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2011 Fantasy Football: Mailbag



There will be many more 2011 Fantasy Football Rankings and features in the late spring and summer, including tons of 2011 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts and Player Rankings. I'll also have an extensive 2011 NFL Fantasy Football Preseason Stock Report. Follow me @walterfootball for updates.



2011 Fantasy Football - Mailbag (July 4):

The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions are regarding the 2011 Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings.


  • From Samarth Sulhan:

    MATT SCHAUB IS UNBELEIVABLY UNDERRATED! Over the last 2 years, hes second in passing yards out of all the QBs and hes not even in the top 10?!


    --> Calm down, buddy. Matt Schaub is No. 12 - just two points behind Matt Ryan, projected to be No. 10.

    I don't think Schaub is going to have a great fantasy season. Wade Phillips will really improve Houston's defense, and if that's the case, then Schaub's attempts will be down. That's my thinking behind slotting Schaub No. 12 anyway.



  • From Dumb:

    Cassel below the likes of Cam Newton, Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Jason Cambell? The hate continues.


    --> Yes. I hate Matt Cassel. I hate him so much... That... it... it... flam - flames. Flames, on the side of my face, heaving... breath -, heaving breaths. Heaving breath...

    For the five billionth time, Cassel is going to struggle without Charlie Weis. Kansas City will also have a much more difficult schedule, so that will also play a part in Cassel's decline.

    I don't hate the guy. He's just not that good.



  • From Matt:

    Your hate on Vick continues. The guy was nearly the highest scoring QB last year and he played in only 10 full games! You always talk about the 50-point game about the Redskins, but even ignoring that game he averaged 30 PPG in the final six games he played. He is the #1 Fantasy QB. And if he plays even just 12 full games this year he will easily be the highest scoring QB. I love your website, but you are letting his personal actions cloud your opinion of what he can do on the field.


    --> I have QB Dog Killer missing several games this year. That's one thing. Also, he just turned 31, so it's not unreasonable to expect him to lose some of his quickness and elusiveness.

    When I draft a quarterback early, I want to count on him being in the lineup all 16 games. I can say that for Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, Drew Brees and probably Aaron Rodgers. I can't say that for Philadelphia's beloved dog-drowner.



  • From mrm27:

    Walter, do you realize how few QBs have thrown 30 TDs and 10 or fewer INTs in the history of the NFL over a 16 game season? I think it is 3 (McNabb in 04, Brady in 2010 and Favre's first Vikings year). Let's watch our projections.


    --> I assume you're referring to my Philip Rivers' 30-10 projection. Rivers went 34-11 in 2008, 28-9 in 2009 and 30-13 in 2010 - and four of those 13 picks in 2010 came late when the Chargers were out of the playoff picture.

    Are you telling me it's impossible that Rivers can go 30-10? If so, I disagree. Hell, Matt Cassel went 27-7 last year, and he's not nearly as good as Rivers.




    The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions are regarding the 2011 Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings.


  • From Stephane:

    Walter-I understand your position that Charles' #s will go down now that Weis has left the team. But he also had great numbers in the second half of 09 when Weis wasn't there. Thanks for everything you do, it's all great


    --> That's a good point, Stephane, but Jamaal Charles has to share touches with Thomas Jones. And Todd Haley, for whatever reason, has a fetish for inexplicably using Jones over Charles. For example, Haley stripped Charlie Weis of his play-calling duties in the second half of Kansas City's postseason loss to Baltimore. When Haley called the plays, Charles had just one touch - this in one-and-a-half quarters of action.

    Haley is an idiot, so I don't want him ruining my fantasy season by senselessly giving the ball to Jones again.



  • From Double Down:

    Arian Foster is iffy as No.1 They need to resign Leach or else he drops out of the top 5.


    --> Agreed. That's going to be huge. Vonta Leach is the best blocking fullback in the NFL. If he's not retained, Arian Foster won't be nearly as good as he was in 2010.



  • From Robert Dixie:

    "I'm a big fan of Rashard Mendenhall this year even though he belongs in a mental health facility. " Yeah, Mendenhall reads books and stuff and believes people should think for themselves. Let's lock all those people up. Good thinking, Mao.


    --> Thanks! I just read some books myself, and I've come to the conclusion that traffic lights in the United States are blue, purple and orange. Also, I believe that all giraffes are fluent in Japanese. Now, before you call me crazy, I must remind you that I'm thinking for myself here, so don't lock me up in a mental health facility for believing all of this.



  • From Funk:

    I am amazed to see BJGE below Woodhead but have to assume it is due to receptions. Belichick is a nut when it comes to RBs becausehis team simply does not require him to be concerned with them


    --> I really have no clue what to do with New England's running backs. I assume Danny Woodhead will still be a big part of the offense because Tom Brady loved utilizing him, but I don't know what to make of the Shane Vereen-Stevan Ridley-BenJarvus Green-Ellis time share. I hope we get a full preseason so I can get a sense of how Bill Belichick plans on utilizing his billion running backs.



    The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions are regarding the 2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150.


  • From Adam C:

    How Jonathon Stewart drops to teir 5 is beyond my comprehension.


    --> Jonathan Stewart will be much higher than Tier 5 if DeAngelo Williams leaves Carolina. This is just a safe ranking just in case Williams stays with the Panthers.



  • From Satan:

    Charles is now ahead of Gore, but Gore could easily end up being a top-3 RB this year. That injury last year was a fluke, and isn't the type of thing that'll linger or limit his explosion this year.


    --> Maybe that injury was a fluke. But Frank Gore is ALWAYS hurt. You can't rely on him. Yes, if he stays healthy, he's a top-three fantasy running back. But even dating back to his college days, Gore has always found a way to be on the injury report.



  • From James:

    So, you would rather have the THIRD running back of the Cowboys (Murray) over Mike Thomas, a #1 WR? Indeed ...


    --> Are you sure Mike Thomas is going to be the No. 1 receiver after free agency? Also, the Jaguars are really going to suck this year, so while I like Thomas as a player, I don't want anything to do with him in fantasy football.

    And who called DeMarco Murray the third running back? Jason Garrett hates Tashard Choice, so Murray could be the No. 2 runner by the opener. And considering how fragile Felix Jones is, Murray could have lots of playing time this year.



    The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions came from my previous 2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag entries.


  • From Jay:

    People who call you crazy for having Jordy Nelson over Boldin, Ochocinco, and Sanatana Moss aren't living in 2005, they are living in 2010. Each one of them greatly outperformed Nelson last year.


    --> Ask any 2010 Anquan Boldin owner how it felt to own Boldin in the final half of the year, when Boldin averaged 35.4 yards and scored two touchdowns in the final nine weeks of the season. Or Chad Ochocinco's owners, and his 50.9 yards per week and two touchdowns in his final eight contests.

    Succeeding in fantasy football is all about projecting for the future; not looking at the previous year's results and expecting the same thing to happen again. Beginning in Week 16 (4-124-TD), Jordy Nelson had an incredible run to close out the season. As the clear-cut No. 2 wideout in an explosive offense, he's going to post huge numbers. Boldin and Ochocinco, meanwhile, are washed up. As for Santana Moss, he's getting old and non-elite receivers struggle on new teams. Just ask Boldin.

    The bottom line - if you draft like you're living in the past, you have no chance at winning your league.



  • From DH:

    Hey walt, I've done a few mock drafts where matt forte was taken before steven jackson. I think forte could have a huge season next year, but I'm a Bears fan so I'm biased. Are people just stupid for taking forte first or does it have some merit?


    --> I have Steven Jackson ahead of Matt Forte, but I definitely don't think it would be crazy to consider the latter. Some people are speculating that Jackson is finished and could begin to decline in 2011. I personally think Jackson has one more top-level year left in the tank, but it wouldn't shock me to see him fall off.

    If Jackson doesn't decline, however, I'd be surprised if Forte out-produced him. Jackson is going to be in an explosive offense and will be in position to score lots of touchdowns.



  • From Pack Fan Sully:

    Someone should tell Walt that Jennings has been working out with Fitzgarald the last 2 or 3 seasons


    --> That's even better then! The more time spent with Larry Fitzgerald, the better. It's good to see Greg Jennings take some initiative and work hard to become one of the top receivers in the NFL.

    ***** COMMENT BOX IS BELOW THESE LINKS *****


    More 2011 Fantasy Football Articles:
    2011 Fantasy Football: Home

    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings:
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Quarterbacks - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Running Backs - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Wide Receivers - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Tight Ends - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Defenses - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Kickers - 6/26 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Downloadable Spreadsheets - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Dynasty Rookie Rankings - 8/27 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Auction Values - 8/27 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets:
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 Traditional - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 PPR - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 Touchdown - 9/8 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts:
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Real League Draft - 8/31 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Fake Mock - 8/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Experts Draft - 8/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum 2-QB Mock - 7/21 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Mock Draft Scenarios - 7/17 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Auction: Mock PPR Auction - 7/14 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum PPR Mock - 7/7 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum Mock - 7/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Four-Man PPR Draft - 6/19 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Draft: Fox Sports - 5/5 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Articles:
    2011 Fantasy Football Injury Reports: Week 2 - 9/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Weekly Rankings: Week 2 - 9/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Week 2 Add/Drop - 9/13 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Training Camp Stock - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Start Em, Sit Em - 9/6 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Preseason Stock - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Preseason Recap and Fantasy Football Notes - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Preseason Targets - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Late-Round Sleepers - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Round-by-Round Strategy - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Value Comparison - 9/1
    2011 Fantasy Football: Must-Have Players - 8/24 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Busts, Players to Avoid - 7/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/24 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Sleepers - 7/23 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Various League Strategy - 7/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Three-Dimensional Running Backs - 7/16 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: ADP Analysis - 7/15 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: First-Round Bust History - 7/10 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/9 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/4 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Analysis - 7/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/12 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/5 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Stock Up (Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Stock Down (Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
    2010 Fantasy Football: Buy Low - 4/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Defense Strategy - 4/8 (Walt)
    Running Backs with Most Carries - 4/8 (Walt)

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    Mike 06-18-2011 10:16 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.102 (total posts: 2)
    20     22

    thanks for adding me to your mailbag, but you still missed the point. I'm not saying you didn't like Foster in August.... but so did plenty of other fantasy footballers. Really, only casual fans didn't know about the guy.

    obviously his stock went wild later in the summer and he could no longer be had in the 10th round or later, but to act like you knew about him before anyone else is laughable.

    Pack Fan Sully 06-18-2011 06:40 pm xxx.xxx.xxx7.56 (total posts: 1)
    29     20

    Someone should tell Walt that Jennings has been working out with Fitzgarald the last 2 or 3 seasons
    Jay 06-18-2011 05:07 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.175 (total posts: 1)
    19     19

    People who call you crazy for having Jordy Nelson over Boldin, Ochocinco, and Sanatana Moss aren't living in 2005, they are living in 2010. Each one of them greatly outperformed Nelson last year.
    Satan 06-18-2011 03:25 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 4)
    20     22

    A dude in my 12-team league drafted Foster in the 2nd-round (every team could keep 1 player from the previous year, so in all reality Foster was actually the 10th or 11th RB off the board, but still) en route to a runner-up finish.

    I, of course, was the champion.
    Elliot D. 06-18-2011 02:13 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.144 (total posts: 3)
    20     21

    I also had Arian Foster as a sleeper. I drafted him in the 14th round of my draft and was a big reason I won my fantasy league last year. (Along with Charles, Bowe, Calvin Johnson, and Phillip Rivers.)
    @WALTER 06-17-2011 09:21 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.139 (total posts: 1)
    23     22

    before the season started last year i do recall that you had brandon lloyd projected as a major dud. i remember you ripped on him then showed a funny gif. of him dodging the football as it came at him. unless your referring to a couple weeks in the season this information would make you a fibber my good sir.
    Northern Charge 06-17-2011 02:01 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.108 (total posts: 2)
    19     20

    I also don't understand how you can have VJ #11 WR and Gates #1 TE with Rivers at #8 and them scoring 21 of his 30 TD passes... he didn't have either of these guys at the same time last year, and for a few weeks had neither of them and still put up numbers.
    Northern Touch 06-14-2011 01:25 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.108 (total posts: 2)
    21     22

    In the last three years, Rivers has not finished lower than 6th in fantasy points at the QB position, ending up 2nd in '08, 6th in '09 and 4th in '10.

    http://jwfantasysports.com/2011/01/top-25-quarterbacks-2008-2010/

    So even before his outlier year in pass attempts(which may not be such an outlier after a few more years without LT whining for carries) he was a top fantasy QB. That alone should justify him being higher than 8th, or the 'third QB tier' lol.

    He's constantly ahead of the pack in YPA and throws one of the best deep balls in the league.

    I agree that his yards will likely regress this year, but I have no doubt that his TD's will increase from 30 to at least 35 as long as Gates and VJ are playing all year.
    Tony 06-13-2011 03:16 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.249 (total posts: 1)
    21     20

    "Charles had ONE touch in the second half of that Baltimore game"

    This is why:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=01j8FdjWPlc

    I heard he was scared to go back in after that.
    Mike 06-13-2011 02:12 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.102 (total posts: 2)
    20     23

    you're pretty full of yourself huh?

    im suuure you had Foster as a sleeper before ANYONE else

    and you seriously respond to one of your readers by saying he has "sand in his vag"? very professional.
    E-A-G-L-E-S 06-12-2011 08:47 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.97 (total posts: 4)
    21     22

    Your logic is wrong on Mccoy. so what if he doesnt get 250 plus carries when he is catching close to 80 balls a year?? Not only is that huge for ppr points, but also good for standard leagues since he averages almost 8 yards per catch. Those yards add up. He will get his 275 touches this year whether it is on the ground or thru the air.
    Elliot Dennis 06-12-2011 07:50 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.144 (total posts: 3)
    29     21

    Hey! You put my post on here. Awesome. But...I'm still right.
    Jason 06-12-2011 03:08 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.175 (total posts: 1)
    18     21

    walter i fail to realize why you think charlie weis leaving the cheifs will significantly impact his fantasy production, because it wont
    how well did he play the year before weis was with the cheifs
    exactly
    some of the things you write make me question myself if im on espn,or some other garbage
    Franchize 06-12-2011 02:21 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.68 (total posts: 1)
    21     20

    Walt your cry baby haters are the best.
    Matt 06-12-2011 11:39 am xxx.xxx.xxx9.97 (total posts: 4)
    19     31

    Walt is right on Turner though. I'm taking Snelling as a late round sleeper.




    2014 NFL Mock Draft - April 23


    2014 NBA Mock Draft - April 23


    NFL Free Agents - April 22


    2015 NFL Mock Draft - April 17


    Fantasy Football Rankings - March 28


    NFL Picks - Feb. 2





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