NBA Picks Against the Spread

Tyrese Haliburton
NBA Picks (Jan. 20-26) 5-7 (-$250)
NBA Picks (Jan. 27-Feb. 2) 11-4 (+$1,105)
NBA Picks (Feb. 3-9) 9-5 (+$655)
NBA Picks (Feb. 10-16) 6-2 (+$605)
NBA Picks (Feb. 17-23) 6-3 (+$310)
NBA Picks (Feb. 24-March 2) 4-12 (-$1,315)
NBA Picks (March 3-9) 6-8 (-$470)
NBA Picks (March 10-16) 7-7 (+$60)
NBA Picks (March 17-23) 10-4 (+$860)
NBA Picks (March 24-30) 6-9 (-$550)
NBA Picks (March 31-April 6) 5-8 (-$455)
NBA Picks (April 7-13) 4-6 (-$465)
NBA Picks (Play-in Games) 5-4 (+$345)
NBA Picks (Round 1 Playoffs) 16-17 (-$40)
NBA Picks (Round 2 Playoffs) 11-14-1 (-$640)
NBA Picks (Conference Finals) 11-9 (+$775)

2024-25 NBA Picks: 122-119-1 (+$550)
2023-24 NBA Picks: 155-130-1 (+$3,365)
2022-23 NBA Picks: 61-69-4 (-$1,400)
2021-22 NBA Picks: 73-60-3 (+$2,815)
2020-21 NBA Picks: 98-96-5 (+$1,045)
2019-20 NBA Picks: 47-46-1 (+$450)
2018-19 NBA Picks: 114-98-4 (+$3,550)
2017-18 NBA Picks: 63-66-2 (-$1,850)
2016-17 NBA Picks: 51-67-2 (-$4,620)
2015-16 NBA Picks: 93-95-6 (-$1,305)
2014-15 NBA Picks: 62-53-4 (+$250)
2013-14 NBA Picks: 59-51-4 (+$760)
2012-13 NBA Picks: 51-45 (+$1,180)
2011-12 NBA Picks: 38-46-1 (-$3,005)
2010-11 NBA Picks: 113-89-4 (+$2,690)
2009-10 NBA Picks: 116-98-4 (+$1,375)
2008-09 NBA Picks: 122-119-6 (-$2,280)
2007-08 NBA Picks: 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
Follow @walterfootball for updates.

NBA Picks for the 2024-25 Season:





NBA Picks for Saturday, May 31, 2025


New York Knicks NBA Picks Against the Spread Indiana Pacers NBA Picks Against the Spread
New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 5.

8:00 PM ET

We were on the Pacers in Game 4, then the Knicks in Game 5, and now we’re back on the Pacers for Game 6. Indiana has been the better team in this series outside of a couple of no-shows in predictable down spots. They know they have to win this game, and I have no faith in Tom Thibodeau’s erratic coaching.

Player Prop: I love backing great players coming off losses. I’m going to take Tyrese Haliburton over 31.5 points + assists, which he should clear unless this becomes a blowout. The best number is over 31.5 points + assists -105 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

Alt Spread Prop: I’m worried that this game might be a blowout, which would ruin our prop bet. I’m going to bet Pacers -19.5 +700 at DraftKings.

No-Sweat Same-Game Parlay: FanDuel has a no-sweat same-game parlay. We’re going to play Pacers -4, Haliburton 4+ three-pointers, and Andrew Nembhard over 10.5 points. This pays +549. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.


I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.


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NBA Pick: Pacers -5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker
NBA Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton over 31.5 points + assists -105 (1 Unit) – DraftKings Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings
Alt Spread Prop: Pacers -19.5 +700 (0.25 Units) – DraftKings Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings
No-Sweat Same-Game Parlay: Pacers -4, Tyrese Haliburton 4+ threes, Andrew Nembhard over 10.5 points +549 (0.25 Units to win 1.35) – FanDuel Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel



NBA Picks for Thursday, May 29, 2025 (2-0, +$305)


Indiana Pacers NBA Picks Against the Spread New York Knicks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 5.

8:30 PM ET

Everyone is betting the Pacers like it’s free money. I was going to be on the Knicks regardless, but I love going against all of this insane public action. It’s very difficult to close out a good team on the road, and the Knicks will be fighting for their lives tonight. Remember, this series would be tied at two right now if the Pacers didn’t get super lucky with ridiculous shooting at the end of Game 1.

Player Prop: I love backing great players coming off losses. I’m going to take Jalen Brunson over 30.5, which he should clear unless he gets into foul trouble again. The best number is over 30.5 points -112 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.



NBA Pick: Knicks -5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson over 30.5 points -112 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Wednesday, May 28, 2025 (1-1, +$75)


Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Picks Against the Spread Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Picks Against the Spread
Minnesota Timberwolves at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 8.

8:30 PM ET

It pains me to pick the Thunder because I have the Timberwolves at 60/1 to win the NBA Finals, but I believe Oklahoma City will win tonight. The Thunder are so good at home, while Minnesota’s role players won’t do as much on the road.

Player Prop: I love backing great players coming off losses. I’m going to take Anthony Edwards’ over points + assists, as Edwards should bounce back from a dismal performance. The best number is over 31.5 points + assists -125 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.



NBA Pick: Thunder -8 -103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Anthony Edwards over 31.5 points + assists -125 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$125



NBA Picks for Tuesday, May 27, 2025 (2-0, +$300)


New York Knicks NBA Picks Against the Spread Indiana Pacers NBA Picks Against the Spread
New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 3.

8:00 PM ET

We went with the Knicks in Game 3 because it was a desperation spot for them. Despite this, they barely won because of Tom Thibodeau’s abysmal coaching. Thibodeau cost his team in Game 2 by benching Karl-Anthony Towns, and he nearly cost his team in Game 3 by keeping Jalen Brunson on the bench until there were two minutes remaining. I think he’ll do something stupid tonight to help the Pacers win.

Player Prop: I love backing great players coming off losses. I’m going to take Tyrese Haliburton’s over points + assists because he sometimes acts as a major distributor following defeats. The best number is over 30.5 points + assists -112 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.



NBA Pick: Pacers -3 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton over 30.5 points + assists -112 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Monday, May 26, 2025 (2-0, +$310)


Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Picks Against the Spread Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Picks Against the Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Thunder by 2.5.

8:30 PM ET

I like seeing the public action on Thunder because I already was going to side with the Timberwolves. Oklahoma City is 0-6 against the spread in road games during the playoffs this year. The Game 3 was a natural letdown spot for them, but it looked like the Timberwolves figured out some things.

Player Prop: I love backing great players coming off losses. Last night didn’t pan out so well because of Jalen Brunson’s foul trouble. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should go over tonight. The best number is over 31.5 points +108 at Bookmaker. You can Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker by clicking the link.



NBA Pick: Timberwolves +2.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 31.5 points +108 (1 Unit) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$110



NBA Picks for Sunday, May 25, 2025 (1-1, +$125)


New York Knicks NBA Picks Against the Spread Indiana Pacers NBA Picks Against the Spread
New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pick.

8:00 PM ET

This seems too easy. Public bettors are pounding the Pacers like it’s easy money. They’re up 2-0, and they’re only favored by two! Why not bet them for free cash!? The Pacers have been the luckiest team I’ve seen in a long time. If it weren’t for insane shooting in Game 1 and Tom Thibodeaux’s stupidity with benching Karl-Anthony Towns in Game 2, this could be a 2-0 New York series lead. The Knicks are going to be desperate, while the Pacers already laid an egg in a Game 3 while up 2-0.

Player Prop: Let’s hope there’s not another blowout to ruin a potential player prop like we saw last night. I want to bet Jalen Brunson off a loss. He’ll be doing everything in his power to keep his team alive. The best number is over 31.5 points +100 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.



NBA Pick: Knicks ML +112 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$225
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson over 31.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100



NBA Picks for Saturday, May 24, 2025 (1-1, +$80)


Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Picks Against the Spread Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Picks Against the Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Thunder by 2.5.

8:30 PM ET

The Thunder won easily in Games 1 and 2, but I don’t think they’re going to sweep this series. They’re 0-5 against the spread in road games in the playoffs. The desperate Timberwolves should take this one.

Player Prop: If the Timberwolves win tonight, the role players will have to do more. Jaden McDaniels is playing a lot, and he’s much more productive at home. The best number is over 13.5 points -105 at DraftKings.

Same-Game Parlay: FanDuel is offering a no-sweat same-game parlay. We’re going to use the Timberwolves moneyline, Jaden McDaniels over 12.5 points, and Donte DiVincenzo over 8.5 points. This parlay pays +422. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves +2.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Jaden McDaniels over 13.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$105
Same-Game Parlay: Timberwolves ML, Jaden McDaniels over 12.5 points, Donte DiVincenzo over 8.5 points +422 (0.25 Units to win 1.05) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$25



NBA Picks for Friday, May 23, 2025 (0-2, -$310)


Indiana Pacers NBA Picks Against the Spread New York Knicks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 6.5.

8:00 PM ET

This is a classic public versus sharps game where the public is on the Pacers, while the sharps are on the Knicks. Casual bettors love the comeback victory, but Indiana was down 17 in the fourth quarter and shot an insane percentage from three. That is unlikely to happen again, especially with the Pacers being happy to win one on the road.

Player Prop: Karl-Anthony Towns dominates the Pacers. Indiana simply has no answer for him. I came so close to betting him instead of Josh Hart in Game 1, so I’m not making that mistake again, especially after seeing how terrified Hart was to shoot the ball in the second half. The best number is over 35.5 points + rebounds -108 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Knicks -6.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Karl-Anthony Towns over 35.5 points + rebounds -108 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$110



NBA Picks for Thursday, May 22, 2025 (1-1, +$105)


Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Picks Against the Spread Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Picks Against the Spread
Minnesota Timberwolves at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 8.

8:30 PM ET

I bet the Timberwolves to win the NBA Finals several months ago, but I don’t think they have what it takes to overcome the Thunder. Oklahoma City’s defense was so stifling that the Timberwolves had to settle for so many bad threes in the second half.

Player Prop: We bet Julius Randle in Game 1, and we’ll do it again. He’s been carrying the team, and given how good Oklahoma City’s defense is against guards, Randle should continue the heavy workload. The best number is over 19.5 points -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Thunder -8 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Julius Randle over 19.5 points -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105



NBA Picks for Wednesday, May 21, 2025 (0-2, -$100)


Indiana Pacers NBA Picks Against the Spread New York Knicks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 4.5.

8:00 PM ET

I’m sorry for doing this, but I’m not posting a play on either side. I’m not sure what to make of this series, as both teams are very lucky to be here, thanks to injuries suffered by their opponents. I’d lean Knicks if I had to bet this game.

Player Prop: Josh Hart’s points + rebounds is way too low. It’s 22, and yet in three games against the poor-rebounding Pacers, he has gotten 30, 28, and 40 points + rebounds. Role players also tend to do much better at home. The best number is over 22.5 points -125 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Knicks -4.5 (0 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; $0
NBA Player Prop: Josh Hart over 22.5 points + rebounds -102 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100



NBA Picks for Tuesday, May 20, 2025 (1-1, -$115)


Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Picks Against the Spread Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Picks Against the Spread
Minnesota Timberwolves at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 7.

8:30 PM ET

These teams are evenly matched. The records say the Thunder are better, but they needed seven games to close out an underwhelming and fatigued Denver squad. It wouldn’t surprise me if the Timberwolves win outright.

Player Prop: Julius Randle has been awesome in the playoffs this year, and he once again has a better matchup than Anthony Edwards. The best number is over 19.5 points -125 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves +7 -108 (2 Units) – Bookmaker Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$215
NBA Player Prop: Julius Randle over 19.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – FanDuel Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Sunday, May 18, 2025 (1-1, +$45)


Denver Nuggets Warriors NBA Picks Against the Spread Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Picks Against the Spread
Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 8.

3:30 PM ET

I don’t know who’s going to cover this game, or even win this game, because the Thunder keep blowing leads. However, Oklahoma City is the best first-half team in the NBA, and it has gotten out to large leads in almost every contest in this series. I’m going to bet the Thunder in the first half once again.

Player Prop: I love betting superstars on the road. Nikola Jokic already looked great, and now he’ll have to do more with Aaron Gordon hurt. The issue with betting an individual stat for Jokic is that he can do everything, so let’s bet his over points + rebounds + assists. The best number is over 52.5 points + rebounds + assists -106 at FanDuel.

No-Sweat Same-Game Parlay: FanDuel has a no-sweat same-game parlay. If we lose, we’ll be using the free bet on an NFL exacta. My same-game parlay will be Nikola Jokic over 52.5 points + rebounds + assists, Isaiah Hartenstein over 8.5 rebounds, and Alex Caruso over 8.5 points. Hartenstein failed for us in Game 6, but only because of foul trouble. I like him much better at home, and the same applies to Caruso, who has scored double-digit points in each of the two non-blowout playoff home games in this series. This parlay pays +475 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.



NBA Pick: Thunder -5.5 -101 First Half (2 Units) – Bookmaker Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Jokic over 52.5 points + rebounds + assists -106 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105
No-Sweat Same-Game Parlay: Nikola Jokic over 52.5 points + rebounds + assists, Isaiah Hartenstein over 8.5 rebounds, Alex Caruso over 8.5 points +475 (0.5 Units to win 2.4) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50



NBA Picks for Friday, May 16, 2025 (1-1, +$75)


Boston Celtics NBA Picks Against the Spread New York Knicks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Boston Celtics at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 3.5.

8:00 PM ET

The Celtics had a nice win over the Knicks in Game 5. However, Boston hit 22 threes, while both Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns endured foul trouble. Things should flip the other way with the Celtics no longer getting a pump from the home crowd.

Player Prop: Brunson should perform at a high level after fouling out two nights ago. Brunson is worth betting after losses. He has scored 30, 40, and 39 points following defeats in the playoffs this year. The best number is over 29.5 -125 at BetMGM.

NBA Pick: Knicks -3.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson over 29.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$125



NBA Picks for Thursday, May 15, 2025 (0-1-1, -$100)


Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Picks Against the Spread Denver Nuggets Warriors NBA Picks Against the Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Thunder by 4.5.

8:30 PM ET

We’ve had some bad beats with blown leads in this round, but the Warriors missing a million free throws at the end and failing to cover by one point really hurt. Hopefully we can recover tonight. We’re going to bet the Thunder in the first half again. This didn’t work out two nights ago, but it’s not like the Thunder covered the regular number anyway.

Player Prop: We hit with Isaiah Hartenstein points + rebounds two nights ago, and we’ll bet it again. Hartenstein is playing major minutes to defend Nikola Jokic, so he’s cleared 20 points + rebounds in every game. The best number is over 20.5 -105 at ESPNBet. If you’re limited there, FanDuel’s vig is next-best at -112.

NBA Pick: Thunder -3 +104 First Half (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Push; $0
NBA Player Prop: Isaiah Hartenstein over 20.5 points + rebounds (1 Unit) – ESPNBet — Incorrect; -$100



NBA Picks for Wednesday, May 14, 2025 (1-1, -$100)


Golden State Warriors NBA Picks Against the Spread Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Picks Against the Spread
Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 10.

9:30 PM ET

This spread is too large, even with Steph Curry sidelined. All but one game has been decided by single digits in this series, and the Warriors will be fighting for their lives tonight.

Player Prop: Anthony Edwards is a nice fade tonight. He doesn’t do as much at home compared to his road performances, and given that his team is up 3-1, he may not think that he needs to go all out tonight. The best number is under 28.5 -125 at BetMGM or ESPNBet.

NBA Pick: Warriors +10 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Anthony Edwards under 28.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Tuesday, May 13, 2025 (1-1, -$110)


Denver Nuggets Warriors NBA Picks Against the Spread Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Picks Against the Spread
Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 10.

9:30 PM ET

I’m so sick of the teams we bet blowing leads in the second half. The Thunder have done it so many times, which makes no sense because their depth is far superior compared to Denver’s. I’m going to bet the Thunder first-half line.

Player Prop: Isaiah Hartenstein has been playing massive minutes to combat Nikola Jokic. He’s gone over 19.5 points + rebounds in every game this series. The best number is over 19.5 points + rebounds -120 at ESPNBet. If you’re limited there, you can find over 19.5 -128 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

We have $25 in bonus bet money from yesterday’s parlay. I’ll be adding a play to the NFL futures page.

NBA Pick: Thunder -7 -104 First Half (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$210
NBA Player Prop: Isaiah Hartenstein over 19.5 points + rebounds -120 (1 Unit) – ESPNBet — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Monday, May 12, 2025 (1-1, -$100)


Boston Celtics NBA Picks Against the Spread New York Knicks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Boston Celtics at New York Knicks.
Line: Celtics by 7.5.

7:30 PM ET

We were on the Celtics in Game 3, and we’ll back them again tonight. They’re the far better team – they’ve been up by 20-plus in every game in this series despite shooting 25 percent from three in the first two games – and they’ll be looking to reclaim homecourt advantage tonight.

Player Prop: We’re betting Jayson Tatum for the same reason we did so in Game 3. That bet didn’t hit, but I love Tatum in this spot. The best number is over 27.5 points +100 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

We have $25 in bonus bet money from yesterday’s parlay. I’ll be adding a play to the NFL futures page.

NBA Pick: Celtics -7.5 +105 (2 Units) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum over 27.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



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