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Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Jan. 19:
Peyton Barber, RB, Auburn Height: 5-10. Weight: 225.
Projected 40 Time: 4.58.
Projected Round (2016): 4-6.
I’ll usually defend running backs who want to declare early, as an injury will sink their draft stock. Peyton Barber, however, barely had any draft stock to ruin. He’s a third-day prospect who should’ve gone back to school.
The Verdict: Bad move
Marquez North, WR, Tennessee Height: 6-3. Weight: 224.
Projected 40 Time: 4.50.
Projected Round (2016): 6-FA.
Marquez North is another prospect who doesn’t understand the concept of buying low and selling high. His stock went south when he spent all of 2015 dealing with injuries, so he might not be drafted as a conseqence. What a stupid decision.
The Verdict: Bad move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Jan. 18:
Ellis Henderson, WR, Montana Height: 6-0. Weight: 185.
Projected 40 Time: 4.50.
Projected Round (2016): FA.
Ellis Henderson has mental issues and probably won’t be drafted. This decision doesn’t matter at all.
The Verdict: Irrelevant
Brett McMakin, OLB, Northern Iowa Height: 6-4. Weight: 230.
Projected 40 Time: 4.75.
Projected Round (2016): 5-7.
Brett McMakin is just a late-round prospect. I have no idea why he’s declaring.
The Verdict: Bad move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Jan. 15:
A’Shawn Robinson, 3-4DE, Alabama Height: 6-4. Weight: 320.
Projected 40 Time: 5.35.
Projected Round (2016): 1.
A’Shawn Robinson appears to have a very strong chance of being a top-10 pick, and he almost certainly won’t go below No. 16, barring a poor pre-draft process. Given that, he would’ve been insane not to declare.
The Verdict: No-brainer
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Jan. 14:
Derrick Henry, RB, Alabama Height: 6-3. Weight: 241.
Projected 40 Time: 4.59.
Projected Round (2016): 1-3.
Derrick Henry is not the great draft prospect the media makes him out to be. Henry will probably be chosen early in the second round. Still, he’s making a great decision. Running backs are extremely fragile, and Nick Saban has run Henry into the ground, potentially ruining his pro career. Another year at Alabama would have wrecked Henry.
The Verdict: Good move
Willie Henry, DT, Michigan Height: 6-2. Weight: 310.
Projected 40 Time: 5.02.
Projected Round (2016): 4-6.
Willie Henry is a third-day prospect who shouldn’t have declared for the draft. He played well in 2015, but leaving school is a big mistake.
The Verdict: Good move
Rashard Higgins, WR, Colorado State Height: 6-2. Weight: 188.
Projected 40 Time: 4.55.
Projected Round (2015): 2-4.
Rashard Higgins appears to be a second-day prospect, with a chance of being chosen in Round 2. I don’t think Higgins would have a shot to be chosen on Thursday of 2017, so he’s doing a good job of selling high.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Avery Young, OT, Auburn Height: 6-6. Weight: 305.
Projected 40 Time: 4.96.
Projected Round (2015): 4-6.
Another late-round prospect making a big mistake. Avery Young applied for an evaluation, but he decided to go pro anyway.
The Verdict: Bad move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Jan. 13:
Mackensie Alexander, CB, Clemson Height: 5-11. Weight: 195.
Projected 40 Time: 4.45.
Projected Round (2016): 2-4.
Mackensie Alexander is rated higher in the media than he is by real NFL people. We spoke to a couple of teams that have him in the Round 3-4 range. However, I’m sure there are some organizations that like him more, and he is coming off a great year, so why not sell high?
The Verdict: Makes sense
Kevin Dodd, DE, Clemson Height: 6-4. Weight: 275.
Projected 40 Time: 4.79.
Projected Round (2016): 1-2.
Kevin Dodd was terrific in the college football playoff. He recorded four sacks in the two contests, including three in the championship. The time is right for him to sell high, especially with Shaq Lawson also going pro. Had Dodd returned to school, his numbers could’ve dropped with opposing teams focusing on him. Dodd has a chance to be drafted in the first round, so this is a positive decision.
The Verdict: Good move
T.J. Green, S, Clemson Height: 6-2. Weight: 205.
Projected 40 Time: 4.52.
Projected Round (2016): 3-5.
T.J. Green played well in 2015, but he should’ve gone back to school. He started for just one season, so he could’ve been selected much earlier had he played well for another year.
The Verdict: Bad move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Jan. 12:
Andrew Billings, DT, Baylor Height: 6-2. Weight: 310.
Projected 40 Time: 5.14.
Projected Round (2016): 1.
There was some speculation that Andrew Billings would go back to school, but he came to his senses and declared for the NFL Draft. This is obviously a great decision, as Billings is considered a top-10 prospect. Barring a poor pre-draft process, Billings will be chosen in the first half of Thursday night.
The Verdict: Good move
Thomas Duarte, WR, UCLA Height: 6-2. Weight: 225.
Projected 40 Time: 4.55.
Projected Round (2016): 3-5.
Thomas Duarte received a third-round grade from the NFL Draft Advisory Committee, but with all of these early declarations and/or a poor Combine, he could fall to the fourth or fifth frame. Duarte should’ve returned to UCLA, where Josh Rosen could’ve helped him improve his draft stock. It’s short sighted on Duarte’s part.
The Verdict: Bad move
Eric Enderson, P, Delaware Height: 6-2. Weight: 200.
Projected 40 Time: 5.00.
Projected Round (2016): FA.
A punter coming off a bad year declaring for the draft? Why!?
The Verdict: Irrelevant
Nick Vigil, ILB, Utah State Height: 6-2. Weight: 230.
Projected 40 Time: 4.70.
Projected Round (2016): 3-5.
It’s hard to understand this decision. Nick Vigil might be a second-day selection by sneaking into the third round, but he could fall to Saturday. He should have stayed in school.
The Verdict: Bad move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Jan. 11:
Roger Lewis, WR, Bowling Green Height: 6-1. Weight: 200.
Projected 40 Time: 4.46.
Projected Round (2016): 3-5.
Roger Lewis is talented, there’s no doubting that. However, he’s raw and happens to have off-the-field issues. He should have shown maturity by staying in school and cleaning up his act, but people who make mistakes in real life apparently commit errors when it comes to declaring for the draft.
The Verdict: Bad move
Jaylon Smith, OLB/ILB, Notre Dame Height: 6-2. Weight: 235.
Projected 40 Time: 4.65.
Projected Round (2016): 1-2.
This is a tough one to grade. Jaylon Smith was poised to be a top-10 pick before injuring his knee. Prospects have recovered from knee issues to still be selected highly, which is what Todd Gurley experienced last year. However, there reportedly is fear of nerve damage, so who knows if Smith will ever be 100 percent again.
Smith’s decision is extremely risky. If NFL team doctors deem that he’ll have a normal recovery time, he’ll probably be chosen within the first 20-25 picks. If, however, the opposite is true, Smith could have a huge free fall into Day 2 or possibly Day 3.
Ultimately, I think Smith might be making the right choice. He’ll have the best doctors at his disposal, and being out of school, he’ll be able to fully concentrate on getting healthy.
The Verdict: Good move?
Vincent Valentine, DT, Nebraska Height: 6-3. Weight: 320.
Projected 40 Time: 5.45.
Projected Round (2016): 5-7.
The concept of selling high has apparently escaped Vincent Valentine, who is declaring after an injury-plagued year. He’s making a big mistake.
The Verdict: Bad move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Jan. 10:
Travis Blanks, LB/S, Clemson Height: 6-0. Weight: 212.
Projected 40 Time: 4.53.
Projected Round (2016): 7-FA.
Travis Blanks probably won’t be drafted. He was a high recruit once upon a time, but he hasn’t been able to stay healthy. Why didn’t he go back to school for one more year to bolster his draft stock?
The Verdict: Bad move
Alex Collins, RB, Arkansas Height: 5-11. Weight: 216.
Projected 40 Time: 4.57.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
Credit Charlie Campbell for first reporting that Alex Collins would be declaring. Collins won’t be a first-round pick, but he’ll almost certainly be chosen on Day 2. That’s good enough for me, as running backs should declare as soon as possible because they’re very fragile.
The Verdict: Good move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Jan. 9:
Leonard Floyd, 3-4OLB, Georgia Height: 6-4. Weight: 230.
Projected 40 Time: 4.60.
Projected Round (2015): 1-2.
Leonard Floyd has a strong chance to be a first-round pick, and he could even sneak inside the top 15. His decision to declare was a very easy one.
The Verdict: Good move
Rashard Robinson, CB, LSU Height: 6-1. Weight: 193.
Projected 40 Time: 4.53.
Projected Round (2016): FA.
Rashard Robinson told the media that he was able to come to this decision after praying a lot. Perhaps he should’ve read WalterFootball.com instead, where he would’ve seen that he’s not a draftable prospect because of his extensive off-the-field concerns. Robinson hasn’t even played since 2013.
The Verdict: Bad move
Wendell Smallwood, RB, West Virginia Height: 5-11. Weight: 202.
Projected 40 Time: 4.44.
Projected Round (2016): 5-7.
I typically get behind running backs who want to declare early, but not when they’re late-round prospects like Wendell Smallwood. This is just a horrible decision on Smallwood’s part.
The Verdict: Bad move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Jan. 7:
Shon Coleman, OT, Auburn Height: 6-6. Weight: 313.
Projected 40 Time: 5.10.
Projected Round (2016): 1-2.
Shon Coleman might be chosen in the second round, but there’s also a chance he could be taken in the first frame, as teams will be impressed by his strength to overcome leukemia, which he sustained back in 2010. Coleman’s decision to declare is definitely a good one.
The Verdict: Good move
Jerald Hawkins, OT, LSU Height: 6-6. Weight: 309.
Projected 40 Time: 5.40.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
Jerald Hawkins may have been a first-round pick in 2017 had he gone back to school and refined his technique during another season at left tackle. As it stands now, he’s just a second-day prospect. He missed an opportunity to really bolster his draft stock, but I could see why he’d want to bolt for the NFL in an attempt to avoid injury.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Jan. 6:
Robert Aguayo, K, Florida State Height: 6-0. Weight: 204.
Projected 40 Time: 4.90.
Projected Round (2016): 5-7.
Roberto Aguayo knows that neither Gene Smith nor Al Davis is in the NFL anymore, right? It’s hard to understand this decision, but then again, kickers are weird individuals. Aguayo’s field-goal rate has declined the past two years, so perhaps he’s trying to get paid before being completely exposed.
The Verdict: Bad move
Beniquez Brown, ILB, Mississippi State Height: 6-1. Weight: 238.
Projected 40 Time: 4.72.
Projected Round (2016): 2-4.
Beniquez Brown played very well this year, improving his draft stock in the process. Brown is selling high, which I’m always a fan of. I don’t know how much he could’ve upgraded his stock even more with another season, so his decision to declare is a logical one.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State Height: 6-6. Weight: 325.
Projected 40 Time: 5.28.
Projected Round (2016): 1-2.
I currently have Jack Conklin slated as a top-16 pick in my 2016 NFL Mock Draft. It’ll be a surprise if he falls out of the first frame, especially given how many teams have offensive line issues. He’s making a great decision by entering the NFL early.
The Verdict: Good move
David Grinnage, TE, N.C. State Height: 6-5. Weight: 265.
Projected 40 Time: 4.85.
Projected Round (2016): 6-FA.
If there’s a chance you might not get drafted, you should probably stay in school.
The Verdict: Bad move
Keanu Neal, S, Florida Height: 6-1. Weight: 216.
Projected 40 Time: 4.63.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
Keanu Neal’s decision-making is as bad as Keanu Reeves’ acting, as there was no reason to declare into an already-deep safety class.
The Verdict: Bad move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Jan. 5:
Vonn Bell, S, Ohio State Height: 5-11. Weight: 205.
Projected 40 Time: 4.66.
Projected Round (2015): 2-3.
It’s insane how many Buckeyes have declared early. It’s almost as if they think that winning some random postseason exhibition match was a big deal. Vonn Bell might be lost in the mix in a very deep safety class, so he probably should’ve returned to school. However, given that there’s a mass exodus, I can’t exactly blame him for bolting for the NFL.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Chris Jones, 3-4DE, Mississippi State Height: 6-5. Weight: 300.
Projected 40 Time: 5.05.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
Chris Jones is inconsistent, but he can play in either the 3-4 or 4-3, so he’ll intrigue most teams. He never really met his high expectations though, so I think he would’ve been better served going back to school and establishing himself as a first-round prospect.
The Verdict: Bad move
Kenny Lawler, WR, California Height: 6-2. Weight: 195.
Projected 40 Time: 4.47.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
Kenny Lawler will probably be chosen in the second round, but I think declaring is a good decision on his part. Jared Goff is leaving for the NFL, so Lawler’s stock may have taken a hit had he returned to school and played with an inferior quarterback.
The Verdict: Good move
Jalen Ramsey, S/CB, Florida State Height: 6-1. Weight: 204.
Projected 40 Time: 4.50.
Projected Round (2016): 1.
One team has Jalen Ramsey as a second-round prospect, but the Florida State product will probably be chosen in the top 10. He played cornerback this year, but he would be better as a safety. I’m sure most teams will recognize that. Ramsey’s decision to declare was an easy one.
The Verdict: No-brainer
Isaac Seumalo, C/G/OT, Oregon State Height: 6-5. Weight: 297.
Projected 40 Time: 5.15.
Projected Round (2015): 3-5.
Isaac Seumalo can pretty much play any position up front. That’s the good news. The bad news is that he’s just a mid-round prospect. Why he would declare when it’s possible that he could fall to Round 5 is beyond me.
The Verdict: Good move
Michael Thomas, WR, Ohio State Height: 6-3. Weight: 212.
Projected 40 Time: 4.54.
Projected Round (2015): 1-2.
There’s a decent chance Michael Thomas will be picked in the first round, making this an obvious good choice. Had Thomas returned to school, he might have struggled a bit, given the depleted roster in the wake of all of the early declarations. He may also have gotten injured. There was no need for him to risk ruining his draft stock.
The Verdict: Good move
Stephen Weatherly, DE/OLB, Vanderbilt Height: 6-5. Weight: 255.
Projected 40 Time: 4.63.
Projected Round (2015): 7-FA.
Stephen Weatherly probably won’t get drafted. This is meaningless news.
The Verdict: Irrelevant
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Jan. 4:
Bralon Addison, WR/RB, Oregon Height: 5-10. Weight: 190.
Projected 40 Time: 4.48.
Projected Round (2015): 5-7.
This is a pretty dumb decision. Bralon Addison is a late-round prospect who stands a chance of not even being drafted. There was nothing to gain from declaring early.
The Verdict: Bad move
Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State Height: 6-1. Weight: 200.
Projected 40 Time: 4.46.
Projected Round (2016): 1-2.
Eli Apple is coming off a great year as a redshirt sophomore and has a chance of going in the late teens. He’ll probably be chosen in the 20s or 30s as a likely first-rounder but potential second-rounder. The tall corner could have been a sure-fire first-round selection had he waited a year, but I don’t blame him for bolting early, as an injury could have ended those aspirations.
The Verdict: Good move
Will Fuller, WR, Notre Dame Height: 6-0. Weight: 184.
Projected 40 Time: 4.47.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
So much for returning to school. Here’s what I wrote when it was announced that Will Fuller would be staying at Notre Dame: “Will Fuller was pegged as a second-round prospect, so I can understand why he would be hesitant to go pro. There’s a shot that he’ll improve his draft stock enough to emerge as a first-rounder in 2017. On the flip side, he could get hurt and damage his stock. It’s definitely a risky move.” With that in mind, I could see why he would declare.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Vernon Hargreaves III, CB, Florida Height: 5-11. Weight: 192.
Projected 40 Time: 4.40.
Projected Round (2016): 1.
As a very likely top-10 prospect, Vernon Hargreaves would have been extremely foolish not to declare. He didn’t have the best bowl performance, but he’s still going to be one of the first dozen players off the board.
The Verdict: No-brainer
Hunter Henry, TE, Arkansas Height: 6-6. Weight: 255.
Projected 40 Time: 4.73.
Projected Round (2016): 1-2.
Hunter Henry has a shot to be chosen at the end of the first round, but will likely be taken in the second frame. The scouts we’ve spoken to like him, and I don’t know how much he could’ve improved his draft stock with another season, so leaving for the NFL seems like a good move.
The Verdict: Good move
Austin Hooper, TE, Stanford Height: 6-4. Weight: 249.
Projected 40 Time: 4.73.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
Austin Hooper will almost certainly be chosen on the second day of the draft, but two factors make this a solid decision. First, Kevin Hogan is leaving, so Hooper’s stock could’ve taken a hit with another quarterback. Second, the 2016 class is very weak at tight end, so Hooper could stand to benefit from that.
The Verdict: Good move
Xavien Howard, CB, Baylor Height: 6-1. Weight: 200.
Projected 40 Time: 4.49.
Projected Round (2016): 4-6.
Xavien Howard is a day-three prospect, so it’s impossible to like this move. It’s not terrible, as he’s set to graduate in May, but remaining in school to improve both his game and education probably would’ve been the better choice.
The Verdict: Bad move
Denver Kirkland, G/OT, Arkansas Height: 6-5. Weight: 340.
Projected 40 Time: 5.28.
Projected Round (2016): 2-4.
While Hunter Henry made a good decision, the same can’t be said for his teammate. Denver Kirkland will probably be taken in the third or fourth round, as it’s not clear if he can play on the outside. Going back to school and improving would’ve been the wiser choice.
The Verdict: Bad move
Jalin Marshall, WR/KR, Ohio State Height: 5-11. Weight: 205.
Projected 40 Time: 4.46.
Projected Round (2016): 2-4.
Because Jalin Marshall is a redshirt sophomore who didn’t happen to be a blue-chip prospect, teams haven’t studied him at all. That could really hurt Marshall, as a fall into the fourth round is possible. Marshall will probably be chosen at some point on Day 2, making this decision a rather stupid one.
The Verdict: Bad move
Tyvis Powell, S, Ohio State Height: 6-2. Weight: 210.
Projected 40 Time: 4.56.
Projected Round (2016): 3-5.
Tyvis sounds like a great Lannister name, doesn’t it? At any rate, the NFL Draft Advisory Committee told Powell that he wouldn’t be a first- or a second-round choice, yet he declared anyway. Why even bother asking? Powell is making a stupid decision – one of many in declaration season – as he’ll be lucky to be selected in the third frame.
The Verdict: Bad move
KeiVarae Russell, CB, Notre Dame Height: 5-11. Weight: 190.
Projected 40 Time: 4.49.
Projected Round (2016): 2-4.
KeiVarae Russell is coming off an inconsistent season and dealt with off-the-field issues in the past. On top of that, he broke his leg in November and won’t be able to participate at the Combine. Returning to school and rehabbing both his image and health would’ve been the best course of action, but college kids don’t always make the right decision.
The Verdict: Bad move
Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss Height: 6-2. Weight: 229.
Projected 40 Time: 4.50.
Projected Round (2016): 1.
Laquon Treadwell, who finished his 2015 campaign on a tear, is almost certain to be a top-20 selection. I could even see him going as high as No. 4 overall to the Cowboys, who could use a dynamic receiver across from Dez Bryant. Given Treadwell’s promising draft status, the decision to declare was an easy one.
The Verdict: No-brainer
Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss Height: 6-5. Weight: 305.
Projected 40 Time: 5.20.
Projected Round (2016): Top-10 Pick.
Laremy Tunsil is probably going to be the No. 1 pick in the 2016 NFL Draft, as you can see here in my 2016 NFL Mock Draft. He would have been crazy not to declare.
The Verdict: No-brainer
Daryl Worley, CB, West Virgnia Height: 6-1. Weight: 198.
Projected 40 Time: 4.49.
Projected Round (2016): 3-5.
The NFL Draft Advisory Committee suggested that Daryl Worley should return to school, and I’ll say the same thing. Worley is a tall corner, which will intrigue some teams, but he’s an early day-three talent. He could sneak into the third round, but he shouldn’t bank on that.
The Verdict: Bad move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Jan. 2:
Dominique Alexander, ILB/OLB, Oklahoma Height: 6-0. Weight: 229.
Projected 40 Time: 4.67.
Projected Round (2016): 3-5.
Dominique Alexander will be very fortunate to be drafted on the second day. The linebacker position is one of the strengths of the 2016 class, so he could be pushed down as a result, getting lost in the mix. Alexander is making a big mistake as a consequence.
The Verdict: Bad move
Kamalei Correa, DE/OLB, Boise State Height: 6-3. Weight: 245.
Projected 40 Time: 4.70.
Projected Round (2016): 3-4.
A fringe second-day prospect, Kamalei Correa should have returned to Boise State for another year. This is a loaded class of pass-rushers, so Correa could be lost in the mix and fall to Round 4 as a result.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Christian Hackenberg, QB, Penn State Height: 6-4. Weight: 234.
Projected 40 Time: 4.87.
Projected Round (2016): 2-4.
I always called Christian Hackenberg a trap. He has great talent, but he’s just not there from a mentality or leadership standpoint, and I don’t know if he ever will be. I think Hackenberg needed to get out now for two reasons. First, another year could have sunk his draft stock even further. Second, Penn State has shown an inability to improve his offensive line, so what if the poor blocking resulted in a major injury next year? Hackenberg probably won’t make it past the Texans on Day 2, but he has a chance to really fall. Still, this is a good decision on his part.
The Verdict: Good move
Germain Ifedi, OT, Texas A&M Height: 6-5. Weight: 320.
Projected 40 Time: 5.33.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
Germain Ifedi’s game has already been exposed, as teams don’t believe that he can play left tackle. Ifedi could have proven them wrong with another year at Texas A&M. However, more holes could’ve also been exposed. I think Ifedi’s decision makes sense, but it’s not a great one.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Austin Johnson, NT, Penn State Height: 6-3. Weight: 325.
Projected 40 Time: 5.20.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
Austin Johnson will be a second-round pick in all likelihood. He could’ve gone back to school to emerge as a first-round prospect, but that was no guarantee. An injury would’ve cost him greatly. His decision is probably the correct one.
The Verdict: Makes sense
C.J. Prosise, RB, Notre Dame Height: 6-1. Weight: 220.
Projected 40 Time: 4.58.
Projected Round (2016): 2-4.
C.J. Prosise had just 10 career carries prior to 2015, so he came out of nowhere to have a great season. Teams might be hesitant to take him in the second round because he could be a one-year wonder, but his talent level will probably dictate that he’ll be a third-round choice. Still, this is a great move on his part, as running backs are very injury-prone.
The Verdict: Good move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Jan. 1:
Demarcus Ayers, WR, Houston Height: 5-10. Weight: 190.
Projected 40 Time: 4.40.
Projected Round (2016): 7-FA.
This one is baffling. Demarcus Ayers is barely an NFL Draft prospect. There was no reason for him to declare early.
The Verdict: Bad move
Tyler Boyd, WR, Pittsburgh Height: 6-2. Weight: 190.
Projected 40 Time: 4.44.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
Tyler Boyd was considered a first-round prospect once upon a time. However, he wrecked his draft stock this year. He had a down season and also was arrested for a DUI on top of that. The sensible thing to do would be to return to school in order to rehab his image. Instead, he’ll probably be chosen on Day 2 (or later).
The Verdict: Bad move
Zack Sanchez, CB, Oklahoma Height: 5-11. Weight: 175.
Projected 40 Time: 4.54.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
Zack Sanchez’s draft stock was down heading into 2015, but he definitely helped himself with a strong year. He’s selling high right now, which is always good. Sanchez has a good chance to be chosen in the second round.
The Verdict: Makes sense
De’Runnya Wilson, WR, Mississippi State Height: 6-5. Weight: 215.
Projected 40 Time: 4.57.
Projected Round (2015): 2-4.
De’Runnya Wilson doesn’t seem like the smartest person. He told the media a few weeks ago that he didn’t even bother requesting a grade from the NFL Draft Advisory Committee. So, with that in mind, why did he declare? Shouldn’t he have learned some information first? The inconsistent Wilson will probably be taken in the third or fourth round, making his choice a rather dubious one.
The Verdict: Bad move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Dec. 31:
Caleb Benenoch, OT, UCLA Height: 6-5. Weight: 310.
Projected 40 Time: 5.31.
Projected Round (2016): 3-5.
This decision doesn’t make much sense. Caleb Benenoch’s best-case scenario is to be chosen in the third round, but he’ll probably be an early Saturday pick. He’s just not ready for the NFL. He needs to be better developed as a pass protector. Another year at school would’ve done that.
The Verdict: Bad move
Joey Bosa, 3-4OLB, Ohio State Height: 6-6. Weight: 275.
Projected 40 Time: 4.72.
Projected Round (2016): Top-10 Pick.
The J.J. Watt comparison is all-too common. It’s also ridiculous. No team we’ve spoken to sees Joey Bosa as the next Watt, as they don’t even play the same position. A good comparison would actually be Ryan Kerrigan, which is something we’ve heard from separate teams. Nevertheless, Bosa is a top-10 lock and a potential top-five choice. I currently have him going No. 2 overall in my 2016 NFL Mock Draft.
The Verdict: No-brainer
Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis Height: 6-7. Weight: 245.
Projected 40 Time: 4.78.
Projected Round (2016): 1.
Paxton Lynch just had a very discouraging bowl performance, but that’s not going to be enough to knock him out of top-15 contention. He’s still very likely to go in the top half of the opening frame, as he just has too much potential in a quarterback-starved league.
The Verdict: No-brainer
Emmanuel Ogbah, DE, Oklahoma State Height: 6-4. Weight: 275.
Projected 40 Time: 4.77.
Projected Round (2016): 1.
Charlie Campbell broke the news that Emmanuel Ogbah has declared for the draft. Ogbah is one of the top edge rushers in this class, and it’ll be mildly surprising if he’s not chosen in the top 20 picks. That obviously makes this a good decision on his part.
The Verdict: Good move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Dec. 31:
Daniel Braverman, WR, Western Michigan Height: 5-10. Weight: 180.
Projected 40 Time: 4.49.
Projected Round (2016): 6-FA.
Daniel Braverman is a white slot receiver who doubles as a kick returner. If you’re thinking that someone like that shouldn’t be declaring, you’re absolutely right. Braverman is a late-round prospect at best. He should’ve returned to school.
The Verdict: Bad move
Jared Goff, QB, California Height: 6-4. Weight: 210.
Projected 40 Time: 4.71.
Projected Round (2016): 1.
Fresh off a terrific bowl performance, Jared Goff may have emerged as the No. 1 quarterback in this class. He’ll almost certainly be a top-15 pick, and he could be selected as high as No. 2 overall. Going back to school would’ve been disastrous, as scouts surely would’ve found holes in his game. He’s making a great decision by declaring early.
The Verdict: No-brainer
Cardale Jones, QB, Ohio State Height: 6-5. Weight: 250.
Projected 40 Time: 4.75.
Projected Round (2016): 2-4.
Cardale Jones has clearly never taken an economics class, as he doesn’t have the basic understanding of buying low and selling high. He had a chance to declare last year, and he probably would’ve been a late first-round pick. Jones decided against it, and proceeded to struggle in his first full year as a starter. If Jones had regrouped and rebuilt his draft stock in 2016, he could’ve been a first-round prospect again. Instead, Jones will probably be relegated to the third round.
The Verdict: Bad move
Darius Latham, DT, Indiana Height: 6-5. Weight: 305.
Projected 40 Time: 5.10.
Projected Round (2016): 5-FA.
Late-round prospects with character issues shouldn’t declare early for the draft. Darius Latham won’t be able to showcase himself at the Senior Bowl and such to prove that he has changed as a person and whatnot. He’s making a big mistake.
The Verdict: Bad move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Dec. 30:
Paul Perkins, RB, UCLA Height: 5-10. Weight: 210.
Projected 40 Time: 4.44.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
Paul Perkins probably won’t be a first-round selection, but I don’t hate this decision. In fact, I like it a lot. Running backs are prone to getting hurt or accumulating a lot of wear and tear on their bodies, so it’s best for them to declare as soon as possible. Given that Perkins is a potential second-round selection, his choice to go pro makes a ton of sense.
The Verdict: Good move
Corey Tindal, CB, Marshall Height: 5-9. Weight: 180.
Projected 40 Time: 4.46.
Projected Round (2016): 7-FA.
Corey Tindal won’t be drafted in all likelihood. He’s not making a poor decision though, given that he graduated. However, he technically declared for early entry because he could have transferred and played one more year. It doesn’t matter, though. Tindal will have to hope to get a camp invite.
The Verdict: Irrelevant
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Dec. 28:
Artie Burns, CB, Miami Height: 6-0. Weight: 193.
Projected 40 Time: 4.48.
Projected Round (2016): 3-5.
Artie Burns has some major financial issues, but those aren’t taken into account for the verdict. What is, however, is the coaching change. Though Artie Burns is only a mid-round prospect, I can understand why he’d leave for the pros early.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Kenny Clark, DT, UCLA Height: 6-3. Weight: 310.
Projected 40 Time: 5.22.
Projected Round (2016): 1-2.
Kenny Clark was told he’d be a second-round pick by the draft advisory committee, but that group is usually conservative. Clark stands a chance of being chosen in the opening round, so it’s hard not to like this decision.
The Verdict: Good move
Jordan Howard, RB, Indiana Height: 6-1. Weight: 225.
Projected 40 Time: 4.51.
Projected Round (2016): 3-5.
As I’ve always said, I can never blame a running back for declaring early. Jordan Howard is a fringe second-day prospect, but he’d be screwed if he returned to school and suffered an injury.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Cayleb Jones, WR, Arizona Height: 6-3. Weight: 215.
Projected 40 Time: 4.57.
Projected Round (2016): 4-6.
Cayleb Jones is wasting everyone’s time. There was absolutely no reason for him to declare early, as he’s just a third-day prospect. Whoever told Jones to do this needs to stop giving him bad advice.
The Verdict: Bad move
Cleveland Wallace, CB, San Jose State Height: 5-11. Weight: 177.
Projected 40 Time: 4.56.
Projected Round (2016): 5-7.
A small and slow corner, Cleveland Wallace would’ve been better off going back to school. He’s just a late-round prospect.
The Verdict: Bad move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Dec. 27:
Maliek Collins, DT, Nebraska Height: 6-2. Weight: 300.
Projected 40 Time: 5.45.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
Maliek Collins could have been a first-round pick had he waited a year for the 2017 NFL Draft. Instead, he’ll just be another second-day prospect who won’t get the opportunity to shine at the Senior Bowl. There was no great reason for Collins to declare a year early, though he won’t have to deal with any sort of injury.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Dwayne Washington, RB, Washington Height: 6-1. Weight: 221.
Projected 40 Time: 4.42.
Projected Round (2016): 5-7.
Dwayne Washington is projected to be a late-round pick, but I won’t ever criticize a running back for declaring early, given how fragile players at that position happen to be. Washington is most certainly fragile; he has a dubious injury history and missed time this past season with a knee problem. He’s still talented though, so he could be a late-round choice.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Dec. 26:
Hassan Ridgeway, DT, Texas Height: 6-3. Weight: 314.
Projected 40 Time: 5.25.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
Hassan Ridgeway is a likely second-day prospect who won’t have as many opportunities to prove himself. He won’t have a Senior Bowl that will convince a team to draft him in the first round, for example. This isn’t the smartest decision, as Ridgeway should’ve waited another year. However, he at least gets to avoid injury.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Dec. 24:
Alex Redmond, G, UCLA Height: 6-5. Weight: 297.
Projected 40 Time: 5.22.
Projected Round (2016): 5-7.
Talk about selfish and self-entitled: Alex Redmond has ditched his team and won’t play in its bowl game because he declared for the 2016 NFL Draft. Redmond has a nice skill set, but will have trouble being chosen on Day 2 because of his antics. Redmond may have made the worst decision of any underclassman thus far, as he has completely murdered his draft stock.
The Verdict: Bad move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Dec. 23:
Steve Longa, LB, Rutgers Height: 6-1. Weight: 228.
Projected 40 Time: 4.62.
Projected Round (2016): 4-6.
Steve Longa is just a mid-round pick. The only reason this isn’t a “bad move” is because of the coaching change, but Longa probably still should’ve gone back to school.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Alex McCallister, DE, Florida Height: 6-5. Weight: 240.
Projected 40 Time: 4.70.
Projected Round (2016): 5-7.
Alex McCallister was dismissed from the team for violating team rules. He should have transferred to a 1-AA school to rehab his image. He’s just a late-round prospect.
The Verdict: Bad move
Demarcus Robinson, WR, Florida Height: 6-1. Weight: 205.
Projected 40 Time: 4.53.
Projected Round (2016): 3-5.
Demarcus Robinson is declaring at a sell-low time, as he has been suspended this year. He’s also coming off a down season, so bolting for the NFL isn’t the best move. Robinson should have returned to school and rehabilitated his image. As it stands now, Robinson will probably be a mid-round selection.
The Verdict: Bad move
Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame Height: 6-5. Weight: 315.
Projected 40 Time: 5.19.
Projected Round (2016): Top-25 Pick.
Ronnie Stanley was expected to declare, as he’s probably going to be a top-15 selection. He even stands a chance of going in the top five, though he’ll probably be chosen in the 6-10 range, barring a poor pre-draft process. This is an obvious verdict.
The Verdict: No-brainer
Kelvin Taylor, RB, Florida Height: 5-10. Weight: 214.
Projected 40 Time: 4.54.
Projected Round (2016): 3-5.
Unlike the other Florida declarations, I can get behind this one. Son of Fred Taylor, Kelvin is slated to be a mid-round pick, but he’s a running back, so he’s always at a high risk for injury.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Dec. 20:
Scooby Wright III, ILB/OLB, Arizona Height: 6-1. Weight: 246.
Projected 40 Time: 4.68.
Projected Round (2016): 1-2.
Though Scooby Wright is projected by many to be a Thursday night selection, some respected NFL Draft analysts believe he’ll be a mid-round choice. Still, if Wright has a strong draft preseason, he stands a decent chance to be chosen in the opening round, so his decision to declare is a logical one.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Dec. 19:
Quinton Jefferson, DT, Maryland Height: 6-3. Weight: 288.
Projected 40 Time: 4.98.
Projected Round (2016): 6-FA.
Quinton Jefferson is just a late-round prospect, at best. He has declared because he needs the money to support his family, but as I wrote, financial decisions are not factored into my verdict. It’s possible that Jefferson won’t be drafted, so from a pure football perspective, it’s difficult to get behind this decision.
The Verdict: Bad move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Dec. 18:
Su’a Cravens, OLB/S, USC Height: 6-1. Weight: 225.
Projected 40 Time: 4.52.
Projected Round (2016): 1-2.
Su’a Cravens is a tough NFL projection, as many teams will consider him a linebacker-safety tweener. However, he has first-round talent and has a chance to be drafted on Thursday to play for a team in a Shaq Thompson-type role. He might fall to Round 2 if he doesn’t stand out at the Combine, but I can see why he has decided to jump to the pros.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Dec. 16:
Kendall Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech Height: 5-11. Weight: 195.
Projected 40 Time: 4.48.
Projected Round (2016): 1-2.
I currently have Kendall Fuller being chosen in the second round of my 2016 NFL Mock Draft. However, there’s a decent chance that he’ll be taken in the opening round. Also, Virginia Tech is undergoing a coaching change, so I can understand wh Fuller has declared early.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Dec. 12:
Noah Spence, DE, Eastern Kentucky Height: 6-3. Weight: 252.
Projected 40 Time: 4.72.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
Noah Spence was once considered a first-round prospect as an Ohio State pass-rusher. He got into trouble and was dismissed from the team. However, he has appeared to turn things around at Eastern Kentucky. He could be a second-round pick this April if teams like what they hear from him in interviews. I don’t know if NFL front offices would be more confident in Spence had he waited another year, so it makes sense for him to declare now.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame Height: 6-5. Weight: 315.
Projected 40 Time: 5.19.
Projected Round (2016): Top-20 Pick.
Barring a pre-draft disaster, Ronnie Stanley is a lock to go in the first round, and there’s a good chance he’ll be selected in the top 10. Given that, there was no reason for him to go back to school. He could’ve only hurt himself, as scouts may have found something wrong with him with more tape.
The Verdict: No-brainer
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Dec. 10:
Shaq Lawson, DE, Clemson Height: 6-3. Weight: 275.
Projected 40 Time: 4.77.
Projected Round (2016): 1-2.
Shaq Lawson could be a first-round pick, and some even project him as a top-20 selection. Some of the teams we’ve spoken to think he might fall to the second round, but regardless, there’s a chance Lawson will be chosen on Thursday night, which makes this decision a positive one. He’s not a first-round lock though, so he’ll need to nail all of his pre-draft activities.
The Verdict: Good move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Dec. 5:
Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor Height: 5-10. Weight: 190.
Projected 40 Time: 4.48.
Projected Round (2016): 1-3.
Corey Coleman will probably be selected in the second round; we know of one team that has given him a late second-round grade. However, he has an outside shot of being chosen in the first frame, so I think declaring is the right move. I don’t know if Coleman could improve his stock much more by going back to school, as all he would be doing is risking injury.
The Verdict: Good move
Underclassmen Declaring for the 2016 NFL Draft – Dec. 4 or earlier:
Pharoh Cooper, WR, South Carolina Height: 5-11. Weight: 208.
Projected 40 Time: 4.47.
Projected Round (2015): 2-3.
Pharoh Cooper will probably chosen at some point on Day 2, and his first-round prospects are slim. However, his decision to bolt early makes sense, given that there’s a coaching change at South Carolina. What if the new staff uses him improperly and his stock plummets as a result? It’s better for Cooper to be safe than sorry.
The Verdict: Makes sense
Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State Height: 6-0. Weight: 225.
Projected 40 Time: 4.54.
Projected Round (2016): 1-2.
Ezekiel Elliott is likely to be chosen in the first round – I have the Texans picking him in my 2016 NFL Mock Draft – so this is obviously a great decision. Any running back slated to be chosen in the opening three frames needs to declare as soon as possible.
The Verdict: No-brainer
Leonard Floyd, 3-4OLB, Georgia Height: 6-4. Weight: 230.
Projected 40 Time: 4.60.
Projected Round (2016): 1-2.
Unless I truly believe a player isn’t ready to take the next step, I’ll almost always give them a “no-brainer” verdict if they’re slated to be taken in the first round. That’s the case for Leonard Floyd, who is most definitely ready to play in the NFL. The coaching change at Georgia makes this decision even easier.
The Verdict: No-brainer
Germain Ifedi, OT, Texas A&M Height: 6-5. Weight: 320.
Projected 40 Time: 5.33.
Projected Round (2016): 2-4.
I currently have Germain Ifedi slotted in the second round of my 2016 NFL Mock Draft, but he could drop much further than that. Teams don’t think that Ifedi has the athleticism to play left tackle, so even though some may disagree with that opinion, Ifedi could still fall. With that in mind, he’s making a very questionable decision here; going back to school to showcase that he can man the blind side would’ve been beneficial.
The Verdict: Bad move
Myles Jack, OLB, UCLA Height: 6-1. Weight: 230.
Projected 40 Time: 4.58.
Projected Round (2016): 1-2.
Todd Gurley’s 2015 performance is great news for Myles Jack’s draft outlook. Gurley, who also came off a knee injury, was dominant for the Rams in the early going, so teams won’t be hesitant to draft Jack, perhaps as high as the 6-10 range. Jack, like Gurley, can get better treatment in the NFL, so going pro makes the most sense for him.
The Verdict: No-brainer
Yannick Ngakoue, 3-4OLB, Maryland Height: 6-2. Weight: 255.
Projected 40 Time: 4.82.
Projected Round (2015): 1-3.
Ideally, Yannick Ngakoue would return to school and emerge as a first-round prospect in the 2017 NFL Draft. I think he’d be better off going to back to Maryland, but I won’t label this as a bad move for two reasons. First, there’s a coaching change at the school, so that may have ended up being a tough spot for Ngakoue if he clashed with the new staff for whatever reason. And second, there’s an outside chance that Ngakoue breaks into the end of the first round with a strong showing leading up to the draft.
The Verdict: Makes sense
2016 NFL Draft Underclassmen Rumors:
All of these are from Charlie Campbell. These prospects are expected to declare:
Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss
Jalen Ramsey, CB/S, Florida State
Vernon Hargreaes, CB, Florida (definitely coming out, barring injury)
Demarcus Robinson, WR, Florida (extremely likely to come out)
Keanu Neal, S, Florida (leaning towards declaring)
Kelvin Taylor, RB, Florida (leaning towards declaring)
Jarrad Davis, LB, Florida (considering it)
Marcus Mate, S, Florida (considering it)
Major Prospects Going Back to School:
Jonathan Allen, DE, Alabama Height: 6-3. Weight: 264.
Projected 40 Time: 4.76.
Projected Round (2016): 1-2.
Jonathan Allen was almost certain to be a first-round pick, perhaps slated to go in the mid-teens. Many prospects make a mistake by coming out too early, but Allen’s error is not declaring soon enough.
The Verdict: Bad move
Kendell Beckwith, ILB, LSU Height: 6-2. Weight: 252.
Projected 40 Time: 4.75.
Projected Round (2015): 3-4.
There was probably a good chance that Kendell Beckwith would’ve snuck into the end of the third round of the 2016 NFL Draft, so why would he declare early? Perhaps Beckwith could enter second-round consideration with another year.
The Verdict: Good move
Travin Dural, WR, LSU Height: 6-2. Weight: 192.
Projected 40 Time: 4.56.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
Travin Dural was coming off a torn hamstring and wouldn’t have been able to participate in the Combine, so going back to school is the right decision.
The Verdict: Good move
Pat Elfein, G, Ohio State Height: 6-3. Weight: 300.
Projected 40 Time: 5.29.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
Pat Elflein is coming off a terrific season, but he was still projected to be just a second-day pick. If Elflein has another strong year, he could be chosen in the first round of the 2017 NFL Draft, so going back to school is a good decision.
The Verdict: Good move
Jake Butt, TE, Michigan Height: 6-6. Weight: 248.
Projected 40 Time: 4.71.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
A favorite player of Matt Millen’s, Jake Butt might have been a second-round prospect had he declared. I like Butt’s decision to return to Michigan, as Jim Harbaugh could help him emerge as a potential first-rounder with a strong 2016 campaign.
The Verdict: Good move
Evan Engram, TE, Ole Miss Height: 6-3. Weight: 227.
Projected 40 Time: 4.64.
Projected Round (2016): 2-4.
Evan Engram had some hype entering this season, but he has been a disappointment. There was absolutely no reason for him to declare, as there was a slight chance he would’ve fallen to Day 3. If Engram rebounds, he could be a solid second-round prospect heading into the 2017 NFL Draft.
The Verdict: Good move
Devonte Fields, 3-4OLB, Louisville Height: 6-4. Weight: 240.
Projected 40 Time: 4.65.
Projected Round (2016): 4-6.
Devonte Fields had a great 2015 campaign, nearly collecting 11 sacks and 22.5 TFL. However, given his past off-the-field issues, he was expected to be a day-three pick. If Fields has another clean season, he could move into day-two consideration. I like his decision to go back to school, as it shows maturity.
The Verdict: Good move
O.J. Howard, TE, Alabama Height: 6-6. Weight: 237.
Projected 40 Time: 4.64.
Projected Round (2016): 1-2.
It baffles me that so many prospects don’t get the concept of buying low and selling high. O.J. Howard didn’t do much all year before putting together an unreal performance in the National Championship. The obvious choice would’ve been selling high on himself. Instead, he’s going back to school, where he could have another mediocre season.
The Verdict: Bad move
Kareem Hunt, RB, Toledo Height: 5-11. Weight: 225.
Projected 40 Time: 4.55.
Projected Round (2016): 3-5.
Kareem Hunt only had a chance to be a third-round prospect, at best, but he’s making a mistake. Running backs shouldn’t stay in school because they don’t have a long shelf life.
The Verdict: Bad move
Eddie Jackson, S/CB, Alabama Height: 6-0. Weight: 175.
Projected 40 Time: 4.53.
Projected Round (2016): 3-4.
Eddie Jackson’s decision comes as a surprise, as I thought he would declare. He was only going to be a second-day selection, however. Charlie Campbell has him in the first round of his 2017 NFL Draft, so I’d say Jackson is making the right move.
The Verdict: Good move
Desmond King, CB, Iowa Height: 5-11. Weight: 200.
Projected 40 Time: 4.50.
Projected Round (2016): 2-3.
Desmond King didn’t have much of a chance to be a first-round pick in 2016, but he’ll have a better shot next year. Given that he was a projected second-day selection this April, he’s making a good decision by going back to school.
The Verdict: Good move
Carl Lawson, 3-4OLB, Auburn Height: 6-2. Weight: 257.
Projected 40 Time: 4.74.
Projected Round (2015): 3-5.
Carl Lawson is making a terrific decision. He’s a solid prospect, but may have fallen to Day 3 because of his durability issues. If he stays healthy next year, he could bounce back to second-round consideration.
The Verdict: No-brainer
Cordrea Tankersley, CB, Clemson Height: 6-1. Weight: 195.
Projected 40 Time: 4.46.
Projected Round (2015): 3-5.
I had Cordrea Tankersley being chosen in the fourth round of my mock, so it’s nice that he has a great support system to help him make great decisions. Tankersley could improve to second-round consideration with a strong 2016 campaign.
The Verdict: Good move
Tre’Davious White, CB, LSU Height: 5-11. Weight: 191.
Projected 40 Time: 4.53.
Projected Round (2016): 1-2.
Tre’Davious White was a likely first-rounder, so I have no idea why he would risk sinking his draft stock by returning to school.
The Verdict: Bad move
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