October 13, 2026

NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 6 matchup

Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18 · neutral site · Line: Jaguars -2.5 (Circa)

Houston Texans logoHouston Texans#16 Group CNeutral site · Team page › Jacksonville Jaguars logoJacksonville Jaguars#4 Group ANeutral site · Team page ›

Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.

Side by side

TexansJaguars
#16Power rank ▶#4
1-4Record (straight up) ▶4-1
1-4Against the spread ▶3-2
0-0neutral siteATS at a neutral site n/a0-1neutral site
0-1as underdogATS as favorite / underdog ▶2-1as favorite
-3.2pts per gameAvg. cover margin ▶+7.8pts per game
-2Point differential ▶+53
15.0avg. opp. rankStrength of schedule so far ◀15.4avg. opp. rank
#11Net EPA rank ▶#6

Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Weeks 2-5, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.

Texans offense vs. Jaguars defense

Texans offenseJaguars defense
#17EPA per play ▶#6
#16Dropback EPA ◀#17
#29Rush EPA ▶#1
#20Success rate ▶#12

Jaguars offense vs. Texans defense

Texans defenseJaguars offense
#9EPA per play ◀#15
#7Dropback EPA ◀#15
#17Rush EPA ▶#14
#5Success rate ◀#18

Season so far

Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.

Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F

Houston Texans

Week 1Sun, Sep 13 vs. Buffalo Bills Opp. rank #3Group A
L 31-36 Line +0.5 ATS: Did not cover (-4.5)

Bills 36, TEXANS 31 (HOU +0.5). This was a back-and-forth thriller with big plays by both teams on both sides of the ball. The Texans forgot to run the ball in the second half and Kamari Lassiter dropped a game-sealing interception. The Texans had a chance to win at the end, but the Bills sacked C.J. Stroud twice in the red zone. 409-381 BUF, 7.9-5.2 BUF

Week 2Sun, Sep 20 vs. Cincinnati Bengals Opp. rank #6Group B
L 6-20 Line -2.5 ATS: Did not cover (-16.5)

Bengals 20, TEXANS 6 (HOU -2.5). The Texans botched some early scoring opportunities. The Bengals had two amazing touchdowns to Ja'Marr Chase, and then Cincinnati's pass rush smothered C.J. Stroud. 374-267 HOU, 4.8-4.5 HOU

Week 3Sun, Sep 27 at Indianapolis Colts Opp. rank #26Group D
L 17-19 Line -1.5 ATS: Did not cover (-3.5)

COLTS 19, Texans 17 (IND +1.5). The Texans strip-sacked Daniel Jones twice in this game, but Jones otherwise shredded Houston's secondary, while C.J. Stroud couldn't get anything going on offensive. The Texans once again blew a scoring opportunity on a fourth-down stuff. 300-223 IND, 4.4-4.2 HOU

Week 4Sun, Oct 4 vs. Dallas Cowboys Opp. rank #10Group B
L 30-34 Line -3 ATS: Did not cover (-7)

Cowboys 34, TEXANS 30 (HOU -3). The Texans led 16-6 at halftime, but couldn't stop CeeDee Lamb in the second half. They had some big plays from Nico Collins, but kicked way too many field goals in an eventual shootout. 399-397 DAL, 7.6-5.5 HOU

Week 5Sun, Oct 11 at Tennessee Titans Opp. rank #30Group F
W 26-3 Line -7.5 ATS: Covered (+15.5)

Texans 26, TITANS 3 (TEN +7.5). The Titans kicked an early field goal and then the Texans outscored them 26-0 the rest of the way. Their defensive line gave Cam Ward no chance. 329-187 HOU, 5.2-3.2 HOU

Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 1Sun, Sep 13 vs. Cleveland Browns Opp. rank #30Group F
W 34-10 Line -8.5 ATS: Covered (+15.5)

JAGUARS 34, Browns 10 (JAX -8.5). Deshaun Watson was a disaster in this game with many turnovers. The Jaguars took advantage of all the errors. Cleveland's yardage came in garbage time. 360-272 JAX, 6.4-5.6 JAX

Week 2Sun, Sep 20 at Denver Broncos Opp. rank #15Group C
L 13-20 Line +2.5 ATS: Did not cover (-4.5)

BRONCOS 20, Jaguars 13 (DEN -2.5). The Jaguars led for most of this game, with Denver making mistakes on offense throughout the first half. That reversed in the second half with Brian Thomas Jr. drops and a Trevor Lawrencce interception. 392-268 DEN, 6.6-4.9 DEN

Week 3Sun, Sep 27 vs. New England Patriots Opp. rank #8Group B
W 35-6 Line -3 ATS: Covered (+26)

JAGUARS 35, Patriots 6 (JAX -3). The Jaguars dominated from start to finish, as the Patriots repeatedly shot themselves in the foot. New England got its yardage in garbage time. 317-315 NE, 5.3-5.3 tie

Week 4Sun, Oct 4 at Cincinnati Bengals Opp. rank #5Group B
W 22-17 Line +2.5 ATS: Covered (+7.5)

Jaguars 22, BENGALS 17 (CIN -2.5). The Bengals lost Ja'Marr Chase early and Joe Burrow threw two interceptions. The Jaguars couldn't distance themselves because of countless penalties and mistakes. 437-323 CIN, 6.2-6.0 CIN

Week 5Sun, Oct 11 vs. Philadelphia Eagles (neutral) Opp. rank #19Group C
W 19-17 Line -7.5 ATS: Did not cover (-5.5)

Jaguars 19, Eagles 17 (JAX -7.5). The Jaguars outplayed the Eagles in all three facets, but constantly shot themselves in the foot with untimely penalties. The Eagles scored no points in the second half until a final-minute drive, but a great kickoff return set up Jacksonville with the decisive field goal. 408-232 JAX, 6.0-3.9 JAX

Injuries

Houston Texans

WR/TE

  • Jayden Higgins out 1-IR
  • Tank Dell out 1-5
  • Nico Collins out 2-3
  • Nico Collins returns 4

OL

  • Braden Smith out 1-4
  • Ed Ingram out 2-3
  • Trent Brown DLF 3 (in)
  • Ed Ingram LLF 4 (returns)
  • Braden Smith LFF 5

Int DL

  • Kayden McDonald out 2-4
  • Mario Edwards out 4-IR
  • Logan Hall LFL 4 (in)
  • Kayden McDonald LFF 5

Pass Rush

  • Jadeveon Clowney out 2-3
  • Jadeveon Clowney LLD 4 (returns)

LBs

  • Henry To'oTo'o out 2-IR
  • Jake Hansen LLF 4 (in)
  • Azeez Al-Shaair out 4
  • Azeez Al-Shaair returns 5

Jacksonville Jaguars

OL

  • Patrick Mekari out 1-IR

Safeties

  • Eric Murray out 5

Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.

All Week 6 matchups · Houston Texans team page · Jacksonville Jaguars team page