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2022 NFL Betting Props
These are my 2022 NFL Betting Props. I've done well with these props over the past couple of years. My dollar count for win totals since 2014 is +$4,335. Here's what I'm planning on betting this year (results will be added to the regular-season winnings/losses on the NFL Picks page after the Super Bowl is over):
Updated April 28, 2022
2022 NFL Draft Props (+20.52 Units)
Treylon Burks Under 23.5 -126
There's a lot of interest in Treylon Burks, so I'd be a bit surprised if he were drafted after 23. I don't think this is a lock or anything, but I believe Burks will be taken in the 16-23 range.
Betting 1.89 Units to win 1.5 at Bookmaker (locked in as of 4/27/22)
Ikem Ekwonu Over 4.5 -120
I don't see where Ikem Ekwonu goes in the top four, save for No. 3 to Houston. I believe the Texans will take Kayvon Thiobdeaux with the choice, but they could opt for Evan Neal or Ahmad Gardner. Ekwonu is an option, but he's one of four. I'll take my chances with the over.
Betting 2.2 Units to win 2 at Bookmaker (locked in as of 4/25/22)
Ahmad Gardner Under 5.5 -148
Based on what I've heard, I'll be shocked if Ahmad Gardner slips out of the top five. I have him going No. 4 in my 2022 NFL Mock Draft.
Betting 3.7 Units to win 2.5 at Bookmaker (locked in as of 4/25/22)
Kyle Hamilton Over 10.5 -201
Everything you hear is that Kyle Hamilton's draft stock is plummeting. I suppose the Falcons could draft him at No. 8, but I would be pretty surprised if he landed in the top 10. I hate paying -201 juice, but this seems like a winner.
Betting 2.01 Units to win 1 at Bookmaker (locked in as of 4/25/22)
Kenny Pickett Selected by Lions: +2800
No, not at No. 2. At No. 32. I can't find a spot for Kenny Pickett in my mock draft. There's a chance he's in for a free fall. I could be wrong, but I heard from one high-ranking front office man today that he has Pickett fourth on his quarterback list. Pickett's small hands, 17 Wonderlic score and low upside could tank him. The Lions may not be able to pass on him if he falls to them at No. 32. I'm just taking a shot here.
Betting 0.25 Units to win 7 at BetUS (locked in as of 4/25/22)
Kenny Pickett Over 12.5 -180
Unless the Falcons draft Kenny Pickett, I don't see where he goes in the top 12. One team told us they have Pickett as their fourth-ranked quarterback!
Betting 3 Units to win 1.67 at Bovada (locked in as of 4/26/22)
Betting 2 Units to win 1 (-200) at Bookmaker (due to max betting restrictions at Bovada) (locked in as of 4/26/22)
Kayvon Thibodeaux Over 4.5 +130
I can't believe this number is so low. We know the top two picks will be Aidan Hutchinson and Travon Walker in some order. I was told no for Kayvon Thibodeaux to the Texans. And the Jets love Ahmad Gardner. I can't see Thibodeaux being drafted in the top four.
Betting 1 Unit to win 1.3 at BetUS (max bet) (locked in as of 4/27/22)
Betting 1.87 Units to win 2.5 at Bovada (max bet) (locked in as of 4/27/22)
Betting 3.3 Units to win 3 at Bookmaker (locked in as of 4/27/22)
Travon Walker Under 3.5 -246
Unless something crazy like BongGate happens, this is free money.
Betting 6.15 Units to win 2.5 at Bookmaker (locked in as of 4/25/22)
Second-Overall Pick: Aidan Hutchinson: +200; Travon Walker: +350
It sounds like the Lions will be choosing the edge rusher the Jaguars won't draft. I'll be surprised if one of these doesn't win.
Betting 0.5 Units to win 1; 0.5 Units to win 1.75 at BetUS (locked in as of 4/25/22)
Fourth-Overall Pick: Ahmad Gardner: +350
The Texans could mess things up, but I believe the Jets will select Ahmad Gardner with the fourth pick.
Betting 0.5 Units to win 1.75 at BetUS (locked in as of 4/25/22)
Fifth-Overall Pick: Derek Stingley: +2000
There's a good chance the Giants take Derek Stingley fifth and then go with a tackle at No. 7. I'll take a 20/1 shot on it!
Betting 0.45 Units to win 9 at Bovada (locked in as of 4/28/22)
New York Giants 5th and 7th Selections: Evan Neal, Derek Stingley (+1000)
This is what I have occurring in my 2022 NFL Mock Draft. I know the Giants like Neal, and I know that they want a cornerback. I think +1000 is a nice price.
Betting 0.5 Units to win 5 at BetUS (locked in as of 4/25/22)
Carolina Panthers 6th Selection: Offensive Lineman (-115)
I'm now convinced that the Panthers will use the sixth-overall pick on an offensive lineman rather than a quarterback.
Betting 1.15 Units to win 1 at BetUS (max bet) (locked in as of 4/27/22)
Betting 1.2 Units to win 1 at Bovada (locked in as of 4/27/22)
Eighth-Overall Pick: Jermaine Johnson: +650; Kayvon Thibodeaux: +1000; Kyle Hamilton: +1500
Just taking shots with three guys here. I think one of them is likely to be Atlanta's pick at No. 8.
Betting 0.5 Units to win 3.25; 0.5 Units to win 5; 0.5 Units to win 7.5 at Bovada (locked in as of 4/27/22)
2022 NFL Betting Props: Win Totals
To be posted soon.
2022 NFL Betting Props: Super Bowl Odds
Cincinnati Bengals: 20/1
I've heard the opinion that the Bengals absolutely won't be back in the Super Bowl anytime soon because Dan Marino, like Joe Burrow, reached the championship in his second year, but never made it back. This is a simple-minded argument to make. Cincinnati's great obstacle is all the competition in the AFC, but thanks to Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase being on rookie deals, the Bengals have the third-most cap space in the NFL. They'll be able to add some great talent to improve their roster. I think they're quite the bargain at 20/1 on FanDuel.
Betting 2 Units to win 40 at FanDuel (locked in as of 3/4/22)
Denver Broncos: 22/1
Here we go again with the Broncos. They're not 50/1 this time, but there's still a chance that Aaron Rodgers is traded to Denver. NFL Network is currently talking about Rodgers considering going to Denver. If that happens - he may stay in Green Bay - the Broncos will suddenly be 6/1 or 7/1 rather than 22/1.
Betting 2 Units to win 44 at FanDuel (locked in as of 3/4/22)
Jacksonville Jaguars: 125/1
Jacob Camenker made great points about the Jaguars in our Super Bowl LVII odds picks video:
I had the Jaguars in the lower tier, but I've decided to bet them before the 125/1 figure disappears. The Jaguars have the second-most cap space in the NFL, and Trevor Lawrence is expected to make a huge leap in his second year. Jacksonville also plays in a soft division, so this could be the Bengals of 2022.
Betting 0.5 Units to win 62.5 at BetUS (locked in as of 3/4/22)
San Angeles Chargers: 25/1
I love the Chargers at 25/1. Justin Herbert is on a rookie deal, meaning the team should have tons of cap space. That is indeed true, as the Chargers have the fourth-most money at their disposal. They don't have very many needs, but they'll be able to address them with all the cap room they have at their disposal. I also like Brandon Staley, despite his timeout gaffe against the Raiders in the season finale. Had the Chargers just made the playoffs, this number would be 20/1 at most, so we're getting great value at 25/1.
Betting 2 Units to win 50 at DraftKings (locked in as of 3/4/22)