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NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 10 matchup
Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · Line: Colts -2.5 (Circa)
Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.
| Dolphins | Colts | |
|---|---|---|
| #27 | Power rank ◀ | #31 |
| 1-7 | Record (straight up) ▶ | 2-7 |
| 3-4-1 | Against the spread ▶ | 5-4 |
| 2-2on the road | ATS on the road / at home even | 2-2at home |
| 3-4-1as underdog | ATS as favorite / underdog ▶ | 1-1as favorite |
| -1.3pts per game | Avg. cover margin ◀ | -4.5pts per game |
| -74 | Point differential ▶ | -65 |
| 12.2avg. opp. rank | Strength of schedule so far ◀ | 17.1avg. opp. rank |
| #28 | Net EPA rank ◀ | #32 |
Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Week 2 onward, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Dolphins offense | Colts defense | |
|---|---|---|
| #24 | EPA per play ◀ | #29 |
| #19 | Dropback EPA ◀ | #21 |
| #21 | Rush EPA ▶ | #19 |
| #21 | Success rate ▶ | #2 |
| #3135.8% of dropbacks | Pressure rate allowed vs. pressure rate ▶ | #2824.4% of dropbacks |
| Dolphins defense | Colts offense | |
|---|---|---|
| #24 | EPA per play ◀ | #31 |
| #17 | Dropback EPA ◀ | #32 |
| #25 | Rush EPA ▶ | #7 |
| #30 | Success rate ▶ | #24 |
| #2028.0% of dropbacks | Pressure rate vs. pressure rate allowed ◀ | #2331.7% of dropbacks |
Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
Miami DolphinsRAIDERS 27, Dolphins 13 (LV -3.5). The Raiders ran all over the Dolphins. They made some mistakes, but the Dolphins couldn't take advantage because they made numerous mistakes of their own. 290-259 LV, 4.1-3.5 MIA
49ERS 35, Dolphins 13 (SF -13). The 49ers dominated this game offensively, with Brock Purdy going 20-of-22. The Dolphins kept up for a while in the first half, but couldn't do anything outside of a garbage time touchdown in the second half. 382-284 SF, 7.8-5.1 SF
Chiefs 24, DOLPHINS 10 (MIA +11.5). The Chiefs were up 14-7 when they began making mistakes. The Dolphins were able to hang around despite losing DeVon Achane, but the Chiefs eventually scored two late touchdowns to put the game out of reach. 334-329 KC, 6.8-4.9 KC
VIKINGS 15, Dolphins 10 (MIN -10.5). The Vikings dominated time of possession by 20 minutes and Malik Willis didn't even get 10 completions. They couldn't convert in the red zone. All the Dolphins could manage was a long touchdown run by Ollie Gordon. 336-198 SEA, 6.7-4.0 SEA
Bengals 31, DOLPHINS 24 (MIA +7). This was a 28-10 game after three quarters and a 31-18 game with two minutes left, but the Dolphins engineered a backdoor push and would have covered if they didn't miss the extra point. Malik Willis was awful for most of the game. 331-307 MIA, 5.2-4.9 MIA
Dolphins 28, JETS 25 (NYJ -4). The Dolphins scored at will in the first half. The Jets were able to move the ball well in between the 20s, but constantly made mistakes in the red zone to ruin a potential comeback from down 21-7. 377-360 NYJ, 7.1-5.6 NYJ
Patriots 24, DOLPHINS 19 (MIA +7). The Dolphins were up 13-3 at halftime, but Drake Maye had a great second half. He hit some big plays, while the Dolphins didn't have an answer, playing very slowly despite trailing 24-13 late. 313-269 NE, 5.3-4.5 NE
Lions 19, DOLPHINS 9 (DET -7). The Lions struggled with Miami's pressure early, but the Dolphins botched two possessions sandwiching halftime. Amon-Ra St. Brown eventualy made a big play to set up a Jahmyr Gibbs touchdown. 270-228 DET, 4.7-4.6 DET
Indianapolis ColtsRavens 41, COLTS 23 (IND +3.5). The Ravens dominated this game with so many big plays from the three primary players. This was a 28-6 game when the Colts did stuff in garbage time. 506-251 BAL, 7.9-4.7 BAL
CHIEFS 33, Colts 30 (KC -6.5). This was a back-and-forth game where barely any defense was played. The Chiefs won with two possessions in overtime compared to the Colts' one. 523-329 KC, 6.7-5.2 KC
COLTS 19, Texans 17 (IND +1.5). The Texans strip-sacked Daniel Jones twice in this game, but Jones otherwise shredded Houston's secondary, while C.J. Stroud couldn't get anything going on offensive. The Texans once again blew a scoring opportunity on a fourth-down stuff. 300-223 IND, 4.4-4.2 HOU
Colts 30, REDSKINS 13 (WAS +3.5). The Colts were trailing until Marcus Mariota got hurt. Athan Kaliakmanis gave the Colts a free touchdown. Jonathan Taylor took over in the second half, saving Daniel Jones from a poor performance. 317-257 WAS, 5.2-3.7 WAS
STEELERS 34, Colts 22 (PIT -2.5). This was a close game for most of the afternoon before the Steelers pulled away late. The Colts couldn't run the ball and constantly kicked in the red zone. Their defense looked tired from travel. 352-332 PIT, 6.5-4.8 PIT
Titans 26, COLTS 20 (IND -7). The Colts led 13-0, but Daniel Jones made some mistakes in the second half. The Titans got on the board and then scored a touchdown on a blocked punt. Their defense shut down Jones after that to get the win. 399-186 IND, 5.1-4.1 IND
VIKINGS 16, Colts 10 (MIN -6.5). The Colts went up 7-0 and 10-6 early with some big Jonathan Taylor runs, but the Vikings blanked the Colts in the second half with the help of two missed field goals. Kyler Murray had a long scramble to set up the go-ahead touchdown. 275-218 MIN, 4.9-3.7 MIN
JAGUARS 42, Colts 7 (JAX -10). The Jaguars won easily, as the Colts showed no interest in tackling in this game. Constant offensive mistakes didn't help matters. 366-243 JAX, 6.9-4.1 JAX
Cowboys 27, COLTS 23 (IND +4.5). The Cowboys made many more big plays in this game than the Colts, but squandered too many opportunities and allowed the Colts to stay close. Jonathan Taylor hurt the Colts with a fumble late in the game. 508-271 DAL, 7.2-4.6 DAL
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
All Week 10 matchups · Miami Dolphins team page · Indianapolis Colts team page
