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NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 6 matchup
Week 6 · Thu, Oct 15 · Line: Seahawks -3 (Circa)
Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.
| Seahawks | Broncos | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Power rank ◀ | #12 |
| 3-2 | Record (straight up) even | 3-2 |
| 1-3-1 | Against the spread ▶ | 3-2 |
| 1-1on the road | ATS on the road / at home ▶ | 2-0at home |
| 1-3-1as favorite | ATS as favorite / underdog ▶ | 1-2as underdog |
| +0.1pts per game | Avg. cover margin ◀ | -2.4pts per game |
| +25 | Point differential ◀ | -14 |
| 16.2avg. opp. rank | Strength of schedule so far ▶ | 11.4avg. opp. rank |
| #9 | Net EPA rank ◀ | #15 |
Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Weeks 2-5, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Seahawks offense | Broncos defense | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | EPA per play ▶ | #10 |
| #14 | Dropback EPA even | #14 |
| #19 | Rush EPA ▶ | #12 |
| #17 | Success rate ▶ | #8 |
| Seahawks defense | Broncos offense | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | EPA per play ◀ | #20 |
| #4 | Dropback EPA ◀ | #18 |
| #7 | Rush EPA ◀ | #18 |
| #3 | Success rate ◀ | #22 |
Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
Seattle SeahawksSEAHAWKS 13, Patriots 10 (SEA -3). Sam Darnold got hurt on the opening drive, and the Seahawks couldn't do anything offensively until the second half when the Patriots fell asleep at a late hour. A.J. Brown got hurt, while Drake Maye and Romeo Doubs made numerous mistakes.
Seahawks 31, CARDINALS 7 (ARZ +4). The Seahawks hit a big play to Jaxon Smith-Njigba to start the game, and then the Cardinals tied. Arizona could do nothing in the second half due to immense Seattle pressure, and Drew Lock once again hit Smith-Njigba twice more for touchdowns. 381-151 SEA, 5.7-3.2 SEA
REDSKINS 33, Seahawks 31 (WAS +7.5). The Seahawks gave the Redskins two free scores with a Jadarian Price fumble and a Sam Darnold pick-six. The Seahawks constantly trailed, with Darnold getting a bunch of yardage in garbage time. The Seahawks had a chance at the end, but couldn't get off the field. 437-258 SEA, 6.8-4.0 SEA
SEAHAWKS 30, Chargers 27 (SEA -7). The Seahawks led 30-13, with Justin Herbert doing nothing the whole game before a back-door push where the Chargers were able to get scores on ridiculous plays. 301-286 LAC, 4.9-4.4 SEA
49ers 32, SEAHAWKS 29 (SEA -3). The Seahawks committed a number of mistakes throughout the game, giving the 49ers plenty of scoring opportunities. Mike Evans took advantage with a dominant performance. The Seahawks still had a chance to win, but Jaxon Smith-Njigba dropped a pass in field goal range. 269-251 SF, 4.8-4.2 SF
Denver BroncosCHIEFS 31, Broncos 10 (KC -3). Outside of one early drive, the Chiefs struggled in the first half with some shaky play from Patrick Mahomes. Kenneth Walker wore down the Broncos in the second half, and Denver could do nothing offensively with Bo Nix not scrambling at all. 392-176 KC, 5.9-3.7 KC
BRONCOS 20, Jaguars 13 (DEN -2.5). The Jaguars led for most of this game, with Denver making mistakes on offense throughout the first half. That reversed in the second half with Brian Thomas Jr. drops and a Trevor Lawrencce interception. 392-268 DEN, 6.6-4.9 DEN
BRONCOS 30, Rams 26 (DEN +2.5). The Rams were up 16-0 at halftime and were in complete control, but the Broncos caught fire in the second half. The Rams went up 26-23, but the officials gave the Broncos a win on a silver platter with a horrible call at the end. 482-257 LAR, 5.9-4.3 LAR
49ERS 24, Broncos 14 (SF -2.5). This was a punting fest in the first half, but things opened up for the 49ers when the Broncos lost Patrick Surtain and Riley Moss to injury. This was still a close game, but George Kittle broke it wide open with a long touchdown. 358-296 SF, 5.5-4.6 SF
Broncos 23, CHARGERS 17 (LAC +3.5). The Broncos had Sean Payton calling the plays, but it didn't matter. Bo Nix still struggled, only putting together touchdown drives on short fields following Charger turnovers. Justin Herbert couldn't get anything going behind an injury-ravaged offensive line. 237-224 LAC, 3.9-3.8 DEN
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
All Week 6 matchups · Seattle Seahawks team page · Denver Broncos team page
