The most accurate NFL draft site in the world. NFL Football. The draft, picks and fantasy.
NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 10 matchup
Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · Line: Bengals -3.5 (Circa)
Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.
| Steelers | Bengals | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Power rank ▶ | #8 |
| 6-2 | Record (straight up) even | 6-2 |
| 6-2 | Against the spread ◀ | 4-3-1 |
| 1-2on the road | ATS on the road / at home even | 1-2at home |
| 1-1as underdog | ATS as favorite / underdog ◀ | 2-3-1as favorite |
| +3.4pts per game | Avg. cover margin ▶ | +4.6pts per game |
| +36 | Point differential ▶ | +65 |
| 21.1avg. opp. rank | Strength of schedule so far ▶ | 17.9avg. opp. rank |
| #11 | Net EPA rank even | #11 |
Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Week 2 onward, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Steelers offense | Bengals defense | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | EPA per play ◀ | #22 |
| #26 | Dropback EPA ▶ | #13 |
| #1 | Rush EPA ◀ | #23 |
| #13 | Success rate ◀ | #25 |
| #525.9% of dropbacks | Pressure rate allowed vs. pressure rate ◀ | #1130.6% of dropbacks |
| Steelers defense | Bengals offense | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | EPA per play ▶ | #1 |
| #11 | Dropback EPA ▶ | #1 |
| #4 | Rush EPA ◀ | #17 |
| #8 | Success rate ▶ | #1 |
| #2526.9% of dropbacks | Pressure rate vs. pressure rate allowed ▶ | #1027.5% of dropbacks |
Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
Pittsburgh SteelersSTEELERS 20, Falcons 13 (PIT -3.5). The Steelers allowed the Falcons to hang around with some sluggish offense and a Jaylen Warren fumble, but the Steelers came up big with huge plays against Cooper Rush. 264-238 PIT, 4.2-4.1 ATL
PATRIOTS 20, Steelers 3 (NE -5.5). The Patriots began this game with a turnover in the red zone, but they smothered Aaron Rodgers and forced him into two turnovers, including a strip-six. 327-235 NE, 6.2-3.5 NE
STEELERS 30, Bengals 27 (PIT +3.5). The Bengals couldn't stop Aaron Rodgers in the first half, but tightened up defensively for the most part in the second half. The Bengals had the lead twice and were set to get possession but they roughed the punter and later muffed the punt. Joe Burrow moved into field goal range at the end, but lost a strip-sack. 411-352 PIT, 7.0-6.3 PIT
BROWNS 27, Steelers 24 (CLE +3). The Steelers went up 7-0, but the Browns dominated most of the game until late when there was a Deshaun Watson interception. The Steelers tied the game, but Watson came up big in the clutch. 372-361 CLE, 6.0-5.6 CLE
STEELERS 34, Colts 22 (PIT -2.5). This was a close game for most of the afternoon before the Steelers pulled away late. The Colts couldn't run the ball and constantly kicked in the red zone. Their defense looked tired from travel. 352-332 PIT, 6.5-4.8 PIT
Steelers 26, BUCCANEERS 19 (TB +2.5). The Buccaneers led 13-0 and 16-3, as the Steelers were very sloppy. Aaron Rodgers couldn't deal with Tampa Bay's pressure for most of the afternoon, but eventually overcame it with some great drives. Jalon Daniels made some great plays early, but turned into a pumpkin late. 300-224 PIT, 3.9-3.1 PIT
Steelers 16, Saints 10 (NO +3). The Steelers ran all over the Saints, who had just two drives in the second half. Tyler Shough was intercepted in the red zone and then was sacked on third down. The Saints made multiple mistakes in the second half and wasted too many downs running. 343-281 PIT, 5.4-4.9 PIT
STEELERS 27, Browns 6 (PIT -3). The Steelers dominated on both sides of the ball. Deshaun Watson got hurt early and then when he came back in, he committed a turnover. The Steelers ran all over Cleveland's defense. Most of Cleveland's yardage came in garbage time. 361-319 PIT, 6.1-5.0 PIT
Cincinnati BengalsBENGALS 33, Buccaneers 27 (CIN -3.5). The Buccaneers gave this game away with four lost fumbles. They were down big, but made the game interesting. They couldn't get off the field on the final Cincinnati drive, however. 351-282 CIN, 5.6-5.4 CIN
Bengals 20, TEXANS 6 (HOU -2.5). The Texans botched some early scoring opportunities. The Bengals had two amazing touchdowns to Ja'Marr Chase, and then Cincinnati's pass rush smothered C.J. Stroud. 374-267 HOU, 4.8-4.5 HOU
STEELERS 30, Bengals 27 (PIT +3.5). The Bengals couldn't stop Aaron Rodgers in the first half, but tightened up defensively for the most part in the second half. The Bengals had the lead twice and were set to get possession but they roughed the punter and later muffed the punt. Joe Burrow moved into field goal range at the end, but lost a strip-sack. 411-352 PIT, 7.0-6.3 PIT
Jaguars 22, BENGALS 17 (CIN -2.5). The Bengals lost Ja'Marr Chase early and Joe Burrow threw two interceptions. The Jaguars couldn't distance themselves because of countless penalties and mistakes. 437-323 CIN, 6.2-6.0 CIN
Bengals 31, DOLPHINS 24 (MIA +7). This was a 28-10 game after three quarters and a 31-18 game with two minutes left, but the Dolphins engineered a backdoor push and would have covered if they didn't miss the extra point. Malik Willis was awful for most of the game. 331-307 MIA, 5.2-4.9 MIA
Bengals 35, RAVENS 13 (BAL -1.5). The Ravens led 13-0 at halftime, with Tyler Huntley dissecting Cincinnati's defense with passes to Zay Flowers. Joe Burrow couldn't get anything going against a stout defense, but caught fire in the second half, scoring on each possession. The Ravens, down 14-13, passed on a field goal to take the lead and then were crushed the rest of the way. 359-357 BAL, 7.0-5.5 CIN
BENGALS 43, Titans 36 (CIN -12.5). The Titans got out to an early lead with the Bengals having a sleepy performance, but their offense caught fire in the fourth quarter and overtime, and their defense was able to get a big stop. 510-440 CIN, 7.3-6.3 CIN
Bengals 34, Falcons 17 (CIN -3). Joe Burrow was completely locked in, shredding the Falcons with ease. Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase made numerous great plays throughout the first half, while Michael Penix's noodle arm was exposed. 388-319 CIN, 7.1-5.8 CIN
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
All Week 10 matchups · Pittsburgh Steelers team page · Cincinnati Bengals team page
