I’ll be posting NFL DraftKings picks here. I cannot post lineups anymore, but I will list some players I like each week.
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Top Captains: Najee Harris (13800). Najee Harris has scored double-digit DK points in his previous five games. Given the poor weather, the Steelers could give Harris plenty of work. Cleveland’s lack of tackling effort in the prior game was alarming.
Top Spend-Up FLEX (in addition to Top Captains): David Njoku (7600). David Njoku has done very well with Jameis Winston, who won’t be able to go too deep in the wind and rain.
Top Value: Jaylen Warren (6200). Jaylen Warren had 13 touches last week. Given the wind and rain, he might get plenty of dump-off passes.
Top Punt Play: Darnell Washington (2400). Darnell Washington has gotten more targets than Pat Freiermuth ever since Russell Wilson took over at quarterback.
Player to Avoid: George Pickens (11000). Make sure to check the weather report. If it’s as bad as speculated, it’s going to be tough for George Pickens to reach value at $11,000.
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I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my player pool for this slate (in price order)…
Top Quarterbacks: Jayden Daniels (7000), Bo Nix (6300), Kyler Murray (6200), Anthony Richardson (5600).
Rather than barely touch on every player on this list, I’ll discuss my top plays at each position.
Jayden Daniels, $7,000: Jayden Daniels will be back to his usual self in this easy matchup.
Bo Nix, $6,300: Bo Nix had 23 DK points against the Broncos in the first meeting.
Kyler Murray, $6,200: Kyler Murray has been on a tear lately. Seattle’s defense won’t stop him.
Anthony Richardson, $5,600: Anthony Richardson is far too cheap for his upside. The Lions have a pass-funnel defense.
Top Running Backs: De’Von Achane (7500), Jahmyr Gibbs (7300), David Montgomery (6700), James Conner (6500), Aaron Jones (6400), Brian Robinson (5600), Buccaneers Running Backs (5400, 5300).
Lions Running Backs, $7,300/$6,700: The Colts are very weak to the run.
James Conner, $6,500: The Seahawks struggle against the run, and James Conner can get there in multiple ways.
Aaron Jones, $6,400: Aaron Jones has a great matchup against Chicago’s run-funnel defense.
Brian Robinson, $5,600: The Cowboys are one of the worst teams against the run.
Buccaneers Running Backs, $5,400/$5,300: The Giants have major problems defending running backs. Both Tampa Bay backs look good.
Top Wide Receivers: DK Metcalf (6600), Josh Downs (6200), Marvin Harrison Jr. (6100), Courtland Sutton (5800), Jauan Jennings (5600), DeAndre Hopkins (5400).
DK Metcalf, $6,600: Arizona has given up some big games to top receivers.
Josh Downs, $6,200: The Lions give up lots of production to slot receivers.
Marvin Harrison Jr., $6,100: A post-bye bump for Marvin Harrison Jr.? Seattle’s defense just allowed Jauan Jennings to have a big game.
Courtland Sutton, $5,800: Courtland Sutton has a nice matchup, and he’s averaged 9.5 targets over the past four games.
Jauan Jennings, $5,600: It seems like a mistake that Jauan Jennings is cheaper than Deebo Samuel.
DeAndre Hopkins, $5,400: DeAndre Hopkins is pretty cheap for a No. 1 receiver. The Panthers have really struggled against outside receivers.
Top Tight Ends: Brock Bowers (6300), Travis Kelce (5900), Trey McBride (5600), Hunter Henry (4000), Ja’Tavion Sanders (3400), Theo JohnsoN (2900).
Brock Bowers, $6,300: There are tons of good cheap options this week, but Brock Bowers must always be considered.
Travis Kelce, $5,900: Travis Kelce is $400 cheaper than he was last week, and yet the matchup is so much easier.
Trey McBride, $5,600: Another top-end tight end in a great matchup.
Hunter Henry, $4,000: Brock Bowers caught a million passes against the Ja’Tavion Sanders, $3,400: The Chiefs are one of the worst teams in the NFL against tight ends.
Theo Johnson, $2,900: The Buccaneers also struggle against tight ends.
Top Defenses: Redskins (3500), Vikings (3400), Buccaneers (3300), Broncos (3200).
Redskins, $3,500: This could be a massacre.
Vikings, $3,400: Brian Flores versus Caleb Williams is a big mismatch.
Buccaneers, $3,300: Todd Bowles’ defense typically devours bad quarterbacks.
Broncos, $3,200: Gardner Minshew is one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL when pressured. The Broncos get after the quarterback very effectively.
Players to Avoid: Chuba Hubbard (6600), Tyrone Tracy (6000), Malik Nabers (7400). Chuba Hubbard has been great, but running on the Chiefs is impossible. … The matchups on DraftKings have Tyrone Tracy as having a great spot, but that’s not the case. … I don’t trust Malik Nabers in a great matchup because Tommy DeVito is playing behind a leaky offensive line.
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