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2011 Fantasy Football: Busts, Players to Avoid



There will be many more 2011 Fantasy Football Rankings and features in the summer, including tons of 2011 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts, Player Rankings, Sleepers and Busts. I'll also have an extensive 2011 NFL Fantasy Football Preseason Stock Report. Follow me @walterfootball for updates.



2011 Fantasy Football - Busts, Players to Avoid (Updated July 25):

This is a list of players to avoid in your 2011 Fantasy Football Drafts. Some of these players have injury/age risks. Others are overvalued and will be drafted too early.

10. DeSean Jackson, WR, Eagles
DeSean Jackson suffered a monstrous hit in a Thursday night battle against the Texans. Ever since then, he ran nothing but go routes. He demolished the Cowboys the following Sunday, but subsequent teams caught on. Jackson's final three games: seven catches, 131 yards, no touchdowns. And speaking of no touchdowns, Jackson found the end zone only once after Nov. 15.

Jackson is one of the most dynamic players in the NFL, but he's way too brittle. Let someone else spend an early pick on him.

9. Marques Colston, WR, Saints
I currently have Marques Colston at No. 50 in my 2011 Fantasy Football Top 150 Cheat Sheet, so if I could get him in the fifth round, I wouldn't have any problem with that. The issue is that Colston is being drafted earlier than this despite the fact that he's coming off his fifth knee procedure in five years.

8. Peyton Hillis, RB, Browns
I owned Peyton Hillis in many of my leagues last year. While he got me to the playoffs in all of those leagues, he also cost me in the playoffs when he wore down and did nothing. Hillis cannot shoulder a heavy workload, yet he's being drafted like he can. He's going way too early in many fantasy mock drafts.



7. Michael Crabtree, WR, 49ers
Michael Crabtree has been busy this offseason. He's spent half his summer vacation berating Alex Smith. When he hasn't been doing that, he's been taking care of his foot injury - the same foot that caused him to drop in the 2009 NFL Draft. Crabtree is a douche - an injured douche - and he and Smith just don't have a very good rapport. Don't bother with Crabtree. Until he adjusts his attitude, he won't accomplish much in the NFL.

6. Daniel Thomas, RB, Dolphins
As of this writing, Mark Ingram's ADP is 5.09. That's fine because he figures to score a bunch of touchdowns in New Orleans' offense. But what is Daniel Thomas going to do? Thomas won't have nearly as many red-zone opportunities. And he's not even guaranteed the starting gig; the Dolphins have discussed bringing a free agent in to complement Thomas, who has an insanely early ADP of 6.02.



5. Ryan Torain and Roy Helu, RBs, Redskins
A popular mid-round draft strategy this year is to obtain both Ryan Torain and Roy Helu.

"Muhahahaha!" these people laugh. "I've just guaranteed myself the starting running back of the Washington Redskins!"

Well, congratu-f***ing-lations. You've used two mid-round picks to obtain a pair of mediocre talents, one of whom figures to average 3.1 yards per carry for the worst offense in the NFL.

Don't overthink things. Avoid these bums and focus on drafting better players.

4. Michael Turner, RB, Falcons
If you've been reading this Web site for a while, you'd be shocked if Michael Turner didn't make this list. Turner's ADP is insanely high at 2.02. He's not even in my top 20 running backs. Check the 2011 Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings to read why.



3. Knowshon Moreno, RB, Broncos
Knowshon Moreno's ADP as of this writing is 4.09. Also as of this writing, the Broncos are considered the favorites to land DeAngelo Williams. Denver reportedly doesn't see Moreno as an every-down runner, which makes you wonder why Josh McDaniels spent such an early draft pick on Moreno.

Even if the Broncos don't sign Williams and keep Moreno as their starter, I still wouldn't touch Moreno anywhere near the fourth round. He can't stay healthy, his work ethic stinks, and he's not going to score many touchdowns with Tim Tebow getting all of the work inside the 5-yard line.

2. BenJarvus Green-Ellis, RB, Patriots
Scouring through Fantasy Football Calculator's ADP list, I was SHOCKED to see BenJarvus Green-Ellis at 6.06. God doesn't even know what the hell Bill Belichick is going to do with his billion running backs, so I just don't understand how anyone can spend such an early pick on Green-Ellis. Let's wait until the preseason - maybe we can figure out what Belichick plans on doing then.

1. Anquan Boldin, WR, Ravens
Anquan Boldin's ADP is insanely high at 5.09. I don't get it. Have people forgotten that he averaged 35.4 yards and scored two touchdowns in the final nine weeks of the 2011 season? And that doesn't even include his brilliant performance at Pittsburgh in the second round of the playoffs: one catch, minus-2 yards.

Boldin's done. He can't separate anymore, and unlike his time in Arizona, he no longer has the luxury of having Larry Fitzgerald on the other side to draw attention away from the opposition. He's currently No. 60 in my 2011 Fantasy Football Wide Receiver rankings.

***** COMMENT BOX IS BELOW THESE LINKS *****


More 2011 Fantasy Football Articles:
2011 Fantasy Football: Home

2011 Fantasy Football Rankings:
2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Quarterbacks - 9/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Running Backs - 9/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Wide Receivers - 9/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Tight Ends - 9/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Defenses - 9/1 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Kickers - 6/26 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Downloadable Spreadsheets - 9/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Dynasty Rookie Rankings - 8/27 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Auction Values - 8/27 (Walt)

2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets:
2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 Traditional - 9/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 PPR - 9/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 Touchdown - 9/8 (Walt)

2011 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts:
2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Real League Draft - 8/31 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Fake Mock - 8/25 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Experts Draft - 8/25 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum 2-QB Mock - 7/21 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Mock Draft Scenarios - 7/17 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Auction: Mock PPR Auction - 7/14 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum PPR Mock - 7/7 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum Mock - 7/3 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Four-Man PPR Draft - 6/19 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Draft: Fox Sports - 5/5 (Walt)

2011 Fantasy Football Articles:
2011 Fantasy Football Injury Reports: Week 2 - 9/18 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Weekly Rankings: Week 2 - 9/18 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Week 2 Add/Drop - 9/13 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Training Camp Stock - 9/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Start Em, Sit Em - 9/6 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Preseason Stock - 9/3 (Walt)
2011 Preseason Recap and Fantasy Football Notes - 9/3 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Preseason Targets - 9/3 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Late-Round Sleepers - 9/1 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Round-by-Round Strategy - 9/1 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Value Comparison - 9/1
2011 Fantasy Football: Must-Have Players - 8/24 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Busts, Players to Avoid - 7/25 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/24 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Sleepers - 7/23 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Various League Strategy - 7/18 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Three-Dimensional Running Backs - 7/16 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: ADP Analysis - 7/15 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: First-Round Bust History - 7/10 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/9 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/4 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Analysis - 7/1 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/18 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/12 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/5 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Stock Up (Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Stock Down (Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
2010 Fantasy Football: Buy Low - 4/8 (Walt)
2011 Fantasy Football: Defense Strategy - 4/8 (Walt)
Running Backs with Most Carries - 4/8 (Walt)

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Matt 07-26-2011 08:13 am xxx.xxx.xxx0.33 (total posts: 1)
30     30

Walt, now with Todd Heap, Derrick Mason, and TJ Houshmanzadeh not coming back to Baltimore, do you still think Boldin is a major bust candidate? He looks to be the only guy left there to get the targets. The rookies won't be ready to produce by the start of the season.
Charlie 07-25-2011 07:40 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.103 (total posts: 1)
30     29

I agree on Hillis busting all the way. Maybe not for the same reason though. Even if he doesn't wear down at the end of the season his playoff schedule is brutal. Baltimore twice to go along with the steelers.
Ryan Torain (Cont'd) 07-25-2011 06:31 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.113 (total posts: 2)
29     29

Besides that Lions game, he had more than 67 total yards in all of the games he played (I think it was 8 others). Not bad for a mid-round pick, also he'll surely get some TDs because of his power and he is a factor in the receiving game despite what you may think. IMO, he doesn't make a terrible mid-round selection. You can do worse than Torain.
Ryan Torain 07-25-2011 06:26 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.113 (total posts: 2)
31     29

Walt, Ryan Torain's not even that bad. The problem is he's one of the most injury prone players in the league. Averaged 4.5 YPC last year, 4 TDs, 900+ total yards with 6 TDs in 10 games. That's quite good. Look at his game log. The only game he played that he wasn't actually productive in was against Detriot (9 carries for 10 yds and he still averaged 4.5 YPC for the year despite this game) but he had a receiving TD that game. He had 3 games over 100 yds rushing. In all of the games he played he had more than 60 total yards and/or a TD. That's not bad for a mid-round back, but, once again, he can't stay healthy. That'd be the only reason to stay away from him, not because he's a mediocre talent. As for Roy Helu, we've never even see him play a pre-season game so how can you call him a mediocre talent. I realize you might not like rookies with the lockout, but Helu could very well end up being a productive rookie runningback in his rookie year because Torain's guaranteed to miss 4+ games.
mcfllie 07-25-2011 06:15 pm xxx.xxx.xxx7.39 (total posts: 1)
30     30

Is there any chance you can use a different ADP calculator? I feel like seeing the overall position of where the player is going is more useful than which round, then the pick in that round. Just my opinion...
Tom Thumb 07-25-2011 04:36 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.166 (total posts: 3)
33     31

Where's Brandon Lloyd? I'm definitely not letting him on any of my teams. He's already lost Josh McDaniels, and he'll probably lose Kyle Orton. Plus he has to be past his prime.
Mike Gaughan 07-25-2011 03:06 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.45 (total posts: 1)
27     25

Hi,

So these players are on your waiver wire:

Knowshon Moreno
Ryan Grant
Ryan Torain

You would unquestionably go with Ryan Grant?

Thanks!
ATrepp 07-25-2011 02:53 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.10 (total posts: 1)
29     27

Walt-

Have you had a chance to check out Matt Berry's piece on ESPN.com?

http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/story?page=NFLDK2K11_TMRManifesto

Pretty interesting analysis on Vick and Gates. What are your thoughts?
@MTW6 07-25-2011 11:16 am xxx.xxx.xxx.231 (total posts: 2)
21     18

Desean may or may not be overrated as a fantasy commodity, all I am saying is that the "brittle" label and the idea that he was afraid after taking a big hit are inaccurate. Bad secondaries or not both times he took big hits last year he followed them up with big games

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yeiWqSFS4qg
D 07-25-2011 10:19 am xxx.xxx.xxx.166 (total posts: 3)
21     19

Dallas Clark and Jermichael Finley should be on this list. Both are coming off season-ending injuries and are on teams with crowded WR corps. Finley is also very unproven while Clark has only had one full 16-game (his outlier 2009 season). They're too risky to be drafted as the 2nd and 3rd TE's with so much depth at the position.
D 07-25-2011 10:01 am xxx.xxx.xxx.166 (total posts: 3)
19     21

I agree with @MTW6- DeSean isn't as brittle as most people probably think. Anybody who saw the hit in the Falcons game can't blame him for missing time. I also heard that DJax stopped running shorter routes over the middle after that hit because he didn't want to get hurt before signing a contract extension. Next season (if he's signed to a longterm deal) he should be as productive as he was early in the 2010 season as he'll be running shorter routes and keeping defenses guessing. He's still a top 10 WR.
Schu 07-25-2011 08:46 am xxx.xxx.xxx4.96 (total posts: 1)
20     21

@MTW6
Both teams are terrible in the secondary.... I thought he only ran go and post routes from the beginning... He isn't that impressive to me
@MTW6 07-25-2011 08:40 am xxx.xxx.xxx.231 (total posts: 2)
19     20

Desean doesn't seem any more brittle than the rest of the NFL. He has only missed 2 games in 3 seasons due to injury. The Eagles rested starters in week 17 (he wasn't out with injury) which skews the stats you posted of his final 3 weeks. You also failed to mention that he did score during that time, the game winning punt return to beat the Giants in the Game Of The Year. And alluding to him being soft "only ran go-routes" isn't accurate as he immediately bounced back from vicious hits...

The week after Desean took that hit against the Texans he had 4 receptions for 210 yards and a TD against the Cowboys.

After the devastating concussion he had vs the Falcons, Desean had 7 receptions for 109 yards and a TD against the Colts.


Nobody 07-16-2011 11:56 am xxx.xxx.xxx.249 (total posts: 1)
24     21

Peyton Hillis will have a bad season because of the Madden Curse, too
Jonetta 07-05-2011 04:37 am xxx.xxx.xxx4.26 (total posts: 1)
21     24

More posts of this quiltay. Not the usual c***, please




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2016 NFL Mock Draft - July 24


2015 NFL Mock Draft - July 23


2015 NBA Mock Draft - July 1


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NFL Picks - Feb. 2





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