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NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 7 matchup
Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · Line: Vikings -5.5 (Circa)
Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.
| Colts | Vikings | |
|---|---|---|
| #24 | Power rank ▶ | #12 |
| 2-4 | Record (straight up) ▶ | 5-0 |
| 3-3 | Against the spread ▶ | 4-1 |
| 1-1on the road | ATS on the road / at home even | 1-1at home |
| 2-2as underdog | ATS as favorite / underdog ▶ | 3-1as favorite |
| -2.8pts per game | Avg. cover margin ▶ | +6.9pts per game |
| -20 | Point differential ▶ | +45 |
| 19.5avg. opp. rank | Strength of schedule so far ◀ | 21.8avg. opp. rank |
| #25 | Net EPA rank ▶ | #13 |
Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Weeks 2-6, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Colts offense | Vikings defense | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | EPA per play ▶ | #1 |
| #24 | Dropback EPA ▶ | #1 |
| #6 | Rush EPA ▶ | #4 |
| #19 | Success rate ▶ | #1 |
| #1929.5% of dropbacks | Pressure rate allowed vs. pressure rate ▶ | #140.8% of dropbacks |
| Colts defense | Vikings offense | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | EPA per play ◀ | #27 |
| #18 | Dropback EPA ◀ | #27 |
| #28 | Rush EPA ▶ | #21 |
| #15 | Success rate ◀ | #32 |
| #3022.4% of dropbacks | Pressure rate vs. pressure rate allowed ▶ | #1428.1% of dropbacks |
Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
Indianapolis ColtsRavens 41, COLTS 23 (IND +3.5). The Ravens dominated this game with so many big plays from the three primary players. This was a 28-6 game when the Colts did stuff in garbage time. 506-251 BAL, 7.9-4.7 BAL
CHIEFS 33, Colts 30 (KC -6.5). This was a back-and-forth game where barely any defense was played. The Chiefs won with two possessions in overtime compared to the Colts' one. 523-329 KC, 6.7-5.2 KC
COLTS 19, Texans 17 (IND +1.5). The Texans strip-sacked Daniel Jones twice in this game, but Jones otherwise shredded Houston's secondary, while C.J. Stroud couldn't get anything going on offensive. The Texans once again blew a scoring opportunity on a fourth-down stuff. 300-223 IND, 4.4-4.2 HOU
Colts 30, REDSKINS 13 (WAS +3.5). The Colts were trailing until Marcus Mariota got hurt. Athan Kaliakmanis gave the Colts a free touchdown. Jonathan Taylor took over in the second half, saving Daniel Jones from a poor performance. 317-257 WAS, 5.2-3.7 WAS
STEELERS 34, Colts 22 (PIT -2.5). This was a close game for most of the afternoon before the Steelers pulled away late. The Colts couldn't run the ball and constantly kicked in the red zone. Their defense looked tired from travel. 352-332 PIT, 6.5-4.8 PIT
Titans 26, COLTS 20 (IND -7). The Colts led 13-0, but Daniel Jones made some mistakes in the second half. The Titans got on the board and then scored a touchdown on a blocked punt. Their defense shut down Jones after that to get the win. 399-186 IND, 5.1-4.1 IND
Minnesota VikingsVIKINGS 39, Packers 22 (MIN -1.5). The Vikings couldn't get anything going for most of the afternoon with Carson Wentz, while the Packers hit numerous big plays. Everything changed in the fourth quarter. The Vikings were bailed out by numerous defensive penalties on route to a touchdown and then they pressured Jordan Love heavily. 419-239 GB, 6.3-3.9 GB
Vikings 9, BEARS 3 (CHI -4.5). This was a windy and wet game where both offenses struggled. Caleb Williams got hurt in the fourth quarter. Tyson Bagent got the Bears close to winning, but couldn't complete the drive. 297-246 CHI, 4.8-4.2 MIN
Vikings 23, BUCCANEERS 16 (TB +1). The Buccaneers looked in disarray the entire game. They made many mistakes, including allowing a punt return touchdown and having a hold negate an 87-yard touchdown pass to Chris Godwin. Baker Mayfield got hurt at the end. 243-230 TB, 4.2-3.8 MIN
VIKINGS 15, Dolphins 10 (MIN -10.5). The Vikings dominated time of possession by 20 minutes and Malik Willis didn't even get 10 completions. They couldn't convert in the red zone. All the Dolphins could manage was a long touchdown run by Ollie Gordon. 336-198 SEA, 6.7-4.0 SEA
Vikings 23, SAINTS 13 (NO +2). The Vikings made some mistakes, including an Aaron Jones fumble in the red zone and a Myles Price returned fumble for a touchdown, but Kyler Murray completed most of his passes and made plays with his legs to get the victory. 364-142 MIN, 5.4-3.3 MIN
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
All Week 7 matchups · Indianapolis Colts team page · Minnesota Vikings team page
