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2011 Fantasy Football: Mailbag



There will be many more 2011 Fantasy Football Rankings and features in the late spring and summer, including tons of 2011 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts and Player Rankings. I'll also have an extensive 2011 NFL Fantasy Football Preseason Stock Report. Follow me @walterfootball for updates.



2011 Fantasy Football - Mailbag (June 12):

The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions are regarding the 2011 Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings.


  • From Northern Touch:

    LOL @ Rivers @ # 8. The guy single-handedly carried the Chargers last year, and didn't have his #1 WR or LT for the majority of the year, not to mention losing Gates mid-way through the year. LT is gone, this is Rivers' team and Norv isn't going to shy away from letting him air it out there. Heck, the dude was leading QB's in almost every major statistical category for a good chunk of the year last season IIRC (before tom tom went off) Easily top 5.


    --> Philip Rivers did indeed carry the Chargers last year. But will he have to do that in 2011? I don't think so. San Diego will be a better team.

    As for Norv Turner having Rivers "air it out," check out Rivers' pass attempts in the past five years: 460, 460, 478, 486, 541. Notice an outlier? If the Chargers have more leads, which they will because they'll be better in 2011, then they won't be throwing the ball as much. That's just Football 101.



  • From HeyWalt:

    I'm guessing based on your rankings you'd rather have Tebow, who you think will not play all 16 games, over Sam Bradford and Eli Manning. Mind explaining the thinking behind that?


    --> Because Tim Tebow is a top-eight fantasy quarterback if he plays all 16 games. I don't think he will, so he's No. 12 in my current rankings. Tebow has a legitimate chance to score 10 rushing touchdowns. Not even the evil QB Dog Killa can say that.



  • From walt cherepensky:

    browns win against patriots wasn't fluke!!! and thank you for putting fantasy stuff up already your fantasy advice is best in the business


    --> Thank you! I actually just re-watched that Browns-Patriots game a couple of weeks ago. New England had a bunch of fluke turnovers, and they seemed to play with absolutely no energy. Meanwhile, Eric Mangini just had Bill Belichick game planned perfectly. It was a cool win for the Browns, but you don't go from destroying the Patriots to losing to Jacksonville two weeks later despite getting seven turnovers without something being a fluke.



  • From Ty:

    Ponder the pro ready accuarte QB naw he is gonna do worse than cam newton with less weapons. or worse tan jake who can throw a straight pass to save his life.


    --> You could be right about real football, but there's no question Cam Newton is the better fantasy quarterback this year. The Vikings are going conservative and run-heavy. Newton, meanwhile, is going to pile up rushing yards and rushing touchdowns like Vince Young did back in 2006.




    The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions are regarding the 2011 Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings.


  • From Really...:

    You are a fool if AP isn't your top back. Best running back in the NFL period, and plays through injuries. Faces weak defenses....Walt sometimes you are a genius and sometimes you are plain stupid. This is one of them where you are stupid.


    --> Thanks for calling me a semi-genius!

    Let's do the Adrian Peterson checklist:

    - Plays behind a poor offensive line? Check.

    - Plays with a rookie quarterback whom defenses won't respect? Check.

    - Plays on a team that will be trailing a lot, so they won't be able to run as much as they'd like to? Check.

    - Plays in a division with three tough run defenses? Check.

    I love Peterson as a player, but this is going to be one of his weaker seasons, fantasy-wise.



  • From Satan:

    Walt, I love the LeGs Blount love. I'm hoping to be pleasantly surprised this year and seeing him involved in the passing game. They got a smart young coach, so hopefully he realizes that Blount could be deadly in the screen game, runnin downhill with nothing but DB's in his path.


    --> I would love to see LeGarrette Blount develop the pass-catching part of his game. If he becomes a three-down player, there's no question that he would be a top-five fantasy running back.



  • From Wow:

    I think that its pretty funny that every year you put all the Chiefs so low, and every year you make up crap about the Chiefs being terrible. Not a fan of these running back rankings. Jamaal Charles is top 6 easily.


    --> Every year? Like in 2006, when I correctly picked them to go 9-7? Or like in 2007, when I projected them to go 6-10 and they disappointed me with a 4-12 record? Or in 2008, when I said the Chiefs would go 3-13, and they once again disappointed me by finishing 2-14? Or in 2009, when I picked them to go 3-13, and they "fooled me wrong" by going 4-12?

    Kansas City's 2010 season was such a farce. It was so predictable that they'd flop against the Ravens, one of the only legitimate teams they played all year. The Chiefs are going to suck in 2011, and all of the players will disappoint, fantasy-wise.

    Do I have Jamaal Charles a LITTLE BIT too low? Perhaps. Maybe I'll move him up a tad as the summer progresses. But he's definitely not a top-six fantasy running back.

    Top-six running backs need to do three things, or at least two of these three: 1) Play all three downs. 2) Score double-digit touchdowns. 3) Guarantee their owners 250-plus carries.

    Charles only does one of those things (Item 1). If you have Charles as your No. 1 running back, as someone else noted on the comment board, you have absolutely no idea what you're doing, and you should quit fantasy football all together.

    More on Charles below.





  • From Matt:

    LeSean McCoy should be top five too. I think your hatred for Vick influenced McCoy being so low just a little.


    --> I'm going to recall that list I wrote earlier:

    Top-six running backs need to do three things, or at least two of these three: 1) Play all three downs. 2) Score double-digit touchdowns. 3) Guarantee their owners 250-plus carries.

    McCoy does No. 1, but not Nos. 2 and 3. Perhaps he could get to 10-plus touchdowns if Philadelphia's quarterback stays healthy, but that's a huge if, considering that QB Eagles No. 7 has played all 16 games only once in his career.

    So, in a sense, it's not my hatred for QB Eagles No. 7 that influenced McCoy's ranking; it's the belief that QB Eagles No. 7 can stay healthy that influenced it.



  • From Skinsfan:

    Walter, you're a idiot. The Giants DID draft a runningback. DaRel Scott out of Maryland. Google him. I sure hope this isn't your main source of a income.


    --> Ah yes, how could I possibly forget about the venerable Da'Rel Scott, the 221st pick in the 2011 NFL Draft? Maybe it's because, I don't know, seventh-round picks are usually pretty insignificant?

    And yes, this is my main source of income, so your hopes have not come to fruition.



  • From Matty:

    I wouldn't go so far as to say that James Starks is "way more talented" than Ryan Grant. Grant was coming off back to back 1,200 yard seasons in GB (behind a mediocre run blocking O line) before he was injured last year. He doesn't have much wear on his body either. If Grant stays healthy he should be a good RB2 at worst IMO.


    --> Then we are in disagreement. James Starks would have been an early draft pick if it weren't for his injury history. Despite all of those injuries, however, he was still selected in the fifth round. Ryan Grant is a pretty mediocre player who flourished because of the talent around him. Mediocre running backs have posted good numbers before.



    The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions came from my Facebook wall and my Twitter account.


  • From Michael F:

    Maybe its me but I like Chris Johnson more than Arian Foster ever so slightly... The titans will run the ball early and often.


    --> The Titans may not be able to run the ball because defenses won't respect Jake Locker/Veteran QB like they did Vince Young's ability to scramble and air it out downfield to Kenny Britt (who will probably be suspended for a couple of games).



  • From Travis L:

    You're a Michael Turner hater. In my objective opinion Turner will get 1,843.3 rushing yards and 23 TDs.


    --> In his sleep maybe, Travis. I doubt he plays 12 games. Major injury risk. He's also past his prime and doesn't catch passes. He has more red flags than the Chinese embassy.



  • From Elliot D:

    Walter, the ONLY way that Jamaal Charles production goes down, is if he gets injured. I mean the last half of the 2009 season, he had about as many yards as you have him getting this season. AND that was without Charlie Weis. The guy is a stud, running behind a good runblocking o-line. It's fine that you hate on the rest of the team, but you CAN'T hate on Jamaal Charles.


    --> You won't like owning Jamaal Charles when he gets his first touch in the second quarter of most games. Charlie Weis is gone and Todd Haley is a freaking moron. Charles had ONE touch in the second half of that Baltimore game, and he doesn't score touchdowns.



  • From Tom B:

    I wish I was in a league with you when you pick Foster #1......... you idiot


    --> Tom, I think you have a bit too much sand in your vag today.

    Anyway, I'd take offense to your insults if I didn't go to the second round of the playoffs in all 7 of my leagues last year, and if I didn't have Foster as a sleeper before anyone else this past summer.



    More 2011 Fantasy Football Articles:
    2011 Fantasy Football: Home

    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings:
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Quarterbacks - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Running Backs - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Wide Receivers - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Tight Ends - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Defenses - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Kickers - 6/26 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Downloadable Spreadsheets - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Dynasty Rookie Rankings - 8/27 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Auction Values - 8/27 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets:
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 Traditional - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 PPR - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 Touchdown - 9/8 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts:
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Real League Draft - 8/31 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Fake Mock - 8/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Experts Draft - 8/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum 2-QB Mock - 7/21 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Mock Draft Scenarios - 7/17 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Auction: Mock PPR Auction - 7/14 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum PPR Mock - 7/7 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum Mock - 7/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Four-Man PPR Draft - 6/19 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Draft: Fox Sports - 5/5 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Articles:
    2011 Fantasy Football Injury Reports: Week 2 - 9/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Weekly Rankings: Week 2 - 9/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Week 2 Add/Drop - 9/13 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Training Camp Stock - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Start Em, Sit Em - 9/6 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Preseason Stock - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Preseason Recap and Fantasy Football Notes - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Preseason Targets - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Late-Round Sleepers - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Round-by-Round Strategy - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Value Comparison - 9/1
    2011 Fantasy Football: Must-Have Players - 8/24 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Busts, Players to Avoid - 7/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/24 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Sleepers - 7/23 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Various League Strategy - 7/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Three-Dimensional Running Backs - 7/16 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: ADP Analysis - 7/15 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: First-Round Bust History - 7/10 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/9 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/4 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Analysis - 7/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/12 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/5 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Stock Up (Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Stock Down (Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
    2010 Fantasy Football: Buy Low - 4/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Defense Strategy - 4/8 (Walt)
    Running Backs with Most Carries - 4/8 (Walt)

    Leave a comment

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    Barney Fife's Bullet 08-07-2011 04:37 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.117 (total posts: 1)
    23     24

    Help me out Walt! I am in an 8-man 2 QB league. I pretty much know how the first round is going to go. I pick last. I am thinking about grabbing Brady and Brees in order to be dominant at QB. But I think Ray Rice and Jamaal Charles may be available. Should I change my thinking and grab the two stud RBS and take a chance of Romo and another QB falling to me? Thanks!
    JoeCleveland 07-31-2011 04:00 pm xxx.xxx.xxx6.95 (total posts: 2)
    30     29

    With the Ravens removing McGahee and adding Leach, would it be crazy to consider selecting Ray Rice over Adrian Peterson and Chris Johnson? How much does the subtraction of Leach hurt Foster?
    bigben 07-25-2011 10:41 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.143 (total posts: 1)
    25     36

    hey walt i thought id let u know that some dumbass took jake locker first overall and proceeded to take mark ingram, aj green, leonard hankerson, and daniel thomas with his next 4 picks in a real draft on espn and i was wondering, r people getting more and more retarded?
    ATrepp 07-25-2011 02:52 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.10 (total posts: 1)
    26     25

    Walt-

    Have you had a chance to check out Matt Berry's piece on ESPN.com?

    http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/story?page=NFLDK2K11_TMRManifesto

    Pretty interesting analysis on Vick and Gates. What are your thoughts?
    Alex69der 07-25-2011 02:01 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.190 (total posts: 1)
    33     27

    @Walt
    I am really having a hard time picking between DFad or Gore going early into the second.I know you have Jackson ahead of them,but in my no flex league it offers a little more depth at the position.
    Kippaaa 07-25-2011 02:37 am xxx.xxx.xxx.197 (total posts: 1)
    36     28

    Walt, first off, I love your site. I trust your information much more than ESPN and Yahoo. I was wondering if you have read Matthew Berry's column on ESPN about Michael Vick being the number 1 overall pick? He had a very interesting breakdown of the QB/RB/WR/TE positions where he took the #1 scorer with regards to points per game at each position and then compared them to the avergae ppg for QB/RB/WR/TE #2-11 players. Vick average 8.6 ppg higher than the average for the other players, much more than any other position. He was even 7 points higher per game than Aaron Rodgers. Granted he only played 11 games, but if you have a solid backup to get you through a couple of those weeks, I suspect if he is healthy for weeks 14-15-16 you will be in great shape. I am interested to see your thoughts on this one as most people say there is less disparity amongst top QBs but Vick was a definite outlier to this in games that he played. Thanks!
    Skeptic 07-24-2011 11:04 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.35 (total posts: 1)
    28     25

    Hi Walt, Thanks for the response, I understand your unfamiliar with a 2-QB draft and you are strong at running back but your weaknesses at QB and wide receiver are pretty big. I'm not sold on Jahvid Best, although a stud when healthy that guys is nothing but an injury waiting to happen, and now he's splitting carries running behind a medicore o-line at best.. Gates is an absolute stud I'll give you that however with Jackson coming back this year I don't think he will have a season like he had last year. Your running backs are solid definetely, great combo. Your wide receivers are absolutely terrible. You said you are lacking a WR2, when really you are lacking a WR1 with Collie being your WR2. He's your 19th ranked reciever and hes your WR1? say what? And again as you know Campbell as your QB2, yuck! Again still love your stuff!
    Beast 07-24-2011 10:51 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.175 (total posts: 1)
    29     27

    It was definitly a poor class uptop. It was also a good example of misevaluations on players. Desean jackson (7th receiver taken), pierre garcon (6th roun), steve johnson (7th round) and devone bess (undrafted) were from that class anf have become solid players
    Satan 07-24-2011 10:24 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 4)
    26     25

    @Beast,
    That Avery was the first WR drafted in '08 is one of the most shocking football facts I've ever heard. WOW, was that an awful draft for receivers... Limas Sweed? Dexter Jackson?
    Matt 07-24-2011 06:44 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.97 (total posts: 4)
    27     33

    Matthew Berry has an excellent analysis on the potential of Michael Vick in his Draft Day Manifesto. I'm actually a little bummed out he was so convincing that he should be the #1 pick. I was thrilled getting him in the 2nd round of most of my early drafts so far. That's not gonna happen now.
    Beast 07-24-2011 06:09 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.84 (total posts: 1)
    24     24

    Im a rams fan and i have to say ive been disappointed with gilyard. I was excited when we drafted him but i dont envision him making an impact for the rams unless there are alot of injuries. Im praying avery can stay healthy and showcase his speed that made him the first wr taken a few years ago, he would bolster the receiver corps
    Schu 07-24-2011 01:02 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.96 (total posts: 1)
    29     24

    @Justin
    I've seen the same things in my last couple drafts.. As well as Aaron Rodgers going in the top ten... I'm not complaining though cause i landed lesean McCoy and rashard mendenhall... #winning
    JGF 07-24-2011 12:22 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.66 (total posts: 1)
    26     24

    Gilyard is going to have trouble making the Rams roster. Veteran wideouts are getting healthy, they drafted WR's in the 3rd and 4th, and more than likely will seek WR help in free agency.
    nycsportzfan 07-24-2011 08:19 am xxx.xxx.xxx1.39 (total posts: 1)
    26     25

    Thanks for the Reply walt! Also wanted to mention i agree with your analysis on Mardy Gilyard... If Alexander stays healthy, and u got the 3 albeit Rook pass catching weapons, and also a good line to run behind, and Clayton healthy and Avery healthy, its gonna be tough for Gilyard to find targets, especially if he has any type of legit worries with charechter...
    Mo 07-24-2011 12:46 am xxx.xxx.xxx.163 (total posts: 1)
    33     26

    @ Samarth Sulhan

    Philip Rivers:
    2008- 4009 yds 105.5 rating 11 Ints
    2009- 4254 yds 104.4 rating 9 Ints
    2010- 4710 yds 101.8 rating 13 Ints

    And I'm pretty sure there's more who have accomplished consecutive seasons of the nature... D:




    NFL Free Agents - April 19


    2015 NFL Mock Draft - April 17


    2014 NFL Mock Draft - April 16


    Fantasy Football Rankings - March 28


    2014 NBA Mock Draft - March 26


    NFL Picks - Feb. 2





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