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Vanderbilt (5-1) at Georgia (5-1)
Line: Georgia by 15.
Saturday, 12:30 ET
For some reason, Bobby Johnson just has Georgia’s number lately. Anyone remember the last Vandy matchup in Athens? As a 14.5-point dog, they upset the Bulldogs in arguably the greatest win in Vanderbilt history. Since then, not much has changed. Georgia is a 14.5/15 point favorite and they have national title hopes. Cornerback D.J. Moore is going to shut down A.J. Green, Matt Stafford’s only viable option at receiver. I like the matchup of Vandy’s defensive line against Georgia’s offensive line and Stafford will be pressured, which he has never responded well to. Walter says Vandy thinks their season is over. Walter, when was the last time Vandy went to a bowl game? They have a lot to play for and prove to the college football world.
(Walt’s Response: A trip to McDonald’s means more than going to some rinky-dinky Winter Practice game. No offense to McDonald’s. It’s not like Vanderbilt is going to be shut out of the Winter Practice circuit if they lose this game. One more victory, and they’ve secured a meaningless practice session in late December or early January. Whoop dee doo.)
Prediction: Georgia 24, Vanderbilt 20
Vanderbilt +15 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Georgia 24, Vanderbilt 14
Baylor (3-3) at Oklahoma State (6-0)
Total 69.5.
Saturday, 3:00 ET
I really see Baylor stepping up this game and holding Oklahoma State to less than their usual offensive performance of around 50 points and 500 yards of offense. Baylor is giving up 3.3 yards per run and I think they will force Zac Robinson into some bad decisions by playing Cover 2 and taking away the seams.
Prediction: Oklahoma State 38, Baylor 20
Under 69.5 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Oklahoma State 34, Baylor 6
USC (4-1) at Washington State (1-6)
Line: USC by 42.5.
Saturday, 3:30 ET
I really like what we have backing this game in terms of a current trend and statistics. USC is 4-1 ATS in their last four matchups against Washington State. State is giving up 45 points per game and nearly 6.6 yards per play. Pete Carroll will want a blowout to establish his team as national title contenders once again. USC has the best defense in the country, and I like Joe McKnight to have a big day on special teams.
Prediction: USC 52, Washington State 3
USC -42.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
USC 69, Washington State 0
Arkansas (3-3) at Kentucky (4-2)
Line: Kentucky by 8.
Saturday, 7:00 ET
You gotta watch the line movement here. About 57 percent of the betting is on the Cats, but the line has moved down from opening up at -10. Vegas wants us to take the Hogs. Kentucky has absolutely no offense and Rich Brooks looks like he is sticking with Michael Hartline, the worst quarterback in the SEC. Arkansas has the defense to keep this game close.
Prediction: Kentucky 17, Arkansas 10
Arkansas +8 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Kentucky 21, Arkansas 20
UTEP (3-3) at Tulsa (6-0)
Line: Tulsa by 17.5.
Saturday, 8:00 ET
Tulsa, a team that averages 608 yards of offense and 60 points per game on its home turf, is going to destroy UTEP, and it won’t be pretty. David Johnson is averaging more 11 yards per pass attempt and is dominating this season. He’ll exploit a slow UTEP defense. My projected line was -22 before looking at the spread, so I really like my odds here. Also, in a home night game, Tulsa is going to step up. UTEP is giving up 6.3 yards per rush, which means that Tulsa should have no problem converting at least half of their third downs.
Prediction: Tulsa 45, UTEP 23
Tulsa -17.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Tulsa 77, UTEP 35
Houston (3-3) at SMU (1-6)
Line: Houston by 12.5.
Saturday, 8:00 ET
Against one of the best passing attacks in the college game in Texas Tech, SMU gave up 513 yards passing, five touchdowns, and zero interceptions. We should expect a similar outcome in this game. That means a ton of points will be put up by Houston. Houston has given up 24 points per game in their last three, and they will exploit June Jones offense by running the 3-2-6 defense and disrupting the passing lanes.
Prediction: Houston 41, SMU 13
Houston -12.5 (4 Units – October Pick of the Month) — Incorrect; -$440
Houston 44, SMU 38
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