2013 NCAA Tournament Picks: Computer Rankings

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Computer Rankings

2013 NCAA Tournament: Computer Rankings

If you’ve been following my NCAA Tournament Picks for a while, you know that I like to eliminate teams that can’t win on the road, have freshman point guards, etc. You also may have noticed that I haven’t updated my info pages this year.

The reason for this? I asked a math whiz friend of mine to construct a formula that incorporated everything I looked for in the NCAA Tournament. I just had to plug all of the numbers in, and Excel spit out the results.

Below are the computer rankings that I used for my NCAA Tournament picks. The fields I looked at were: offensive efficiency, defensive efficiency, coaching history in the tournament, number of conference blowout victories, point differential, freshmen point guards, road victories, success in the final 10 games, strength of schedule, and other miscellaneous things like whether a team has only one scorer or a major injury. These attributes are all weighted based on importance.

Obviously, the closer the number is to zero, the better the team is:

Louisville – 5.62

Florida – 15.28

Gonzaga – 28.46

Miami – 46.77

Indiana – 47.66

Michigan State – 49.50

VCU – 50.54

Ohio State – 50.74

Arizona – 51.61

North Carolina – 51.73

Kansas – 51.81

Saint Louis – 54.09

Kansas State – 55.50

Duke – 58.12

Wisconsin – 58.62

Georgetown – 61.30

Illinois – 62.38

St. Mary’s – 63.68

Michigan – 66.79

Marquette – 68.86

New Mexico – 69.00

Butler – 72.52

Syracuse – 74.61

Pittsburgh – 75.93

Davidson – 76.70

Missouri – 77.43

Colorado – 80.23

Villanova – 84.63

Notre Dame – 85.89

N.C. State – 86.39

Memphis – 86.82

Middle Tennesse St – 87.10

Belmont – 87.64

UCLA – 90.21

UNLV – 93.33

Oklahoma State – 94.06

Creighton – 95.36

Oregon – 95.81

Ole Miss – 97.87

San Diego State – 98.19

Wichita State – 98.91

Boise State – 100.59

Minnesota – 100.95

Cincinnati – 103.27

Oklahoma – 104.99

Colorado State – 105.60

California – 108.71

Iowa State – 113.88

New Mexico State – 115.79

Temple – 116.65

Harvard – 117.33

Bucknell – 117.91

Valparaiso – 122.89

La Salle – 125.98

Akron – 128.05

Iona – 142.14

Pacific – 147.64

South Dakota State – 152.25

Northwestern State – 154.46

Florida Gulf Coast – 163.25

Albany – 176.04

Long Island – 177.25

Western Kentucky – 185.58

Southern – 192.83

Montana – 194.45

James Madison – 202.60

North Carolina A&T – 206.87

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