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NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 8 matchup
Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1 · Line: Chiefs -1.5 (Circa)
Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.
| Chiefs | Broncos | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Power rank ◀ | #12 |
| 5-1 | Record (straight up) ◀ | 5-2 |
| 3-3 | Against the spread ▶ | 5-2 |
| 1-2on the road | ATS on the road / at home ▶ | 3-0at home |
| 3-2as favorite | ATS as favorite / underdog ◀ | 2-2as underdog |
| +1.5pts per game | Avg. cover margin ◀ | +0.4pts per game |
| +40 | Point differential ◀ | +3 |
| 21.5avg. opp. rank | Strength of schedule so far ▶ | 12.7avg. opp. rank |
| #5 | Net EPA rank ◀ | #23 |
Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Weeks 2-2, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Chiefs offense | Broncos defense | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | EPA per play ◀ | #13 |
| #17 | Dropback EPA ▶ | #4 |
| #3 | Rush EPA ◀ | #29 |
| #9 | Success rate ▶ | #3 |
| #1528.2% of dropbacks | Pressure rate allowed vs. pressure rate ▶ | #433.2% of dropbacks |
| Chiefs defense | Broncos offense | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | EPA per play ◀ | #24 |
| #11 | Dropback EPA ◀ | #23 |
| #6 | Rush EPA ◀ | #22 |
| #5 | Success rate ◀ | #29 |
| #1928.1% of dropbacks | Pressure rate vs. pressure rate allowed ◀ | #2230.7% of dropbacks |
Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
Kansas City ChiefsCHIEFS 31, Broncos 10 (KC -3). Outside of one early drive, the Chiefs struggled in the first half with some shaky play from Patrick Mahomes. Kenneth Walker wore down the Broncos in the second half, and Denver could do nothing offensively with Bo Nix not scrambling at all. 392-176 KC, 5.9-3.7 KC
CHIEFS 33, Colts 30 (KC -6.5). This was a back-and-forth game where barely any defense was played. The Chiefs won with two possessions in overtime compared to the Colts' one. 523-329 KC, 6.7-5.2 KC
Chiefs 24, DOLPHINS 10 (MIA +11.5). The Chiefs were up 14-7 when they began making mistakes. The Dolphins were able to hang around despite losing DeVon Achane, but the Chiefs eventually scored two late touchdowns to put the game out of reach. 334-329 KC, 6.8-4.9 KC
Chiefs 30, RAIDERS 27 (LV +4.5). This was a back-and-forth game where the Raiders took the lead with five minutes to go. The Raiders fumbled a punt return following a late Chiefs touchdown, which basically ended the game. 437-399 LV, 6.9-5.6 KC
CHIEFS 22, Chargers 6 (KC -8). Justin Herbert had no chance battling Kansas City's relentless pressure. The Chargers had the ball on five occasions in Chiefs territory, but could only manage six points, thanks to a field goal after getting to the 1-yard line and a lost fumble. 422-259 KC, 7.4-4.1 KC
SEAHAWKS 20, Chiefs 3 (SEA -2.5). The Seahawks dominated this game on both sides of the ball. They smothered Patrick Mahomes with pressure, and Sam Darnold was able to convert 11-of-16 third downs against Kansas City's secondary. 410-213 SEA, 5.9-4.3 SEA
Denver BroncosCHIEFS 31, Broncos 10 (KC -3). Outside of one early drive, the Chiefs struggled in the first half with some shaky play from Patrick Mahomes. Kenneth Walker wore down the Broncos in the second half, and Denver could do nothing offensively with Bo Nix not scrambling at all. 392-176 KC, 5.9-3.7 KC
BRONCOS 20, Jaguars 13 (DEN -2.5). The Jaguars led for most of this game, with Denver making mistakes on offense throughout the first half. That reversed in the second half with Brian Thomas Jr. drops and a Trevor Lawrencce interception. 392-268 DEN, 6.6-4.9 DEN
BRONCOS 30, Rams 26 (DEN +2.5). The Rams were up 16-0 at halftime and were in complete control, but the Broncos caught fire in the second half. The Rams went up 26-23, but the officials gave the Broncos a win on a silver platter with a horrible call at the end. 482-257 LAR, 5.9-4.3 LAR
49ERS 24, Broncos 14 (SF -2.5). This was a punting fest in the first half, but things opened up for the 49ers when the Broncos lost Patrick Surtain and Riley Moss to injury. This was still a close game, but George Kittle broke it wide open with a long touchdown. 358-296 SF, 5.5-4.6 SF
Broncos 23, CHARGERS 17 (LAC +3.5). The Broncos had Sean Payton calling the plays, but it didn't matter. Bo Nix still struggled, only putting together touchdown drives on short fields following Charger turnovers. Justin Herbert couldn't get anything going behind an injury-ravaged offensive line. 237-224 LAC, 3.9-3.8 DEN
BRONCOS 17, Seahawks 14 (DEN +2.5). The Broncos led 14-3 for a chunk of the game. Sam Darnold saw lots of pressure and couldn't move the ball for a while, but converted two scoring drives at the end. However, an interception in overtime gave the Broncos a field goal to win. 353-168 SEA, 4.3-2.9 SEA
Broncos 30, CARDINALS 16 (ARZ +4.5). The Broncos began slugglishly but everything changed when Bo Nix scrambled for a 60-yard touchdown. The Broncos then blocked a punt and Nix hit Marvin Mims for a deep pass to extend the lead to two touchdowns. 377-353 DEN, 6.7-4.7 DEN
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
All Week 8 matchups · Kansas City Chiefs team page · Denver Broncos team page
