver: The Dolphins could stand to add a better third receiver for when Tyreek Hill or Jaylen Waddle gets injured.

    7. Safety: DeShon Elliott is another important free agent who has to be re-signed or replaced. Signed Jordan Poyer

    8. Punter: Miami had one of the worst punters in the NFL last year.




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    Miami Dolphins Free Agents:

    Salary Cap: TBA.




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