NBA Picks



NBA Picks (Oct. 22-30) 2-4 (-$400)
NBA Picks (Nov. 4-10) 2-2 (+$25)
NBA Picks (Nov. 25-Dec. 1) 1-0 (+$200)
NBA Picks (Dec. 2-8) 0-2 (-$400)
NBA Picks (Dec. 9-15) 1-2 (-$200)
NBA Picks (Dec. 16-22) 2-1 (+$200)
NBA Picks (Dec. 23-29) 4-2 (+$515)
NBA Picks (Jan. 2-12) 2-4 (-$810)
NBA Picks (Jan. 13-19) 2-0 (+$415)
NBA Picks (Jan. 20-27) 0-4 (-$805)
NBA Picks (Feb. 9-13) 1-3 (-$400)
NBA Picks (Feb. 20-25) 2-4 (-$405)
NBA Picks (July 30-Aug. 2) 4-1 (+$625)
NBA Picks (Aug. 3-9) 4-2 (+$410)
NBA Picks (Aug. 10-16) 2-1 (+$200)
NBA Picks (Aug. 17-23) 4-5-1 (-$175)
NBA Picks (Aug. 24-30) 3-1 (+$400)
NBA Picks (Aug. 31-Sept. 6) 5-2 (+$625)
NBA Picks (Sept. 7-13) 3-2 (+$220)
NBA Picks (Sept. 14-20) 1-3 (-$400)
NBA Picks (Sept. 21-27) 2-1 (+$205)
NBA Picks (NBA Finals) 1-1 (+$5)

2019-20 NBA Picks: 46-46-1 (+$250)
2018-19 NBA Picks: 114-98-4 (+$3,550)
2017-18 NBA Picks: 63-66-2 (-$1,850)
2016-17 NBA Picks: 51-67-2 (-$4,620)
2015-16 NBA Picks: 93-95-6 (-$1,305)
2014-15 NBA Picks: 62-53-4 (+$250)
2013-14 NBA Picks: 59-51-4 (+$760)
2012-13 NBA Picks: 51-45 (+$1,180)
2011-12 NBA Picks: 38-46-1 (-$3,005)
2010-11 NBA Picks: 113-89-4 (+$2,690)
2009-10 NBA Picks: 116-98-4 (+$1,375)
2008-09 NBA Picks: 122-119-6 (-$2,280)
2007-08 NBA Picks: 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
Follow @walterfootball for updates.



Friday, Oct. 9, 2020


Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 7.

9:00 PM ET (Game 709-710)

I like betting a team facing elimination for the first time. Bam Adebayo should be better in his second game back from injury. The desperate Heat could win this one outright.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.




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NBA Pick: Heat +7 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker

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Tuesday, Oct. 6, 2020 (1-0, +$205)


Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 6.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)

Losing Game 1 was a bummer because the Heat lost Bam Adebayo and Goran Dragic, so they had no chance. Adebayo will return tonight, so I like the Heat to cover this high line. Los Angeles should have trouble with Adebayo, much like it did with Nikola Jokic in the Western finals.

NBA Pick: Heat +6.5 +104 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$205



Wednesday, Sept. 30, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 4.

9:00 PM ET (Game 701-702)

The Heat have been upsetting everyone in the playoffs thus far, and I expect that to continue. They should be able to upset the Lakers, and I especially like them in Game 1, as that tends to be LeBron James' worst performance.

NBA Pick: Heat +4 +104 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Saturday, Sept. 26, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 4.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 711-712)

As I wrote yesterday, I like betting (or staying away from) teams fighting off elimination for the first time. This applies to the Nuggets, who have the Lakers right where they want them with the series being 3-1. With Anthony Davis banged up, the Nuggets should be able to win Game 5.

NBA Pick: Nuggets +4.5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Friday, Sept. 25, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 4.

8:30 PM ET (Game 715-716)

I've been betting the Heat every game, and I still think Miami will win this series. However, I like betting (or staying away from) teams fighting off elimination for the first time. The Celtics will be desperate to win this game, and I have to assume that Tyler Herro won't score a billion points again.

NBA Pick: Celtics -4 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Sept. 23, 2020 (1-0, +$205)


Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat.
Line: Celtics by 2.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 713-714)

The Celtics won Game 3, but that was made possible by Miami's miserable shooting. I expect the Heat to shoot better in this game, meaning it would win this game, given that Bam Adebayo was already a problem for the Celtics.

NBA Pick: Heat +2.5 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$205



Tuesday, Sept. 22, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets.
Line: Lakers by 7.

9:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)

The Nuggets gave it all they could in Game 2, losing by a bucket. They played their best game, and yet it wasn't good enough. The Lakers should perform better in Game 3, and if they do, they'll cover this touchdown spread.

NBA Pick: Lakers -7 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Saturday, Sept. 19, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat.
Line: Celtics by 3.

8:30 PM ET (Game 703-704)

Some big bets have been coming in on the Celtics, but I think Miami is the right side. Gordon Hayward is expected to play, but even if he does, he'll be limited off the bench. Regardless, Boston still won't have an answer for Bam Adebayo.

NBA Pick: Heat +3 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Friday, Sept. 18, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 6.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 733-734)

The Lakers lost Game 1 of both the Portland and Houston series thus far. This isn't a surprise, as it matches what he's done in his career. James is just 27-20 in Game 1s, which is the worst winning percentage of his in any game during a playoff series.

NBA Pick: Nuggets +6.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Thursday, Sept. 17, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 2.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 701-702)

What the Heat is doing is amazing. The team is 9-1 in the playoffs, with the one loss being in overtime to the desperate Bucks. Miami's been on fire since moving Goran Dragic to the starting lineup, and I expect that to continue to be the case. The Celtics will once again struggle to contain Bam Adebayo.

NBA Pick: Heat +2.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Tuesday, Sept. 15, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 8.

9:00 PM ET (Game 729-730)

The Nuggets have come back from down 3-1, but I think their season ends tonight. The Clippers have been messing around too long, but they'll take this game seriously and beat Denver with their superior talent. I could see this game being a blowout, with Kawhi Leonard going nuts.

NBA Pick: Clippers -8 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Friday, Sept. 11, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Boston Celtics vs. Toronto Raptors.
Line: Celtics by 3.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 717-718)

I have to give the Raptors credit for fooling the Celtics in Game 6 with the box-and-one defense on Kemba Walker. They managed to win the previous game that way, but I have faith in Brad Stevens finding a solution to emerge with a victory in the deciding contest.

NBA Pick: Celtics -3.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Thursday, Sept. 10, 2020 (1-0, +$210)


Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets.
Line: Lakers by 6.

7:10 PM ET (Game 715-716)

I was all about going against the Lakers earlier in this series because they were a two-man show. That has changed with Rajon Rondo returning from injury and playing extremely well. Rondo gives the Lakers an answer to the Houston stars, so I think Los Angeles will win this game to go up 3-1.

NBA Pick: Lakers -6 +106 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210



Wednesday, Sept. 9, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Toronto Raptors vs. Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 3.5.

6:40 PM ET (Game 709-710)

It seems to me that Brad Stevens figured out the Raptors. Boston crushed Toronto in Game 5, as Stevens stopped using Robert Williams and went smaller to neutralize the Raptors' guards. If I'm correct, the Celtics should win this easily.

NBA Pick: Celtics -3.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Tuesday, Sept. 8, 2020 (1-0, +$210)


Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 6.

9:00 PM ET (Game 703-704)

The Bucks managed to avoid elimination two days ago, but this series seems over now that Giannis Antetokounmpo has been ruled out. Jimmy Butler will have a much better Game 5 as Miami closes out this series.

NBA Pick: Heat -6 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210



Monday, Sept. 7, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Los Angeles Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets.
Line: Clippers by 8.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 703-704)

I have no idea what happened to the Clippers' defensive intensity in Game 2. I also don't know why Kawhi Leonard couldn't make a shot. I don't expect a repeat of that tonight. The Clippers are much better than the short-handed Nuggets, so this could be a blowout.

NBA Pick: Clippers -8.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Sunday, Sept. 6, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Houston Rockets vs. Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 747-748)

I couldn't quite figure out the Rockets in the previous series, and I think that's because their vastly improved defense threw me off. They've vastly improved defensively, as evidenced by what they did to the Lakers in Game 1. Speaking of the Lakers, they, like the Bucks, haven't been the same in the bubble. They struggled in the regular games and then let Portland hang around in three of five contests, including Game 5 when Damian Lillard was sidelined.

NBA Pick: Rockets +5 +100 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200



Saturday, Sept. 5, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 9.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 743-744)

Game 1 was a blowout, as expected. I believe this game could follow a similar projection. The Clippers are just too talented compared to the Nuggets and their two-man show. The Jazz had no one to guard Jamal Murray, but the Clippers can put the clamps on him.

NBA Pick: Clippers -9.5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Friday, Sept. 4, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat.
Line: Bucks by 4.5.

6:30 PM ET (Game 737-738)

I've bet the Heat in the first two games of the series, and I see no reason to change my strategy. There's been something way off with the Bucks throughout the restart. They should've demolished the injury-ravaged Magic, but they failed to do so. No one should be surprised that Miami has dominated this series thus far.

NBA Pick: Heat +4.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Thursday, Sept. 3, 2020 (1-0, +$210)


Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 9.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 735-736)

The Clippers are once again much better than their opponent. The Nuggets just went the distance with the Jazz, but Utah was a short-handed team that had no answer for Jamal Murray. The Clippers certainly do with their suffocating defense. I could see this being a quick series.

NBA Pick: Clippers -9.5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210



Wednesday, Sept. 2, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 5.5.

6:30 PM ET (Game 729-730)

I said it Monday, and I'll say it again: The Bucks haven't been right in the bubble. They weren't dominant in the "regular season;" Giannis Antetokunmpo was head butting people; and the team couldn't put away an injury-ravaged Orlando team. Miami is very good and matches up extremely well against Milwaukee. I think the Heat will win this series.

NBA Pick: Heat +5.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Tuesday, Sept. 1, 2020 (1-0, +$215)


Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 1.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 725-726)

I picked the Nuggets in Game 6, and I'm going back to them again tonight. I like that Gary Harris is back to slow down Donovan Mitchell a little bit. Harris played 21 minutes two nights ago, so he could be at 25-27 minutes tonight, which should help Denver clinch this long series.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -1.5 +107 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Correct; +$215



Monday, Aug. 31, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 5.

6:30 PM ET (Game 719-720)

Something has been off with the Bucks since the restart, and I'm not just referring to their dumb boycott. They didn't play that well during the "regular season," which culminated with Giannis Antetokounmpo head butting an opponent. The Bucks then had trouble putting away the severely short-handed Magic. The Heat match up well with Milwaukee and should be able to take this series the distance; if not win it ouright.

NBA Pick: Heat +5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Sunday, Aug. 30, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Denver Nuggets vs. Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 2.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 713-714)

I'm not going to watch basketball until the players apologize, but I'll gladly bet on these games! The Nuggets have had issues defending Donovan Mitchell, but that could change tonight with Gary Harris returning from injury. That's enormous, and it could allow Denver to steal the series.

NBA Pick: Nuggets +2.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker/5Dimes -- Correct; +$200



Saturday, Aug. 29, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 4.

6:30 PM ET (Game 703-704)

I'm not planning on watching basketball anytime soon because of the dumb boycotts, but I'm not going to refrain from betting on these games. I like the Thunder today, as this is the highest spread of the series. The number is inflated because of Russell Westbrook's return, but Westbrook hasn't played a game in a few weeks and could be rusty as a result. With the Rockets likely out of sorts while trying to work Westbrook back into the offense, the Thunder could steal another game.

NBA Pick: Thunder +4 +100 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200



Tuesday, Aug. 25, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 8.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 715-716)

This spread is way too low. The Clippers were up by about 20 on Sunday before they fell asleep. Luka Doncic then had one of the greatest playoff performances in NBA history, and yet the Mavericks still barely won. Doncic could have another stellar game, but it won't compare to what he did Sunday. Given Kristaps Porzingis' absence, the Clippers should win this easily.

NBA Pick: Clippers -8.5 +100 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Correct; +$200



Monday, Aug. 24, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Los Angeles Lakers vs. Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Lakers by 8.

9:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)

So much for Luka Doncic not being 100 percent. Wow. Anyway, the Lakers look great once again, as Portland is abysmal defensively.

NBA Pick: Clippers -7.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Sunday, Aug. 23, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Los Angeles Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Clippers by 7.5.

3:30 PM ET (Game 743-744)

I was waiting on Luka Doncic news to potentially get a better number on the Clippers. I've been on the Clippers versus the Mavericks four times since Aug 6, and I've been correct on three of those four occasions. The Clippers are the far better team, and there's a chance Doncic isn't 100 percent.

NBA Pick: Clippers -7.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Saturday, Aug. 22, 2020 (0-0-1, $0)


Los Angeles Lakers vs. Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Lakers by 8.

9:00 PM ET (Game 727-728)

I wrote two days ago that the Lakers should've scored 45 more points than they did in Game 1, per advanced analytics. This set up an obvious blowout in Game 2. Despite this, the spread is still way too low. Portland is a miserable defensive team, and the Lakers should continue to score at will on most possessions.

NBA Pick: Lakers -8 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Push; $0



Friday, Aug. 21, 2020 (2-0, +$425)


Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: Celtics by 6.5.

6:30 PM ET (Game 725-726)

This series is over. The 76ers are completely lost without Ben Simmons. They have no one to defend Jayson Tatum, and Brett Brown, the worst coach in the NBA, has no solutions. The Celtics should pull away in the second half to win by double digits again.

NBA Pick: Celtics -6.5 +104 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210


Los Angeles Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Clippers by 6.

9:00 PM ET (Game 727-728)

The Clippers lost to the Mavericks in Game 2, yet Luka Doncic continued to have issues, as he was in foul trouble. The Clippers have a good matchup against Doncic, which is why I believe they'll end this series quickly.

NBA Pick: Clippers -6 +108 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Correct; +$215



Thursday, Aug. 20, 2020 (1-1, $0)


Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 2.

3:30 PM ET (Game 713-714)

The Rockets won Game 1, but were very lucky to hit 20 three-pointers. That's not going to happen again. Meanwhile, it's unlikely that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Dennis Schroder combine to shoot 5-of-20. I think the Thunder win this game, and I'll be betting the +122 moneyline.

NBA Pick: Thunder PK +122 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200


Portland Trailblazers vs. Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 7.

9:00 PM ET (Game 717-718)

The Lakers lost Game 1, but there was some advanced stat out there that said they should've scored 45 more points than they did. Indeed, it's highly unlikely that Anthony Davis will be limited to 8-of-24 shooting once again. The Lakers should bounce back and beat the defensively challenged Blazers easily.

NBA Pick: Lakers -7 +100 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Aug. 19, 2020 (0-2, -$400)


Brooklyn Nets vs. Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 12.

1:30 PM ET (Game 701-702)

I was so close to pulling the trigger on the Raptors in Game 1, but did not do it for some reason. I didn't expect that game to be close, and I feel the same way about this contest. The Nets are the worst team in the playoffs by a wide margin, and they match up extremely poorly against the Raptors, who can easily bully Jarrett Allen in the paint.

NBA Pick: Raptors -12 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker/5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200


Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 6.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)

Speaking of poor matchups, the Mavericks should continue to lose to the Clippers. Los Angeles' dominant defenders always seem to do a great job on Luka Doncic, who was forced into a whopping 11 turnovers in Game 1. Kristaps Porzingis probably won't be ejected again, but it won't matter. The talent disparity of these teams is too great, and this spread is at least four points too short.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.




Doc's Sports has more free NBA picks for every single game.

DON'T MISS OUT! Get $60 in FREE member NBA picks from Doc's Sports Service, one of the most trusted names in the handicapping industry since 1971! No salesmen and no obligations! Click Here.

Looking to delve into the numbers to cap the NBA games? Get detailed game match up pages and free picks on the games from experienced handicappers at SBS NBA Picks

NBA Pick: Clippers -6.5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Tuesday, Aug. 18, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Portland Trailblazers vs. Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 7.

9:00 PM ET (Game 767-768)

I've been fading the Lakers aggressively in the restart, but that's going to change now. My belief was that the Lakers would cost through the "regular-season games" because they had the No. 1 seed locked up. LeBron James also didn't quite seem like himself because of a groin injury. Things are obviously different now. The Lakers will be more focused, and James has had time to recover. The Blazers are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA, so the Lakers shouldn't have any problem scoring in this game.

NBA Pick: Lakers -7 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker/5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200



Monday, Aug. 17, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 7.

9:00 PM ET (Game 757-758)

I bet on the Clippers -5 over the Mavericks 11 days ago, and I'm once again backing the same side. The Mavericks have been one of the worst spread teams in the restart because all they have are two stars and nothing else. The Clippers, who vanquished Dallas easily, didn't even have Lou Williams playing his full minutes. Williams is now 100 percent, so the Clippers should win by double digits once again.

NBA Pick: Clippers -7 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Saturday, Aug. 15, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Memphis Grizzlies vs. Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 5.5.

2:30 PM ET (Game 723-724)

This spread is inflated because Damian Lillard has been going nuts lately. As amazing as Lillard has been, the Blazers have beaten their previous three opponents by one, three and three points. Earlier in the bubble, the Blazers and Grizzlies battled each other, and it ended up being an overtime affair, with Portland winning by five. The Blazers are inept defensively, so the Grizzlies should be able to keep this game close, and perhaps even win outright.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +5.5 +100 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Correct; +$200



Tuesday, Aug. 11, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Boston Celtics vs. Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Celtics by 2.5.

5:00 PM ET (Game 755-756)

The Grizzlies are fighting for their playoff lives, so they have every incentive to win this game. The same can't be said of the Celtics, who have nothing to play for. Given that the Celtics are coming off an overtime affair, there's a chance they could lighten the minutes on Jayson Tatum, Kemba Walker and the rest of their starters.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +2.5 +102 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200



Monday, Aug. 10, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 4.5.

9:05 PM ET (Game 745-746)

The Lakers haven't been their dominant selves in the bubble thus far. Part of it could be that these games don't mean anything to them. Another reason might be LeBron James' lingering groin injury. Either way, the Nuggets, now with Jamal Murray, seem like a good play tonight.

NBA Pick: Nuggets +4.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$205



Sunday, Aug. 9, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 9.5.

5:00 PM ET (Game 729-730)

I loved the Celtics over the Raptors two days ago, and I'm going back to them again this evening. They're an elite team, especially with Kemba Walker back in the lineup, and they're gunning for the No. 2 seed. They shouldn't have issues with the very shorthanded Magic, who will be missing Evan Fournier, Aaron Gordon, and of course, American hero Jonathan Isaac. Boston should be able to win by double digits.

NBA Pick: Celtics -9.5 +101 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Saturday, Aug. 8, 2020 (1-0, +$205)


Phoenix Suns vs. Miami Heat.
Line: Suns by 2.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 719-720)

I've said it many times, but the Suns are a sneaky, good team. They're playing extremely well right now, so I think they should be able to handle the Heat, who might be out of sorts because Kendrick Nunn has left the bubble for personal reasons. If Goran Dragic is out - his ankle roll didn't look good - Miami won't have anyone to run the point.

NBA Pick: Suns -2.5 +102 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Correct; +$205



Friday, Aug. 7, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Boston Celtics vs. Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 1.5.

9:15 PM ET (Game 711-712)

Ask anyone which team is performing the best in the bubble, and everyone would choose the Raptors. They are 4-0 in the restart, dismantling the Lakers recently. However, I think that victory was misleading because the Lakers aren't quite themselves as a result of LeBron James' groin injury. Otherwise, the Raptors have beaten the Magic, Heat and Jazz - three teams that are solid/good, but not great. Boston, conversely, is great, especially with Kemba Walker returning to the lineup. I think Boston pulls the upset tonight.

NBA Pick: Celtics +1.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Thursday, Aug. 6, 2020 (1-0, +$205)


Los Angeles Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Clippers by 5.

6:35 PM ET (Game 781-782)

The Mavericks haven't covered a spread since the restart, so I wonder why this spread is so low. The possible answer is that the Clippers are coming off a loss to Phoenix, but as I've stated numerous times, the Suns are a sneaky, good team. If it weren't for that game, this spread might be -7 or so, giving us great value with a Clipper team that should have Lou Williams at 100 percent.

NBA Pick: Clippers -5 +103 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Correct; +$205



Wednesday, Aug. 5, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Oklahoma City vs. Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Thunder by 5.

6:35 PM ET (Game 769-770)

Everyone seemed impressed by the Raptors when they beat the Lakers. What if that happened because the Lakers aren't as good as people think they are? LeBron James doesn't seem quite himself, perhaps because he's dealing with a groin injury. Kyle Kuzma is also hurt. Also, remember that the Lakers don't need this game because they're locked into the No. 1 seed. I like the Thunder to come back from its loss on Monday.

NBA Pick: Thunder +5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Monday, Aug. 3, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 6.

4:05 PM ET (Game 743-744)

I was waiting on Jamal Murray news, and I was glad to see that he was ruled out. Without Murray, Will Barton and Gary Harris, the Nuggets are not nearly the same team. Denver usually thrives on its defense, but the team isn't nearly as potent on that end of the court without that trio. The Thunder, a vastly superior team, should have no problem dispatching Denver.

NBA Pick: Thunder -6 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker/5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200



Sunday, Aug. 2, 2020 (1-1, +$5)


Milwaukee Bucks vs. Houston Rockets.
Line: Bucks by 5.

8:35 PM ET (Game 735-736)

The Rockets just endured a tiring overtime game against the Mavericks. That game exposed their defense, as they had no answer for Kristaps Porzingis in the paint. If they couldn't contain Porzingis, what are they going to do against Giannis Antetokounmpo? The Milwaukee big man will dominate this game, allowing the Bucks to cover this small spread.

NBA Pick: Bucks -5 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200


Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns.
Line: Mavericks by 5.5.

9:05 PM ET (Game 737-738)

As I wrote a couple of days ago, the Suns are a sneaky good team. They have some young players who have improved lately, so let's take advantage of that with a spread that's completely incorrect. I'd argue this should be close to a pick 'em, and that's not even factoring in Dallas' fatigue from losing a high-scoring overtime game against Houston.

NBA Pick: Suns +5.5 +102 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Correct; +$205



Saturday, Aug. 1, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets.
Line: Heat by 4.5.

1:00 PM ET (Game 717-718)

I went to bed last night thinking that I'd list Miami +1 as a play today. I woke up, and the line is up to -4.5! The reason for this is Jamal Murray being sidelined. This ordinarily wouldn't be a big deal, but Gary Harris and Will Barton are also out of the lineup. Without those three, Denver is a far worse defensive team, so the Heat shouldn't have any trouble scoring in this game. Conversely, I don't know where Denver's offensive will come from outside of Nikola Jokic, who has a tough matchup against Bam Adebayo.

NBA Pick: Heat -4.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Friday, July 31, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Phoenix Suns vs. Washington Bullets.
Line: Suns by 7.5.

4:00 PM ET (Game 709-710)

We're off to a good start with a win last night, though the over-the-top SJW nonsense has me worried that it'll trickle into the NFL and cause a decrease in viewership. In the meantime, I like the Suns to cover this spread. This line may seem huge at first glance, but it's not big enough. The Suns are sneaky good, while the Bullets are a disaster. They've always had defensive issues, and now they'll have trouble scoring with Bradley Beal and Davis Bertans sidelined.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Suns -7.5 -102 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Correct; +$200



Thursday, July 30, 2020 (1-0, +$220)


Los Angeles Clippers vs. Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 4.

9:00 PM ET (Game 703-704)

The Clippers won't have Montrezl Harrell or Lou Williams tonight, but I still think they cover and perhaps win this game. The Lakers are way up in the standings, so they don't need this victory. Thus, I could see Anthony Davis playing fewer minutes than normal. The computer model says the Clippers should be favored by one, so I like the value with them.

NBA Pick: Clippers +4 +110 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Correct; +$220



Tuesday, Feb. 25, 2020 (0-1, -$205)


New Orleans Pelicans at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 7.

10:00 PM ET (Game 585-586)

Sorry I'm posting this 10 minutes prior to tip-off, but I saw that the computer model had this projected to be Los Angeles -4, and it made sense to me. The Pelicans have improved since Zion Williamson made his debut, and the Lakers are coming off a grueling game against the Celtics.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +7 -102 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$205



Sunday, Feb. 23, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 4.

7:00 PM ET (Game 551-552)

There's nearly 70-percent action on the Thunder tonight, and yet the Spurs have owned this matchup. LaMarcus Aldridge kicks Steven Adams' a** every time they battle each other, and I don't see why things would change in this latest contest.

NBA Pick: Spurs +4 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Saturday, Feb. 22, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Dallas Mavericks at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 1.

7:30 PM ET (Game 535-536)

Why are the Hawks home underdogs to a Dallas team that will be missing both Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis tonight? The Doncic news just broke 30 minutes prior to this writing, so perhaps the public hasn't realized this yet. Atlanta is a better team now that it has gotten players back from injury and Dewayne Dedmon via trade, so it should be able to beat the Doncic- and Porzingis-less Mavericks tonight.

NBA Pick: Hawks -1 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Friday, Feb. 21, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


New Orleans Pelicans at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Pelicans by 4.5.

10:30 PM ET (Game 527-528)

This spread is out of control. Sure, Damian Lillard is out, but the Pelicans shouldn't be favored by 4.5/5 points on the road against a competent team. New Orleans' defense is poor, so the Blazers should be able to find ways to score without Lillard. With almost 80 percent of the betting action on the Pelicans, the Blazers look great tonight.

NBA Pick: Blazers +4.5 +100 (2 Units) - 5Dimes/Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Thursday, Feb. 20, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Heat by 6.

7:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)

Miami is 3-0 straight up and against the spread against the Hawks this year, which is one of the reasons this spread is so high. Another reason is that Miami has a tremendous record. However, the Heat is not nearly as good on the road. Two of their three wins against Atlanta this year came in Miami, while the other, a victory on the road, occurred when Trae Young was injured. This is a nice triple revenge spot for the Hawks, who have a penchant for pulling big upsets against superior teams at home.

NBA Pick: Hawks +6 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Thursday, Feb. 13, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Los Angeles Clippers at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 1.

8:00 PM ET (Game 523-524)

The Clippers were getting 80 percent of the money in Philadelphia when they were favored by a couple of points. Now, they're getting 41 percent of the money as underdogs in Boston. This makes no sense. The 76ers match up well with the Clippers because Joel Embiid can feast on their weak interior defense. Boston doesn't really have anyone to take advantage of that. Paul George should have a big game as the Clippers rebound from Tuesday's loss.

NBA Pick: Clippers -1 +105 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200



Wednesday, Feb. 12, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 8.

8:30 PM ET (Game 515-516)

This spread seems to be inflated because the Mavericks could get Luka Doncic back from injury. However, Doncic's minutes could be limited. Why even risk him prior to the All-Star Game? I'll take the points with a solid Sacramento squad.

NBA Pick: Kings +8 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


Los Angeles Clippers at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: Pick.

7:00 PM ET (Game 579-580)

The 76ers are rare home underdogs because they haven't played well on the road lately. They tend to dominate at home, and I think they match up well with the Clippers. The Clippers' weakness is their interior defense, so Joel Embiid should have a big game. Speaking of Embiid, some callers on the local radio have called him fat and worthless, so I think he'll be motivated to play hard.

NBA Pick: 76ers PK +100 (2 Units) - Bovada -- Correct; +$200



Sunday, Feb. 9, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Memphis Grizzlies at Washington Bullets.
Line: Grizzlies by 1.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 531-532)

I'm back from vacation, so I'm ready to dive back into the NBA picks. We've lost six games by one point this season, so hopefully we have better variance in the second half of the year.

The Bullets stand out as a great play today. Everyone is down on them because of their record, but they've quietly won three of four recently because they've gotten some key players back from injury, including Rui Hachimura and Davis Bertans. Acquiring backup point guard Shabazz Napier should help them improve as well. NBA Pick: Bullets +1.5 +102 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200



Monday, Jan. 27, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Mavericks by 4.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 531-532)

I'm confused about why the Mavericks are favored by this many points. I know Chris Paul is out, but I think that would actually help Oklahoma City in this matchup because that'll mean that Dennis Schroeder will have more minutes on Luka Doncic.

NBA Pick: Thunder +4.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Sunday, Jan. 26, 2020 (0-2, -$400)


Toronto Raptors at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Raptors by 3.

4:00 PM ET (Game 513-514)

I can't believe the horrific news that Kobe Bryant passed away in a helicopter crash. I'm not sure if this game will be played, but I like the Spurs. They just lost to Phoenix, but I think they were looking ahead to this game. This spread should be a pick 'em, so we're getting good value with the home dog.

NBA Pick: Spurs +3 +100 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200


Los Angeles Clippers at Orlando Magic.
Line: Clippers by 3.

6:00 PM ET (Game 519-520)

Again, I'm not sure if this game will be played, but if it is, I like the home dog. The Clippers are still without Paul George, while the Magic will be seeking revenge after Los Angeles obliterated them in the previous meeting about a week ago.

NBA Pick: Magic +3 +100 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200



Saturday, Jan. 25, 2020 (0-1, -$205)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 2.

8:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

People are pounding the Thunder tonight at a 75-percent clip. Yet, Oklahoma City will be without Danilo Gallinari, while Steven Adams will be a minutes restriction. The Thunder played last night and will be looking ahead to battling the Mavericks for playoff positioning. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, have a misleading 15-30 record because Karl-Anthony Towns missed a chunk of action.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -2 -102 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$205



Monday, Jan. 20, 2020 (0-2, -$400)


Philadelphia 76ers at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: 76ers by 2.5.

3:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

This spread has moved 3.5 points because Kyrie Irving is out, while Al Horford was ruled to play. I'm glad this spread has moved because the Nets should be favored. In fact, I'm taking them on the moneyline. The 76ers are a terrible road team, and they just beat the Nets at home a few days ago, so Brooklyn has revenge working in its favor.

NBA Pick: Nets +110 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200


Orlando Magic at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Magic by 3.

5:00 PM ET (Game 513-514)

Orlando is in a very tough scheduling spot. The team is playing its fourth game in six days, and it's flying back to the East Coast after spending plenty of time on the West Coast. Not only that, but they're also banged up. The Hornets, meanwhile, haven't played since Jan. 15. They're well rested, so they could win this game outright. I'll take the +3 +105 at Bookmaker.

NBA Pick: Hornets +3 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Sunday, Jan. 19, 2020 (1-0, +$205)


Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 2.

3:00 PM ET (Game 567-568)

The Spurs just lost to the Hawks, so this has created a deflated spread. The computer model says San Antonio -5 is correct. This is a revenge game for the Spurs - Miami beat them earlier in the week - and it was just announced that Dejounte Murray will play, so I like the Spurs quite a bit.

NBA Pick: Spurs -2 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$205



Thursday, Jan. 16, 2020 (1-0, +$210)


Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 10.

8:00 PM ET (Game 523-524)

The Celtics will be missing a couple of players tonight, but that doesn't matter very much to me because this spread is so high. The computer model believes Milwaukee -5 is correct, as the Bucks have beaten up so many bad teams recently. Since Christmas, they've beaten the Knicks, Blazers, Kings, Warriors, Spurs (twice), Timberwolves, Bulls, Magic and Hawks. None of those teams have winning records. This is the first tough game for Milwaukee in a while, so I like Boston to cover the inflated spread.

NBA Pick: Celtics +10 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$210



Saturday, Jan. 11, 2020 (0-2, -$400)


Chicago Bulls at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Pistons by 5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 533-534)

This spread is bizarre to me when considering that the Bulls played in a close game last night. The case could've been made that these two teams were even a week ago, but Chicago is missing center Wendell Carter Jr., which means that Daniel Gafford is going to have to defend Andre Drummond. Good luck with that! The computer model correctly projects Detroit -10 to be the correct line, so I'll take the value with the host.

NBA Pick: Pistons -5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200


Philadelphia 76ers at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 2.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 533-534)

This is another line that's way off. The 76ers should be favored, and yet they're not, because 70 percent of the public is on Dallas. The Mavericks aren't nearly the same team without Kristaps Porzingis, so the 76ers should be able to dominate the interior, even without Joel Embiid. Also, Dallas played last night, so it's nice that Philadelphia has the rest advantage.

NBA Pick: 76ers ML +115 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Friday, Jan. 10, 2020 (1-0, +$200)


San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 1.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 513-514)

I've somehow lost five games this year by exactly one point. That's five of 28 picks, which is crazy. Hopefully we have better luck beginning tonight. I like the Grizzlies, which is the opposite of what the public prefers. Everyne saw the Spurs beat the Celtics and Bucks recently, but I'm not convinced they've turned it around. This is a tough matchup for them, as Jae Crowder can take care of DeMar DeRozan. I think the Spurs could be flat following their two big wins, while the Grizzlies will be out for revenge after getting embarrassed by San Antonio the last time these teams clashed.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies -1.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Monday, Jan. 6, 2020 (0-2, -$410)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 8.

7:00 PM ET (Game 539-540)

The 76ers have lost four in a row, all on the road. They're so much better at home, but their losing streak has dropped this spread ans has given us good value. The computer model says Philadelphia -12 is correct.

NBA Pick: 76ers -8 -105 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$210


Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 10.

10:00 PM ET (Game 549-550)

This spread is quite the overreaction to the Warriors' injuries. I get that D'Angelo Russell and Draymond Green are out, but some of the younger players have stepped up lately. The Kings also have injuries - Marvin Bagley and Bogdan Bogdanovich are out - so this spread is definitely too high; the computer model says it should be Sacramento -5.

NBA Pick: Warriors +9.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Thursday, Jan. 2, 2020 (0-1, -$200)


Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 4.

10:00 PM ET (Game 559-560)

The Kings have collapsed lately, and I don't expect them to rebound. Luke Walton has absolutely no idea what he's doing, as his rotations make zero sense. The computer model agrees with this assessment, slotting Memphis -3 as the correct line in this game.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +4 +100 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200



Monday, Dec. 30, 2019 (0-1, -$200)


Brooklyn Nets at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Nets by 5.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 515-516)

If I'm going to back a road favorite like this, I'll want to make sure they're properly motivated. That's the case with the Nets. They're coming off a loss, and will be looking to avenge an earlier loss to Minnesota. The Timberwolves will be down several players, including Karl-Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggins.

NBA Pick: Nets -5.5 +100 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200



Saturday, Dec. 28, 2019 (1-0, +$200)


Utah Jazz at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 8.5.

10:30 PM ET (Game 583-584)

The Clippers are coming off a big win over the Lakers on Christmas. I don't see them being fully focused for the Jazz. Regardless, this spread is too high; the computer model believes the Jazz should be two-point dogs.

NBA Pick: Jazz +8.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Friday, Dec. 27, 2019 (1-0, +$215)


Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 13.

4:00 PM ET (Game 545-546)

No one seems to have noticed that the Cavaliers have won three in a row. I like them to cover this high spread. The Celtics may not be focused; they're coming off a big Christmas win over the Raptors, and they have to play against Toronto again tomorrow!

NBA Pick: Cavaliers +13 +108 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Correct; +$215



Thursday, Dec. 26, 2019 (1-0, +$200)


Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 5.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 535-536)

This is a revenge spot for the Grizzlies after the Thunder beat them recently. Memphis will be more focused than Oklahoma City for that reason, as well as two others: First, the Thunder have to play tomorrow, so it might conserve some energy. Second, Oklahoma City beat the Clippers in its previous game, so it may have celebrated a bit too much. Furthermore, Danilo Gallinari will be out, so the Thunder will be shorthanded.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +5.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Dec. 25, 2019 (1-0, +$300)


Milwaukee Bucks at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: Bucks by 3.

2:30 PM ET (Game 525-526)

The Bucks are favored by three on the road here because they have the better record. However, they've simply been trying harder in meaningless early-season games, whereas the 76ers have been their aloof selves. Philadelphia comes to play in big games, so it should win, especially with Eric Bledsoe sidelined. The computer model says Philadelphia -1 is the correct spread.

NBA Pick: 76ers +3 +100 (3 Units) - 5Dimes -- Correct; +$300



Monday, Dec. 23, 2019 (0-1, -$200)


Philadelphia 76ers at Detroit Pistons.
Line: 76ers by 5.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

Joel Embiid is dealing with some sort of illness, so he might be limited if he even plays. The 76ers also have to battle the Bucks in two days. The computer model projects the 76ers as one-point road favorites, so I'm going to take the value with the home dog.

NBA Pick: Pistons +5.5 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Thursday, Dec. 19, 2019 (0-1, -$200)


Brooklyn Nets at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 3.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 535-536)

This spread is built on San Antonio's reputation. People are used to the Spurs being good, but that's not the case anymore. The computer model believes the Nets should be favored by two, so we're getting a ton of value at +3.5.

NBA Pick: Nets +3.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Wednesday, Dec. 18, 2019 (1-0, +$200)


New Orleans Pelicans at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 3.

8:00 PM ET (Game 521-522)

The Timberwolves are shorthanded tonight, as Karl-Anthony Towns is one of two starters who will be out. Minnesota has Denver coming up, so it could be focused for that game. I think it's telling that some of the sharp books have this line at +3.5, whereas the others have +4 listed.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +3 +100 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Correct; +$200



Monday, Dec. 16, 2019 (1-0, +$200)


Miami Heat at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Heat by 3.

8:00 PM ET (Game 583-584)

The Heat are down a couple of guards, yet the public is betting them at an 80-percent clip tonight. The Grizzlies will be more motivated, as they're seeking revenge for a blowout loss versus Miami earlier in the season.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +3 +100 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Correct; +$200



Friday, Dec. 13, 2019 (0-1, -$205)


Los Angeles Clippers at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Clippers by 4.

9:30 PM ET (Game 541-542)

The Clippers are coming off a big win against the Raptors. They also have to play tomorrow night, so they may take this one easy. They won't have Patrick Beverly or Lou Williams, so the Timberwolves could take this one.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves +4 -102 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$205



Thursday, Dec. 12, 2019 (0-1, -$200)


Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 1.

8:00 PM ET (Game 523-524)

The Celtics are underdogs tonight, which didn't seem right. The computer model agrees; it thinks Boston should be -7, which is a lot higher than I would have thought! The Celtics were looking ahead to this game and will want revenge on the Sixers, who don't play very well on the road.

NBA Pick: Celtics -1 +108 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200



Wednesday, Dec. 11, 2019 (1-0, +$200)


Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 2.

7:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

The Celtics have to play the 76ers tomorrow night, so I imagine they're way more focused for that than this one. The public doesn't recognize that, as they're betting Boston at a 72-percent clip. Also, this spread is short; the computer model says Indiana should be -4.

NBA Pick: Pacers -2 +100 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Correct; +$200



Monday, Dec. 9, 2019 (1-0, +$205)


Orlando Magic at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 12.

8:00 PM ET (Game 565-566)

It took me a while to get over that bad Hornets beat from last week. Hopefully the Magic don't suffer the same luck. Everyone is betting the Bucks, who are destroying everyone. However, Milwaukee is coming off a big victory over the Clippers and could be flat, while Orlando plays good defense and could keep this game close.

NBA Pick: Magic +12 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$205



Monday, Dec. 2, 2019 (0-2, -$400)


Phoenix Suns at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Suns by 3.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 529-530)

I really don't understand why Phoenix was favored by 4.5 at Charlotte earlier in the day. The computer model says Charlotte -2 is the right number, and the sharps agree; they bet this down to +4 just as I was beginning to post this write-up.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hornets +3.5 +100 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200


Golden State Warriors at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 6.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 531-532)

Here's another spread that's way off. We haven't seen the sharps come in on this yet, but Atlanta -1 is the correct number for this game. Granted, the Warriors are basically a G-league team at the moment, but it's not like the Hawks are good enough to be favored by about a touchdown.

NBA Pick: Warriors +6.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Wednesday, Nov. 27, 2019 (1-0, +$200)


Los Angeles Clippers at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Clippers by 6.

8:00 PM ET (Game 541-542)

I apologize for the lack of NBA picks. I've been focusing on my NFL handicapping, so I haven't had the time most days. There will be picks every single day once the NFL regular-season is over. However, I couldn't resist tonight, as the Grizzlies look like a great play. The Clippers don't seem to care about this game, as they're sitting Kawhi Leonard with the Spurs on the horizon. The computer model says Memphis should be +1, so there's lots of value with the home dog.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +6 -103 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Correct; +$200



Monday, Nov. 11, 2019 (0-1, -$200)


Houston Rockets at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Rockets by 5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 555-556)

Everyone is betting the Rockets tonight, but I think the Pelicans are the right side. The computer model says Houston -2 is the correct number. The Rockets have to play the Clippers in a couple of nights, so I imagine they'll be saving their energy for that game.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Saturday, Nov. 9, 2019 (0-1, -$200)


Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Mavericks by 3.

8:00 PM ET (Game 529-530)

The Mavericks have a solid record, but they have been a disappointment in regard to covering the spread. Their lines have been off, and that includes this one. The computer model says this spread should be Memphis -2. The Mavericks are sitting Kristaps Porzingis, as they seem to be preparing for their battle versus Boston.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +3 +100 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200



Friday, Nov. 8, 2019 (1-0, +$205)


Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 11.

8:00 PM ET (Game 509-510)

The Warriors have been competitive for the most part despite all of their injuries. D'Angelo Russell is returning tonight, which will provide a boost. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, are not very good. With that in mind, this spread is way too high; the computer model says Minnesota -6 is the correct number. It's also worth noting that the Timberwolves could be looking ahead to Sunday's battle versus Denver.

NBA Pick: Warriors +11 +103 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$205



Thursday, Nov. 7, 2019 (1-0, +$220)


Miami Heat at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 2.

9:00 PM ET (Game 575-576)

The Suns are 5-2, and they're coming off a big win versus the 76ers. Philadelphia wasn't trying very hard in that game and didn't even have Joel Embiid, so the win wasn't that impressive. Fortunately, it has opened up some great line value on the Heat, who should be favored by four.

NBA Pick: Heat ML +110 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Correct; +$220



Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2019 (0-1, -$200)


Portland Trailblazers at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Trailblazers by 2.

10:00 PM ET (Game 529-530)

The Thunder is 1-3 thus far, but it has covered three of the four games. It almost beat the Rockets and won over the Warriors. The Blazers might be looking ahead to the 76ers, and they're getting almost 80 percent of the money, so I'm comfortable fading them. I'm taking the moneyline at +105 on 5Dimes.

NBA Pick: Thunder ML +105 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200



Monday, Oct. 28, 2019 (0-2, -$400)


Cleveland Cavaliers at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 14.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 521-522)

A good chunk of the public action is on the Bucks, but I'm going the other way. This spread is too high - the computer model says Milwaukee -11 is the right number - and the Bucks could be a bit distracted with playing the Celtics next.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers +14.5 +105 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200


Denver Nuggets at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Nuggets by 4.5.

10:00 PM ET (Game 529-530)

The Kings have lost by double digits in every game this year, but they have talent and De'Aaron Fox will be healthier tonight. The computer model says Denver -1 is the correct number, so I'm going to take the value with Sacramento, as the Nuggets could be looking ahead to playing tomorrow night.

NBA Pick: Kings +4.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$200



Saturday, Oct. 26, 2019 (1-0, +$200)


Sacramento Kings at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 10.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 567-568)

This spread is too low. I have Utah at -13, as the Kings are very banged up despite the season just starting. There's some sharp money on the Jazz, which helps.

NBA Pick: Jazz -10.5 +100 (2 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200



Thursday, Oct. 24, 2019 (0-1, -$200)


Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Clippers by 1.5.

10:35 PM ET (Game 531-532)

This is a mirror image of the Tuesday game. The Clippers are better than the Lakers, but they're not better than the Warriors with Paul George out. The Clippers will be a bit flat off their statement game, while the Warriors will be out to prove that they're still the class of the Western Conference.

NBA Pick: Warriors PK +100 (2 Units) - 5Dimes -- Incorrect; -$200



Tuesday, Oct. 22, 2019 (1-0, +$200)


Los Angeles Lakers vs. Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Lakers by 3.

10:35 PM ET (Game 503-504)

For a second, I was confused about why the Lakers are favored by a field goal, but then I recalled that everyone is overrating them because they have a guy who plays no defense and a center who always gets hurt. I know Paul George is out for the Clippers, but the better Los Angeles team has a far superior overall roster. Despite this, everyone is betting the Lakers, so I'll be more than happy to side with the Clippers, who should be favored.

NBA Pick: Clippers +3 +100 (2 Units) - 5Dimes/Bookmaker -- Correct; +$200


NFL Picks - Oct. 30


2021 NFL Mock Draft - Oct. 28


NFL Power Rankings - Oct. 27


Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 9


2022 NFL Mock Draft - May 13


2020 College Football Recruiting Rankings - April 14


2020 NBA Mock Draft - Sept. 27




 





 

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