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2011 Fantasy Football: Mailbag

There will be many more 2011 Fantasy Football Rankings and features in the late spring and summer, including tons of 2011 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts and Player Rankings. I'll also have an extensive 2011 NFL Fantasy Football Preseason Stock Report. Follow me @walterfootball for updates.

2011 Fantasy Football - Mailbag (July 4):

The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions are regarding the 2011 Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings.

  • From Samarth Sulhan:

    MATT SCHAUB IS UNBELEIVABLY UNDERRATED! Over the last 2 years, hes second in passing yards out of all the QBs and hes not even in the top 10?!

    --> Calm down, buddy. Matt Schaub is No. 12 - just two points behind Matt Ryan, projected to be No. 10.

    I don't think Schaub is going to have a great fantasy season. Wade Phillips will really improve Houston's defense, and if that's the case, then Schaub's attempts will be down. That's my thinking behind slotting Schaub No. 12 anyway.

  • From Dumb:

    Cassel below the likes of Cam Newton, Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Jason Cambell? The hate continues.

    --> Yes. I hate Matt Cassel. I hate him so much... That... it... it... flam - flames. Flames, on the side of my face, heaving... breath -, heaving breaths. Heaving breath...

    For the five billionth time, Cassel is going to struggle without Charlie Weis. Kansas City will also have a much more difficult schedule, so that will also play a part in Cassel's decline.

    I don't hate the guy. He's just not that good.

  • From Matt:

    Your hate on Vick continues. The guy was nearly the highest scoring QB last year and he played in only 10 full games! You always talk about the 50-point game about the Redskins, but even ignoring that game he averaged 30 PPG in the final six games he played. He is the #1 Fantasy QB. And if he plays even just 12 full games this year he will easily be the highest scoring QB. I love your website, but you are letting his personal actions cloud your opinion of what he can do on the field.

    --> I have QB Dog Killer missing several games this year. That's one thing. Also, he just turned 31, so it's not unreasonable to expect him to lose some of his quickness and elusiveness.

    When I draft a quarterback early, I want to count on him being in the lineup all 16 games. I can say that for Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, Drew Brees and probably Aaron Rodgers. I can't say that for Philadelphia's beloved dog-drowner.

  • From mrm27:

    Walter, do you realize how few QBs have thrown 30 TDs and 10 or fewer INTs in the history of the NFL over a 16 game season? I think it is 3 (McNabb in 04, Brady in 2010 and Favre's first Vikings year). Let's watch our projections.

    --> I assume you're referring to my Philip Rivers' 30-10 projection. Rivers went 34-11 in 2008, 28-9 in 2009 and 30-13 in 2010 - and four of those 13 picks in 2010 came late when the Chargers were out of the playoff picture.

    Are you telling me it's impossible that Rivers can go 30-10? If so, I disagree. Hell, Matt Cassel went 27-7 last year, and he's not nearly as good as Rivers.

    The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions are regarding the 2011 Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings.

  • From Stephane:

    Walter-I understand your position that Charles' #s will go down now that Weis has left the team. But he also had great numbers in the second half of 09 when Weis wasn't there. Thanks for everything you do, it's all great

    --> That's a good point, Stephane, but Jamaal Charles has to share touches with Thomas Jones. And Todd Haley, for whatever reason, has a fetish for inexplicably using Jones over Charles. For example, Haley stripped Charlie Weis of his play-calling duties in the second half of Kansas City's postseason loss to Baltimore. When Haley called the plays, Charles had just one touch - this in one-and-a-half quarters of action.

    Haley is an idiot, so I don't want him ruining my fantasy season by senselessly giving the ball to Jones again.

  • From Double Down:

    Arian Foster is iffy as No.1 They need to resign Leach or else he drops out of the top 5.

    --> Agreed. That's going to be huge. Vonta Leach is the best blocking fullback in the NFL. If he's not retained, Arian Foster won't be nearly as good as he was in 2010.

  • From Robert Dixie:

    "I'm a big fan of Rashard Mendenhall this year even though he belongs in a mental health facility. " Yeah, Mendenhall reads books and stuff and believes people should think for themselves. Let's lock all those people up. Good thinking, Mao.

    --> Thanks! I just read some books myself, and I've come to the conclusion that traffic lights in the United States are blue, purple and orange. Also, I believe that all giraffes are fluent in Japanese. Now, before you call me crazy, I must remind you that I'm thinking for myself here, so don't lock me up in a mental health facility for believing all of this.

  • From Funk:

    I am amazed to see BJGE below Woodhead but have to assume it is due to receptions. Belichick is a nut when it comes to RBs becausehis team simply does not require him to be concerned with them

    --> I really have no clue what to do with New England's running backs. I assume Danny Woodhead will still be a big part of the offense because Tom Brady loved utilizing him, but I don't know what to make of the Shane Vereen-Stevan Ridley-BenJarvus Green-Ellis time share. I hope we get a full preseason so I can get a sense of how Bill Belichick plans on utilizing his billion running backs.

    The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions are regarding the 2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150.

  • From Adam C:

    How Jonathon Stewart drops to teir 5 is beyond my comprehension.

    --> Jonathan Stewart will be much higher than Tier 5 if DeAngelo Williams leaves Carolina. This is just a safe ranking just in case Williams stays with the Panthers.

  • From Satan:

    Charles is now ahead of Gore, but Gore could easily end up being a top-3 RB this year. That injury last year was a fluke, and isn't the type of thing that'll linger or limit his explosion this year.

    --> Maybe that injury was a fluke. But Frank Gore is ALWAYS hurt. You can't rely on him. Yes, if he stays healthy, he's a top-three fantasy running back. But even dating back to his college days, Gore has always found a way to be on the injury report.

  • From James:

    So, you would rather have the THIRD running back of the Cowboys (Murray) over Mike Thomas, a #1 WR? Indeed ...

    --> Are you sure Mike Thomas is going to be the No. 1 receiver after free agency? Also, the Jaguars are really going to suck this year, so while I like Thomas as a player, I don't want anything to do with him in fantasy football.

    And who called DeMarco Murray the third running back? Jason Garrett hates Tashard Choice, so Murray could be the No. 2 runner by the opener. And considering how fragile Felix Jones is, Murray could have lots of playing time this year.

    The following 2011 Fantasy Football mailbag questions came from my previous 2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag entries.

  • From Jay:

    People who call you crazy for having Jordy Nelson over Boldin, Ochocinco, and Sanatana Moss aren't living in 2005, they are living in 2010. Each one of them greatly outperformed Nelson last year.

    --> Ask any 2010 Anquan Boldin owner how it felt to own Boldin in the final half of the year, when Boldin averaged 35.4 yards and scored two touchdowns in the final nine weeks of the season. Or Chad Ochocinco's owners, and his 50.9 yards per week and two touchdowns in his final eight contests.

    Succeeding in fantasy football is all about projecting for the future; not looking at the previous year's results and expecting the same thing to happen again. Beginning in Week 16 (4-124-TD), Jordy Nelson had an incredible run to close out the season. As the clear-cut No. 2 wideout in an explosive offense, he's going to post huge numbers. Boldin and Ochocinco, meanwhile, are washed up. As for Santana Moss, he's getting old and non-elite receivers struggle on new teams. Just ask Boldin.

    The bottom line - if you draft like you're living in the past, you have no chance at winning your league.

  • From DH:

    Hey walt, I've done a few mock drafts where matt forte was taken before steven jackson. I think forte could have a huge season next year, but I'm a Bears fan so I'm biased. Are people just stupid for taking forte first or does it have some merit?

    --> I have Steven Jackson ahead of Matt Forte, but I definitely don't think it would be crazy to consider the latter. Some people are speculating that Jackson is finished and could begin to decline in 2011. I personally think Jackson has one more top-level year left in the tank, but it wouldn't shock me to see him fall off.

    If Jackson doesn't decline, however, I'd be surprised if Forte out-produced him. Jackson is going to be in an explosive offense and will be in position to score lots of touchdowns.

  • From Pack Fan Sully:

    Someone should tell Walt that Jennings has been working out with Fitzgarald the last 2 or 3 seasons

    --> That's even better then! The more time spent with Larry Fitzgerald, the better. It's good to see Greg Jennings take some initiative and work hard to become one of the top receivers in the NFL.


    More 2011 Fantasy Football Articles:
    2011 Fantasy Football: Home

    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings:
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Quarterbacks - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Running Backs - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Wide Receivers - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Tight Ends - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Defenses - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Rankings: Kickers - 6/26 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Downloadable Spreadsheets - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Dynasty Rookie Rankings - 8/27 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Auction Values - 8/27 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets:
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 Traditional - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 PPR - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Top 150 Touchdown - 9/8 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts:
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Real League Draft - 8/31 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Fake Mock - 8/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Experts Draft - 8/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum 2-QB Mock - 7/21 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Mock Draft Scenarios - 7/17 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Auction: Mock PPR Auction - 7/14 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum PPR Mock - 7/7 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Forum Mock - 7/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Four-Man PPR Draft - 6/19 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Draft: Fox Sports - 5/5 (Walt)

    2011 Fantasy Football Articles:
    2011 Fantasy Football Injury Reports: Week 2 - 9/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Weekly Rankings: Week 2 - 9/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Week 2 Add/Drop - 9/13 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Training Camp Stock - 9/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Start Em, Sit Em - 9/6 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Preseason Stock - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Preseason Recap and Fantasy Football Notes - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Preseason Targets - 9/3 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Late-Round Sleepers - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Round-by-Round Strategy - 9/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Value Comparison - 9/1
    2011 Fantasy Football: Must-Have Players - 8/24 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Busts, Players to Avoid - 7/25 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/24 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Sleepers - 7/23 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Various League Strategy - 7/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Three-Dimensional Running Backs - 7/16 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: ADP Analysis - 7/15 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: First-Round Bust History - 7/10 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/9 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 7/4 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Analysis - 7/1 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/18 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/12 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football Mailbag - 6/5 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Stock Up (Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Stock Down (Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
    2010 Fantasy Football: Buy Low - 4/8 (Walt)
    2011 Fantasy Football: Defense Strategy - 4/8 (Walt)
    Running Backs with Most Carries - 4/8 (Walt)

    Leave a comment

    click on image to refresh it
    Barney Fife's Bullet 08-07-2011 04:37 pm (total posts: 1)
    23     25

    Help me out Walt! I am in an 8-man 2 QB league. I pretty much know how the first round is going to go. I pick last. I am thinking about grabbing Brady and Brees in order to be dominant at QB. But I think Ray Rice and Jamaal Charles may be available. Should I change my thinking and grab the two stud RBS and take a chance of Romo and another QB falling to me? Thanks!
    JoeCleveland 07-31-2011 04:00 pm (total posts: 2)
    30     29

    With the Ravens removing McGahee and adding Leach, would it be crazy to consider selecting Ray Rice over Adrian Peterson and Chris Johnson? How much does the subtraction of Leach hurt Foster?
    bigben 07-25-2011 10:41 pm (total posts: 1)
    25     36

    hey walt i thought id let u know that some dumbass took jake locker first overall and proceeded to take mark ingram, aj green, leonard hankerson, and daniel thomas with his next 4 picks in a real draft on espn and i was wondering, r people getting more and more retarded?
    ATrepp 07-25-2011 02:52 pm (total posts: 1)
    27     25


    Have you had a chance to check out Matt Berry's piece on

    Pretty interesting analysis on Vick and Gates. What are your thoughts?
    Alex69der 07-25-2011 02:01 pm (total posts: 1)
    33     28

    I am really having a hard time picking between DFad or Gore going early into the second.I know you have Jackson ahead of them,but in my no flex league it offers a little more depth at the position.
    Kippaaa 07-25-2011 02:37 am (total posts: 1)
    36     28

    Walt, first off, I love your site. I trust your information much more than ESPN and Yahoo. I was wondering if you have read Matthew Berry's column on ESPN about Michael Vick being the number 1 overall pick? He had a very interesting breakdown of the QB/RB/WR/TE positions where he took the #1 scorer with regards to points per game at each position and then compared them to the avergae ppg for QB/RB/WR/TE #2-11 players. Vick average 8.6 ppg higher than the average for the other players, much more than any other position. He was even 7 points higher per game than Aaron Rodgers. Granted he only played 11 games, but if you have a solid backup to get you through a couple of those weeks, I suspect if he is healthy for weeks 14-15-16 you will be in great shape. I am interested to see your thoughts on this one as most people say there is less disparity amongst top QBs but Vick was a definite outlier to this in games that he played. Thanks!
    Skeptic 07-24-2011 11:04 pm (total posts: 1)
    29     26

    Hi Walt, Thanks for the response, I understand your unfamiliar with a 2-QB draft and you are strong at running back but your weaknesses at QB and wide receiver are pretty big. I'm not sold on Jahvid Best, although a stud when healthy that guys is nothing but an injury waiting to happen, and now he's splitting carries running behind a medicore o-line at best.. Gates is an absolute stud I'll give you that however with Jackson coming back this year I don't think he will have a season like he had last year. Your running backs are solid definetely, great combo. Your wide receivers are absolutely terrible. You said you are lacking a WR2, when really you are lacking a WR1 with Collie being your WR2. He's your 19th ranked reciever and hes your WR1? say what? And again as you know Campbell as your QB2, yuck! Again still love your stuff!
    Beast 07-24-2011 10:51 pm (total posts: 1)
    29     28

    It was definitly a poor class uptop. It was also a good example of misevaluations on players. Desean jackson (7th receiver taken), pierre garcon (6th roun), steve johnson (7th round) and devone bess (undrafted) were from that class anf have become solid players
    Satan 07-24-2011 10:24 pm (total posts: 4)
    27     25

    That Avery was the first WR drafted in '08 is one of the most shocking football facts I've ever heard. WOW, was that an awful draft for receivers... Limas Sweed? Dexter Jackson?
    Matt 07-24-2011 06:44 pm (total posts: 4)
    28     33

    Matthew Berry has an excellent analysis on the potential of Michael Vick in his Draft Day Manifesto. I'm actually a little bummed out he was so convincing that he should be the #1 pick. I was thrilled getting him in the 2nd round of most of my early drafts so far. That's not gonna happen now.
    Beast 07-24-2011 06:09 pm (total posts: 1)
    24     24

    Im a rams fan and i have to say ive been disappointed with gilyard. I was excited when we drafted him but i dont envision him making an impact for the rams unless there are alot of injuries. Im praying avery can stay healthy and showcase his speed that made him the first wr taken a few years ago, he would bolster the receiver corps
    Schu 07-24-2011 01:02 pm (total posts: 1)
    29     24

    I've seen the same things in my last couple drafts.. As well as Aaron Rodgers going in the top ten... I'm not complaining though cause i landed lesean McCoy and rashard mendenhall... #winning
    JGF 07-24-2011 12:22 pm (total posts: 1)
    27     24

    Gilyard is going to have trouble making the Rams roster. Veteran wideouts are getting healthy, they drafted WR's in the 3rd and 4th, and more than likely will seek WR help in free agency.
    nycsportzfan 07-24-2011 08:19 am (total posts: 1)
    27     25

    Thanks for the Reply walt! Also wanted to mention i agree with your analysis on Mardy Gilyard... If Alexander stays healthy, and u got the 3 albeit Rook pass catching weapons, and also a good line to run behind, and Clayton healthy and Avery healthy, its gonna be tough for Gilyard to find targets, especially if he has any type of legit worries with charechter...
    Mo 07-24-2011 12:46 am (total posts: 1)
    33     26

    @ Samarth Sulhan

    Philip Rivers:
    2008- 4009 yds 105.5 rating 11 Ints
    2009- 4254 yds 104.4 rating 9 Ints
    2010- 4710 yds 101.8 rating 13 Ints

    And I'm pretty sure there's more who have accomplished consecutive seasons of the nature... D:

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