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2011 Fantasy Football: Mailbag



There will be many more 2011 Fantasy Football Rankings and features in the late spring and summer, including tons of 2011 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts and Player Rankings. I'll also have an extensive 2011 NFL Fantasy Football Preseason Stock Report. Follow me @walterfootball for updates.



2011 Fantasy Football - Mailbag (July 9):

The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions are regarding the 2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum Mock.


  • From FoRM:

    Walt would you say it's a good idea to draft all the Rams receivers to the bench after you've got your starters? Seems like a surefire way to guarantee Brandon Lloyd-like production. For what it's worth, I bet Josh McDaniels sees Wes Welker in Danny Amendola.


    --> Yeah, that's my thinking. If you can get Danario Alexander and Mark Clayton, I think you should do it. At least right now anyway. Things will be much clearer after a couple of preseason games.



  • From Nathanbroncos24:

    I don't like Jimmy Graham in round six if you can wait until nine or ten to get Pettigrew (i like getting starks or knox there as a solid backup/trade chip). Also, I am ridiculously high on Bradford, and I think he is worth a start in 12 team leagues.


    --> I love Jimmy Graham. He's going to score a ton of touchdowns in New Orleans' offense; Drew Brees really looked for Graham quite frequently in the red zone during the second half of the 2010 season.

    I agree with you on Sam Bradford. He's No. 12 in my 2011 Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings but could conceivably finish in the top eight.



  • From Too Many QBs:

    Fantasy 101 Walt: If you take a QB in the 2nd round, you probably shouldn't use two more picks on QBs. Why not take Snelling (who will likely start for Atlanta when Turner gets hurt) instead of a 3rd QB? Actually, why not take ANYBODY except a 3rd QB who will never start for you?


    --> Fantasy 102 Too Many QBs: If your starting quarterback gets hurt, you should have a good backup just in case. Sam Bradford is going to be a stud. Yes, I did take three quarterbacks, but Jay Cutler was a Round 13 selection, for crying out loud. Cutler will start for some teams in certain fantasy leagues; Jason Snelling may never be as valuable. With Tom Brady, Bradford and Cutler, I can trade one of those guys to a quarterback-hungry team for someone much better than Snelling.



  • From Matt:

    Walt- I really appreciate what you do. This site is one of the best in the business, and you seem to be right on the money when identifying sleepers. However, I think you're way off base on Michael Vick. Even if he only plays 10 games, you're not going to get 0 points for the other weeks because you can play a backup. With Vick's high point average for 10 games and a back up (Kolb, Flacco, Cutler, etc.) for the other 6, you still will probably have the highest point total at the QB position at the end of the season.


    --> That's a very good point. I can't see QB Dog Killer being nearly as dominant as he was last year, but he'll still be a top-three fantasy quarterback as long as he remains healthy. Maybe I'll move him up a bit in my rankings - but I still won't draft him in any of my leagues because I don't want to be in a position to root for him.




    The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions are regarding the 2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Analysis.


  • From TCinGR and Cass:

    I have had Jamaal Charles in my keeper league for a few years now and I have some doubts about him as well. He's definately not a top five pick. However, to say he's one dimensional and only catches passes...really? He obviously doesn't get enough carries and not nearly enough touchdowns, but when you rush for 1,467 yards and have 468 recieving yards I don't think you can call him a one-dimensional RB.

    Jamaal Charles just catches passes? 230 carries, 2nd in rushing yards. 9th in terms of receiving yards among RBs. So if a guy is second in an area and ninth in another and is analyzed as one dimensional you would think that dimension would be the area where the player ranks higher. 14th in receptions among RBs so not great PPR value. Really poor "Analysis"


    --> Ugh. I didn't mean Jamaal Charles can't run the ball. I know what he rushed for last year. I'm projecting him to rush for 1,275 yards this season. I know he can run the ball.

    I meant Charles is one dimensional in that he catches passes, but doesn't get 250 carries won't be in position to score many touchdowns. I'm going to publish an article on this soon.



  • From Anthony:

    I don't understand the fascination with Brandon Marshall. Yes, the guy has talent, but it's very difficult to produce in an offense that isn't committed to the passing game. Just ask Anquan Boldin.


    --> Brandon Marshall produced last year. He caught 86 passes for 1,014 yards in 14 games. The problem was his low touchdown total of three. That will not happen again. First of all, that's an insanely low touchdown percentage that is bound to rise by default. And second, the Dolphins will sign a veteran quarterback who will be able to find Marshall in the end zone.

    Marshall is extremely undervalued right now. If he's able to shake off what happened with his crazy wife a couple of months ago, he'll be awesome this year.



  • From Anthony:

    I would be interested in hearing your thoughts on drafting in a 3WR league (no flex) Walt. Those are the kinds of leagues I play in and mock for, and I feel like the WR depth is also fairly thin.


    --> I'll have a write-up on this later, but in such a league, you have to take a receiver in the first three rounds, and two in the first five rounds. You can use my rankings and bump up receivers just a bit.



  • From Purewater:

    Walt, Who's ADP are you referencing?


    --> That would be FantasyFootballCalculator.com.



    The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions came from my previous 2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag entries.


  • From mtm:

    Not sure what that guy's talking about with the 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions being rare comment....It's not that uncommon. Peyton's done it twice. Threw 49 and 10 and 31 and 9. Brady threw 50 and 8. Does that not count? Rodgers has done it. Steve Young threw 35 and 10. What's that guy talking about?


    --> Thank you! If Matt Cassel can go 27-7 last year, 30-10 shouldn't be so difficult for quarterbacks. I have Philip Rivers throwing 31 touchdowns to nine picks this season, and I don't think that's unreasonable.



  • From David:

    I never even knew that pre-season football was a good way to identify sleepers, but apparently it is because he was talking about a breakout year for Josh Freeman and Mike Williams based on their pre-season performances as well as others that turned out to be correct. The pre-season stock up, stock down section of this site is my favorite because of that.


    --> Thanks, David! I first discovered how valuable watching preseason games was back in 2007. I noticed that Tom Brady's first read on nearly every single play was a then-relatively unknown Wes Welker, so I recommended Welker as a late-round flier. Ever since, I've watched every single preseason game, and I feel like that has helped me a lot in terms of fantasy football. Assuming the preseason isn't canceled, I'll have the preseason stock pages posted once again this August.





  • From JoeCleveland:

    Is it crazy of me to consider ranking LeGarrette Blount ahead of Maurice Jones-Drew?


    --> Definitely not. I might move Maurice Jones-Drew down a bit in my 2011 Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings. I've read multiple reports in the past few days indicating that the Jaguars are concerned about Jones-Drew's surgically repaired knee. They plan to decrease his workload, so Rashad Jennings is worth looking into as a late-round flier.



  • From Nick B:

    Yes. I hate Matt Cassel. I hate him so much... That... it... it... flam - flames. Flames, on the side of my face, heaving... breath -, heaving breaths. Heaving breath... LOL I'm not the only person who's seen Clue.


    --> I'm glad a few people got that reference. I had the hots for Miss White. Clue is one of my favorite movies of all time, and I highly recommend it for anyone who hasn't seen it.

    ***** COMMENT BOX IS BELOW THESE LINKS *****


    More 2011 Fantasy Football Articles:
    2011 Fantasy Football: Home

    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings:
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Quarterbacks - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Running Backs - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Wide Receivers - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Tight Ends - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Defenses - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Kickers - 6/26 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Downloadable Spreadsheets - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Dynasty Rookie Rankings - 8/27 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Auction Values - 8/27 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets:
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 Traditional - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 PPR - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 Touchdown - 9/8 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts:
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Real League Draft - 8/31 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Fake Mock - 8/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Experts Draft - 8/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum 2-QB Mock - 7/21 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Mock Draft Scenarios - 7/17 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Auction: Mock PPR Auction - 7/14 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum PPR Mock - 7/7 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum Mock - 7/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Four-Man PPR Draft - 6/19 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Draft: Fox Sports - 5/5 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Articles:
    2011 Fantasy Football Injury Reports: Week 2 - 9/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Weekly Rankings: Week 2 - 9/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Week 2 Add/Drop - 9/13 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Training Camp Stock - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Start Em, Sit Em - 9/6 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Preseason Stock - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Preseason Recap and Fantasy Football Notes - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Preseason Targets - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Late-Round Sleepers - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Round-by-Round Strategy - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Value Comparison - 9/1
    2011 Fantasy Football: Must-Have Players - 8/24 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Busts, Players to Avoid - 7/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/24 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Sleepers - 7/23 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Various League Strategy - 7/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Three-Dimensional Running Backs - 7/16 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: ADP Analysis - 7/15 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: First-Round Bust History - 7/10 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/9 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/4 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Analysis - 7/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/12 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/5 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Stock Up (Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Stock Down (Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
    2010 Fantasy Football: Buy Low - 4/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Defense Strategy - 4/8 (Walt)
    Running Backs with Most Carries - 4/8 (Walt)

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    Barney Fife's Bullet 08-07-2011 04:37 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.117 (total posts: 1)
    23     24

    Help me out Walt! I am in an 8-man 2 QB league. I pretty much know how the first round is going to go. I pick last. I am thinking about grabbing Brady and Brees in order to be dominant at QB. But I think Ray Rice and Jamaal Charles may be available. Should I change my thinking and grab the two stud RBS and take a chance of Romo and another QB falling to me? Thanks!
    JoeCleveland 07-31-2011 04:00 pm xxx.xxx.xxx6.95 (total posts: 2)
    30     29

    With the Ravens removing McGahee and adding Leach, would it be crazy to consider selecting Ray Rice over Adrian Peterson and Chris Johnson? How much does the subtraction of Leach hurt Foster?
    bigben 07-25-2011 10:41 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.143 (total posts: 1)
    25     36

    hey walt i thought id let u know that some dumbass took jake locker first overall and proceeded to take mark ingram, aj green, leonard hankerson, and daniel thomas with his next 4 picks in a real draft on espn and i was wondering, r people getting more and more retarded?
    ATrepp 07-25-2011 02:52 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.10 (total posts: 1)
    26     25

    Walt-

    Have you had a chance to check out Matt Berry's piece on ESPN.com?

    http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/story?page=NFLDK2K11_TMRManifesto

    Pretty interesting analysis on Vick and Gates. What are your thoughts?
    Alex69der 07-25-2011 02:01 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.190 (total posts: 1)
    33     27

    @Walt
    I am really having a hard time picking between DFad or Gore going early into the second.I know you have Jackson ahead of them,but in my no flex league it offers a little more depth at the position.
    Kippaaa 07-25-2011 02:37 am xxx.xxx.xxx.197 (total posts: 1)
    36     28

    Walt, first off, I love your site. I trust your information much more than ESPN and Yahoo. I was wondering if you have read Matthew Berry's column on ESPN about Michael Vick being the number 1 overall pick? He had a very interesting breakdown of the QB/RB/WR/TE positions where he took the #1 scorer with regards to points per game at each position and then compared them to the avergae ppg for QB/RB/WR/TE #2-11 players. Vick average 8.6 ppg higher than the average for the other players, much more than any other position. He was even 7 points higher per game than Aaron Rodgers. Granted he only played 11 games, but if you have a solid backup to get you through a couple of those weeks, I suspect if he is healthy for weeks 14-15-16 you will be in great shape. I am interested to see your thoughts on this one as most people say there is less disparity amongst top QBs but Vick was a definite outlier to this in games that he played. Thanks!
    Skeptic 07-24-2011 11:04 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.35 (total posts: 1)
    28     25

    Hi Walt, Thanks for the response, I understand your unfamiliar with a 2-QB draft and you are strong at running back but your weaknesses at QB and wide receiver are pretty big. I'm not sold on Jahvid Best, although a stud when healthy that guys is nothing but an injury waiting to happen, and now he's splitting carries running behind a medicore o-line at best.. Gates is an absolute stud I'll give you that however with Jackson coming back this year I don't think he will have a season like he had last year. Your running backs are solid definetely, great combo. Your wide receivers are absolutely terrible. You said you are lacking a WR2, when really you are lacking a WR1 with Collie being your WR2. He's your 19th ranked reciever and hes your WR1? say what? And again as you know Campbell as your QB2, yuck! Again still love your stuff!
    Beast 07-24-2011 10:51 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.175 (total posts: 1)
    29     27

    It was definitly a poor class uptop. It was also a good example of misevaluations on players. Desean jackson (7th receiver taken), pierre garcon (6th roun), steve johnson (7th round) and devone bess (undrafted) were from that class anf have become solid players
    Satan 07-24-2011 10:24 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 4)
    26     25

    @Beast,
    That Avery was the first WR drafted in '08 is one of the most shocking football facts I've ever heard. WOW, was that an awful draft for receivers... Limas Sweed? Dexter Jackson?
    Matt 07-24-2011 06:44 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.97 (total posts: 4)
    27     33

    Matthew Berry has an excellent analysis on the potential of Michael Vick in his Draft Day Manifesto. I'm actually a little bummed out he was so convincing that he should be the #1 pick. I was thrilled getting him in the 2nd round of most of my early drafts so far. That's not gonna happen now.
    Beast 07-24-2011 06:09 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.84 (total posts: 1)
    24     24

    Im a rams fan and i have to say ive been disappointed with gilyard. I was excited when we drafted him but i dont envision him making an impact for the rams unless there are alot of injuries. Im praying avery can stay healthy and showcase his speed that made him the first wr taken a few years ago, he would bolster the receiver corps
    Schu 07-24-2011 01:02 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.96 (total posts: 1)
    29     24

    @Justin
    I've seen the same things in my last couple drafts.. As well as Aaron Rodgers going in the top ten... I'm not complaining though cause i landed lesean McCoy and rashard mendenhall... #winning
    JGF 07-24-2011 12:22 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.66 (total posts: 1)
    26     24

    Gilyard is going to have trouble making the Rams roster. Veteran wideouts are getting healthy, they drafted WR's in the 3rd and 4th, and more than likely will seek WR help in free agency.
    nycsportzfan 07-24-2011 08:19 am xxx.xxx.xxx1.39 (total posts: 1)
    26     25

    Thanks for the Reply walt! Also wanted to mention i agree with your analysis on Mardy Gilyard... If Alexander stays healthy, and u got the 3 albeit Rook pass catching weapons, and also a good line to run behind, and Clayton healthy and Avery healthy, its gonna be tough for Gilyard to find targets, especially if he has any type of legit worries with charechter...
    Mo 07-24-2011 12:46 am xxx.xxx.xxx.163 (total posts: 1)
    33     26

    @ Samarth Sulhan

    Philip Rivers:
    2008- 4009 yds 105.5 rating 11 Ints
    2009- 4254 yds 104.4 rating 9 Ints
    2010- 4710 yds 101.8 rating 13 Ints

    And I'm pretty sure there's more who have accomplished consecutive seasons of the nature... D:




    2014 NFL Mock Draft - April 23


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    NFL Free Agents - April 22


    2015 NFL Mock Draft - April 17


    Fantasy Football Rankings - March 28


    NFL Picks - Feb. 2





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