The most accurate NFL draft site in the world. NFL Football. The draft, picks and fantasy.
NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 8 matchup
Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1 · Line: Lions -3.5 (Circa)
Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.
| Vikings | Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Power rank ▶ | #11 |
| 6-0 | Record (straight up) ◀ | 4-2 |
| 4-2 | Against the spread ◀ | 2-3-1 |
| 3-0on the road | ATS on the road / at home ◀ | 1-1-1at home |
| 1-0as underdog | ATS as favorite / underdog ◀ | 2-2-1as favorite |
| +5.7pts per game | Avg. cover margin ◀ | -0.2pts per game |
| +51 | Point differential ◀ | +19 |
| 22.2avg. opp. rank | Strength of schedule so far ▶ | 17.7avg. opp. rank |
| #14 | Net EPA rank ◀ | #15 |
Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Weeks 2-2, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Vikings offense | Lions defense | |
|---|---|---|
| #29 | EPA per play ▶ | #28 |
| #26 | Dropback EPA ◀ | #28 |
| #24 | Rush EPA ▶ | #15 |
| #31 | Success rate ▶ | #26 |
| #1628.6% of dropbacks | Pressure rate allowed vs. pressure rate ▶ | #1030.9% of dropbacks |
| Vikings defense | Lions offense | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | EPA per play ◀ | #3 |
| #1 | Dropback EPA ◀ | #2 |
| #2 | Rush EPA ◀ | #12 |
| #1 | Success rate ◀ | #2 |
| #141.2% of dropbacks | Pressure rate vs. pressure rate allowed ◀ | #424.4% of dropbacks |
Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
Minnesota VikingsVIKINGS 39, Packers 22 (MIN -1.5). The Vikings couldn't get anything going for most of the afternoon with Carson Wentz, while the Packers hit numerous big plays. Everything changed in the fourth quarter. The Vikings were bailed out by numerous defensive penalties on route to a touchdown and then they pressured Jordan Love heavily. 419-239 GB, 6.3-3.9 GB
Vikings 9, BEARS 3 (CHI -4.5). This was a windy and wet game where both offenses struggled. Caleb Williams got hurt in the fourth quarter. Tyson Bagent got the Bears close to winning, but couldn't complete the drive. 297-246 CHI, 4.8-4.2 MIN
Vikings 23, BUCCANEERS 16 (TB +1). The Buccaneers looked in disarray the entire game. They made many mistakes, including allowing a punt return touchdown and having a hold negate an 87-yard touchdown pass to Chris Godwin. Baker Mayfield got hurt at the end. 243-230 TB, 4.2-3.8 MIN
VIKINGS 15, Dolphins 10 (MIN -10.5). The Vikings dominated time of possession by 20 minutes and Malik Willis didn't even get 10 completions. They couldn't convert in the red zone. All the Dolphins could manage was a long touchdown run by Ollie Gordon. 336-198 SEA, 6.7-4.0 SEA
Vikings 23, SAINTS 13 (NO +2). The Vikings made some mistakes, including an Aaron Jones fumble in the red zone and a Myles Price returned fumble for a touchdown, but Kyler Murray completed most of his passes and made plays with his legs to get the victory. 364-142 MIN, 5.4-3.3 MIN
VIKINGS 16, Colts 10 (MIN -6.5). The Colts went up 7-0 and 10-6 early with some big Jonathan Taylor runs, but the Vikings blanked the Colts in the second half with the help of two missed field goals. Kyler Murray had a long scramble to set up the go-ahead touchdown. 275-218 MIN, 4.9-3.7 MIN
Detroit LionsLIONS 31, Saints 30 (DET -7). The Lions scored early and the Saints got off to a slow start, but the switch flipped on for Tyler Shough in the second half. The Lions were sluggish for a while, allowing the Saints to come back. Detroit went down the field in overtime, and the Saints did the same, but missed on the two-point conversion. 469-369 NO, 5.5-5.1 NO
BILLS 41, Lions 31 (BUF -5.5). The Lions repeatedly shot themselves in the foot with penalties, while the offensive line couldn't block because three linemen were sidelined. The Lions were down 27-7 and got most of their yardage in garbage time. 446-355 BUF, 6.5-5.7 BUF
LIONS 31, Jets 24 (DET -6.5). This game was close for a while, but the Jets couldn't convert some red zone tries. The Lions went up 24-10, but the Jets stormed back with some great plays by Garrett Wilson and a Jahmyr Gibbs stuff. The Lions scored quickly after that with Isaac TeSlaa and Gibbs hitting big plays, and then Wilson got hurt on the ensuing drive before Geno Smith fumbled to end the game. 381-335 DET, 6.0-5.5 NYJ
PANTHERS 32, Lions 26 (CAR +3.5). Bryce Young was on fire, and Tetairoa McMillan couldn't be stopped. The Panthers were up two touchdowns to begin the fourth quarter before a garbage-time Detroit score. 452-445 DET, 6.6-6.2 DET
Lions 45, CARDINALS 21 (ARZ +5.5). The Cardinals went up early with a touchdown drive and the Lions had two scoreless possessions. After that, Detroit couldn't stop scoring. The Cardinals couldn't keep up and got two touchdowns in garbage time. 412-327 DET, 6.3-4.6 DET
LIONS 20, Packers 17 (DET -3). Both teams moved the ball well in between the 20s, but constantly squandered opportunities in the red zone with fourth-down failures and turnovers. The Packers missed two field goals, and Detroit won with a short kick at the end. 415-324 DET, 6.3-5.0 DET
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
All Week 8 matchups · Minnesota Vikings team page · Detroit Lions team page
