2008 Season Winnings (as of Aug. 31): -$4,935
Sunday, Sept. 21, 2008
Baltimore Orioles (67-86) at New York Yankees (84-71)
Line: Orioles +205; Yankees -220.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Yankees 4, Orioles 3
Orioles +1.5 +105 (4 Units) – System B
Saturday, Sept. 20, 2008 (0-1, -$400)
San Francisco Giants (69-85) at Los Angeles Dodgers (80-74)
Line: Giants +205; Dodgers -225.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Giants 3, Dodgers 2
Giants +1.5 +100 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$400
Friday, Sept. 19, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Baltimore Orioles (67-84) at New York Yankees (82-71)
Line: Orioles +185; Yankees -200.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Yankees 4, Orioles 3
Orioles +1.5 -105 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Thursday, Sept. 18, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Milwaukee Brewers (84-68) at Chicago Cubs (91-59)
Line: Brewers +210; Cubs -230.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Brewers 7, Cubs 5
Brewers +1.5 -120 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Wednesday, Sept. 17, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
San Francisco Giants (68-83) at Arizona Diamondbacks (74-76)
Line: Giants +190; Diamondbacks -205.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Giants 3, Diamondbacks 2
Giants +1.5 -110 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Tuesday, Sept. 16, 2008 (0-1, -$400)
Los Angeles Dodgers (78-72) at Pittsburgh Pirates (63-87)
Line: Dodgers -170; Pirates +160.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Dodgers 6, Pirates 5
Pirates +1.5 +100 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$400
Monday, Sept. 15, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
San Diego Padres (57-93) at Colorado Rockies (68-82)
Line: Padres +160; Rockies -170.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Rockies 3, Padres 2
Padres +1.5 -115 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Sunday, Sept. 14, 2008 (0-1, -$400)
Kansas City Royals (64-84) at Cleveland Indians (72-76)
Line: Royals +160; Indians -170.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Indians 6, Royals 1
Indians -1.5 +115 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$400
Saturday, Sept. 13, 2008 (0-1, -$420)
Atlanta Braves (65-82) at New York Mets (82-63)
Line: Braves +205; Mets -225.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Mets 11, Braves 2
Mets -1.5 -105 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$420
Friday, Sept. 12, 2008 (0-0, $0)
Atlanta Braves (65-82) at New York Mets (82-63)
Line: Braves +245; Mets -265.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Mets 11, Braves 2
Mets -1.5 -130 (4 Units) – System B — Game postponed; no action
Thursday, Sept. 11, 2008 (0-1, -$560)
Kansas City Royals (61-83) at Minnesota Twins (80-65)
Line: Royals +270; Twins -300.
Damn you to hell, Brewers.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Twins 8, Royals 3
Twins -1.5 -140 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$560
Wednesday, Sept. 10, 2008 (0-1, -$520)
Cincinnati Reds (66-79) at Milwaukee Brewers (82-63)
Line: Reds +265; Brewers -285.
I hate going with the Brewers again, but hey, I’m just following the system. Let’s go Carsten Charles Sabathia!
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Brewers 4, Reds 1
Brewers -1.5 -130 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$520
Tuesday, Sept. 9, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Washington Nationals (56-88) at New York Mets (80-63)
Line: Nationals +220; Mets -240.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Mets 9, Nationals 3
Mets -1.5 -120 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Monday, Sept. 8, 2008
Tampa Bay Rays (85-56) at Boston Red Sox (84-58)
Line: Rays +185; Red Sox -200.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Red Sox 6, Rays 3
Red Sox -1.5 -110 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Sunday, Sept. 7, 2008 (0-1, -$460)
New York Yankees (76-66) at Seattle Mariners (55-86)
Line: Yankees -165; Mariners +155.
Thank God I don’t have to go with the Brewers again.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Yankees 8, Mariners 4
Yankees -1.5 -115 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$460
Saturday, Sept. 6, 2008 (0-1, -$400)
San Diego Padres (54-87) at Milwaukee Brewers (81-60)
Line: Padres +140; Brewers -150.
The Brewers are killing me… But you have to stick with the system…
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Brewers 7, Padres 3
Brewers -1.5 +145 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$400
Friday, Sept. 5, 2008 (0-1, -$680)
San Diego Padres (54-86) at Milwaukee Brewers (80-60)
Line: Padres +360; Brewers -390.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Brewers 5, Padres 1
Brewers -1.5 -170 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$680
Thursday, Sept. 4, 2008 (0-1, -$460)
San Diego Padres (53-86) at Milwaukee Brewers (80-59)
Line: Padres +210; Brewers -230.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Brewers 10, Padres 2
Brewers -1.5 -115 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$460
Wednesday, Sept. 3, 2008 (0-1, -$480)
Baltimore Orioles (63-75) at Boston Red Sox (81-57)
Line: Orioles +200; Red Sox -220.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Red Sox 8, Orioles 5
Red Sox -1.5 -120 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$480
Tuesday, Sept. 2, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Baltimore Orioles (63-74) at Boston Red Sox (80-57)
Line: Orioles +240; Red Sox -260.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Red Sox 9, Orioles 3
Red Sox -1.5 -130 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Monday, Sept. 1, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Baltimore Orioles (63-73) at Boston Red Sox (79-57)
Line: Orioles +190; Red Sox -205.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Red Sox 8, Orioles 4
Red Sox -1.5 -115 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Sunday, Aug. 31, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Milwaukee Brewers (79-56) at Pittsburgh Pirates (57-78)
Line: Brewers -245; Pirates +225.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Brewers 10, Pirates 1
Brewers -1.5 -150 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Saturday, Aug. 30, 2008 (0-1, -$440)
Kansas City Royals (56-78) at Detroit Tigers (65-69)
Line: Royals +185; Tigers -195.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Tigers 6, Royals 2
Tigers -1.5 -110 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$440
Friday, Aug. 29, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Texas Rangers (66-69) at Los Angeles Angels (81-52)
Line: Rangers +220; Angels -240.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Angels 7, Rangers 2
Angels -1.5 -120 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Thursday, Aug. 28, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Texas Rangers (66-68) at Los Angeles Angels (80-52)
Line: Rangers +170; Angels -180.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Angels 6, Rangers 3
Angels -1.5 +100 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Wednesday, Aug. 27, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Colorado Rockies (63-71) at San Francisco Giants (58-74)
Line: Rockies +230; Giants -250.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Giants 4, Rockies 0
Giants -1.5 -115 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Tuesday, Aug. 26, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Oakland Athletics (60-71) at Los Angeles Angels (79-51)
Line: Athletics +230; Angels -250.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Angels 5, Athletics 1
Angels -1.5 -130 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Monday, Aug. 25, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Houston Astros (66-64) at New York Mets (72-59)
Line: Astros +207; Mets -225.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Mets 8, Astros 4
Mets -1.5 -105 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Sunday, Aug. 24, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Washington Nationals (46-84) at Chicago Cubs (79-50)
Line: Nationals +355; Cubs -385.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Cubs 7, Nationals 3
Cubs -1.5 -170 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Saturday, Aug. 23, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Washington Nationals (46-83) at Chicago Cubs (78-50)
Line: Nationals +295; Cubs -325.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Cubs 8, Nationals 0
Cubs -1.5 -150 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Friday, Aug. 22, 2008 (0-1, -$520)
Washington Nationals (45-83) at Chicago Cubs (78-49)
Line: Nationals +250; Cubs -270.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Cubs 8, Nationals 0
Cubs -1.5 -130 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$520
Thursday, Aug. 21, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
San Diego Padres (48-78) at Arizona Diamondbacks (66-60)
Line: Padres +270; Diamondbacks -300.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Diamondbacks 6, Padres 1
Diamondbacks -1.5 -135 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Wednesday, Aug. 20, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Oakland Athletics (57-68) at Minnesota Twins (71-54)
Line: Athletics +227; Twins -245.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Twins 7, Athletics 2
Twins -1.5 -125 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Tuesday, Aug. 19, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Cincinnati Reds (55-70) at Chicago Cubs (76-48)
Line: Reds +270; Cubs -300.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Cubs 10, Reds 2
Cubs -1.5 -130 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Monday, Aug. 18, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Houston Astros (63-61) at Milwaukee Brewers (71-54)
Line: Astros +240; Brewers -260.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Brewers 7, Astros 1
Brewers -1.5 -125 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Sunday, Aug. 17, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Kansas City Royals (55-68) at New York Yankees (65-58)
Line: Royals +230; Yankees -250.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Yankees 9, Royals 3
Yankees -1.5 -120 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Saturday, Aug. 16, 2008 (1-0, +$400)
Baltimore Orioles (59-63) at Detroit Tigers (59-63)
Line: Orioles +185; Tigers -200.
My assumption was right. When you get into August and September, this trend reverses because the big underdogs traded away all of their players and lose motivation. Hey, I’m just learning here to set up a huge winning year in 2009.
The idea here is to bet the largest underdog at +1.5 before August and the largest favorite at -1.5 in August and September: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Tigers 7, Orioles 2
Tigers -1.5 -105 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Friday, Aug. 15, 2008 (0-1, -$420)
Seattle Mariners (46-74) at Minnesota Twins (67-53)
Line: Mariners +190; Twins -210.
Back to losing, I suppose. Let’s just keep track of this system and see if we’re supposed to fade it late in the year when the lesser teams trade away their good players and give up on life.
If you’ve bet the Run Line on the highest favorite each day, you’re now 61-72. Proof: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Twins 7, Mariners 6
Mariners +1.5 -105 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$420
Thursday, Aug. 14, 2008 (0-1, -$400)
Texas Rangers (61-60) at Boston Red Sox (70-51)
Line: Rangers +245; Red Sox -265.
Back to the losing! The past two games, the Rangers have fallen behind by a combined score of 18-0. Good job, losers.
If you’ve bet the Run Line on the highest favorite each day, you’re now 60-72. Proof: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Red Sox 4, Rangers 3
Rangers +1.5 +125 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$400
Wednesday, Aug. 13, 2008 (0-1, -$400)
Texas Rangers (61-59) at Boston Red Sox (69-51)
Line: Rangers +215; Red Sox -235.
Odd that this system finally won the day I mentioned that it could be reversed in August. We’ll see how it finishes – hopefully on a long winning streak to counteract all the losses.
If you’ve bet the Run Line on the highest favorite each day, you’re now 59-72. Proof: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Red Sox 3, Rangers 2
Rangers +1.5 +110 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$400
Tuesday, Aug. 12, 2008 (1-0, +$440)
New York Mets (62-55) at Washington Nationals (44-75)
Line: Nationals +190; Brewers -210.
I just thought of something. What if this system works well at the beginning of the year, but starting in August it fails because the largest underdog is typically a team that has given up and brought up all of its young players? I’ll keep track of this.
If you’ve bet the Run Line on the highest favorite each day, you’re now 59-71. Proof: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Mets 5, Nationals 4
Nationals +1.5 +110 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$440
Monday, Aug. 11, 2008 (0-1, -$440)
Washington Nationals (44-74) at Milwaukee Brewers (67-51)
Line: Nationals +190; Brewers -210.
Ugh, this keeps on losing. I refuse to believe something that was so successful up until the day I mentioned it would fall apart just like that.
If you’ve bet the Run Line on the highest favorite each day, you’re now 58-71. Proof: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Brewers 3, Nationals 2
Nationals +1.5 -110 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$440
Sunday, Aug. 10, 2008 (0-1, -$400)
Atlanta Braves (55-62) at Arizona Diamondbacks (59-58)
Line: Braves +225; Diamondbacks -245.
Good job putting up some runs, Nats. This is the longest losing streak this system has endured, curiously happening as soon as I introduced it.
If you’ve bet the Run Line on the highest favorite each day, you’re now 57-71. Proof: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Braves 3, Diamondbacks 2
Braves +1.5 +100 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$400
Saturday, Aug. 9, 2008 (0-1, -$400)
Washington Nationals (42-74) at Milwaukee Brewers (66-51)
Line: Nationals +215; Brewers -235.
I hope Vegas is having fun losing money on these run line teams coming through. This will turn around soon enough.
If you’ve bet the Run Line on the highest favorite each day, you’re now 56-71. Proof: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Brewers 5, Nationals 4
Nationals +1.5 +105 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$400
Friday, Aug. 8, 2008 (0-1, -$400)
Washington Nationals (42-73) at Milwaukee Brewers (65-51)
Line: Nationals +245; Brewers -285.
You know, when your either up or tied going into the bottom of the ninth, and you’re taking the +1.5 on the road team, you’re supposed to win – not watch the opposition hit back-to-back walk-off home runs. Seriously, it’s like I put a curse on this successful system once I pointed it out.
If you’ve bet the Run Line on the highest favorite each day, you’re now 55-71. Proof: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Brewers 8, Nationals 7
Nationals +1.5 +120 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$420
Thursday, Aug. 7, 2008 (0-1, -$420)
San Diego Padres (43-70*) at New York Mets (59-53*)
Line: Padres +215; Mets -235.
Someone upstairs must hate me. Seriously. I had the Indians +1.5 and they were up 7-4 going into the bottom of the ninth. Cleveland recorded no outs, and surrendered six runs and two home runs in that inning. They lost 10-7.
And on my birthday too. That’s just great.
If you’ve bet the Run Line on the highest favorite each day, you’re now 54-71. Proof: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Mets 3, Padres 2
Padres +1.5 -105 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$420
Wednesday, Aug. 6, 2008 (0-1, -$420)
Cleveland Indians (49-63) at Tampa Bay Rays (67-45)
Line: Indians +205; Rays -225.
Wow… just wow… after two games of screwing up in the eighth, I didn’t think the Pirates would do it to me again. Well, they did. Pittsburgh’s surrendered run in the eighth screwed my chance of covering the +1.5.
I’m just glad I don’t have to bet on them again. Seriously, if I had to write “Pirates +1.5” again, I’d take a hammer and bash it into my skull…
If you’ve bet the Run Line on the highest favorite each day, you’re now 53-71. Proof: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Prediction: Cleveland 8, Tampa Bay 6
Indians +1.5 -105 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$420
Tuesday, Aug. 5, 2008 (0-1, -$400)
Pittsburgh Pirates (51-60) at Arizona Diamondbacks (57-54)
Line: Pirates +235; Diamondbacks -270.
The Pirates have allowed nine runs in their last two eighth innings. Good job, idiots. Thing is, if they would have held the opposition to a total of three runs (one on Sunday, two on Monday), I would have won both contests. I haven’t been following the Pirates closely, but are their eighth-inning woes the reason they haven’t had a winning record since 1992? Seriously.
If you’ve bet the Run Line on the highest favorite each day, you’re now 52-71. Proof: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Ugh… do I have to bet these A-Holes again? I’m going to lose my mind. Can we just skip the eighth inning this time?
Prediction: Diamondbacks 4, Pirates 3
Pirates +1.5 +115 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$400
Monday, Aug. 4, 2008 (0-1, -$400)
Pittsburgh Pirates (51-60) at Arizona Diamondbacks (57-54)
Line: Pirates +235; Diamondbacks -270.
Blargh. Pirates tied it up 5-5… all I needed was one or less runs from the Cubs in the eighth, and I would have won. But noooo…. Pittsburgh’s bullpen has to ruin it.
Yeah, so if you’ve bet the Run Line on the highest favorite each day, you’re now 51-71. Proof: Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
Pirates are massive dog yet again versus Dan Haren. Go, Yoslan Herrera!
Prediction: Diamondbacks 4, Pirates 3
Pirates +1.5 +120 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$400
Sunday, Aug. 3, 2008 (0-1, -$400)
Pittsburgh Pirates (51-59) at Chicago Cubs (66-45)
Line: Pirates +240; Cubs -260.
I’m ditching my old system. It doesn’t work. I went all the way up to +29 Units and back down to +1. But System B definitely works. It’s proven. In case you missed it…
In baseball, people love to bet run lines. It looks so enticing. Oh, so the Red Sox are -210 today? Let me just bet -1.5 -110. The Phillies at -150? Let me turn that into -1.5 +130. No problem!
Well, that’s where the books get the bettors. Did you know that if you bet the -1.5 Run Line on the highest favorite every day this season, you would be 50-71? That’s right… 50-71! According to my nifty Microsoft XP calculator, that’s 41 percent.
Now, flip that around. If you bet the +1.5 Run Line on the largest dog each day, you would be 71-50. Considering you would be charged -110 on average, you would be sitting at +64 Units if you bet four units per pick. That’s better than where I am right now!
Oh, by the way, check out the Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
So, from now on, I’m laying four units on the +1.5 Run Line of the largest dog each day. I’ll label this System B.
OK, so there is no +1.5 Run Line yet. I suspect it’ll be +120 or +125… something in that area. Whatever it is, bet it.
Prediction: Cubs 7, Pirates 6
Pirates +1.5 +105 (4 Units) – System B — Incorrect; -$400
Saturday, Aug. 2, 2008 (1-3, -$500)
Colorado Rockies (50-61) at Florida Marlins (58-52)
Line: Rockies +145; Marlins -155.
So how do you fade a fade…? Would that be betting on the person’s normal picks? If so, that’s not a good idea because I suck at picking baseball. But apparently, I’ve sucked recently at fading myself too. I’m pretty close to admitting that it’s impossible to win in baseball. I like Ricky Nolasco over this De Los Santos Clause character. (FADING MYSELF!)
Actually, I’ve figured out something interesting… check out the write-up for the Giants-Padres game. For this reason, all of my FADING MYSELF games are listed as System A.
Prediction: Rockies 5, Marlins 3
Rockies +145 (3 Units) – System A — Incorrect; -$300
Detroit Tigers (55-54) at Tampa Bay Devil Rays (63-44)
Line: Tigers +115; Rays -125.
The Rays are too powerful for the lowly Tigers. (FADING MYSELF!)
Prediction: Tigers 4, Rays 3
Tigers +115 (3 Units) – System A — Incorrect; -$300
Oakland Athletics (53-55) at Boston Red Sox (62-48)
Line: Athletics +185; Red Sox -200.
The Athletics seem like a very good bargain at +185. Well, that’s what Vegas wants you to think. Boston’s the right side. (FADING MYSELF!)
Prediction: Athletics 9, Red Sox 5
Athletics +185 (3 Units) – System A — Incorrect; -$300
San Francisco Giants (44-63) at San Diego Padres (42-67)
Line: Giants +190; Padres -210.
OK, so after a few days of losing, I was about to quit making baseball picks, when I remembered how I’ve won every year in football since 2003 – by going against the public. But I’m not going to be fading the largest public favorite or anything. I thought of something else… and I have proof it works!
In baseball, people love to bet run lines. It looks so enticing. Oh, so the Red Sox are -210 today? Let me just bet -1.5 -110. The Phillies at -150? Let me turn that into -1.5 +130. No problem!
Well, that’s where the books get bettors. Did you know that if you bet the -1.5 Run Line on the highest favorite every day this season, you would be 50-70? That’s right… 50-70! According to my nifty Microsoft XP calculator, that’s 41.7 percent.
Now, flip that around. If you bet the +1.5 Run Line on the largest dog each day, you would be 70-50. Considering you would be charged -110 on average, you would be sitting at +60 Units if you bet four units per pick. That’s better than where I am right now!
Oh, by the way, check out the Baseball Run Line Results if you don’t believe me.
So, from now on, I’m laying four units on the +1.5 Run Line of the largest dog each day. I’ll label this System B.
Prediction: Giants 2, Padres 1
Giants +1.5 -110 (4 Units) – System B — Correct; +$400
Friday, Aug. 1, 2008 (0-2, -$660)
Detroit Tigers (55-53) at Tampa Bay Rays (63-44)
Line: Tigers +170; Rays -180.
Wow, Dodgers had runners on second and third with one out in the bottom of the eighth, and couldn’t bring in a single run to tie up the game. If I weren’t fading myself, I’d be jumping for joy. Why can’t I get this sort of luck when I go with my picks? Anyway, going with Scott Kazmir here. The Tigers don’t stand a chance against the mighty Rays. (FADING MYSELF!)
Prediction: Tigers 7, Rays 3
Tigers +170 (3 Units) — Incorrect; -$300
Baltimore Orioles (51-56) at Seattle Mariners (41-67)
Line: Orioles +110; Mariners -120.
How can the Mariners possibly be favored? They’re one of the worst teams in recent history. (FADING MYSELF!)
Prediction: Mariners 4, Orioles 1
Mariners -120 (3 Units) — Incorrect; -$360
