These are my 2013 NFL Betting Props. I did well with the team props in 2011 (4-3, +$325), but struggled last year, going 2-3-1. Hopefully I can rebound this season.
2013 NFL Betting Props: Teams
Dallas Cowboys: Under 8.5 Wins The Cowboys always find a way to screw up. They waste timeouts, turn the ball over or miss field goals when the game’s on the line. On top of that, the offensive line still has issues, while the defense is running the completely wrong scheme to stop Washington and Philadelphia’s read-option.
Betting 1 Unit (-120) on Bovada
Detroit Lions: Under 8 Wins Speaking of teams that shoot themselves in the foot, the Lions are even worse than the Cowboys. They’re so undisciplined, taking after their head coach. They commit horrible penalties that ruin their chances of winning games. I can’t see them finishing this season with a winning record.
Betting 3 Units (+120) on 5Dimes
Jacksonville Jaguars: Under 5 Wins I’ll be pretty surprised if a Blaine Gabbert-led team wins six or more games. The Jaguars have no pass rush, and their secondary is even worse. They’re easily one of the three worst teams in the NFL.
Betting 3 Units (-120) on 5Dimes
New Orleans Saints: Over 9 Wins Sean Payton is back. The Saints have the best team in the NFC South. I expect them to win 10-12 games, so even though I’m usually not one to take overs, I feel like this is a pretty safe bet.
Betting 2 Units (-150) on Bovada
Oakland Raiders: Under 5.5 Wins The 2013 Raiders could go down as the worst team of all time. Not only do I think they’re going 0-16; I believe they’ll lose every single game by double digits. Unfortunately, the juice is way too high on this; otherwise, I’d go five units.
Betting 4 Units (-175) on 5Dimes
San Diego Chargers: Under 7.5 Wins The Chargers stink. Philip Rivers, who might be done, has poor pass protection and no receivers to throw to. The secondary is an abomination as well. San Diego will almost certainly have a losing record.
Betting 2 Units (-140) on Bovada
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Under 7.5 Wins The Buccaneers are dealing with some major internal things I can’t get into. They’re going to be terrible this season. I think we’re looking at a 3-13 campaign.
Betting 4 Units (+125) on 5Dimes
2013 NFL Betting Props: Players
DeMarco Murray, RB, Cowboys: Under 1,000.5 Rushing Yards DeMarco Murray has yet to rush for 1,000 yards in a season because he’s always injured. I don’t expect that to change this year.
Betting 2 Units (-120) on Bovada
Arian Foster, RB, Texans: Under 1,250.5 Rushing Yards Arian Foster, coming off two injuries, is going to split carries with Ben Tate this year because he’s shouldered too much of a workload over the past three seasons.
Betting 2 Units (-115) on Bovada
Justin Tuck, DE, Giants: Under 7.5 Sacks Justin Tuck’s sack totals the past four seasons: 7, 11, 5, 4. I think this number was set too high.
Betting 1 Unit (-115) on Bovada
Josh Freeman, QB, Buccaneers: Under 23.5 Touchdowns I’ll be pretty shocked if Josh Freeman makes it through the entire season as the starting quarterback.
Betting 3 Unit (-115) on Bovada
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NFL Picks - Dec. 13
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