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2011 Fantasy Football: Mailbag

There will be many more 2011 Fantasy Football Rankings and features in the late spring and summer, including tons of 2011 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts and Player Rankings. I'll also have an extensive 2011 NFL Fantasy Football Preseason Stock Report. Follow me @walterfootball for updates.

2011 Fantasy Football - Mailbag (June 12):

The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions are regarding the 2011 Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings.

  • From Northern Touch:

    LOL @ Rivers @ # 8. The guy single-handedly carried the Chargers last year, and didn't have his #1 WR or LT for the majority of the year, not to mention losing Gates mid-way through the year. LT is gone, this is Rivers' team and Norv isn't going to shy away from letting him air it out there. Heck, the dude was leading QB's in almost every major statistical category for a good chunk of the year last season IIRC (before tom tom went off) Easily top 5.

    --> Philip Rivers did indeed carry the Chargers last year. But will he have to do that in 2011? I don't think so. San Diego will be a better team.

    As for Norv Turner having Rivers "air it out," check out Rivers' pass attempts in the past five years: 460, 460, 478, 486, 541. Notice an outlier? If the Chargers have more leads, which they will because they'll be better in 2011, then they won't be throwing the ball as much. That's just Football 101.

  • From HeyWalt:

    I'm guessing based on your rankings you'd rather have Tebow, who you think will not play all 16 games, over Sam Bradford and Eli Manning. Mind explaining the thinking behind that?

    --> Because Tim Tebow is a top-eight fantasy quarterback if he plays all 16 games. I don't think he will, so he's No. 12 in my current rankings. Tebow has a legitimate chance to score 10 rushing touchdowns. Not even the evil QB Dog Killa can say that.

  • From walt cherepensky:

    browns win against patriots wasn't fluke!!! and thank you for putting fantasy stuff up already your fantasy advice is best in the business

    --> Thank you! I actually just re-watched that Browns-Patriots game a couple of weeks ago. New England had a bunch of fluke turnovers, and they seemed to play with absolutely no energy. Meanwhile, Eric Mangini just had Bill Belichick game planned perfectly. It was a cool win for the Browns, but you don't go from destroying the Patriots to losing to Jacksonville two weeks later despite getting seven turnovers without something being a fluke.

  • From Ty:

    Ponder the pro ready accuarte QB naw he is gonna do worse than cam newton with less weapons. or worse tan jake who can throw a straight pass to save his life.

    --> You could be right about real football, but there's no question Cam Newton is the better fantasy quarterback this year. The Vikings are going conservative and run-heavy. Newton, meanwhile, is going to pile up rushing yards and rushing touchdowns like Vince Young did back in 2006.

    The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions are regarding the 2011 Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings.

  • From Really...:

    You are a fool if AP isn't your top back. Best running back in the NFL period, and plays through injuries. Faces weak defenses....Walt sometimes you are a genius and sometimes you are plain stupid. This is one of them where you are stupid.

    --> Thanks for calling me a semi-genius!

    Let's do the Adrian Peterson checklist:

    - Plays behind a poor offensive line? Check.

    - Plays with a rookie quarterback whom defenses won't respect? Check.

    - Plays on a team that will be trailing a lot, so they won't be able to run as much as they'd like to? Check.

    - Plays in a division with three tough run defenses? Check.

    I love Peterson as a player, but this is going to be one of his weaker seasons, fantasy-wise.

  • From Satan:

    Walt, I love the LeGs Blount love. I'm hoping to be pleasantly surprised this year and seeing him involved in the passing game. They got a smart young coach, so hopefully he realizes that Blount could be deadly in the screen game, runnin downhill with nothing but DB's in his path.

    --> I would love to see LeGarrette Blount develop the pass-catching part of his game. If he becomes a three-down player, there's no question that he would be a top-five fantasy running back.

  • From Wow:

    I think that its pretty funny that every year you put all the Chiefs so low, and every year you make up crap about the Chiefs being terrible. Not a fan of these running back rankings. Jamaal Charles is top 6 easily.

    --> Every year? Like in 2006, when I correctly picked them to go 9-7? Or like in 2007, when I projected them to go 6-10 and they disappointed me with a 4-12 record? Or in 2008, when I said the Chiefs would go 3-13, and they once again disappointed me by finishing 2-14? Or in 2009, when I picked them to go 3-13, and they "fooled me wrong" by going 4-12?

    Kansas City's 2010 season was such a farce. It was so predictable that they'd flop against the Ravens, one of the only legitimate teams they played all year. The Chiefs are going to suck in 2011, and all of the players will disappoint, fantasy-wise.

    Do I have Jamaal Charles a LITTLE BIT too low? Perhaps. Maybe I'll move him up a tad as the summer progresses. But he's definitely not a top-six fantasy running back.

    Top-six running backs need to do three things, or at least two of these three: 1) Play all three downs. 2) Score double-digit touchdowns. 3) Guarantee their owners 250-plus carries.

    Charles only does one of those things (Item 1). If you have Charles as your No. 1 running back, as someone else noted on the comment board, you have absolutely no idea what you're doing, and you should quit fantasy football all together.

    More on Charles below.

  • From Matt:

    LeSean McCoy should be top five too. I think your hatred for Vick influenced McCoy being so low just a little.

    --> I'm going to recall that list I wrote earlier:

    Top-six running backs need to do three things, or at least two of these three: 1) Play all three downs. 2) Score double-digit touchdowns. 3) Guarantee their owners 250-plus carries.

    McCoy does No. 1, but not Nos. 2 and 3. Perhaps he could get to 10-plus touchdowns if Philadelphia's quarterback stays healthy, but that's a huge if, considering that QB Eagles No. 7 has played all 16 games only once in his career.

    So, in a sense, it's not my hatred for QB Eagles No. 7 that influenced McCoy's ranking; it's the belief that QB Eagles No. 7 can stay healthy that influenced it.

  • From Skinsfan:

    Walter, you're a idiot. The Giants DID draft a runningback. DaRel Scott out of Maryland. Google him. I sure hope this isn't your main source of a income.

    --> Ah yes, how could I possibly forget about the venerable Da'Rel Scott, the 221st pick in the 2011 NFL Draft? Maybe it's because, I don't know, seventh-round picks are usually pretty insignificant?

    And yes, this is my main source of income, so your hopes have not come to fruition.

  • From Matty:

    I wouldn't go so far as to say that James Starks is "way more talented" than Ryan Grant. Grant was coming off back to back 1,200 yard seasons in GB (behind a mediocre run blocking O line) before he was injured last year. He doesn't have much wear on his body either. If Grant stays healthy he should be a good RB2 at worst IMO.

    --> Then we are in disagreement. James Starks would have been an early draft pick if it weren't for his injury history. Despite all of those injuries, however, he was still selected in the fifth round. Ryan Grant is a pretty mediocre player who flourished because of the talent around him. Mediocre running backs have posted good numbers before.

    The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions came from my Facebook wall and my Twitter account.

  • From Michael F:

    Maybe its me but I like Chris Johnson more than Arian Foster ever so slightly... The titans will run the ball early and often.

    --> The Titans may not be able to run the ball because defenses won't respect Jake Locker/Veteran QB like they did Vince Young's ability to scramble and air it out downfield to Kenny Britt (who will probably be suspended for a couple of games).

  • From Travis L:

    You're a Michael Turner hater. In my objective opinion Turner will get 1,843.3 rushing yards and 23 TDs.

    --> In his sleep maybe, Travis. I doubt he plays 12 games. Major injury risk. He's also past his prime and doesn't catch passes. He has more red flags than the Chinese embassy.

  • From Elliot D:

    Walter, the ONLY way that Jamaal Charles production goes down, is if he gets injured. I mean the last half of the 2009 season, he had about as many yards as you have him getting this season. AND that was without Charlie Weis. The guy is a stud, running behind a good runblocking o-line. It's fine that you hate on the rest of the team, but you CAN'T hate on Jamaal Charles.

    --> You won't like owning Jamaal Charles when he gets his first touch in the second quarter of most games. Charlie Weis is gone and Todd Haley is a freaking moron. Charles had ONE touch in the second half of that Baltimore game, and he doesn't score touchdowns.

  • From Tom B:

    I wish I was in a league with you when you pick Foster #1......... you idiot

    --> Tom, I think you have a bit too much sand in your vag today.

    Anyway, I'd take offense to your insults if I didn't go to the second round of the playoffs in all 7 of my leagues last year, and if I didn't have Foster as a sleeper before anyone else this past summer.

    More 2011 Fantasy Football Articles:
    2011 Fantasy Football: Home

    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings:
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Quarterbacks - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Running Backs - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Wide Receivers - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Tight Ends - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Defenses - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Kickers - 6/26 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Downloadable Spreadsheets - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Dynasty Rookie Rankings - 8/27 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Auction Values - 8/27 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets:
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 Traditional - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 PPR - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 Touchdown - 9/8 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts:
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Real League Draft - 8/31 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Fake Mock - 8/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Experts Draft - 8/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum 2-QB Mock - 7/21 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Mock Draft Scenarios - 7/17 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Auction: Mock PPR Auction - 7/14 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum PPR Mock - 7/7 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum Mock - 7/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Four-Man PPR Draft - 6/19 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Draft: Fox Sports - 5/5 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Articles:
    2011 Fantasy Football Injury Reports: Week 2 - 9/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Weekly Rankings: Week 2 - 9/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Week 2 Add/Drop - 9/13 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Training Camp Stock - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Start Em, Sit Em - 9/6 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Preseason Stock - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Preseason Recap and Fantasy Football Notes - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Preseason Targets - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Late-Round Sleepers - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Round-by-Round Strategy - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Value Comparison - 9/1
    2011 Fantasy Football: Must-Have Players - 8/24 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Busts, Players to Avoid - 7/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/24 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Sleepers - 7/23 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Various League Strategy - 7/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Three-Dimensional Running Backs - 7/16 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: ADP Analysis - 7/15 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: First-Round Bust History - 7/10 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/9 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/4 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Analysis - 7/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/12 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/5 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Stock Up (Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Stock Down (Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
    2010 Fantasy Football: Buy Low - 4/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Defense Strategy - 4/8 (Walt)
    Running Backs with Most Carries - 4/8 (Walt)

    Leave a comment

    click on image to refresh it
    Matt 06-12-2011 11:38 am (total posts: 4)
    26     21

    "Matt, was Adrian Peterson an exception too? How about Steve Slaton? Jonathan Stewart? Matt Forte?"
    Ok, with the exception of Adrian Peterson, all of those other guys were sleeper, late round, little risk-big reward type picks. I'm fine with spending an 8th or 9th round pick on a rookie RB if I think there is a chance he can develop into a stud for me. That is what happened with those guys. What I am not ok with is spending a 2nd round pick on an unproven rookie (Moreno, Mathews) and immediately labeling them as my RB1.

    That's all I am saying. Don't take the rookie RBs in the EARLY rounds and essentially wager your draft on them. Take them late. If they do good, then great. If not, so what? You already got your starters in the early rounds.
    @ Walter- this is 'Wow' 06-12-2011 11:03 am (total posts: 1)
    27     23

    Who said I had Charles at number 1? That was Evan Silva on Rotoworld. Arian Foster is my number one. And the point I was trying to make was, that last year you said they would be picking 4th in the draft. This year, on an early mock, 11th. I didn't look back far enough at all I guess... sorry about that.
    Imposter 06-12-2011 10:52 am (total posts: 1)
    19     26

    Hello, my name is Walter Cherepinsky, and I am better than ALL of you.
    Imposter 06-12-2011 09:17 am (total posts: 1)
    28     24

    I suck
    WalterHatestheChiefs 06-12-2011 03:02 am (total posts: 1)
    26     26

    I think it's your own fault for being so disappointed with the Chiefs of previous years. Why would anyone ever have any expectations for a Herm Edwards team?
    Walter 06-11-2011 03:41 pm (total posts: 3)
    26     26

    @Yashi - But now Todd Haley has his awesome Thomas Jones to take all of the carries in the first quarter.
    Walter 06-11-2011 03:40 pm (total posts: 3)
    28     25

    Matt, was Adrian Peterson an exception too? How about Steve Slaton? Jonathan Stewart? Matt Forte?

    Mathews and Moreno were the exceptions (and only because they both got hurt); not Mike Williams.
    Matt Dingleberry 06-08-2011 12:07 am (total posts: 2)
    22     26

    @Matt...he liked Tate because he was a big back in the Houston system. Had he known Arian Foster was going to start over the 2nd round pick...or that Tate would get hurt rather, he obvi would have liked Foster just as much. Probably the same for the Browns, pretty solid Oline there.

    My first year in fantasy football...I drafted some guy to be my third runningback. I said, "I'll take L. Taminson." Turned out to be Ladanian Tomlinson (rookie year), and I ended up taking him with my first round pick the follwing two years as well.
    Matt 06-06-2011 02:20 pm (total posts: 1)
    26     25

    Looks like you have finally learned your lesson after you extremely overvalued rookies Ryan Mathews and Knowshon Moreno the past two years. Can't trust rookies.

    --> Ehh... not really. I drafted Mike Williams in most of my leagues last year, and that worked out. I'm just not a fan of rookies this year because of the lockout.
    This is the first year in a long time you haven't drastically overvalued rookies, especially rookie RBs. If I can recall correctly, you had early second round grades on Moreno and Mathews in their rookie years. And before they got injured last year you were already gushing over Tate and Hardesty. Yes, you hit on Mike Williams, but he is the exception, not the rule. Lockout or no lockout, you should stay away from rookies in the early rounds. Take the safe, proven player.
    yashi 06-06-2011 09:49 am (total posts: 1)
    22     27

    Charles was the best RB in the league down the stretch in 09 after he was finally made the starter, and Charlie Weis was in South Bend at the time.
    John 06-05-2011 08:08 pm (total posts: 2)
    26     26

    I can imagine Hillis going either way. If the Browns manage to develop a WR who can direct the defense's attention away from Hillis, he could have another good year. If Hillis is the only offense they have again, expect him to slow down sooner because defenses will clamp down on only him, and force the Browns to beat them with their WR corps.
    The only Jags Fan 06-05-2011 12:42 pm (total posts: 1)
    26     26

    I drafted Mike Williams late in my drafts on both of my teams last year base on Walts advice. Worked out pretty well for me too. Also, I drafted Fitzgerald last year in the 4th rd, and cringed when I did it, but he started every game and produced despite D. Anderson. Peyton Hillis was my suprise stud last year, but I got him on waivers in week 3. I wont be drafting him this year though. I am chalking him up to a 1 yr wonder. I loved Jamall Charles last year as well, but with Weiss gone, and a moron of a head coach still there, I agree he drops off this year too.
    doug 06-05-2011 11:34 am (total posts: 1)
    27     27


    he had mike williams listed as one of his favorite sleepers, i'm sure you could find it archived on the site...i spent the majority of my final round draft picks on williams because of that piece of advice
    nycsportzfan 06-05-2011 11:13 am (total posts: 1)
    27     26

    U drafted both Peyton Hillis and Mike Williams(bucs) on most your teams last yr? Sure you did....LOL Your full of it, i could see u picking em up early, as i did with Mike Williams, but there was just no reason to draft either player before the season began, it would of been extremely stupid if u did... Its just like any other fantasy yr, guys come outta nowhere, and are taken during the season... I'm sorry, i just don't buy u taking Hillis and Willimas on most your teams, at least drafting them..
    Walter 06-04-2011 01:41 pm (total posts: 3)
    26     27

    First comment... we're going to have comment boards like this all over the site soon. We're still working out the kinks, so this is not the finished product.

    Fantasy Football Rankings - July 27

    2016 NFL Mock Draft - July 24

    2015 NFL Mock Draft - July 23

    2015 NBA Mock Draft - July 1

    NFL Free Agents

    NFL Picks - Feb. 2

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