Send Matt an e-mail here: [email protected].
All other e-mail, including advertising and link proposals, send to: [email protected]
Posted June 13, 2009
Tim Tebow is not a First-Round Quarterback
Walter loves it any time somebody thinks Tim Tebow is a first-round draft pick. If his dog pissed “Tebow No. 1 overall pick” in the snow, he would probably post a link to it in his 2010 NFL Mock Draft. Jon Gruden can’t evaluate the position (Rob Johnson, Bruce Gradkowski, Brian Griese, Josh Johnson), so I wouldn’t be taking his word on Tebow changing the NFL.
If you read my NFL Quarterback Bust article, you know quarterbacks who run a spread option in college scare me to death, and my track record is pretty good in thinking players like Alex Smith and Vince Young would bust.
However, there has been some speculation recently that Tebow will be a top-10 pick.
I stand by my word last year that I don’t think Tim Tebow will ever amount to anything as an NFL quarterback, and I received a lot of criticism for being in the vast minority. Months later, Todd McShay, Mel Kiper and Mike Mayock were all on the same page; none of them feel like he can be a consistent starter in the NFL.
I think Tebow brings a lot to the table as an H-Back and I would spend a third-round pick on him because of his leadership and power running ability, but I would never play him as a quarterback.
Purely as a quarterback, I wouldn’t even draft Tebow. I think he is highly likely to bust at the next level. Sometimes intangibles just can’t overcome poor mechanics and coming from a very bad offense at the collegiate level.
Don’t believe me? Look at Alex Smith and Vince Young.
I will go on the record to say Zac Robinson is my No. 1 senior quarterback. I think he might have enough value to be drafted in the third round as he comes from a balanced spread attack throwing a lot of pro routes. I’m also not buying the Tim Hiller hype. During the Texas Bowl I saw a weak arm, but NFL teams might be impressed enough with his size and production to reach on him in the second round.
Matt McGuire's Recent NFL Draft Blog Entries:
Analyzing Andrew Luck's Decision - 1/7
Luck vs. Locker - 9/15
Top 10 Quarterback Busts - 7/7
NBA Draft vs. NFL Draft - 6/27
Six Sophomores Who Need to Step Up - 6/2
Kentucky 2010 NBA Draft Prospect Blog - 6/1
Brett Favre Retirement Conditions - 5/30
2010 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year - 5/24
2010 NFL Power Rankings Tier - 5/21
2010 NFL Power Rankings - 5/18
NFL Mailbag: C.J. Spiller and Buffalo Bills Reaction - 5/14
LeBron James Game 6 Reaction - 5/14
The Buffalo Bills - 5/13
LeBron James: Celtic Pride - 5/13
The JaMarcus Russell Lesson - 5/11
Most Productive 2010 NFL Rookies - 5/6
Double Down - 4/30
2010 NFL Draft Observations and Telecast Blog - 4/26
2010 NFL Draft Grades: Day 3 - 4/25
2010 NFL Draft Grades: Rounds 1-3 - 4/24
2010 NFL Draft Grades: First Round - 4/23
2010 NFL Draft Trade Analysis - 4/23
Random Round 1 Thoughts and Analysis - 4/23
2010 NFL Draft Class Predictions - 4/22
2010 NFL Draft Trades - 4/21
Response to Mike Mayock's Redskins-Trent Williams Comment - 4/8
Teams Misevaluating Their Own Quarterbacks - 4/6
Where Will Jimmy Clausen Go? - 4/5
2010 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Picks - 3/25
Gerald McCoy's Draft Range - 3/12
NFL Draft Picks Are Business Investments (Anthony Davis) - 3/11
Offense Matters - 3/9
Mel Kiper vs. Todd McShay Debate Revisited - 3/8
Taylor Mays - 3/3
"He's a Winner" ... Not Really - 3/2
Quarterback Height (Jimmy Clausen) - 2/25
The Top Five Reasons the Redskins Won't Pass on Jimmy Clausen - 2/22
2010 NFL Draft: All-Overhyped and Underrated Teams - 2/18
Matt Ryan and the Rams - 2/17
Prospect Case Study: Tim Tebow - 2/11
2010 NFL Draft Offensive Grades - 1/20
Tim Tebow at the Senior Bowl - 1/14
Junior Quarterbacks/Jimmy Clausen - 12/29
2010 NFL Draft Prospect Updates - 12/21
The Michael Oher Lesson - 12/20
Cameron Heyward's Ceiling - 12/17
Jake Locker to Return for Senior Season - 12/15
Top Four Scenario - 12/8
"Suh" is Elite - 12/7
Carlos Dunlap Update - 11/11
Player to Watch - 10/30
Alpha Quarterback - 10/29
2010 NFL Draft Mailbag - 10/28
O Bradford, Where Art Thou (Draft Stock)? - 10/27
The Trojan Torpedo - 10/26
Quarterback Mobility - 10/23
Charles Brown's Stock on the Rise - 10/18
Mays-Clausen and Gaines Adams - 10/17
Mr. Overrated - 10/14
2010 NFL Draft Cursed? - 10/8
Conservative Carroll - 9/22
The Crabtree Lesson - 9/21
Scouting Notes: Weeks 2-3 - 9/20
Terrelle Pryor - NFL QB? - 9/15
Jay Cutler Trade Evaluation - 9/14
THE Choke State University - 9/13
2009 NFL Predictions - 9/10
2009 College Football Predictions - 9/3
The Brett Favre Line - 8/20
Why Vick Hasn't Signed - 8/12
The Vince Young Lesson - 8/10
Vegas NFL Power Rankings - 8/9
Dorsey Fat - Chiefs Stupid - 8/7
Eli Manning: The $100 Million Man - 8/6
Predicting Future Needs Part II - 8/4
NFL Draft Moved - 7/24
Matt McGuire's NFL Draft Blog - Home
2010 NFL Mock Draft – Matt McGuire’s
2010 NFL Mock Draft – Walt’s
NFL Picks
2009 Fantasy Football Rankings
