NBA Picks



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2020-21 NBA Picks: 98-96-5 (+$1,045)
2019-20 NBA Picks: 47-46-1 (+$450)
2018-19 NBA Picks: 114-98-4 (+$3,550)
2017-18 NBA Picks: 63-66-2 (-$1,850)
2016-17 NBA Picks: 51-67-2 (-$4,620)
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2014-15 NBA Picks: 62-53-4 (+$250)
2013-14 NBA Picks: 59-51-4 (+$760)
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2011-12 NBA Picks: 38-46-1 (-$3,005)
2010-11 NBA Picks: 113-89-4 (+$2,690)
2009-10 NBA Picks: 116-98-4 (+$1,375)
2008-09 NBA Picks: 122-119-6 (-$2,280)
2007-08 NBA Picks: 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
Follow @walterfootball for updates.



Tuesday, July 20, 2021


Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 5.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)

I suspected that the public would pound the Bucks tonight after their big win in Phoenix, but that's not the case. There's a slight lean on Phoenix, which is not something I would recommend. The Suns got to the NBA Finals by taking advantage of injuries to Anthony Davis, Jamal Murray and Kawhi Leonard. They're a very good team, but the Bucks are better, now that Giannis Antetokounmpo is healthy. Chris Paul continues to be banged up, and he could struggle even more tonight because Scott Foster is the referee. Milwaukee should win and cover tonight, ending the NBA Finals.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.




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NBA Pick: Bucks -5.5 +105 (2 Units) - Bovada





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Saturday, July 17, 2021 (1-0, +$310)


Milwaukee Bucks at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 4.

9:00 PM ET (Game 509-510)

The Suns have taken advantage of teams with injured players throughout the playoffs. They beat the Anthony Davis-less Lakers in the first round, the Jamal Murray-less Nuggets in the next round, and then the Kawhi Leonard-less Clippers in the Western Conference Finals. In the first two games of this series, they beat the Bucks, who didn't have Giannis Antetokounmpo at full strength. Now, Antetokounmpo is healthy. Conversely, the Suns are banged up. Chris Paul seems to be nursing some undisclosed injury. Dario Saric is sidelined. Cam Payne is banged up, too. Yet, everyone is betting the Suns. I like the Bucks tonight, and I think they'll win outright, so I'll be betting the moneyline.

NBA Pick: Bucks +155 (2 Units) - Bovada -- Correct; +$310





Wednesday, July 14, 2021 (1-0, +$210)


Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

Giannis Antetokounmpo was limited in his first two games of the finals because of the injury he suffered against Atlanta. That was not the case in Game 3, which saw him absolutely dominate Phoenix. As good as the Suns are defensively, they have no answer for Antetokounmpo, who should have another big game, as Milwaukee wins by double digits again.

NBA Pick: Bucks -5 +106 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210







Sunday, July 11, 2021 (1-0, +$200)


Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The sportsbooks are begging the public to bet the Suns at this number. I won't be doing that. This is a must-win game for the Bucks, and Giannis Antetokounmpo should be 100 percent after two days of rest. The Bucks are suddenly deeper than the Suns, too, given the injuries to Dario Saric and Torrey Craig.

NBA Pick: Bucks -5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200





Thursday, July 8, 2021 (1-0, +$210)


Milwaukee Bucks at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 5.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)

I liked the Bucks heading into the NBA Finals, but Giannis Antetokounmpo doesn't appear to be 100 percent. The Bucks also didn't have an answer for Deandre Ayton. Perhaps Antetokounmpo will be healthier after two days of rest in Game 3, but I like the Suns to win by double digits in this contest.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Suns -5.5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210





Tuesday, July 6, 2021 (1-0, +$200)


Milwaukee Bucks at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

I was waiting on Giannis Antetokounmpo's status before posting this pick. He'll play, which is a surprise. Because of this, I like the Suns. It seems as though the Bucks are rushing him back, which is never good. With the line dropping, I like the Suns to cover.

NBA Pick: Suns -5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200





Saturday, July 3, 2021 (1-0, +$210)


Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 3.

8:30 PM ET (Game 561-562)

Trae Young will play, which makes the Bucks more viable for me. It seems as though the Hawks are rushing him back because this is a must-win game. The Bucks have the two best healthiest players in this game, yet they are underdogs. I think they'll win outright.

NBA Pick: Bucks +3 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210





Thursday, July 1, 2021 (1-0, +$210)


Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 5.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 541-542)

The Bucks were a complete no-show in Game 4, which was a disappointment. They didn't even have a chance to make a comeback once Giannis Antetokunmpo got hurt. He's out in this game, but so is Trae Young. The Bucks still have the two best players on the court, and I think they'll win by double digits after Tuesday's embarrassment.

NBA Pick: Bucks -5.5 +104 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210





Wednesday, June 30, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 1.

9:00 PM ET (Game 531-532)

I was waiting to see Ivica Zubac would be sidelined for this game. He is, so this will force the Clippers to go smaller, which is a better tactic for them. They could have won every game they lost in this series, so there's a good chance they make things even tonight.

NBA Pick: Clippers -1 +107 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200





Tuesday, June 29, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Bucks by 7.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 521-522)

The Bucks played poorly through three quarters in Game 3, yet they ended up beating the Hawks by double digits. Trae Young got banged up in that game and may not be 100 percent for this contest. If so, the Hawks have no chance of keeping this game close, though I believe it'll be a blowout regardless. The Bucks are just so much better than the Hawks.

NBA Pick: Bucks -7.5 +104 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200





Monday, June 28, 2021 (1-0, +$210)


Los Angeles Clippers at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 5.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)

The Suns are up 3-1, yet the Clippers have outscored Phoenix in this series. The Suns have won by one, four and six points in their victories. If the ball bounced a couple of different ways, the Clippers would be up 3-1. Considering this spread, the Clippers seem appealing, especially given that their backs will be against the wall.

NBA Pick: Clippers +5.5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210





Sunday, June 27, 2021 (1-0, +$200)


Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Bucks by 5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 501-502)

Barring injury, there shouldn't be a huge disparity between teams in a conference finals matchup. That is the case here, however, because the Hawks prevailed in a series they shouldn't have won. If the Bucks are fully focused the rest of the way, they'll win the next three games in blowout fashion. Atlanta simply doesn't have the talent to compete with a Milwaukee team that's paying attention to them.

NBA Pick: Bucks -5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200





Saturday, June 26, 2021 (1-0, +$200)


Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Suns by 1.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 591-592)

I criticized Ty Lue after the Clippers trailed 2-0 in the opening round, but he's done an excellent job since. However, I just don't see how he can have many more tricks up his sleeve with Kawhi Leonard sidelined. Chris Paul and Devin Booker, who shot a combined 10-of-40 in Game 3, will be better tonight, and I think there's a good chance they win to go up 3-1 in this series.

NBA Pick: Suns -1.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200





Friday, June 25, 2021 (1-0, +$210)


Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 9.

8:30 PM ET (Game 561-562)

The Hawks surprised the Bucks in Game 1, who must have taken Atlanta for granted after realizing that they would not have to battle the 76ers. Coming off a loss, Milwaukee will be focused for this game, which should be a blowout. The public is pounding the Hawks, which makes me like the Bucks even more.

NBA Pick: Bucks -9 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210







Thursday, June 24, 2021 (1-0, +$215)


Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 1.

9:00 PM ET (Game 571-572)

Everyone seems to be betting the road favorite Suns even though the two games in Phoenix went down to the wire. I know Chris Paul is back, but the Clippers are desperate. They must win this game to keep the series going, and I think they will.

NBA Pick: Clippers -1 +107 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$215





Wednesday, June 23, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 8.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 561-562)

It's ridiculous that the 76ers lost to the Hawks. Joel Embiid got hurt, while Ben Simmons was exposed as a terrible offensive player. The Bucks will provide an actual challenge for this above-average Atlanta team. I expect the Bucks to win this series quickly, and I think they'll win in a blowout tonight.

NBA Pick: Bucks -8.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200





Tuesday, June 22, 2021 (1-0, +$210)


Los Angeles Clippers at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 4.

9:00 PM ET (Game 551-552)

This is a tough call. I like the Clippers if Marcus Morris is healthy. His injury in Game 1 allowed the Suns to take over in the second half. He'll play in this contest, but it's not clear if he's 100 percent. With Chris Paul out again for some reason, the Clippers could steal this game if Morris is himself.

NBA Pick: Clippers +4 +104 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210





Sunday, June 20, 2021 (0-2, -$400)


Los Angeles Clippers at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 3.5.

3:30 PM ET (Game 535-536)

Someone needs to explain to me why these teams are playing so soon. The Eastern Conference semi-finals aren't even over yet. Why rush this series? It would make sense to wait a day at least to allow everyone to heal. As it stands, Chris Paul and Kawhi Leonard are out, which is an advantage for the Clippers, as the Suns are not the same team without Paul. It's unclear why Paul can't play even though he's "vaccinated," but I'll take the points with the underdog.

NBA Pick: Clippers +3.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200




Atlanta Hawks at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 7.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 533-534)

The public is betting the Hawks, which is music to my ears because I already loved the 76ers. Philadelphia should have won this series in five, but fell asleep in two second halves. The 76ers are the far better team, and that's not even factoring in Bogdan Bogdanovic's knee injury. There's a chance Bogdanovic could play, but even if he does, he could be ineffective. I expect this to be a blowout. This spread is currently -7.5 +105 at Bookmaker, but I'm going to look for something better later in the day. I may not be home because of Father's Day, so I may update on Twitter.

NBA Pick: 76ers -7.5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200





Saturday, June 19, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Milwaukee Bucks at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Nets by 2.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 521-522)

I figured Kevin Durant wouldn't be able to live up to his legendary Game 5 performance, which resulted in a Milwaukee victory in Game 6. However, Durant is the best player in the world now that he's healthy, and I expect him to come up big in this deciding contest. He'll find a way to lead his team to victory.

NBA Pick: Nets -2.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200





Friday, June 18, 2021 (2-0, +$420)


Philadelphia 76ers at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: 76ers by 3.

7:30 PM ET (Game 511-512)

If the 76ers hadn't blown their huge second-half leads in the past two games, this series would have been over already. I have to think they're not going to collapse again. It could happen, but I expect Philadelphia to dominate this game and ultimately win the series.

NBA Pick: 76ers -3 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210




Utah Jazz at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Jazz by 1.

10:00 PM ET (Game 513-514)

I was way off when I bet the Jazz in Game 5. The issue was Donovan Mitchell's health. He's clearly not 100 percent, so unless he suddenly improves, I don't expect Utah to win this game. The public is pounding Utah, so I'll gladly side with the Clippers.

NBA Pick: Clippers +1 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210







Thursday, June 17, 2021 (1-0, +$210)


Brooklyn Nets at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 6.

8:30 PM ET (Game 501-502)

I still don't understand what I saw last night with the 76ers. Hopefully we have better luck tonight with the Bucks. Like Philadelphia, Milwaukee blew a huge lead in Game 5, though their collapse was more understandable because Kevin Durant went nuts. Yet, as incredible as Durant was, the Nets still almost lost that game. Durant won't be able to do the same thing two games in a row, so I'm going to pick the Bucks. This number may seem high, but it's enticing the public to pound the Nets. I'll be happy to go the other way.

NBA Pick: Bucks -6 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210







Wednesday, June 16, 2021 (0-2, -$400)


Atlanta Hawks at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 7.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 581-582)

I was waiting on Joel Embiid's status to post this pick. Embiid will play, which is obviously great news for the 76ers. The Hawks won Game 4, but they were getting blown out before Embiid went into the locker room to receive treatment. Embiid was not the same once he returned, going 0-of-12 in the second half. The Hawks barely squeaked out a victory with Embiid playing terribly, and I can only assume that he'll be better in this contest.

NBA Pick: 76ers -7.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200




Los Angeles Clippers at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 8.5.

10:00 PM ET (Game 583-584)

I liked the Clippers to win this series, but Kawhi Leonard's ACL injury changes everything. I don't see how the already-thin Clippers are going to contend with the Jazz without Leonard. Paul George will be asked to do a ton, and he'll choke like he always does. The Clippers also won't get their usual open looks from three with Leonard gone. The Jazz are very strong at home, so they could easily win in a blowout.

NBA Pick: Jazz -8.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200





Tuesday, June 15, 2021 (1-0, +$215)


Milwaukee Bucks at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Pick.

8:30 PM ET (Game 571-572)

This is a tough call. On one hand, this spread is wrong. With James Harden back in the lineup, the Nets should be favored by three or four points, but the sportsbooks can't set that line because they'd be exposed to a huge middle. Thus, we're getting a ton of value with the Nets. On the other hand, Harden may not be close to 100 percent. If he's a shell of his former self, the Bucks will probably win this game. I'm going to bet that Harden will have a solid performance, but I could see it going the other way.

NBA Pick: Nets PK +107 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$215





Monday, June 14, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Philadelphia 76ers at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: 76ers by 3.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 561-562)

Everyone is betting the 76ers, but the public can be on the correct side sometimes. I believe this is one of those occasions. The Hawks have no answers for what the 76ers are doing. They can't stop Joel Embiid or Tobias Harris. The Hawks could win if they hit all of their threes like they did in Game 1, but unless they get super lucky, Philadelphia is going up 3-1 in this series.

NBA Pick: 76ers -3.5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200







Sunday, June 13, 2021 (1-0, +$225)


Brooklyn Nets at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Pick.

3:00 PM ET (Game 551-552)

Everyone is on the Nets. Nearly 90 percent of the action is on the Nets for some reason, yet the Bucks would be up 2-1 in this series if they hadn't shot the ball miserably in their eight-point Game 1 loss. They'll be more desperate than the Nets in this game because they'll be down 3-1 with a defeat, so I think they'll even the series this afternoon.

NBA Pick: Bucks PK +112 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$225





Saturday, June 12, 2021 (1-0, +$200)


Utah Jazz at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 541-542)

I haven't touched this series yet because I thought it was a coin flip. That was the case for the first two games, which could have gone either way. Now down 2-0, the Clippers will be absolutely desperate to keep their season alive. The public is betting the Jazz aggressively, so I'm more than happy to go the contrarian route and wager on the host.

NBA Pick: Clippers -5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200





Friday, June 11, 2021 (1-0, +$200)


Philadelphia 76ers at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: 76ers by 2.

7:30 PM ET (Game 531-532)

I can't believe the Bucks didn't cover last night after jumping out to a huge lead. I don't understand how their offense has become so inept after they dominated the Heat in the previous series. Anyway, the 76ers lost Game 1 because the Hawks hit every shot imaginable, while there was a lid over Philadelphia's rim. Things regressed to the mean in Game 2, allowing the 76ers to prevail. This should be the norm going forward. Atlanta may have one more lucky game remaining, but the 76ers should be able to take care of business the rest of the way.

NBA Pick: 76ers -2 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200





Thursday, June 10, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Brooklyn Nets at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 4.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 521-522)

This is the easiest bet in the world to some people. Everyone is lining up to bet the Nets, who are getting points after demolishing Milwaukee a few nights ago. Nearly 70 percent of the action is on the Nets, yet the juice on the Bucks is higher at the sharp books (Pinnacle, CRIS) than the square ones. Vegas is baiting the public into a bad wager. I like the desperate Bucks to bounce back; they nearly beat the Nets in Game 1 despite shooting horrendously, so perhaps they'll have better success at home.

NBA Pick: Bucks -4.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200







Wednesday, June 9, 2021 (1-0, +$200)


Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 5.5.

9:30 PM ET (Game 511-512)

I bet the Nuggets in Game 1 because I assumed Chris Paul wouldn't be healthy. Whoops! Paul looked terrific in that contest, which makes the Suns a big favorite in this series, depending on what happens with Will Barton. He's worth noting because he'll return tonight, but he may not be 100 percent yet.

NBA Pick: Suns -5.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200







Tuesday, June 8, 2021 (1-0, +$210)


Atlanta Hawks at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 7.

7:30 PM ET (Game 501-502)

The Hawks were hitting every shot they took in Game 1, while the 76ers appeared to have a lid on their rim. Things will regress to the mean eventually, and if it happens in this game, it could be a blowout victory in Philadelphia's favor.

NBA Pick: 76ers -7 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210







Monday, June 7, 2021 (0-2, -$400)


Milwaukee Bucks at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Bucks by 1.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 581-582)

I thought that the Bucks would win Game 1, but they ended up losing. However, they shot just 6-of-30 from three, and yet they suffered a defeat of just eight points. It's unlikely that they'll shoot as poorly again, so I believe they'll even this series tonight.

NBA Pick: Bucks -1.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200




Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 4.5.

10:00 PM ET (Game 583-584)

There's a decent amount of action coming in on the Suns, which works for me because I'm siding with the Nuggets. It might be possible that Chris Paul is healthy now, but I doubt it. Paul being hurt really damages the Suns' chances of winning this series because they're supposed to have a big edge in the backcourt. The Nuggets will beat the Suns on the glass, which the Lakers would have done had Anthony Davis not gotten hurt.

NBA Pick: Nuggets +4.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200







Sunday, June 6, 2021 (1-0, +$200)


Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 7.

3:30 PM ET (Game 573-574)

The road team is 6-0 straight up and against the spread, so the Mavericks obviously have to win this game, right? That's what the public is thinking. Three-quarters of the betting action is on Dallas. Yet, there's no logical reason this trend should continue. The Clippers' three wins in this series have all been by seven or more, and I think they'll prevail in Game 7.

NBA Pick: Clippers -7 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200







Saturday, June 5, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Milwaukee Bucks at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Nets by 3.

7:30 PM ET (Game 561-562)

Everyone expects the Bucks to fold like they did last year, but they showed that they're a different team now after sweeping the Heat. Jrue Holiday is a huge upgrade over Eric Bledsoe, while P.J. Tucker gives them some great interior depth. Milwaukee matches up well with the Nets because of its size. Brooklyn can't rebound at all, so the Bucks are going to kill them on the glass in this series. I believe they'll win in six, and I think they'll win at least one of the first two games.

NBA Pick: Bucks +3 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200







Friday, June 4, 2021 (1-0, +$200)


Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Clippers by 3.

9:00 PM ET (Game 557-558)

I think the sharp action coming in on the Clippers is correct. They lost Game 5, which was a surprise, but they're still the better team, and they'll be more desperate because they're on the brink of elimination.

NBA Pick: Clippers -3 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200







Thursday, June 3, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Denver Nuggets at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 5.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 545-546)

The Nuggets had some huge contributions from Austin Rivers and Monte Morris in their double-overtime win in Game 5. However, role players are far less effective on the road - unless they happen to be Dallas Mavericks, apparently - so I don't see either doing as much in this contest. I believe Portland will even this series, with Jusuf Nurkic set to have a big game. Nurkic dealt with foul trouble in Game 5, but he should have better luck in that regard at home.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers -5.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200







Wednesday, June 2, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Washington Bullets at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 5.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 537-538)

Joel Embiid is out tonight. This fundamentally changes this entire series. The Bullets had no chance of beating the 76ers with Embiid protecting the rim, but Philadelphia's defense is much worse now. This seems like a 50-50 game, so I'm taking the 5.5 points. I also bet the Bucks to win the NBA Finals (6:1 on Bookmaker) in the wake of Embiid's injury.

NBA Pick: Bullets +5.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200







Tuesday, June 1, 2021 (2-0, +$405)


Boston Celtics at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Nets by 13.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 521-522)

The 76ers were looking good yesterday until Joel Embiid got hurt. Anyway, the Celtics shot their wad in Game 3. They had an impressive win, but they are done. Kemba Walker being out in addition to Jaylen Brown is a huge blow for this team. This game should be an easy blowout.

NBA Pick: Nets -13.5 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$205




Portland Trailblazers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 2.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 523-524)

The Nuggets were destroyed in Game 4, so I expect them to make some serious adjustments and win this contest to go up in the series. I believe this is going seven games, so Denver looks good at just -2.5.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -2.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200







Monday, May 31, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Philadelphia 76ers at Washington Bullets.
Line: 76ers by 9.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)

This number is high, but only because the sportsbooks don't want the public to bet the 76ers, which everyone is doing anyway. I want to get this in early because there's a chance Russell Westbrook won't play. I imagine he will, but he's banged up and may just sit out if he realizes there is no hope of winning this series.

NBA Pick: 76ers -9.5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200







Saturday, May 29, 2021 (1-0, +$200)


Philadelphia 76ers at Washington Bullets.
Line: 76ers by 7.

7:00 PM ET (Game 575-576)

The 76ers tend to play down to their competition in the regular season, but we haven't seen that in the playoffs thus far. I think they'll be motivated to get as much rest as possible like the Bucks just did in their sweep over the Heat. Plus, Russell Westbrook is banged up, so that really hurts Washington's chances of keeping this game close.

NBA Pick: 76ers -7 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200







Friday, May 28, 2021 (0-2, -$400)


Brooklyn Nets at Boston Celtics.
Line: Nets by 8.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 563-564)

I thought the Celtics would keep this series competitive, but they look broken. Jaylen Brown's absence is killing them, while Kemba Walker doesn't appear to be healthy. The Nets should be able to close out this series easily.

NBA Pick: Nets -8.5 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200




Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Pick.

9:30 PM ET (Game 565-566)

The Clippers versus the Mavericks. You might be expecting me to bet the Clippers again. That's what the public is doing, but I'm not. I'm done with the Clippers. Ty Lue is a bozo who is incapable of making any adjustments. The Clippers don't seem to be trying very hard either, as they failed to fight through screens in Game 2. I'm betting the Mavericks moneyline.

NBA Pick: Mavericks PK +130 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200







Thursday, May 27, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 1.

7:30 PM ET (Game 551-552)

I don't quite understand why the Heat were blown out in Game 2, but they were ahead of the Bucks for most of the prior contest. I refuse to believe the Bucks can sweep a good team like Miami, so I think the desperate Heat will take back a game in the series tonight.

NBA Pick: Heat -1 +107 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200







Wednesday, May 26, 2021 (1-0, +$210)


Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 2.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 535-536)

The Knicks lost Game 1 at the last second despite Julius Randle having a miserable performance. He'll bounce back and dominate the Hawks tonight, as the desperate Knicks will likely get the win in a series that'll likely go the distance.

NBA Pick: Knicks -2.5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210







Tuesday, May 25, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 7.5.

10:30 PM ET (Game 535-536)

I can't believe the Clippers lost Game 1. They're so much better than the Mavericks, so I can't see it happening again. They're going all out to avoid dropping to 0-2 in this series, so I think they'll win this game in a blowout.

NBA Pick: Clippers -7.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200







Monday, May 24, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 4.

7:30 PM ET (Game 521-522)

The first Bucks-Heat game went to overtime even though Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo shot a combined 8-of-37 from the field. That's not going to happen again. The Heat match up well with the Bucks, and it could be argued that they're the slightly better team.

NBA Pick: Heat +4 +104 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200







Sunday, May 23, 2021 (1-1, $0)


Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 3.

3:30 PM ET (Game 513-514)

The Lakers were lucky to beat the Warriors in the play-in game. Everyone is seemingly impressed with that win, and yet Golden State went on to lose to Memphis. The Lakers don't possess the same role players they had in the bubble last year, so I don't see them repeating as champions. In fact, the Suns could beat them in this series if LeBeijing James isn't 100 percent.

NBA Pick: Suns -3 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200




Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 2.

7:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

The Knicks have a huge mismatch in the paint, as no one on Atlanta will be able to guard Julius Randle. I expect Randle and Derrick Rose to have a big series for the Knicks, and I think they'll begin with a victory at home.

NBA Pick: Knicks -2 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200







Saturday, May 22, 2021 (1-2, -$200)


Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 5.

2:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)

The Heat had some major injury issues throughout the year, yet they managed to finish with the sixth seed. Had they remained healthy for most of their games, they would be a much higher seed. We're getting great value with Miami, a team that matches up very well against the Bucks.

NBA Pick: Heat +5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200




Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 6.5.

4:30 PM ET (Game 575-576)

I bet the Clippers to win the NBA championship. If you don't like that after their collapse last year, consider how much better their role players are this season. Serge Ibaka and Rajon Rondo are going to be huge for them in clutch moments. Rondo was a big reason why the Lakers won in the bubble, and having him running the second unit gives Los Angeles a nice boost it didn't have with Lou Williams.

NBA Pick: Clippers -6.5 +104 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200




Boston Celtics at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Nets by 7.

8:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Nets trio has barely played together, and yet they're supposed to just gel together in the playoffs? I'm not buying it. This reminds me of the Miami Heat the first year that LeBeijing James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh joined forces. I'd be surprised if the Nets won the championship, and I could even see them losing this series because of their horrific interior defense and severe coaching mismatch against Brad Stevens.

NBA Pick: Celtics +7 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200







Friday, May 21, 2021 (1-0, +$205)


Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 4.

8:00 PM ET (Game 575-576)

I can't believe the betting action on this game. Eighty percent of the money for side bets is on the Warriors. Eighty-five percent of the moneyline wagers is on Golden State as well. Seventy percent of parlay bets are on the Warriors. Yet, the sportsbooks put out this small line where betting Golden State is super easy. Perhaps the Warriors will win going away, but the Grizzlies could cover or even pull the upset because Jonas Valanciunas and Ja Morant should be able to dominate offensively.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +4 +102 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$205





Thursday, May 20, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Indiana Pacers at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 3.

8:00 PM ET (Game 575-576)

The Bullets and Pacers are evenly matched, so I don't see why the Bullets would be favored by a field goal. I'd say both teams are 50-50 to win this game, so I'm just going to take the +3. Domantas Sabonis should be able to dominate easily.

NBA Pick: Pacers +3 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200







Wednesday, May 19, 2021 (0-2, -$260)


San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 3.

7:30 PM ET (Game 567-568)

If the Spurs had played their top guys 35-plus minutes every night, they would have a better record. They probably wouldn't even be in the play-in tournament. However, we're going to see 40-plus minutes from DeMar DeRozan, Dejounte Murray and the best Spur players, so this spread doesn't seem correct. Also, the Spurs have a major coaching advantage, so I like them to win outright.

NBA Pick: Spurs +3 +107 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200
Spurs +165 (0.6 Units) - Bovada -- Incorrect; -$60







Tuesday, May 18, 2021 (1-0, +$205)


Washington Bullets at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 2.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 561-562)

I've been riding the Bullets down the stretch, but it's time to jump off the bandwagon. They're getting tons of action tonight, but the Celtics are the better team. They'll have everyone back except for Jaylen Brown, but his absence is fine because Evan Fournier has been playing better.

NBA Pick: Celtics -2.5 +102 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$205







Sunday, May 16, 2021 (0-2, -$250)


Houston Rockets at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 7.

7:00 PM ET (Game 531-532)

I'm doing what I did two nights ago. The Hawks have nothing to play for. This line moved up a bit because Trae Young was announced as available to play, but I can't imagine him seeing too many minutes. This will turn into the Houston scrubs versus the Atlanta scrubs, so I'll take the touchdown and the moneyline.

NBA Pick: Rockets +7 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200
Rockets +268 (0.5 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$50





Saturday, May 15, 2021 (0-2, -$400)


Los Angeles Lakers at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Lakers by 9.

1:00 PM ET (Game 517-518)

LeBron James and Dennis Schroder will play this game, as the Lakers seem to be treating this like a dress rehearsal for the playoffs as they attempt to avoid the play-in game. The Pacers, meanwhile, could sit their top guys. Domantas Sabonis got dinged up in the previous game, and his coach wouldn't even let him back on the court because he wanted to preserve his health for the playoffs.

NBA Pick: Lakers -9 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200




Boston Celtics at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 5.5.

1:00 PM ET (Game 519-520)

The Celtics will be sitting most of their starters today. The team they're going to put on the court this afternoon is vastly inferior to what Minnesota has. The Timberwolves should be favored by double digits.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -5.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200







Friday, May 14, 2021 (3-0, +$570)


Orlando Magic at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 15.

8:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

I faded the 76ers last night because I didn't think they'd take that game seriously against the desperate and hot Heat. I don't think they're going to mess around tonight. They need to win to clinch the No. 1 seed, so I think they're going to destroy this terrible Orlando squad.

NBA Pick: 76ers -15 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$205




Los Angeles Clippers at Houston Rockets.
Line: Clippers by 7.

9:00 PM ET (Game 509-510)

Which of these teams is better? I'm not really sure. Obviously, the Clippers would be superior with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George, but all of their starters will be sitting out. The Clippers will be playing their scrubs against Houston's scrubs, so why is one team favored by a touchdown over the other? It makes no sense. I think there's a 50-percent chance Houston wins outright, so I'm betting the moneyline in addition to the +7.

NBA Pick: Rockets +7 +110 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$220
Rockets +293 (0.5 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$145







Thursday, May 13, 2021 (1-1, +$10)


Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 3.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 571-572)

Joel Embiid might sit again tonight. I'll actually be surprised if he plays because the 76ers are preparing for the playoffs. They haven't clinched the No. 1 seed yet, but they'll be playing Orlando twice to close out the regular season. Miami, meanwhile, is on fire, and it needs a win to get a home playoff series in the opening round.

NBA Pick: Heat -3.5 +106 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210




Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 1.

8:00 PM ET (Game 577-578)

The Nuggets are resting most of their starters, including Michael Porter Jr. This game means nothing to them, so I think Minnesota will win. The Timberwolves have been playing very hard because want to build momentum heading into next season.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -1 +122 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200







Wednesday, May 12, 2021 (2-1, +$365)


Washington Bullets at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 6.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 551-552)

These teams are about even, so I don't understand why the Hawks are favored by nearly a touchdown. This game means much more to the Bullets, who can clinch playoff berth with a win. Not only do I think they'll cover; I believe they'll win outright, so I'm going to bet the moneyline in addition to the +6.5.

NBA Pick: Bullets +6.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200
Bullets +243 (0.5 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$50




Portland Trailblazers at Utah Jazz.
Line: Trailblazers by 1.

9:30 PM ET (Game 557-558)

The Blazers have 40 wins, but their record would be much better if they were as healthy throughout the year as they are now. The Jazz have 50 wins, but their record would be worse if they didn't have their starting backcourt, which is the case at the moment. Portland needs this game much more than Utah in order to avoid the play-in tournament. The Jazz, meanwhile, effectively have the top seed locked up, so I believe Portland will win tonight.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers -1 +107 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$215







Tuesday, May 11, 2021 (2-1, +$200)


Minnesota Timberwolves at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Timberwolves by 8.

7:00 PM ET (Game 529-530)

This game comes down to motivation. The Timberwolves are trying hard so they can build momentum for next year. The Pistons, conversely, are tanking so hard that they're not even playing their usual starters in this game.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -8 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200




Brooklyn Nets at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Nets by 4.

8:00 PM ET (Game 537-538)

This spread might seem short, but I don't think it is. The Bulls have been playing much better with Zach LaVine back in the lineup. This is a must-win for them, and I don't think the defensively challenged Nets can stop Nikola Vucevic in the paint.

NBA Pick: Bulls +4 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200




Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers.
Line: 76ers by 5.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 541-542)

Here's another must-win for the home underdog. The 76ers would ordinarily provide a tough matchup for the Pacers, but I doubt Joel Embiid is going to play. This game just doesn't mean anything to Philadelphia, while Indiana is fighting for its life.

NBA Pick: Pacers +5.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200





Monday, May 10, 2021 (1-0, +$230)


Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 1.

10:00 PM ET (Game 525-526)

The Jazz have seemingly done well without their starting backcourt, but all of their recent wins have come at home. It'll be a different story in Golden State. The Warriors are also hot, and they're fighting for positioning in the play-in tournament.

NBA Pick: Warriors -1 +116 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$230





Saturday, May 8, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


San Antonio Spurs at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 5.5.

10:00 PM ET (Game 577-578)

The Spurs are the bet once again tonight. I talked about how that endured a very difficult schedule prior to yesterday. This is another easier opponent, given how bad Portland's defense happens to be. The Blazers nearly lost to the LeBron James- and Dennis Schroder-less Lakers last night at home, so they could go down to San Antonio in this contest.

NBA Pick: Spurs +5.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200





Friday, May 7, 2021 (1-0, +$200)


San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Spurs by 5.5.

10:00 PM ET (Game 563-564)

The Spurs look like a great fade because they've lost four games in a row. However, they've battled through a gauntlet of tough teams. This is a much easier matchup, given that the Kings are missing their top two guards.

NBA Pick: Spurs -5.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200





Thursday, May 6, 2021 (0-0-1, $0)


Washington Bullets at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Bullets by 2.

7:30 PM ET (Game 537-538)

The Bullets will effectively clinch playoff berth with a win tonight. Russell Westbrook has done a great job of willing his team into playoff contention, and he should have a big game tonight. Conversely, this is a must-win for the Raptors, yet they're sitting Kyle Lowry. That just shows how uninterested they are in trying to reach the play-in tournament.

NBA Pick: Bullets -2 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Push; $0





Wednesday, May 5, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Phoenix Suns at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Suns by 1.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 521-522)

The Suns are fighting hard for the No. 1 seed. They played last night, but they play hard every time they're on the court. They should be able to beat the Hawks, who are secure in their playoff spot.

NBA Pick: Suns -1.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200





Monday, May 3, 2021 (1-1, +$5)


New York Knicks at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 3.

9:00 PM ET (Game 575-576)

The Knicks are the better team in this matchup, yet they're getting a field goal. It's probably because they're on a back-to-back, but they're a young team that plays high-effort basketball every game.

NBA Pick: Knicks +3 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$205


San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 7.

10:00 PM ET (Game 577-578)

Seven is a ton of points, considering that the Jazz are missing their entire starting backcourt. The Spurs played last night, but more than half of their starting lineup sat out in anticipation of this game, so they'll have fresh legs.

NBA Pick: Spurs +7 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Sunday, May 2, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Portland Trailblazers at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 1.

7:30 PM ET (Game 551-552)

Ten days ago, the Celtics would have been favored by 4-5 in this matchup, yet they're one-point underdogs tonight because the Blazers have played well of late. I remain skeptical of them because of their shoddy defense. The Celtics will be without Kemba Walker and perhaps Jaylen Brown, but I still think they're going to beat Portland at home.

NBA Pick: Celtics -1 +102 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Thursday, April 29, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


New Orleans Pelicans at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Pelicans by 8.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 555-556)

The Pelicans have been one of the most disappointing teams in the NBA this year. They have great talent, but they're poorly coached, which is why they've failed to cover so much as favorites. They'll be without Steven Adams tonight, which will hurt their defense. Meanwhile, the Thunder will have Lu Dort available, which is huge. Oklahoma City is a completely different team when Dort is available, so it should be able to cover tonight, especially when considering that New Orleans is off a back-to-back.

NBA Pick: Thunder +8.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Wednesday, April 28, 2021 (2-0, +$405)


Los Angeles Lakers at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 1.

7:00 PM ET (Game 553-554)

The Lakers had their "must win" a couple of nights ago. They prevailed by 11, but were struggling to put away a dreadful Orlando team. Now, they get a hot Bullets team that is doing everything in its power to reach the playoffs. Russell Westbrook should have a huge night.

NBA Pick: Bullets -1 +102 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$205


Charlotte Hornets at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 6.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 555-556)

The Hornets looked dreadful yesterday. Now, this is their fifth game in seven nights. The Celtics played last night, but will be getting back Jayson Tatum and Robert Williams, so at least two of their starters will have fresh legs.

NBA Pick: Celtics -6.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Tuesday, April 27, 2021 (0-2, -$400)


Portland Trailblazers at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Trailblazers by 5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 553-554)

I don't think the Blazers are worthy of being a five-point road favorite in this matchup. Their defense is terrible, and Damian Lillard clearly isn't 100 percent. Portland is going to have a tough time guarding the Pacer guards.

NBA Pick: Pacers +5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200


Milwaukee Bucks at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Bucks by 9.

7:00 PM ET (Game 555-556)

The Bucks are always a risk to sit their starters late in the year. This game means nothing to them, while the Hornets are fighting for their playoff lives. Even if the Milwaukee starters play, Charlotte seems like a good side because the Bucks leave shooters wide open, and the Hornets have been hot from three.

NBA Pick: Hornets +9 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Monday, April 26, 2021 (0-1-1, -$200)


Los Angeles Lakers at Orlando Magic.
Line: Lakers by 11.

7:00 PM ET (Game 531-532)

I'm not one to usually back a double-digit road favorite getting public action, but I think the Lakers are going to crush the Magic tonight. Anthony Davis called this game a "must win," given that his team is off a three-game losing streak. Orlando is absolutely dreadful and won't have an answer for Davis or Andre Drummond.

NBA Pick: Lakers -11 +108 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Push; $0


Cleveland Cavaliers at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 11.

7:30 PM ET (Game 541-542)

The Raptors are not a good basketball team, so I have to wonder why they're favored by 11. Yes, the Cavaliers suck, too, but they've kept most of their games close recently. Toronto cannot defend the interior, so the Cleveland bigs should have their way with the Raptors.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers +11 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Sunday, April 25, 2021 (1-0, +$200)


Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Bucks by 6.

7:30 PM ET (Game 525-526)

The Bucks are playing on a back-to-back, with this being their third game in four nights. It wouldn't surprise me in the slightest if they sit some or all of their starters, given that they're coming off two big wins versus the 76ers. Trae Young is out, but Atlanta's defense will be better without him.

NBA Pick: Hawks +6 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Saturday, April 24, 2021 (1-1, -$100)


Detroit Pistons at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 4.

7:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Pistons are playing all of their starters tonight, so they're going to try to win this game. The Pacers cannot play all of their starters because too many players are injured. Indiana has a miserable defense, so the Pistons will be able to score easily en route to a possible upset victory.

NBA Pick: Pistons +4 +104 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200
Jerami Grant Over 28.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists -115 (1 Unit) - BetUS -- Correct; +$100



Friday, April 23, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Cleveland Cavaliers at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Cavaliers by 1.

8:00 PM ET (Game 569-570)

This spread seems strange to me, yet the public is all over Charlotte. This doesn't make sense to me because the banged-up Hornets won't be able to stop Kevin Love or Jarrett Allen in the paint.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers -1 +102 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Thursday, April 22, 2021 (0-1-1, -$115)


Philadelphia 76ers at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 7.

7:00 PM ET (Game 557-558)

This spread is high because Ben Simmons and Tobias Harris are questionable. The thing is, if both are out, I still like the 76ers because the Bucks don't have anyone to stop Joel Embiid. If both end up being active, however, this spread will plummet down to the +3 range.

NBA Pick: 76ers +7 +106 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Push; $0
Joel Embiid Over 44.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists -115 (1 Unit) - BetUS -- Incorrect; -$115



Wednesday, April 21, 2021 (2-1-1, +$125)


Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 1.

8:00 PM ET (Game 541-542)

Both of these teams played last night, but considering that the Hawks have a number of injuries hurting their depth, it could impact their performance in this game more than New York. I'm betting the Knicks again. Their defense is outstanding, and Atlanta's struggles against power forwards could allow Julius Randle to have a huge performance.

NBA Pick: Knicks -1 +112 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$225
Julius Randle Over 41.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists -115 (1 Unit) - BetUS -- Correct; +$100


Detroit Pistons at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 10.

8:30 PM ET (Game 545-546)

Who did the Mavericks sleep with to be favored by double digits? They've been an incredibly disappointing team this year. The Pistons aren't any good, but they try hard and will be playing all of their starters tonight.

NBA Pick: Pistons +10 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Push; $0


Denver Nuggets at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Nuggets by 2.

10:00 PM ET (Game 549-550)

I don't understand why the Blazers are close to being a pick 'em in this matchup. The rule with them is that you bet them versus bad teams, and you fade them against great opponents. I know Damian Lillard is returning, but he may not be 100 percent yet. Even if he is, the Blazers don't have the personnel in the paint to answer Nikola Jokic and the rest of Denver's bigs.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -2 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Tuesday, April 20, 2021 (1-1, $0)


Brooklyn Nets at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 3.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 521-522)

This is a nice revenge spot for the Pelicans, who lost to the Nets when they were banged up earlier in the season. New Orleans is fully healthy now, and it should have its way with an injury-ravaged Brooklyn team that won't be able to defend Zion Williamson or Steven Adams in the paint.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -3.5 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200


Charlotte Hornets at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 6.

7:30 PM ET (Game 523-524)

I thought this was a trap line until I saw that more than 60 percent of the public is betting the Hornets. I don't understand why. New York is such an underrated team. Its defense will suffocate the shorthanded Hornets, who won't be able to do anything about Julius Randle in the paint.

NBA Pick: Knicks -6 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Monday, April 19, 2021 (1-0, +$200)


San Antonio Spurs at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Spurs by 4.

8:00 PM ET (Game 513-514)

Gregg Popovich tends to act like a raging lunatic, but he's a damn good basketball coach. He knew to rest everyone two days ago, so now all of his primary players are fresh. That should lead to a victory in this game over the Pacers, who won't have some of their primary players tonight.

NBA Pick: Spurs -4 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Sunday, April 18, 2021 (0-2, -$400)


Portland Trailblazers at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Trailblazers by 5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 573-574)

The Trailblazers haven't been very difficult to figure out this year. They've beaten the bad teams, and they've lost to the good teams. It's as simple as that. Given that the Hornets will be without Gordon Hayward, Malik Monk and LaMelo Ball, I'd say they're a bad team. Portland won't have Damian Lillard, but C.J. McCollum can lead the Blazers to an easy victory.

By the way, I like the Thunder tonight as well if Lu Dort plays. We're still waiting on that news.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers -5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200


Oklahoma City Thunder at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 4.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 575-576)

Lu Dort is active, so I'm on the Thunder. Oklahoma City is so much better with Dort, so it could win this game. The Raptors are without almost all of their main guys - Fred VanVleet, Kyle Lowry, Pascal Siakam, OG Anunoby - so why are they favored by 4.5?

NBA Pick: Thunder +4.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$100



Saturday, April 17, 2021 (1-2, -$100)


Memphis Grizzlies at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 7.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 563-564)

I'm all for fading the Bucks late in the year in these meaningless games. They're stuck in the No. 3 seed in the Eastern Conference, 5.5 games ahead of the No. 4 spot. Why would they put forth full effort in this game? It wouldn't surprise me at all if we received news later in the evening that many of their players will sit. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are much better now with a healthier Ja Morant. They played last night, but their starters weren't on the court very much in the fourth quarter, which is why the Morant prop failed. I like it again tonight, especially at plus money.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +7.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200
Ja Morant Over 29.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists +115 (1 Unit) - BetUS -- Incorrect; -$100


San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 10.

10:00 PM ET (Game 565-566)

The Suns are within 1.5 games of the Jazz for the top seed in the Western Conference, so there will certainly be motivation for them in this game. The Spurs, conversely, will be gassed. This is their fifth game in seven nights. They're not a good team to begin with, so I don't see how they keep up with Phoenix at all.

NBA Pick: Suns -10 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Friday, April 16, 2021 (2-1, +$295)


Memphis Grizzlies at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Grizzlies by 4.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 545-546)

I don't think this spread has adjusted enough for the Zach Lavine injury. Of course, much of that has to do with the public. Chicago is getting about 65 percent of the action, yet this spread is moving in Memphis' direction. The Grizzlies are a bit underrated because Ja Morant is finally healthy. He was playing 28-31 minutes for a stretch, but he's back to playing 35-37 minutes per game.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies -4.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200
Ja Morant Over 29.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists -115 (1 Unit) - BetUS -- Incorrect; -$115


New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 5.5.

9:30 PM ET (Game 553-554)

The Knicks and Mavericks are about even, yet we're getting 5.5 points with the underdog. New York's defense is outstanding, while Luka Doncic isn't quite healthy. I love the value we're getting with the Knicks.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.




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NBA Pick: Knicks +5.5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210

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Thursday, April 15, 2021 (0-3, -$515)


Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Bucks by 3.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 525-526)

It wouldn't surprise me if the Bucks opted to sit all of their starters again. They played yesterday, and this game means nothing to them because they're stuck in the No. 3 seed. Giannis Antetokounmpo and Donte DiVincenzo are already listed as questionable. I'm not saying the starters will definitely sit, but I think there's a decent chance that could occur. Even the Bucks play most of their guys, they'll still have trouble with the hot Hawks because they won't have an answer for Clint Capela.

NBA Pick: Hawks +3.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200
Clint Capela Over 33 Points/Rebounds/Assists -115 (1 Unit) - BetUS -- Incorrect; -$115


Sacramento Kings at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 13.

10:00 PM ET (Game 531-532)

Thirteen points may seem like a lot, but the Kings are utterly dreadful without Richaun Holmes. They won't be able to stay competitive with the Suns, who will be able to attack the rim with ease. No player prop bet in this game because this should be an easy blowout victory for Phoenix.

NBA Pick: Suns -13 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Wednesday, April 14, 2021 (3-2, +$190)


San Antonio Spurs at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Spurs by 6.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)

We bet against the Raptors yesterday, and we'll do so again tonight. Toronto is a disaster. Kyle Lowry, Fred VanVleet and now Gary Trent are all sidelined. The Raptors play no defense, so the Spurs, who are fighting for their playoff lives, should make quick work of his horrific opponent. Jakob Poeltl should continue the tradition of devastating Toronto's utterly weak post defense.

NBA Pick: Spurs -6.5 +104 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200
Jakob Poeltl Over 20.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists -115 (1 Unit) - BetUS -- Incorrect; -$115


Washington Bullets at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Bullets by 2.5.

10:00 PM ET (Game 521-522)

The Kings won't have Richaun Holmes tonight in all likelihood - he's listed as doubtful - which will be problematic against the Bullets, who like to play big. The Kings have lost every game Holmes has missed this year by eight or more. I don't see how they can possibly answer Russell Westbrook, who is on fire right now. Bradley Beal also appears to be healthy for the first time in a while.

NBA Pick: Bullets -2.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200
Russell Westbrook Over 48.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists -115 (1 Unit) - BetUS -- Correct; +$100


Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 7.

10:00 PM ET (Game 523-524)

Jamal Murray's torn ACL was devastating news to the Nuggets and those who bet them to win the NBA Finals at 18/1 odds (i.e. me), but they're still a great team. They'll be looking to rebound off two consecutive losses, and they should be able to do just that tonight against a banged-up Miami team. Already down Victor Oladipo and Goran Dragic, the Heat could be without Jimmy Butler, who has a bum ankle. Even if Butler plays, Miami is in a rough spot on a back-to-back in altitude. This could be an easy blowout for Denver, so I'm not betting any player props in this game.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -7 +102 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$205



Tuesday, April 13, 2021 (4-0, +$620)


Atlanta Hawks at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Hawks by 3.

7:30 PM ET (Game 571-572)

Trae Young is questionable right now, which is keeping this line down. I don't care if Young plays or not because the Hawks should be able to beat Toronto regardless. The Raptors are a complete mess right now without Kyle Lowry and Fred VanVleet, and I don't know how they're going to stop Clint Capela. Marc Gasol and Nerlens Noel dominated in the paint versus Toronto lately, so Capela will have a huge game.

NBA Pick: Hawks -3 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210
Clint Capela Over 33.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists -120 (1 Unit) - BetUS -- Correct; +$200


Los Angeles Lakers at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Lakers by 2.

8:00 PM ET (Game 575-576)

I don't understand how this spread is only -2. The Hornets are going to be missing Gordon Hayward, P.J. Washington, Lonzo Ball, Malik Monk and probably Terry Rozier (listed as doubtful). Caleb and Cody Martin will be logging 20-plus minutes for Charlotte tonight, which is a disaster waiting to happen. Dennis Schroder will post monstrous stats as long as the game doesn't turn into a blowout.

NBA Pick: Lakers -2 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210
Dennis Schroder Over 27.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists -110 (1 Unit) - BetUS -- Correct; +$100



Monday, April 12, 2021 (3-1, +$380)


Washington Bullets at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 10.

9:00 PM ET (Game 561-562)

The Jazz are favored by double digits, yet they won't have Mike Conley or Jordan Clarkson tonight. The Bullets are the healthier team, and they're fighting for their playoff lives. I think they'll cover, and I could even see them winning outright.

NBA Pick: Bullets +10 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200
Russell Westbrook Over 44.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists -110 (1 Unit) - BetUS -- Correct; +$100


Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 2.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 565-566)

Zion Williamson has evolved into an unstoppable force. He's become dominant, and the Kings have absolutely no one who can defend him. The Pelicans should be able to win this game easily, yet they're favored by only two points.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -2.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200
Zion Williamson Over 42.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists -120 (1 Unit) - BetUS -- Incorrect; -$120



Friday, April 9, 2021 (1-0, +$205)


Charlotte Hornets at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 4.

9:00 PM ET (Game 513-514)

The Bucks have already ruled out Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jrue Holiday. It wouldn't surprise me if they sit Khris Middleton as well. They seem locked into the third seed, so they might just want to give their main guys some rest. The Hornets, conversely, need to keep winning in order to maintain home-court advantage in the opening round of the playoffs.

NBA Pick: Hornets +4 +102 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$205



Tuesday, April 6, 2021 (1-1, -$100)


Portland Trailblazers at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 6.

10:00 PM ET (Game 541-542)

Are the Clippers going to go all out to win this game, especially after getting a big statement victory over the Lakers over the weekend? I have my doubts, and it wouldn't even surprise me if one of Kawhi Leonard or Paul George sat. Even if they both play, this could be a low-effort game from both of them, and I don't see the Clippers stopping Enes Kanter anyway.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers +6 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200
Enes Kanter Over 23.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists -110 (1 Unit) - BetUS -- Correct; +$100



Monday, April 5, 2021 (1-0, +$200)


Washington Bullets at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 517-518)

I don't understand why the Raptors are favored by so many points, especially in the wake of the Fred VanVleet news. Toronto isn't going to be able to stop Russell Westbrook. I can't find a prop for him, but I would bet the over if I could.

NBA Pick: Bullets +5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Sunday, April 4, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Orlando Magic at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 17.

10:00 PM ET (Game 513-514)

Seventeen points is a lot. The Nuggets are also coming off a big win against the Clippers. However, this should be an easy blowout victory for them. The Magic are broken right now because they're missing so many players. They just can't compete with an enhanced team like Denver.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -17 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker



Friday, April 2, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Los Angeles Lakers at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 5.

10:00 PM ET (Game 561-562)

I'm going to fade the Lakers again. They're a disaster, and they'll only be worse in the wake of Andre Drummond's injury. I don't think they'll stand a chance against the Kings.

NBA Pick: Kings -5 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Thursday, April 1, 2021 (1-0, +$230)


Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Nuggets by 1.

10:00 PM ET (Game 541-542)

The Nuggets were favored until Paul George was ruled in for this game. I still think they should be favored. They've been excellent ever since getting Aaron Gordon, and the Clippers don't exactly focus too hard on regular-season affairs.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -1 +116 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$230



Wednesday, March 31, 2021 (1-1, $0)


Milwaukee Bucks at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Bucks by 9.

10:30 PM ET (Game 525-526)

The Lakers have won two games in a row, but they beat up on a pair of terrible teams. They'll be back to their losing ways against the Lakers tonight. They play no defense, and Giannis Antetokunmpo will be eager to dominate after some sluggish performances.

NBA Pick: Bucks -9 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200


Chicago Bulls at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 8.

10:00 PM ET (Game 527-528)

The Suns should dominate this game with their outstanding defense. The Bulls also have some injury woes, as they could be missing two of their top guards tonight. Even if Zach Lavine plays, he may not be 100 percent.

NBA Pick: Suns -8 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Monday, March 29, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


New Orleans Pelicans at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 3.

7:30 PM ET (Game 565-566)

This spread is so small that I expected the public to be pounding Boston. That's not the case, however, as there's 50-50 action on this game. I'll take the great value we're getting with the Celtics, who have been so much better defensively with Marcus Smart on the court again. Jaylen Brown is out tonight, but the Pelicans are missing Lonzo Ball.

NBA Pick: Celtics -3 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Sunday, March 28, 2021 (0-2, -$380)


Atlanta Hawks at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 3.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 543-544)

The Hawks have been playing well since they've gotten some players back from injury. I like them to cover and possibly win tonight against the Nuggets, who will be working Aaron Gordon into the rotation. Trae Young has dominated against Jamal Murray, so I like the over on his prop bet as well.

NBA Pick: Hawks +3.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200
Trae Young Over 37.5 points/rebounds/assists -120 (1.5 Unit) - BetUS -- Incorrect; -$180



Saturday, March 27, 2021 (1-1, +$95)


Boston Celtics at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Celtics by 7.

9:00 PM ET (Game 543-544)

The Celtics won't have Kemba Walker, but Jayson Tatum is rounding into shape from his Covid woes. The Thunder, meanwhile, just had Al Horford quit for the rest of the season, joining Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Darius Bazley as absent Thunder. With Tatum healthy now, I like his over for points/rebounds/assists.

NBA Pick: Celtics -7 +106 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210
Jayson Tatum Over 36.5 points/rebounds/assists -115 (1 Unit) - Bovada -- Incorrect; -$115



Friday, March 26, 2021 (2-2, -$200)


Phoenix Suns at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Suns by 3.

7:30 PM ET (Game 515-516)

The Raptors were expected to unload some players at the trade deadline, but they moved only Norman Powell. They're going to handle the rest of the season as if they can still make the playoffs, so I think they'll play hard. Pascal Siakam should be able to dominate the post, so I like Toronto to win this game. Additionally, I like the over 32.5 points/rebounds/assists for Siakam, who has a history of destroying Deandre Ayton.

NBA Pick: Raptors +3 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200
Pascal Siakam Over 32.5 points/rebounds/assists -115 (1 Unit) - BetUS -- Correct; +$100


Cleveland Cavaliers at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 3.

10:30 PM ET (Game 531-532)

I wrote yesterday that the public hasn't caught up to how bad the Lakers are without LeBron James and Anthony Davis. That is still the case, as the Lakers are favored for some reason. The Cavaliers should win this one outright. Additionally, I think Larry Nance will score into double digits, so I'll be betting the over on his points prop.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers +3 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200
Larry Nance Over 9.5 points -125 (1 Unit) - BetUS -- Correct; +$100



Thursday, March 25, 2021 (2-1, +$295)


Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 5.

10:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

The Kings should be able to beat the Warriors easily. Golden State is reeling without Steph Curry, and there's a chance Draymond Green may not play tonight. Additionally, I like the over 28.5 points/rebounds/assists for Jordan Poole, who is playing great in relief of Curry. This is a great matchup for him.

NBA Pick: Kings -5 +108 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$215
Jordan Poole Over 28.5 points/rebounds/assists -120 (1 Unit) - BetUS -- Incorrect; -$120


Philadelphia 76ers at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: 76ers by 6.

10:00 PM ET (Game 577-578)

The Lakers are complete trash without LeBron James and Anthony Davis. They're going to be blown out very frequently until one of them returns, and the public hasn't caught up to that just yet.

NBA Pick: 76ers -6 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, March 24, 2021 (1-1, +$20)


Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Grizzlies by 8.

8:00 PM ET (Game 573-574)

This is a revenge game for the Grizzlies, so they should be able to win easily against a Thunder team that learned that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander won't be available for a while. The team could be deflated as a result.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies -8 +109 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$220


Atlanta Hawks at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Hawks by 3.5.

10:00 PM ET (Game 577-578)

The Kings are missing some bigs, so I think they match up poorly against the Hawks. I don't know how they're going to stop Clint Capela and John Collins.

NBA Pick: Hawks -3.5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Tuesday, March 23, 2021 (1-1, -$100)


Philadelphia 76ers at Golden State Warriors.
Line: 76ers by 3.5.

10:00 PM ET (Game 555-556)

The Warriors won't have Steph Curry once again, but they'll be getting back some bigs to help combat Tobias Harris and Dwight Howard. I like the Warriors in this game. However, I think Harris will have a huge performance as well, so I'll be betting his over points/rebounds/assists as well.

NBA Pick: Warriors +3.5 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200
Tobias Harris Over 34.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists -115 (1 Unit) - BetUS -- Correct; +$100



Monday, March 22, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Utah Jazz at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Jazz by 8.

9:00 PM ET (Game 543-544)

Without looking, can you guess the last time the Jazz beat a team not named the Rockets by more than eight? The answer is Feb. 27, so it's been nearly a month. That's unlikely to happen tonight, especially with Rudy Gobert banged up. The Bulls are healthy, so they should be able to keep this close.

NBA Pick: Bulls +8 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Sunday, March 21, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 5.

2:00 PM ET (Game 513-514)

The Rockets have lost 19 games in a row, and yet they're favored by five! What's the meaning of this!? Well, after battling numerous injuries, they're finally healthy. In fact, it's the Thunder who are very banged up. Oklahoma City will be missing some key players, which will allow desperate Houston to finally capture a victory.

NBA Pick: Rockets -5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Saturday, March 20, 2021 (2-0, +$365)


San Antonio Spurs at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 11.

9:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

This spread is pretty high. I know the Spurs will be without a couple of players, but DeMar DeRozan should have a big game. The Bucks are coming off a big win versus the 76ers, so they could be flat in this game. As a bonus, I also like DeRozan over 11.5 rebounds plus assists on BetUS. He will handle the ball often tonight, so his assist number should be high.

NBA Pick: Spurs +11 +107 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$215
DeMar DeRozan Over 11.5 Rebounds + Assists -120 (1.5 Units) - BetUS -- Correct; +$150



Wednesday, March 17, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 11.5.

10:00 PM ET (Game 557-558)

This should be a blowout. The Suns are a very good team, perhaps even a great regular-season team, and they match up very well with the injury-ravaged Timberwolves. Minnesota has suffered numerous ugly defeats ever since its two guards have been sidelined with injuries.

NBA Pick: Suns -11.5 +104 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Wednesday, March 17, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Celtics by 8.

8:00 PM ET (Game 541-542)

The Celtics are getting Marcus Smart back into the starting lineup, which is huge for their ailing defense. Smart will clean things up, as the Celtics should dispatch the Cavaliers easily. Cleveland has gotten demolished in every game since the All-Star break.

NBA Pick: Celtics -8 +106 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Thursday, March 11, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Detroit Pistons at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 5.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Hornets should be favored by more than 5.5 points over the Pistons, who are 4-16 on the road. The young and improving Hornets will be better because they're getting Devontae' Graham from injury.

NBA Pick: Hornets -5.5 +108 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Wednesday, March 10, 2021 (1-0, +$210)


Washington Bullets at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 4.

8:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

I just got my wisdom teeth removed, but the NBA has returned, so I wanted to bet one game tonight. I'm going to lean on the sharps, who have been wagering on the Grizzlies, perhaps because they have the much better defense in this matchup. Memphis is also much better than its record indicates because it's healthier than it was several weeks ago.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies -4 +106 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210



Thursday, March 4, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Toronto Raptors at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 9.

7:00 PM ET (Game 547-548)

The Raptors are missing everyone except Kyle Lowry, which would explain why Detroit crushed them last night. It's tough to see them competing with the Celtics, who will be healthier with Jaylen Brown back in the lineup.

NBA Pick: Celtics -9 +109 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Wednesday, March 3, 2021 (1-0, +$215)


Charlotte Hornets at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Hornets by 4.

8:00 PM ET (Game 539-540)

Both teams have struggled recently, but the Hornets are getting healthier. That's not the case for the Timberwolves, who are missing their starting backcourt.

NBA Pick: Hornets -4 +107 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$215



Tuesday, March 2, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Memphis Grizzlies at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 2.

7:00 PM ET (Game 515-516)

Don't look now, but the Bullets have been playing very well lately. They've won seven of nine, and they were one point away from sending the Boston game to overtime. The Grizzlies, conversely, are dealing with lots of injuries right now, so their depth tonight is poor.

NBA Pick: Bullets -2 +110 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Monday, March 1, 2021 (1-0, +$230)


Cleveland Cavaliers at Houston Rockets.
Line: Cavaliers by 1.

9:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

The Cavaliers should be favored in this matchup, which is why I'm bettng Bookmaker's alternative line. The Rockets have been a great fade of late because their terrible front court can't stop players like Jarrett Allen.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers -1 +116 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$230



Sunday, Feb. 28, 2021 (1-0, +$210)


Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets.
Line: Grizzlies by 4.

8:00 PM ET (Game 573-574)

The sharp money is on the Grizzlies, and it's easy to see why. The Rockets are very banged up right now, and they don't have anyone to stop Memphis' front court. The Grizzlies should be able to win this game easily.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies -4 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210



Thursday, Feb. 25, 2021 (1-0, +$220)


Sacramento Kings at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 2.

7:30 PM ET (Game 523-524)

The Knicks have one of the top defenses in the NBA, while the Kings have one of the worst defenses. Yet, the Knicks are favored by only one or two, depending on where you look. This spread should be higher, so I like New York this evening.

NBA Pick: Knicks -2 +110 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$220



Tuesday, Feb. 23, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Detroit Pistons at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 5.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 567-568)

I bet the Magic over the Pistons two nights ago, and I'm doing the same thing today. Orlando is much better than Detroit at the moment, as the Pistons sorely miss Delon Wright, while the Magic is much better now that it is healthier.

NBA Pick: Magic -5.5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Monday, Feb. 22, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 4.

8:30 PM ET (Game 557-558)

This spread is four, yet I think this game is a toss-up. The Grizzlies have gotten back Justise Winslow, while the Mavericks are playing very poor defense at the moment, which would explain why they're 2-11 against the spread in their previous 13 games.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +4 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Sunday, Feb. 21, 2021 (1-0, +$200)


Detroit Pistons at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 3.

7:00 PM ET (Game 539-540)

When I first saw this spread, I expected 90 percent of the action to be on Orlando. Yet, it's 50-50 right now, which makes no sense to me. This line is way off the mark. The Magic have been getting better recently with some players returning from injury, while the Pistons, who are terrible on the road, will likely be without Delon Wright.

NBA Pick: Magic -3 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Friday, Feb. 19, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 9.

8:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)

The Bucks have really struggled without Jrue Holiday, so I question why they're favored by so many points. The Thunder, conversely, should start playing better now that everyone is healthy.

NBA Pick: Thunder +9 +109 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Wednesday, Feb. 17, 2021 (1-0, +$220)


Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 2.

10:00 PM ET (Game 565-566)

The Warriors have a negative stigma attached to them after the blowout loss to the Nets, but they've played better than Miami this year. They should be favored by more than two over the injury-ravaged Heat.

NBA Pick: Heat -2 +110 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$220



Friday, Feb. 12, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Detroit Pistons at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 7.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 575-576)

I'm going back to the Pistons again. They won't have Kemba Walker tonight, but I don't think that's a huge deal, especially with the Pistons missing Mason Plumlee. Detroit has been a miserable road team, while the Celtics are about to go on a nice winning streak now that they're not battling tough Western Conference teams on the road for a change.

NBA Pick: Celtics -7.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Thursday, Feb. 11, 2021 (1-0, +$200)


Toronto Raptors at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 3.

7:30 PM ET (Game 573-574)

The Celtics have lost a number of games recently, but they were tough battles on the road. They'll be better now that they're at home, while Toronto is on the second half of a back-to-back.

NBA Pick: Celtics -3 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Feb. 3, 2021 (0-2-1, -$400)


Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: 76ers by 7.

7:00 PM ET (Game 561-562)

The stupid Jazz blew a 25-point lead last night. Hopefully we'll have better luck today. The Sixers are the Suxers when it comes to playing on the road, and Charlotte has been competitive recently.

NBA Pick: Hornets +7 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Push; $0


Los Angeles Clippers at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Clippers by 8.

8:00 PM ET (Game 563-564)

The Clippers just had a tough battle against the Nets in which Kawhi Leonard and Paul George played major minutes. They could see their minutes sliced in this game. The Cavaliers play good defense and can beat up the Clippers in the paint.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers +8 +106 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200


Houston Rockets at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Rockets by 7.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 569-570)

I've been betting the Rockets aggressively because they're healthy now for the first time since the James Harden trade. They clobbered the Thunder in their previous game, and now Shai Gilgeous-Alexander won't play.

NBA Pick: Rockets -7.5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Tuesday, Feb. 2, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Detroit Pistons at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 13.

10:00 PM ET (Game 555-556)

The Pistons play well at home, but they've gotten demolished at home by lesser teams than the Jazz. With Donovan Mitchell back, Utah should crush the Pistons rather easily.

NBA Pick: Jazz -13 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Monday, Feb. 1, 2021 (1-1, $0)


Los Angeles Lakers at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Lakers by 5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 531-532)

The Lakers don't often give it their all during the regular season when battling "inferior" competition. Following a last-second win over Boston, the Lakers could opt to coast in this game versus a feisty Atlanta team that has covered every single home game dating back to Jan. 6.

NBA Pick: Hawks +5 +104 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200


Houston Rockets at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Rockets by 5.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 539-540)

I've been on the Rockets because they're healthy for the first time all year. They've ripped off five consecutive wins, and they should have no issues against a crappy Thunder team that wasn't competitive at all versus Brooklyn in its previous game.

NBA Pick: Rockets -5.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Friday, Jan. 29, 2021 (0-2, -$400)


Sacramento Kings at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 6.

7:30 PM ET (Game 569-570)

Both of these teams have seven wins, but there's no doubt that Toronto is the superior squad. The Raptors are healthier now than they've been in recent games, while the Kings have a miserable defense that won't be able to stop Toronto.

NBA Pick: Raptors -6 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200


Brooklyn Nets at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Nets by 6.

8:00 PM ET (Game 575-576)

The Nets will be a powerhouse by May, but they've struggled to gel thus far. They're playing no defense and rebounding poorly, so the Thunder should be able to take advantage of this. Brooklyn is just 2-5 against the spread since trading for James Harden.

NBA Pick: Thunder +6 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Thursday, Jan. 28, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Portland Trailblazers at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 5.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 561-562)

The Rockets are underpriced tonight. They're getting their entire team back from injury for the first time since they made their trades. The defensively inept Blazers, meanwhile, are still missing three starters. Houston should be able to win this game easily.

NBA Pick: Rockets -5.5 +106 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Wednesday, Jan. 27, 2021 (2-0, +$410)


Los Angeles Lakers at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: Lakers by 3.

7:30 PM ET (Game 539-540)

This spread is too high. In fact, the 76ers should be favored. They're a great team at home, most recently beating the Celtics twice. The Lakers, meanwhile, don't go all out in regular-season games. They recently lost to the Warriors at home and barely got by the Cavaliers.

NBA Pick: 76ers +3 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210


Washington Bullets at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 9.

9:00 PM ET (Game 545-546)

The Pelicans are a very misleading 5-10. They lost a bunch of home games because they were missing several players, and then they lost a bunch of road games against mostly good competition. They're now home, where they can beat up on a terrible Bullets team we faded last night. Washington is missing numerous players, which might include Russell Westbrook because has rested on back-to-backs.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -9 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Tuesday, Jan. 26, 2021 (1-1, +$5)


Washington Bullets at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 4.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 525-526)

The Bullets returned from their vacation a couple of night ago and were promptly blown out by the Spurs. They're still missing way too many players to be truly competitive, while the Rockets are now almost healthy. These teams have similar records - the Bullets are 3-9; the Rockets are 6-9 - but the host is far superior at the moment. This spread should be -9 or -10.

NBA Pick: Rockets -4.5 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$205


New York Knicks at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 10.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 527-528)

CBS Sports has the Jazz as the No. 1 team in their power rankings. Think about how dumb that is for a second. The Jazz are very good, but certainly not great. Their defense is awesome, but New York plays exceptional defense as well. This should be a tight, low-scoring game. The Knicks seldom get blown out, so I expect Utah to win by only 4-7 points.

NBA Pick: Knicks +10.5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Monday, Jan. 25, 2021 (3-0, +$615)


Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Nuggets by 3.

8:30 PM ET (Game 517-518)

The Nuggets are 9-7 and the Mavericks are 8-8, but the former is the far better team right now. They're much healthier, given that the Mavericks are missing several players due to minor illness. Dallas' recent blowout loss to the Rockets wasn't a fluke, so I think the Nuggets are the right side as field goal favorites on the road.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -3 +104 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210


Boston Celtics at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Celtics by 4.

9:00 PM ET (Game 515-516)

The Celtics are getting Jayson Tatum back tonight, so they'll continue to perform better. They crushed the Cavaliers last night, so they shouldn't be fatigued from playing on a back-to-back. The Bulls are dreadful defensively, so they should have issues preventing the Celtics from scoring at will.

NBA Pick: Celtics -4 -101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200


Oklahoma City Thunder and Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 4.

10:00 PM ET (Game 519-520)

I'm fading Portland again. The Trailblazers are abysmal defensively, so I don't think they should be favored over a competent opponent, especially when considering that they're down three key players: C.J. McCollum, Jusuf Nurkic and Robert Covington.

NBA Pick: Thunder +4 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$205



Sunday, Jan. 24, 2021 (1-0-1, +$200)


Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 9.

8:00 PM ET (Game 579-580)

This is a battle between two teams with similar records - Hawks are 8-7; Bucks are 9-6 - but a week ago, the Hawks were 5-7, while the Bucks were 9-4. Under those circumstances, this line would be at least 10, so we're getting some value with Milwaukee because the Hawks beat Minnesota, Detroit and then Minnesota again. Furthermore, the Hawks are dealing with several injuries. Trae Young and Clint Capela are both game-time decisions, while De'Andre Hunter, Danilo Gallinari and Cam Reddish are not healthy either.

NBA Pick: Bucks -9 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200


New York Knicks and Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 3.

10:00 PM ET (Game 583-584)

We're getting points with the superior defensive team and the healthier roster in this game. The Knicks have improved greatly on defense this year, while Portland is still dreadful in that regard. The Blazers are also missing C.J. McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic, and yet they're favored! The Knicks should be favored instead.

NBA Pick: Knicks +3 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Push; $0



Saturday, Jan. 23, 2021 (1-1, +$10)


Philadelphia 76ers at Detroit Pistons.
Line: 76ers by 6.

8:00 PM ET (Game 557-558)

The 76ers continue to be a dreadful road team, owning a 2-4 record as visitors this year. The Pistons have an awful record overall, but most of their losses have been close recently. Did you know they've lost by more than 10 points just once all season? They should stay within striking distance of Philadelphia.

NBA Pick: Pistons +6 +106 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210


New Orleans Pelicans at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Pelicans by 10.

8:00 PM ET (Game 561-562)

It's easy to see why the sharps are betting up this line. The Timberwolves played last night and have been dreadful without Karl-Anthony Towns. Unlike the Pistons, they've lost by double digits routinely. The Pelicans are 1-7 in their previous eight games, but they've played the toughest schedule lately. They match up very well with the Towns-less Timberwolves, who won't have anyone in the paint to stop Steven Adams or Zion Williamson.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -10 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Sunday, Jan. 17, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Indiana Pacers at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 8.

10:00 PM ET (Game 547-548)

The Pacers are short-handed tonight, but they'll still have Domantas Sabonis and Malcolm Brogdon. Indiana has kept most of its games close, and I don't see why the Clippers would go all out to beat a non-conference opponent.

NBA Pick: Pacers +8 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Saturday, Jan. 16, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 6.

8:00 PM ET (Game 529-530)

Miami is very underrated right now. Its schedule has been brutal thus far; it has played the Bucks twice, the 76ers twice and the Celtics. They've also had some absences due to minor illness. They're getting Bam Adebayo and Goran Dragic back tonight, so the Heat should be able to demolish the pathetic Pistons.

NBA Pick: Heat -6 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Thursday, Jan. 14, 2021 (1-0, +$220)


Indiana Pacers at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 2.

10:00 PM ET (Game 575-576)

I'm surprised the Pacers aren't favored. The Blazers played a tough game last night in which Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum both played 42 minutes. The Pacers are the better team, and they're coming off more rest.

NBA Pick: Pacers +2 +109 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$220



Wednesday, Jan. 13, 2021 (0-1, -$200)


Dallas Mavericks at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Mavericks by 3.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 549-550)

The Mavericks are getting lots of hype with Kristaps Porzingis returning to the lineup, but his minutes might be limited, and Dallas could be a bit discombobulated as he gets worked back into the offense. The Mavericks are also missing some players. Meanwhile, the Hornets are playing some very good defense. I think they should be favored.

NBA Pick: Hornets +3.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Wednesday, Dec. 23, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


New Orleans Pelicans at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 3.

12:00 PM ET (Game 577-578)

This spread seems to be mispriced. Jimmy Butler is banged up and may not be 100 percent if he plays. The Pelicans, meanwhile, are so much better defensively in the wake of the Stan Van Gundy hiring and the Steven Adams acquisition.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +3 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Wednesday, Dec. 23, 2020 (1-2, -$200)


Charlotte Hornets at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Hornets by 4.

7:00 PM ET (Game 551-552)

The sharps have been betting the Hornets aggressively today, and it's easy to see why. The Cavaliers are down so many players, including Kevin Love, Kevn Porter Jr. and a couple of others. The Hornets are going to be better this year with Gordon Hayward and LaMelo Ball joining the squad.

NBA Pick: Hornets -4 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200


Atlanta Hawks at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Hawks by 1.

8:00 PM ET (Game 563-564)

The Hawks are getting lots of hype, but they're down so many players tonight, including Clint Capela, Kris Dunn, Onyeka Okongwu and Rajon Rondo. Despite this, the Bulls are home dogs, which makes them appealing.

NBA Pick: Bulls +1 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200


Detroit Pistons at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 6.

8:00 PM ET (Game 563-564)

If this game were to take place two months from now, this line would be well above 10. The Pistons are dreadful, while the Timberwolves are expected to be highly improved this year.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -6 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200


NFL Picks - Sept. 24


2022 NFL Mock Draft - Sept. 22


NFL Power Rankings - Sept. 21


Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 8




 





 

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