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NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 10 matchup
Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · Line: Jaguars -9.5 (Circa)
Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.
| Jaguars | Titans | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Power rank ◀ | #28 |
| 6-2 | Record (straight up) ◀ | 1-7 |
| 5-3 | Against the spread ◀ | 4-4 |
| 2-1on the road | ATS on the road / at home ◀ | 1-3at home |
| 4-2as favorite | ATS as favorite / underdog ◀ | 4-3as underdog |
| +8.9pts per game | Avg. cover margin ◀ | -0.8pts per game |
| +108 | Point differential ◀ | -55 |
| 18.1avg. opp. rank | Strength of schedule so far ▶ | 14.9avg. opp. rank |
| #2 | Net EPA rank ◀ | #30 |
Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Week 2 onward, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Jaguars offense | Titans defense | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | EPA per play ◀ | #30 |
| #6 | Dropback EPA ◀ | #29 |
| #25 | Rush EPA ▶ | #21 |
| #14 | Success rate ◀ | #31 |
| #626.5% of dropbacks | Pressure rate allowed vs. pressure rate ◀ | #2427.1% of dropbacks |
| Jaguars defense | Titans offense | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | EPA per play ◀ | #21 |
| #7 | Dropback EPA ◀ | #21 |
| #5 | Rush EPA ◀ | #16 |
| #4 | Success rate ◀ | #23 |
| #731.8% of dropbacks | Pressure rate vs. pressure rate allowed ◀ | #1528.1% of dropbacks |
Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
Jacksonville JaguarsJAGUARS 34, Browns 10 (JAX -8.5). Deshaun Watson was a disaster in this game with many turnovers. The Jaguars took advantage of all the errors. Cleveland's yardage came in garbage time. 360-272 JAX, 6.4-5.6 JAX
BRONCOS 20, Jaguars 13 (DEN -2.5). The Jaguars led for most of this game, with Denver making mistakes on offense throughout the first half. That reversed in the second half with Brian Thomas Jr. drops and a Trevor Lawrencce interception. 392-268 DEN, 6.6-4.9 DEN
JAGUARS 35, Patriots 6 (JAX -3). The Jaguars dominated from start to finish, as the Patriots repeatedly shot themselves in the foot. New England got its yardage in garbage time. 317-315 NE, 5.3-5.3 tie
Jaguars 22, BENGALS 17 (CIN -2.5). The Bengals lost Ja'Marr Chase early and Joe Burrow threw two interceptions. The Jaguars couldn't distance themselves because of countless penalties and mistakes. 437-323 CIN, 6.2-6.0 CIN
Jaguars 19, Eagles 17 (JAX -7.5). The Jaguars outplayed the Eagles in all three facets, but constantly shot themselves in the foot with untimely penalties. The Eagles scored no points in the second half until a final-minute drive, but a great kickoff return set up Jacksonville with the decisive field goal. 408-232 JAX, 6.0-3.9 JAX
Texans 34, Jaguars 31 (JAX -2.5). The Jaguars had the body-clock advantage, but they were lethargic and sloppy in this game. They had first-half drives end at the Houston 32 and 5. They tried to play catch-up in the second half, but couldn't stop C.J. Stroud. They settled for a 60-yard field goal, giving the Texans a good chance to win. 426-412 HOU, 7.2-6.1 HOU
JAGUARS 42, Colts 7 (JAX -10). The Jaguars won easily, as the Colts showed no interest in tackling in this game. Constant offensive mistakes didn't help matters. 366-243 JAX, 6.9-4.1 JAX
Jaguars 33, RAVENS 10 (BAL +10). This was a 10-3 game right before halftime, but Parker Washington hit a big play to give Jacksonville a two-touchdown lead. Joey Fagnano went 21 minutes of game action without completing a pass. 319-227 JAX, 5.7-4.2 JAX
Tennessee TitansJets 23, TITANS 10 (TEN -1.5). The Jets moved the ball well on the Titans, who barely did anything offensively until garbage time. Their only touchdown came very late. 367-195 NYJ, 5.8-4.0 NYJ
Eagles 24, TITANS 20 (TEN +7). The Eagles nearly gave this game away with an effective pick-six on the first drive and some big plays surrendered by the defense in a very hot game. The Titans went up 20-17, but Jalen Hurts led a game-winning drive in the final minutes. 341-291 PHI, 5.7-4.7 TEN
GIANTS 12, Titans 7 (NYG -2.5). The Giants kept the chains moving with tough runs from Cam Skattebo and Najee Harris, but could never score touchdowns. The Titans had three red zone opportunities late but could score only once with a turnover on downs and an interception. 262-238 TEN, 4.6-4.1 TEN
RAVENS 24, Titans 18 (BAL -11.5). The Ravens were up 24-7 at halftime, as the Titans had no answer for Lamar Jackson. Jackson got hurt right before halftime, and the Ravens didn't score a single time in the second half. The Titans got a garbage-time back-door cover at the end. 384-297 BAL, 6.3-5.1 BAL
Texans 26, TITANS 3 (TEN +7.5). The Titans kicked an early field goal and then the Texans outscored them 26-0 the rest of the way. Their defensive line gave Cam Ward no chance. 329-187 HOU, 5.2-3.2 HOU
Titans 26, COLTS 20 (IND -7). The Colts led 13-0, but Daniel Jones made some mistakes in the second half. The Titans got on the board and then scored a touchdown on a blocked punt. Their defense shut down Jones after that to get the win. 399-186 IND, 5.1-4.1 IND
Browns 27, TITANS 24 (TEN +2.5). The Titans got out to a 14-0 lead with some Tony Pollard runs, but forgot to run with Pollard near the goal line on one play. The Browns then bounced back with some big KC Concepcion and Quinshon Judkins plays. The Titans had a great drive to tie the game, but Harold Fannin made a big play to set up the winning field goal. 491-322 CLE, 7.4-5.2 CLE
BENGALS 43, Titans 36 (CIN -12.5). The Titans got out to an early lead with the Bengals having a sleepy performance, but their offense caught fire in the fourth quarter and overtime, and their defense was able to get a big stop. 510-440 CIN, 7.3-6.3 CIN
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
All Week 10 matchups · Jacksonville Jaguars team page · Tennessee Titans team page
