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NBA Picks (Round 1 Playoffs & Play-in Games) 15-11-1 (+$970)
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NBA Picks (Round 3 Playoffs) 1-9-1 (-$1,590)
NBA Picks (NBA Finals) 4-1 (+$440)
2022-23 NBA Picks: 59-69-4 (-$1,700)
2021-22 NBA Picks: 73-60-3 (+$2,815)
2020-21 NBA Picks: 98-96-5 (+$1,045)
2019-20 NBA Picks: 47-46-1 (+$450)
2018-19 NBA Picks: 114-98-4 (+$3,550)
2017-18 NBA Picks: 63-66-2 (-$1,850)
2016-17 NBA Picks: 51-67-2 (-$4,620)
2015-16 NBA Picks: 93-95-6 (-$1,305)
2014-15 NBA Picks: 62-53-4 (+$250)
2013-14 NBA Picks: 59-51-4 (+$760)
2012-13 NBA Picks: 51-45 (+$1,180)
2011-12 NBA Picks: 38-46-1 (-$3,005)
2010-11 NBA Picks: 113-89-4 (+$2,690)
2009-10 NBA Picks: 116-98-4 (+$1,375)
2008-09 NBA Picks: 122-119-6 (-$2,280)
2007-08 NBA Picks: 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
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NBA Picks for the 2022-23 Season:
NBA Picks for Monday, June 12, 2023
Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 8.
8:30 PM ET (Game 519-520)
The Nuggets seemed like they had already won the NBA Finals when they took both games in Miami. It might be difficult to match the intensity they had in Games 3 and 4, while Miami will be throwing the kitchen sink at the Nuggets now that their backs are against the wall. I think the Nuggets will win this game, but it should be a close battle.
Second-half bet: I’m betting Denver -8.5 at halftime, which would make it -1.5 for the game. The Nuggets aren’t hitting any shots, and all of their key players have been in foul trouble. Things should turn around for them in the second half. Hopefully we can middle!
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NBA Pick: Heat +8 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker
Second-Half NBA Pick: Nuggets -8.5 (1 Unit) – BetMGM
NBA Picks for Friday, June 9, 2023 (2-0, +$240)
Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat.
Line: Nuggets by 4.
8:30 PM ET (Game 519-520)
The Heat finally cooled down, allowing Denver to win Game 3. However, Miami was still lucky. It committed just four turnovers and saw Denver shoot only 5-of-18 from three, and yet the Heat still lost by 15! That said, I am a bit concerned about Jamal Murray because he hurt his hand toward the end of Wednesday’s game. I still like the Nuggets, but I’m going to bet the under on some Murray props today.
NBA Pick: Nuggets -4 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
Jamal Murray Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists -122 (0.5 Units) – FanDuel — Correct; +$40
NBA Picks for Wednesday, June 7, 2023 (1-0, +$200)
Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat.
Line: Nuggets by 4.
8:30 PM ET (Game 517-518)
The Heat have to be considered the luckiest team of all time at this point. They shot an unreal 17-of-35 from three in Game 2, while the Nuggets were just 11-of-28. If things even out just a little bit, Denver will win and cover.
NBA Pick: Nuggets -4 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Picks for Sunday, June 4, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 9.
8:00 PM ET (Game 515-516)
The Heat haven’t gotten lucky with opposing injuries yet. They’re also fatigued while playing in altitude against a superior team. This is a recipe for disaster, so I expect this series to be over in four or five games.
NBA Pick: Nuggets -9 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Thursday, June 1, 2023 (1-0, +$200)
Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 9.5.
8:30 PM ET (Game 513-514)
What a disaster. Jayson Tatum got hurt on the first possession of the game, so Boston had no chance. Miami has been so lucky with opposing injuries, and I think that the fatigue factor in high altitude could really hurt the Heat.
NBA Pick: Nuggets -9.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Picks for Monday, May 29, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Miami Heat at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 8.5.
8:30 PM ET (Game 509-510)
The brutal bad beats continued, with the Celtics failing to cover despite leading almost all of Game 6. They were 0.2 seconds away from losing, yet they still won despite shooting just 7-of-35 from three. I have to think their shooting will improve. They destroyed the 76ers in a Game 7, and I could see a similar result tonight.
NBA Pick: Celtics -8.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Saturday, May 27, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Boston Celtics at Miami Heat.
Line: Celtics by 3.
8:30 PM ET (Game 501-502)
The Heat went up 3-0 in this series because they were shooting threes at an unrealistic rate, while the Celtics couldn’t hit any shots. Things have flipped the past two games. Now with confidence, it seems as though the Celtics will win this series, while Miami will have all the pressure on them for the first time tonight.
NBA Pick: Celtics -3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Thursday, May 25, 2023 (1-0, +$210)
Miami Heat at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 9.5.
8:30 PM ET (Game 549-550)
I’m so ashamed of myself that I didn’t bet the Celtics in Game 4. I fell into the trap of the media talking about how Boston quit. What I was saying about the Celtics and Heat regressing to the mean made so much sense. Now that the Celtics have won a game, I think they can continue that momentum. This spread is huge, but the sportsbooks have set it like this for a reason.
NBA Pick: Celtics -9.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Picks for Tuesday, May 23, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Boston Celtics at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 2.
8:30 PM ET (Game 545-546)
It’s amazing how poorly we’ve run in the conference finals. In the Nuggets-Lakers series, the Lakers have repeatedly blown leads as Nikola Jokic hits multiple fade-away desperation threes in the final minutes. In this series, the Heat are shooting 47 percent from three, while the Celtics are shooting 26 percent from three. Logic says that this should revert to the mean, except it looked like the Celtics quit in Game 3. Erik Spoelstra is coaching circles around Joe Mazzula.
NBA Pick: Heat -2 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Monday, May 22, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 4.
8:30 PM ET (Game 543-544)
Wow, Celtics. Just, wow. They absolutely quit, but I don’t expect the Lakers to do the same. I imagine LeBron James would love to be the first player to come back from down 3-0. The Lakers were up for most of Game 2, while Game 3 was a one-point game in the fourth quarter. The Lakers should be able to win one game; even the Timberwolves took Game 4 from Denver.
NBA Pick: Lakers -4 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Sunday, May 21, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Boston Celtics at Miami Heat.
Line: Celtics by 5.
8:30 PM ET (Game 541-542)
I don’t know why the Celtics can’t hit a shot to save their lives, but I suspect that they’ll be able to bounce back in a must-win Game 3. They’re favored by five on the road for a reason.
NBA Pick: Celtics -5 +108 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Saturday, May 20, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 6.
8:30 PM ET (Game 539-540)
The Lakers couldn’t hit a three to save their lives in Game 2, and yet they almost won. They should be able to prevail in this must-win game against a Denver squad that is so much worse on the road.
NBA Pick: Lakers -6 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Friday, May 19, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Miami Heat at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 10.5.
8:30 PM ET (Game 537-538)
The Heat won Game 1 because they shot 52 percent from three, while the Celtics couldn’t hit an outside shot to save their lives. If that happens again, Miami will win once more, but I’m betting that it doesn’t. And based on how high this spread is, it appears as though sportsbooks don’t want you to bet Boston.
NBA Pick: Celtics -10.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Thursday, May 18, 2023 (0-0-1, $0)
Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 5.
8:30 PM ET (Game 535-536)
Nikola Jokic had his ceiling game, while all the Denver role players hit most of their threes, and yet Denver won by only six points. If the Nuggets continue to be super hot, they’ll win and cover Game 2, but it’s more likely that there will be regression to the mean, allowing the superior team to steal a game on the road.
NBA Pick: Lakers +5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Push; $0
NBA Picks for Wednesday, May 17, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Miami Heat at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 9.
8:30 PM ET (Game 533-534)
It’s wild that everyone is betting the Heat tonight, given that Miami has no business being this far in the playoffs. They won in the first round because Giannis Antetokounmpo got hurt and wasn’t 100 percent upon his return, and then they beat the mediocre Knicks. Whoop dee doo. The Celtics are much stronger.
NBA Pick: Celtics -9 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Tuesday, May 16, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 5.
8:30 PM ET (Game 531-532)
I’m shocked there’s so much money coming in on the Nuggets. The Lakers are the better team. Anthony Davis is 8-4 in his previous 12 matchups against Nikola Jokic, so he’ll be able to slow him down a bit. Dennis Schroeder should play well on Jamal Murray. The Nuggets don’t have much else.
NBA Pick: Lakers +5 +115 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Sunday, May 14, 2023 (1-0, +$200)
Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 7.
3:30 PM ET (Game 509-510)
Everyone is betting the 76ers, with more than 70 percent of the action coming in on them. I find that bizarre, given that Boston would have won the series already had Game 4 been extended by a fraction of a second. It seems like everyone is focused on the Celtics’ stinker in Game 5, but they bounced back strong in Game 6 and should win today to advance.
NBA Pick: Celtics -7 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Picks for Friday, May 12, 2023 (1-1, +$10)
New York Knicks at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 7.
7:30 PM ET (Game 501-502)
I haven’t touched this series yet, but I expect it to end tonight. The Knicks had their fun in a low effort by Miami, and yet they still almost lost. New York shot nearly 50 percent from the field, so if things revert to normal, Miami will win easily.
NBA Pick: Heat -7 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 4.
10:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)
The Lakers put forth zero effort in Game 5, just as they did in Game 2. They responded from the Game 2 loss with a blowout victory in Game 3, and I think history will repeat itself tonight. Andrew Wiggins is going to play hurt, so the Warriors are in a tough spot.
NBA Pick: Lakers -4 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Picks for Thursday, May 11, 2023 (2-0, +$445)
Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: Celtics by 3.
7:30 PM ET (Game 553-554)
I don’t know what’s going on with the Celtics, but I think they’ll bounce back tonight. They were utterly dreadful in Game 5, but remember that they were a fraction of a second away from taking a 3-1 lead in this series.
NBA Pick: Celtics -3 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Pick.
10:00 PM ET (Game 555-556)
The Suns will win this game if Devin Booker shoots 70 percent from the field again. However, it seemed as though the Nuggets figured out how to stop him in Game 5. If that carries over to tonight, the Suns will have a difficult time winning without both Chris Paul and DeAndre Ayton.
NBA Pick: Nuggets PK +117 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$235
NBA Picks for Wednesday, May 10, 2023 (1-0, +$210)
Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 8.5.
10:00 PM ET (Game 551-552)
I’ve been on the Lakers this entire series, but I will pivot to Golden State just for tonight. It’s difficult to close teams out the first time, and the Warriors showed signs of life a couple of nights ago. We saw the Lakers mail in Game 2, so they could do the same thing tonight before finally winning this series in six.
NBA Pick: Warriors -8.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Picks for Tuesday, May 9, 2023 (1-1, +$10)
Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 8.
7:30 PM ET (Game 545-546)
James Harden just had the game of his life, while Jayson Tatum couldn’t hit a shot to save his life in the opening half, yet the 76ers needed overtime to beat the Celtics in Game 4. That can be chalked up as an outlier performance, so I like Boston to bounce back tonight.
NBA Pick: Celtics -8 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Phoenix Suns at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 7.
10:00 PM ET (Game 547-548)
Speaking of outlier performances, Devin Booker has been shooting 70 percent from the field during the past two games. Landry Shamet hit every shot he took in the fourth quarter Sunday night. I don’t see that continuing in Denver.
NBA Pick: Nuggets -7 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Picks for Monday, May 8, 2023 (0-0-1, $0)
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 3.
10:00 PM ET (Game 543-544)
The Celtics couldn’t get a shot off in time, and Landry Shamet hit every three, and thus we were 0-2 yesterday. Let’s bounce back with the Lakers, who should continue to dominate the overrated Warriors.
NBA Pick: Lakers -3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Push; $0
NBA Picks for Sunday, May 7, 2023 (0-2, -$400)
Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: Celtics by 2.
3:30 PM ET (Game 537-538)
Surprise, surprise, I’m going to back the Celtics once again. The 76ers can’t beat Boston if Joel Embiid isn’t 100 percent. I expect this series to be over very quickly.
NBA Pick: Celtics -2 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Pick.
8:00 PM ET (Game 539-540)
Devin Booker and Kevin Durant had their ceiling games on Friday, and yet they barely beat the Nuggets. I was impressed with how well Denver fought in Game 3 despite it being an absolute must-win for the Suns. I think that bodes well for the Nuggets in Game 4.
NBA Pick: Nuggets PK +121 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Saturday, May 6, 2023 (1-0, +$200)
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 4.5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 529-530)
I should have known better than to wager on the Lakers in Game 2, given that they didn’t need to win another game at Golden State. I imagine they’ll rebound off their loss, as they happen to be the far better team.
NBA Pick: Lakers -4.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Picks for Friday, May 5, 2023 (1-0, +$200)
Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: Celtics by 3.
7:30 PM ET (Game 529-530)
Joel Embiid returned for Game 2, but as suspected, he didn’t look like he was 100 percent. If Embiid isn’t completely healthy, the 76ers don’t have a shot to win this series. I think Boston will take a 2-1 lead tonight.
NBA Pick: Celtics -3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Picks for Thursday, May 4, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 6.
9:00 PM ET (Game 525-526)
I’m going to continue to fade the Warriors. They shot 21-of-53 from three in Game 1, and yet they still won even though the Lakers were only 6-of-25 from three. The Warriors were very lucky to beat the Kings, and only did so because De’Aaron Fox got hurt. Now, they have to battle this superior Lakers squad.
NBA Pick: Lakers +6 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Wednesday, May 3, 2023 (1-0, +$205)
Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 8.
8:00 PM ET (Game 521-522)
Joel Embiid will be playing tonight, but there’s no guarantee he’ll be 100 percent. There will also be a letdown factor from the rest of the team with the MVP on the court once again.
NBA Pick: Celtics -8 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Picks for Tuesday, May 2, 2023 (1-0, +$210)
Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 3.5.
10:00 PM ET (Game 519-520)
I was on the fade the Warriors train in the previous round until De’Aaron Fox hurt his thumb. The Warriors were lucky to survive against the Kings and probably would have lost had Fox not gotten hurt. Now, they get a healthier and superior Lakers squad.
NBA Pick: Lakers +3.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Picks for Monday, May 1, 2023 (1-1, +$5)
Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 10.
7:00 PM ET (Game 515-516)
It seems like everyone is on the 76ers because of the perceived value with them being double-digit underdogs. However, the 76ers couldn’t even beat the Celtics with Joel Embiid, so how are they going to win without him? Furthermore, James Harden can’t be fully focused after slapping people in Las Vegas.
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NBA Pick: Celtics -10 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Phoenix Suns at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 4.5.
10:30 PM ET (Game 513-514)
I’ve heard some people opine that the Suns would completely run the table in the playoffs, going 16-0 en route to a championship. Anyone who thought this didn’t pay attention to the Miami Heat team when LeBron James first joined forces with Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh. The Heat won eventually, but not right away because they had to gel and accumulate quality bench players. The Suns have no chemistry and no bench. They even had issues putting away the short-handed Clippers.
NBA Pick: Nuggets -4.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Picks for Friday, April 28, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 4.
10:30 PM ET (Game 549-550)
The Grizzlies should have won Game 4 and then proceeded to demolish the Lakers in Game 5. They’re the better team, and yet we’re getting them as an underdog tonight. They should be able to push this series to Game 7.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies +4 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Thursday, April 27, 2023 (1-0, +$200)
Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Celtics by 7.5.
8:30 PM ET (Game 537-538)
Not sure why the NBA is airing a game against the NFL Draft, but OK. The Celtics were sleepwalking in Game 5 and ended up losing. They’ll be more focused in this game, so it wouldn’t surprise me if they crush Atlanta tonight.
NBA Pick: Celtics -7.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Picks for Wednesday, April 26, 2023 (1-1, +$15)
Los Angeles Lakers at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 531-532)
The Lakers needed a miracle, 45 minutes from LeBron James, and an 8-of-24 shooting night from Ja Morant to beat the Grizzlies in overtime. I doubt all of that happens again, especially in an elimination game. Memphis should be able to win comfortably tonight.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies -5 +108 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$215
Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 13.
9:30 PM ET (Game 527-528)
The Bucks were in complete control of Game 4 before Jimmy Butler went insane with the game of his life. Butler won’t score 56 points again in a must-win game for Milwaukee. This Miami team is undermanned without Tyler Herro, so if Butler doesn’t score 50-plus again, the Heat could easily get blown out.
NBA Pick: Bucks -13 +108 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Tuesday, April 25, 2023 (1-1, +$10)
Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 9.
9:00 PM ET (Game 521-522)
Aside from Game 1 when the Timberwolves were exhausted, every game in this series has been decided by single digits. I don’t think these teams are drastically far apart in talent, so Minnesota should keep this close again.
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NBA Pick: Timberwolves +9 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
Los Angeles Clippers at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 13.
10:00 PM ET (Game 523-524)
I don’t see how the Clippers can remain competitive in this game. They fought very hard at home, but they’re now going back to Phoenix. They know they’re done without their two best players. This should be a blowout.
NBA Pick: Suns -13 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Monday, April 24, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 3.5.
10:00 PM ET (Game 515-516)
I meant to post the Bucks earlier, but got distracted by the Aaron Rodgers trade. I like the Grizzlies to bounce back as well. They’re not going to lose the first quarter by the score of 35-9 again, and they’re also not going to shoot just 37 percent from the field again.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies +3.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Sunday, April 23, 2023 (2-0, +$420)
Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 6.5.
3:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)
The Warriors had their fun in their must-win game, but things should revert to normal in Game 4. The Kings are the better team, so I love getting nearly a touchdown with them in a bounce-back spot.
NBA Pick: Kings +6.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Celtics by 7.5.
7:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)
OK, let’s try this again. The Celtics lost Game 3, as Atlanta shot 56 percent of the field. This is not sustainable, so I like Boston to bounce back with a big victory tonight.
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NBA Pick: Celtics -7.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Picks for Friday, April 21, 2023 (0-2, -$400)
Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Celtics by 6.
7:00 PM ET (Game 555-556)
The Hawks don’t have any answers for the Celtics, as they are completely outmatched on both ends of the court. Their backcourt is atrocious defensively, while the Celtics have done a good job of locking down their offense. This series will be over after these next two games.
NBA Pick: Celtics -6 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Pick.
9:30 PM ET (Game 559-560)
The Timberwolves failed to cover the eight-point spread in Game 2 even though they were winning early in the fourth quarter. I still think these teams are close to being even, and I’ll be shocked if this series is a sweep. I think the Timberwolves win tonight.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves PK +111 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Thursday, April 20, 2023 (1-0-1, +$210)
Philadelphia 76ers at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: 76ers by 5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 547-548)
The Nets are completely outmatched in this series. They’ve tried to go big in Game 1 and then small in Game 2, and both strategies failed miserably. I don’t know what else they can do. This looks like an easy sweep for Philadelphia.
NBA Pick: 76ers -5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Push; $0
Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Suns by 4.5.
10:30 PM ET (Game 551-552)
The Suns, like the 76ers, are the far better team in this series. The Clippers stole Game 1, but Phoenix dominated the next contest. With Paul George sidelined, the Clippers don’t have the horses to consistently compete with this dominant Phoenix squad.
NBA Pick: Suns -4.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Picks for Wednesday, April 19, 2023 (1-1, +$10)
Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 8.5.
9:00 PM ET (Game 541-542)
The Bucks lost Game 1 because Giannis Antetokunmpo suffered an injury. He’s still out, but the Bucks will be better prepared for this important game. The Heat, meanwhile, won’t have Tyler Herro.
NBA Pick: Bucks -8.5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 8.
10:00 PM ET (Game 543-544)
I was shocked that the Timberwolves were blown out in Game 1. They must have been exhausted, which would explain why they shot 30 percent from the field. I’m expecting a much better performance from them in Game 2.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves +8 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Tuesday, April 18, 2023 (2-0, +$430)
New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 7.
7:30 PM ET (Game 533-534)
The Cavaliers should be able to bounce back and beat the Knicks tonight. They’re the better team, and Josh Hart is banged up and may not be 100 percent if he plays.
NBA Pick: Cavaliers -7 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
Los Angeles Clippers at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 9.
10:00 PM ET (Game 523-524)
The public is on the Clippers, but I think they’re wrong. The Suns’ bench was woeful in Game 1, but it’ll be better with Cameron Payne presumably back in the lineup. There’s a reason this spread is going up despite the public being on the underdog.
NBA Pick: Suns -9 +110 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$220
NBA Picks for Monday, April 17, 2023 (2-0, +$435)
Brooklyn Nets at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 10.5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 521-522)
Between the Giannis injury and the Timberwolves being a shocking no-show, yesterday was a disaster. The initial Saturday game was a disaster as well, as the Nets were blown out despite shooting 55 percent from the field and 44 percent from three. They just don’t have the horses to contend with the 76ers.
NBA Pick: 76ers -10.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Pick.
10:00 PM ET (Game 523-524)
The one game I got right in the past two days was this series opener. The Warriors are not the same team we’ve seen in past years, so it wasn’t a surprise to see the Kings pull the upset. I think Sacramento will go up 2-0 tonight.
NBA Pick: Kings PK +112 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$225
NBA Picks for Sunday, April 16, 2023 (0-2, -$400)
Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 10.
5:30 PM ET (Game 511-512)
As I mentioned yesterday, a great strategy in sports betting is to fade an older team that used to be great but has declined. This applies to the Heat, who are extremely fortunate to be in the playoffs. I can’t see them competing with the Bucks.
NBA Pick: Bucks -10 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 7.
10:30 PM ET (Game 513-514)
I was on the Timberwolves a couple of nights ago, and I’m going to bet them again. They’d be much higher than the No. 8 seed if Karl-Anthony Towns were healthy all year; they’d likely be the fourth or fifth seed right now if that were the case. The Nuggets, conversely, have been one of the weaker No. 1 seeds in recent memory. This spread is way too high.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves +7 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Saturday, April 15, 2023 (1-1, $0)
Brooklyn Nets at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 8.
1:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)
It’s the playoffs, so it’s time to bet against the 76ers. The Nets aren’t a great team by any means, but they’re strong defensively and should keep this game close. It wouldn’t surprise me if they won outright if Philadelphia lacks focus, which is a very strong possibility.
NBA Pick: Nets +8 +110 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 2.
8:30 PM ET (Game 507-508)
The Nets sucked big time, but hopefully the Kings perform better. One of the best thing to do when it comes to sports betting is to fade once-great teams that are on the decline. I believe that applies to the Warriors.
NBA Pick: Kings -2 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Picks for Friday, April 14, 2023 (1-1, +$10)
Chicago Bulls at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 4.
7:00 PM ET (Game 569-570)
I faded the Heat earlier in the week because Kevin Love would be such a liability against Atlanta’s heavy pick-and-roll offense. The same applies here, as the Bulls rely on that heavily. Miami is an old team on the decline, so it’s an easy fade.
NBA Pick: Bulls +4 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 6.
9:30 PM ET (Game 571-572)
The Thunder had a nice win a couple of nights ago, beating an overrated Pelicans team. The Timberwolves are underrated, as they wouldn’t even be in the play-in tournament if they had Karl-Anthony Towns healthy all year, which is the case now.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves -6 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Picks for Wednesday, April 12, 2023 (1-0, +$210)
Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 5.
9:30 PM ET (Game 567-568)
The Pelicans are favored by a healthy amount because they were hot down the stretch. However, they played their starters ridiculous minutes and beat many bad teams. I think they’re overrated as a consequence, and they could also be exhausted. The Thunder have been great on the road this year, so I like them to potentially win outright.
NBA Pick: Thunder +5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Picks for Tuesday, April 11, 2023 (1-0, +$220)
Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 4.
7:30 PM ET (Game 561-562)
The Hawks have a nice matchup edge against the Heat, as Trae Young will be able to put Kevin Love in the pick-and-roll and expose him as the terrible defensive player he is. Miami is a bit overrated anyway, as this number is high because people remember its successes from the past.
NBA Pick: Hawks +4 +110 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$220
NBA Picks for Thursday, April 6, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Oklahoma City Thunder at Utah Jazz.
Line: Thunder by 6.
9:00 PM ET (Game 579-580)
The Thunder are favored by six because they need to win this game. However, as the old saying goes, if a team needs to win, they’re probably not very good to begin with. The Jazz have been very competitive recently, so they should be able to cover this high number, if not win outright.
NBA Pick: Jazz +6 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Sunday, April 2, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Dallas Mavericks at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 4.
6:00 PM ET (Game 517-518)
I needed a day off after the Suns blew a 26-point lead. Anyway, the Mavericks are in a massive tailspin. They don’t play any defense, and the chemistry on this team is shot. They’ve lost to everyone they’ve played except the Pacers. I like the Hawks to win tonight.
NBA Pick: Hawks -4 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Friday, March 31, 2023
Sacramento Kings at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Kings by 13.
10:00 PM ET (Game 573-574)
The Trailblazers are trash, but they might be getting back an injured player or two tonight. The Kings, meanwhile, are locked into the No. 3 seed, so I can’t see them trying very hard in this game.
NBA Pick: Trailblazers +13 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 10.5.
10:30 PM ET (Game 577-578)
We faded the Nuggets last night, and we’ll be doing the same in this game. Denver is locked into the No. 1 seed and will be resting most of its starters. The Suns, on the other hand, are trying to gel with Kevin Durant and need to keep winning to hold home-court advantage in the first round.
NBA Pick: Suns -10.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Thursday, March 30, 2023 (1-0, +$225)
New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 4.
10:00 PM ET (Game 551-552)
This game doesn’t mean anything to the Nuggets, who are comfortably in first place. In fact, Nikola Jokic could sit tonight. The Pelicans are fighting for their playoff lives and are giving all of their stars huge minutes, so they should be able to win tonight.
NBA Pick: Pelicans +4 +113 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$225
NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 29, 2023 (1-1, $0)
Miami Heat at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 3.
7:30 PM ET (Game 531-532)
I don’t get this spread. The Knicks are pretty much locked into the No. 5 seed and may not have Jalen Brunson tonight. The Heat are fighting to stay out of the play-in tournament, so this game means much more to them.
NBA Pick: Heat +3 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Detroit Pistons at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 9.
8:00 PM ET (Game 525-526)
This spread is inflated because the Thunder need to win this game. However, as the saying goes, if a team needs to win, they’re not that good to begin with. The Pistons have some decent players in the lineup and can be scrappy.
NBA Pick: Pistons +9 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Picks for Tuesday, March 28, 2023
Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 3.
7:30 PM ET (Game 521-522)
The Cavaliers have ruled out Jarrett Allen, which is significant because they are 6-5 without him and 42-23 with him. Cleveland is sitting comfortably with a top-four seed, while the Hawks are fighting for the eighth seed.
NBA Pick: Hawks -3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Orlando Magic at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 6.
8:00 PM ET (Game 525-526)
The Grizzlies are basically locked into the No. 2 seed, and they’re sitting Ja Morant tonight. The Magic, meanwhile, still have an outside chance to sneak into the play-in tournament, so this game means so much more to them.
NBA Pick: Magic +6 +114 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$230
NBA Picks for Monday, March 27, 2023 (1-0, +$205)
Minnesota Timberwolves at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 4.5.
10:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)
The Timberwolves are fighting for their playoff lives, while the Kings are basically stuck in the No. 3 seed. I have to believe Minnesota will win this game.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves +4.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Picks for Sunday, March 26, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Thunder by 11.
7:00 PM ET (Game 575-576)
I’m fading the Blazers for the same reason I did so Friday night. They’ve gone into full tank mode and have benched every significant player, including Damian Lillard. The Thunder are fighting for their playoff lives, so they should be able to win this game easily.
NBA Pick: Thunder -11 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Saturday, March 25, 2023 (1-0, +$210)
New Orleans Pelicans at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 4.
10:30 PM ET (Game 559-560)
The Clippers are stuck around the No. 4 seed, while the Pelicans are fighting for their playoff lives. The New Orleans players are all on the court for big minutes, so I think they take this one tonight with Paul George sidelined for the host.
NBA Pick: Pelicans +4 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Picks for Friday, March 24, 2023 (1-0, +$205)
Chicago Bulls at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Bulls by 5.5.
10:00 PM ET (Game 543-544)
The Blazers are in full tank mode, so I don’t expect them to play anyone of significance tonight. The Bulls are still fighting for a playoff spot, so they should be able to win tonight.
NBA Pick: Bulls -5.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Picks for Sunday, March 19, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Orlando Magic at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 5.5.
9:30 PM ET (Game 557-558)
We continue to run cold, as the Timberwolves’ lead at the end of the third quarter somehow turned into a 15-point loss. I’m going with the Magic tonight, as the Lakers are in a downward spiral and shouldn’t be favored by this many points.
NBA Pick: Magic +5.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Saturday, March 18, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Minnesota Timberwolves at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 9.
7:00 PM ET (Game 533-534)
The Raptors aren’t very good, so why is this spread so high? Anthony Edwards is out, but the Timberwolves still have some talent. Is it because Minnesota played a double-overtime game last night? Teams coming off double-overtime games and no rest are 27-25 against the spread versus teams coming off rest.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves +9 +107 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Saturday, March 11, 2023 (0-2, -$400)
New York Knicks at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 4.5.
4:00 PM ET (Game 513-514)
I’m getting this pick up with six minutes to go, so I aplogize for that. However, I love fading the Clippers, who play no defense with Russell Westbrook now in the lineup.
NBA Pick: Knicks +4.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Milwaukee Bucks at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 2.5.
8:30 PM ET (Game 529-530)
The Bucks were favored by one, but that changed when Giannis Antetokunmpo was ruled out. This is too much of an overreaction, as the Warriors have their own injury issues with Andrew Wiggins and Jonathan Kuminga sidelined.
NBA Pick: Bucks +2.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Thursday, March 9, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Brooklyn Nets at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 10.5.
8:00 PM ET (Game 569-570)
Giannis Antetokunmpo has been ruled out, which has dropped this line a bit. That’s opened up some value on the Bucks, who still have Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton. The Nets will be sitting some key players, so I don’t expect them to be very competitive.
NBA Pick: Bucks -10.5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 8, 2023 (1-0, +$230)
Dallas Mavericks at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pick.
7:30 PM ET (Game 555-556)
I’m once again fading the Mavericks, who don’t play a lick of defense. They’re 2-8 on the second half of back-to-backs, and it doesn’t appear as though Luka Doncic is 100 percent at the moment.
NBA Pick: Pelicans PK +115 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$230
NBA Picks for Tuesday, March 7, 2023 (1-0, +$200)
Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 9.
8:30 PM ET (Game 545-546)
The Mavericks continue to be a great fade because they’re playing no defense since trading for Kyrie Irving. The Jazz are getting Lauri Markkanen back from an absence, so this spread is way too high.
NBA Pick: Jazz +9 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Picks for Monday, March 6, 2023 (1-0, +$210)
Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 7.
7:00 PM ET (Game 521-522)
This spread rose from +2.5 to +7 once it was announced that Jayson Tatum and Al Horford would be sidelined in addition to Robert Williams. I think this is way too much of an overreaction. Boston still has plenty of good players who should be able to keep this game close, especially if Donovan Mitchell is sidelined.
NBA Pick: Celtics +7 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Picks for Sunday, March 5, 2023 (1-0, +$200)
Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 6.5.
10:00 PM ET (Game 517-518)
Trae Young picked a hell of a time to shoot 2-of-13 from the field last night. Anyway, it’s time to fade the Clippers as favorites again. This line is high because Ja Morant, Dillon Brooks and Brandon Clarke are all out, but Memphis has so much depth that it shouldn’t matter.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies +6.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Picks for Saturday, March 4, 2023
Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat.
Line: Hawks by 1.
8:00 PM ET (Game 573-574)
I’ve been fading the Clippers aggressively, but I should have done the same with the Heat. Miami has destroyed its defense by inserting Kevin Love into the starting lineup. The Hawks, meanwhile, have gotten a better coach, so they should have more success moving forward.
NBA Pick: Hawks -1 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Friday, March 3, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 3.5.
10:00 PM ET (Game 563-564)
We won with the Warriors last night, but we’re going against them tonight. They’re on a nice winning streak without Steph Curry and Andrew Wiggins, but all the teams they’ve beaten are either bad or overrated. They had a big win last night, or so they think, meaning they could be exhausted against an underrated New Orleans team.
NBA Pick: Pelicans +3.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Thursday, March 2, 2023 (1-0, +$210)
Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Clippers by 2.5.
10:00 PM ET (Game 545-546)
It’s always a joyous day when we get to fade the Clippers. They destroyed their defense by acquiring Russell Westbrook, so they’ll continue to be a great fade as long as they’re overpriced like this.
NBA Pick: Warriors +2.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 1, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets.
Line: Grizzlies by 9.
8:00 PM ET (Game 531-532)
It never feels good to bet the Rockets, but they’ve gotten Kevin Porter and Jalen Green back from injury, so they’re at full strength for the first time in a while. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, continue to be without Steven Adams. They also played last night, so I don’t think it’s out of the question that they’ll sit some starters.
NBA Pick: Rockets +9 +107 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2023 (2-0, +$400)
Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 8.5.
8:30 PM ET (Game 513-514)
The Mavericks have been a great fade since the Kyrie Irving trade; they’re 1-4 against the spread in their previous five games. The Pacers have played nothing but close games since Tyrese Haliburton returned from injury.
NBA Pick: Pacers +8.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
Minnesota Timberwolves at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 6.
10:00 PM ET (Game 517-518)
I will continue to fade the Clippers. They’re so much worse defensively with Russell Westbrook, so I think they’re going to have trouble covering these high spreads. The Timberwolves should go off offensively tonight.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves +6 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 27, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Boston Celtics at New York Knicks.
Line: Celtics by 3.
7:30 PM ET (Game 571-572)
This spread opened Boston -5, but dropped to -2.5 because Jaylen Brown was ruled out. Brown is a great player, but this is too much of an overreaction because the Celtics have so much other firepower. The Knicks have won five in a row, but this is a big step up in competition compared to the teams they’ve beaten during their winning streak.
NBA Pick: Celtics -3 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Sunday, Feb. 26, 2023 (1-0, +$210)
Los Angeles Clippers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 4.
10:00 PM ET (Game 565-566)
We faded the Nuggets yesterday, but it’s time to back them tonight. They barely played in the second half because of their humiliating blowout loss, so I like them to bounce back tonight. They’re so much better at home, while the Clippers will not be playing any sort of defense with Russell Westbrook in the starting lineup.
NBA Pick: Nuggets -4 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Picks for Saturday, Feb. 25, 2023 (1-0, +$200)
Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 4.
8:00 PM ET (Game 543-544)
We have the worst luck. An hour after I posted the Heat pick yesterday, Giannis Antetokunmpo was upgraded from doubtful to questionable. Then, our other pick went south with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was ruled out. Anyway, I’m going with the Grizzlies tonight, as the Nuggets are not a good road team, and they won’t have Aaron Gordon once again.
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NBA Pick: Grizzlies -4 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Picks for Friday, Feb. 24, 2023 (0-2, -$400)
Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Heat by 1.
7:30 PM ET (Game 523-524)
This spread doesn’t seem correct. Giannis Antetokunmpo and Pat Connaughton are both out for the Bucks. The Heat, meanwhile, have gotten every significant player back from injury. They’ve also acquired Kevin Love to help with front-court depth.
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NBA Pick: Heat -1 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Oklahoma City Thunder at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 7.5.
10:00 PM ET (Game 527-528)
The Suns will arguably be the best team in the NBA when Kevin Durant is ready to go, but the Suns are shorthanded now after the trade. I think this spread is too high versus a very competitive Thunder team.
NBA Pick: Thunder +7.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 23, 2023 (1-0, +$200)
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 6.5.
10:00 PM ET (Game 515-516)
I would’ve faded the Lakers in the past, but I like them more now that they’ve gotten rid of Russell Westbrook. Dumping him was addition by subtraction, yet they obtained a nice scoring punch in exchange for him somehow. I think the Lakers will cover tonight against the shorthanded Warriors.
NBA Pick: Lakers -6.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 15, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Detroit Pistons at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 11.
7:30 PM ET (Game 563-564)
The Celtics are pretty banged up and are coming off an overtime game against the Bucks. I know Marcus Smart is due back tonight, but he may not be 100 percent in his first game. The Pistons haven’t been terrible lately, so I like them to cover.
NBA Pick: Pistons +11 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 14, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Orlando Magic at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 6.5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 547-548)
We went against the Raptors two days ago, and we’re going to do that again. They’re too banged up and too mediocre to be favored by nearly a touchdown against a competitive Orlando team.
NBA Pick: Magic +6.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 13, 2023 (1-1, +$5)
San Antonio Spurs at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 16.
7:00 PM ET (Game 525-526)
This spread may seem high, but I don’t think they could’ve made it high enough. The Spurs are a dreadful team that has traded away all of its viable talent. The Cavaliers, conversely, are a young, enthusiastic team that will look to demolish the competition.
NBA Pick: Cavaliers -16 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 6.5.
8:30 PM ET (Game 539-540)
There’s going to be an adjustment period for Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving to work together, and it doesn’t help that the Mavericks are short-handed tonight, as two key players will be sidelined. The Timberwolves should be able to stay within striking distance.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves +6.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Picks for Sunday, Feb. 12, 2023 (1-0, +$210)
Detroit Pistons at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 10.5.
3:00 PM ET (Game 521-522)
It was nice to stop that ugly losing streak, so perhaps we can go back to our winning ways. I’m backing the Pistons today. The Raptors are missing two starters – OG Anunoby, Gary Trent – so they shouldn’t be favored by so much, even against Detroit.
NBA Pick: Pistons +10.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Picks for Saturday, Feb. 11, 2023 (1-0, +$210)
San Antonio Spurs at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 14.
10:00 PM ET (Game 569-570)
This line may seem high, but I don’t think it’s high enough. The Hawks have shown that they can destroy the competition when they’re fully healthy, and that’s the case tonight. The Spurs, meanwhile, are coming off a double-overtime game last night, so I don’t see them hanging with Atlanta.
NBA Pick: Hawks -14 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Picks for Friday, Feb. 10, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Cleveland Cavaliers at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Cavaliers by 2.
10:00 PM ET (Game 569-570)
Man, we can’t catch a break. The Lakers, as 7.5-point underdogs last night, were winning for most of the game, yet found a way to lose by nine. Hopefully we’ll have better luck soon. I like the Pelicans tonight, as they’ve been playing much better since they’ve gotten healthy. The Cavaliers, meanwhile, haven’t been nearly as good on the road.
NBA Pick: Pelicans +2 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 9, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Milwaukee Bucks at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Bucks by 7.5.
10:00 PM ET (Game 553-554)
The Bucks are expected to easily beat the Lakers, who will be without LeBron James, Russell Westbrook and some traded players tonight. However, the Lakers still have Anthony Davis, Dennis Schroder, and Rui Hachimura, so they should be competitive tonight against a Milwaukee team that won’t take the Lakers seriously.
NBA Pick: Lakers +7.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 8, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 9.
10:00 PM ET (Game 545-546)
The Mavericks are installing Kyrie Irving into their lineup, so there are going to be some chemistry issues. Dallas has been a money pit regardless, especially against the Clippers, who have beaten them by double digits twice this season.
NBA Pick: Clippers -9 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 7, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 7.
9:00 PM ET (Game 525-526)
The Nuggets haven’t played a real game in a while. Either they’ve sat their starters, or the opponents have done so. Now, Denver will be without Jamal Murray. I think this spread is too large when considering all of this.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves +7 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 6, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Milwaukee Bucks at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Bucks by 3.5.
10:00 PM ET (Game 515-516)
Sharp money is coming in on the Blazers. I think this is because the Bucks are coming off two big wins versus the Clippers and Heat. They could be flat for this game versus a suddenly hot Blazers team that is 5-2 in its previous seven games.
NBA Pick: Trailblazers +3.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Friday, Feb. 3, 2023 (1-0, +$210)
Atlanta Hawks at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 1.
9:00 PM ET (Game 547-548)
I can’t ever recall running so poorly. We got the Warriors at +11.5 last night, and they were winning for most of the game, yet they didn’t cover. Let’s hope we rebound with the Hawks, who are going to play great now that Trae Young is back in the lineup.
NBA Pick: Hawks -1 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 2, 2023 (0-2, -$400)
New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 3.5.
8:30 PM ET (Game 527-528)
The Pelicans should have covered two nights ago, but had a bad fourth quarter. They’re much better now with Brandon Ingram being back from injury. I like them here against a Dallas squad that has been a money pit as far as covering is concerned.
NBA Pick: Pelicans +3.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 11.5.
9:00 PM ET (Game 529-530)
This spread is so high because the Warriors are sitting all of their key players. This doesn’t mean that they won’t cover, however. In fact, they’re 3-1 against the spread this year when they’ve sat all their starters. I don’t expect Denver to take them seriously.
NBA Pick: Warriors +11.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 1, 2023 (1-0, +$200)
Atlanta Hawks at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 1.
10:00 PM ET (Game 517-518)
It would be nice not to get crushed with a bad beat one of these days. I’m going with the Hawks tonight, as the Suns are overrated because they’re still missing several starters. Trae Young will play, which is obviously a nice boost for Atlanta.
NBA Pick: Hawks -1 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 31, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 6.
8:30 PM ET (Game 577-578)
The Pelicans are tough to bet because they’ve lost eight in a row. However, they’re getting Brandon Ingram back from injury, which is huge. The Nuggets have struggled lately, so the Pelicans shold be able to keep this close.
NBA Pick: Pelicans +6 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Monday, Jan. 30, 2023 (1-1, +$5)
Detroit Pistons at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 7.5.
8:30 PM ET (Game 563-564)
The Mavericks are banged up and haven’t done well as home favorites this year anyway. They recently beat the Suns, but I expect them to fall back down to Earth in this game.
NBA Pick: Pistons +7.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
Toronto Raptors at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 1.5.
9:00 PM ET (Game 565-566)
This is one of those games where the squares are on one side, while the sharps are on the other. The squares are betting the Suns, wondering why the line is only -1.5. The sharps know the Suns just had a bulls**t win and cover over the Spurs, making them overrated.
NBA Pick: Raptors -1 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Saturday, Jan. 28, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Phoenix Suns at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Suns by 4.
8:00 PM ET (Game 537-538)
I think I was a bit too eager to bet the Suns on Thursday. They’ve gotten some players back from injury, but they’re still missing some key personnel. The Spurs were just blown out, so I expect a better effort from them here, especially because they tend to play much better at home.
NBA Pick: Spurs +4 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 26, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 2.
10:00 PM ET (Game 509-510)
I don’t get this spread. The Suns are so much better now than they were earlier this year because they’ve gotten most of their injured players back into the lineup. I would have made this spread -7.
NBA Pick: Suns -2 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 25, 2023 (1-0, +$205)
Utah Jazz at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 4.5.
10:00 PM ET (Game 571-572)
The public seems interested in the Jazz because Utah has the better record in this matchup. The Jazz are 5-2 in their previous seven games, but most of those contests were at home. Utah is much worse on the road, while Portland has been better since Damian Lillard returned from injury.
NBA Pick: Blazers -4.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Picks for Monday, Jan. 23, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
San Antonio Spurs at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 8.
10:00 PM ET (Game 539-540)
The Blazers are better with Damian Lillard, but they don’t deserve to be eight-point favorites over anyone. I know the Spurs are terrible, but this spread is just ridiculous.
NBA Pick: Spurs +8 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 19, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Philadelphia 76ers at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: 76ers by 2.
10:00 PM ET (Game 553-554)
The 76ers have had trouble covering the spread lately, while the Blazers have been much better since Damian Lillard returned from injury. I like the Portland moneyline tonight.
NBA Pick: Trailblazers ML +115 (2 Units) – Bovada — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 18, 2023 (0-2, -$400)
Charlotte Hornets at Houston Rockets.
Line: Hornets by 2.5.
8:00 PM ET (Game 531-532)
The Rockets aren’t a good team by any means, but who are the Hornets to be favored on the road? They haven’t won since Jan. 6! We’re getting some nice value with the home underdog.
NBA Pick: Rockets +1.5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Miami Heat at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Heat by 3.5.
8:00 PM ET (Game 533-534)
Miami is fully healthy for the first time in a while, but they may not gel together right away, which could give the Pelicans a chance to cover this spread or even win outright. New Orleans is fantastic at home, owning a 15-3 record in its previous 18 games as hosts!
NBA Pick: Pelicans +3 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Monday, Jan. 16, 2023 (1-1, $0)
Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Heat by 1.
3:30 PM ET (Game 511-512)
I know I just faded the Hawks, but I’m going to back them today because they’ll likely have Clint Capela back from injury. This is a huge deal for this matchup, and it makes Atlanta underrated.
NBA Pick: Hawks -1 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
Phoenix Suns at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 10.5.
6:00 PM ET (Game 515-516)
I’m fading the Grizzlies again. I was shocked to see them blow out the Pacers because most of their wins haven’t been by double digits. The Suns have been keeping many of their games close lately.
NBA Pick: Suns +9.5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Saturday, Jan. 14, 2023 (0-2, -$400)
Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Grizzlies by 7.5.
7:00 PM ET (Game 549-550)
The Grizzlies could be without Dillon Brooks tonight, and I think they’re favored by too many points in Indiana regardless. The last time the Pacers lost by more than a touchdown was on Dec. 26.
NBA Pick: Pacers +7.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Atlanta Hawks at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 7.5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 551-552)
The Hawks have been a huge money pit this year. They’re 6-13 against the spread in their previous 19 games! And yet, people continue to bet them. They’re getting public money tonight, but I think the suddenly hot Raptors should beat them easily.
NBA Pick: Raptors -7.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Friday, Jan. 13, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Oklahoma City Thunder at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 5.5.
8:00 PM ET (Game 539-540)
We went against the Bulls a couple of nights ago, but they should be able to rebound in this game. The Thunder could be flat after their big win against the 76ers. Regardless, they make for a good fade tonight.
NBA Pick: Bulls -5.5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 12, 2023 (0-1, -$200)
Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Mavericks by 1.
10:00 PM ET (Game 525-526)
The Mavericks are favored despite the fact that they really struggle on the road. Also, the Lakers have won five of their six previous games. LeBron James is coming off some rest, so he should be ready to defeat Dallas with a big game.
NBA Pick: Lakers +1 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 11, 2023 (2-0, +$405)
Chicago Bulls at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 2.
7:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)
DeMar DeRozan is likely sidelined, so I like the Bullets to cover as favorites tonight. The Bullets have gotten destroyed in three consecutive games, so this is a great opportunity to buy low on them.
NBA Pick: Bullets -2 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
Minnesota Timberwolves at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Timberwolves by 5.
7:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)
Everyone is betting the Timberwolves like it’s easy money tonight, but I wouldn’t be too sure. Anthony Edwards is a game-time decision, and even if he plays, he could be hindered by his hip injury. The Pistons just lost in humiliating fashion, so I think they’ll rebound tonight.
NBA Pick: Pistons +5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 10, 2023 (1-0-1, +$200)
Charlotte Hornets at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 8.
7:30 PM ET (Game 565-566)
The NFL regular season is over, so this means my NBA picks are back! The Hornets have gotten some acclaim for beating the Bucks recently, but that has just skewed the spread. People will be reluctant to pick the Raptors because of their recent losses, but this is another thing that makes them undervalued.
NBA Pick: Raptors -8 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
Oklahoma City Thunder at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 1.
7:30 PM ET (Game 567-568)
The Heat are missing four starters tonight, yet they’re still favored because the sportsbooks don’t want to get middled. The Thunder should be favored.
NBA Pick: Thunder +1 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Push; $0
2024 NFL Mock Draft - April 23
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NFL Picks - Feb. 12
