NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 6 matchup

New York Jets at New England Patriots

Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18 · Line: Patriots -7 (Circa)

Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.

Side by side

JetsPatriots
#23Power rank ▶#9
2-3Record (straight up) ▶3-2
3-2Against the spread ▶3-1-1
1-2on the roadATS on the road / at home ▶2-0at home
2-2as underdogATS as favorite / underdog ▶2-0as favorite
+2pts per gameAvg. cover margin ▶+3.9pts per game
-3Point differential ▶+16
18.4avg. opp. rankStrength of schedule so far ▶11.0avg. opp. rank
#23Net EPA rank ▶#11

Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Weeks 2-5, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.

Jets offense vs. Patriots defense

Jets offensePatriots defense
#24EPA per play ▶#21
#19Dropback EPA ▶#8
#28Rush EPA ◀#31
#21Success rate ▶#17

Patriots offense vs. Jets defense

Jets defensePatriots offense
#13EPA per play ▶#5
#21Dropback EPA ▶#3
#10Rush EPA ◀#13
#20Success rate ▶#10

Season so far

Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.

Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F

New York Jets

Week 1Sun, Sep 13 at Tennessee Titans Opp. rank #28Group F
W 23-10 Line +1.5 ATS: Covered (+14.5)

Jets 23, TITANS 10 (TEN -1.5). The Jets moved the ball well on the Titans, who barely did anything offensively until garbage time. Their only touchdown came very late. 367-195 NYJ, 5.8-4.0 NYJ

Week 2Sun, Sep 20 vs. Green Bay Packers Opp. rank #16Group C
L 17-20 Line +3.5 ATS: Covered (+0.5)

Packers 20, JETS 17 (NYJ +3.5). The Jets were up 17-3 with their defense smothering Jordan Love, but Jordan Love led a comeback with some clutch plays by Jordan Love and increased pressure from Lukas Van Ness. The Jets helped with a personal foul penalty in overtime. 285-199 NYJ, 4.0-4.0 tie

Week 3Sun, Sep 27 at Detroit Lions Opp. rank #11Group B
L 24-31 Line +6.5 ATS: Did not cover (-0.5)

LIONS 31, Jets 24 (DET -6.5). This game was close for a while, but the Jets couldn't convert some red zone tries. The Lions went up 24-10, but the Jets stormed back with some great plays by Garrett Wilson and a Jahmyr Gibbs stuff. The Lions scored quickly after that with Isaac TeSlaa and Gibbs hitting big plays, and then Wilson got hurt on the ensuing drive before Geno Smith fumbled to end the game. 381-335 DET, 6.0-5.5 NYJ

Week 4Sun, Oct 4 at Chicago Bears Opp. rank #13Group C
L 12-23 Line +3 ATS: Did not cover (-8)

BEARS 23, Jets 12 (CHI -3). The Bears stalled at the goal line early with Tyson Bagent, but eventually got their act together and were able to win time of possession by 25 minutes. 492-157 CHI, 5.5-4.9 CHI

Week 5Sun, Oct 11 vs. Cleveland Browns Opp. rank #24Group D
W 17-12 Line -1.5 ATS: Covered (+3.5)

JETS 17, Browns 12 (NYJ -1.5). The Jets led by one or four for most of the game, but allowed a long touchdown to Denzel Boston. The Browns gave them a short field on a botched snap that turned into a touchdown, and then New York's pass rush hounded Deshaun Watson. 276-198 NYJ, 4.2-3.0 NYJ

New England Patriots

Week 1Wed, Sep 9 at Seattle Seahawks Opp. rank #2Group A
L 10-13 Line +3 ATS: Push (0)

SEAHAWKS 13, Patriots 10 (SEA -3). Sam Darnold got hurt on the opening drive, and the Seahawks couldn't do anything offensively until the second half when the Patriots fell asleep at a late hour. A.J. Brown got hurt, while Drake Maye and Romeo Doubs made numerous mistakes.

Week 2Sun, Sep 20 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Opp. rank #26Group D
W 20-3 Line -5.5 ATS: Covered (+11.5)

PATRIOTS 20, Steelers 3 (NE -5.5). The Patriots began this game with a turnover in the red zone, but they smothered Aaron Rodgers and forced him into two turnovers, including a strip-six. 327-235 NE, 6.2-3.5 NE

Week 3Sun, Sep 27 at Jacksonville Jaguars Opp. rank #9Group B
L 6-35 Line +3 ATS: Did not cover (-26)

JAGUARS 35, Patriots 6 (JAX -3). The Jaguars dominated from start to finish, as the Patriots repeatedly shot themselves in the foot. New England got its yardage in garbage time. 317-315 NE, 5.3-5.3 tie

Week 4Sun, Oct 4 at Buffalo Bills Opp. rank #2Group A
W 29-26 Line +6.5 ATS: Covered (+9.5)

Patriots 29, BILLS 26 (BUF -6.5). Drake Maye lost a fumble but was otherwise back to 2025 form with his passing and rushing. This was a back-and-forth game with the Patriots scoring late to go up three and then Josh Allen, missing D.J. Moore who got hurt, throwing an interception. 405-340 NE, 6.3-5.5 BUF

Week 5Sun, Oct 11 vs. Las Vegas Raiders Opp. rank #16Group C
W 45-17 Line -3.5 ATS: Covered (+24.5)

PATRIOTS 45, Raiders 17 (NE -3.5). The only mistake the Patriots made in this game was a Corey Kiner fumble. Otherwise, Drake Maye lit up the Raiders, and Kirk Cousins couldn't keep up at all with no help from the running game. 536-306 NE, 8.1-5.4 NE

Injuries

New York Jets

RBs

  • Breece Hall out 4-5

WR/TE

  • Adonai Mitchell FLL 3 (out)
  • Mason Taylor out 3-4
  • Adonai Mitchell out 4-5
  • Kenyon Sadiq LLL 4 (in)
  • Mason Taylor returns 5

OL

  • Dylan Parham out 4-5

Int DL

  • David Onyemata out 3-IR

Pass Rush

  • Joseph Ossai out 1-2
  • Will McDonald FLL 2 (in)
  • Joseph Ossai LLL 3 (returns)
  • Kingsley Enagbare out 4-5
  • Will McDonald FFL 5

CBs

  • D'Angelo Ponds out 1
  • D'Angelo Ponds returns 2

Safeties

  • Minkah Fitzpatrick out 2-3
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick returns 4

New England Patriots

RBs

  • Rhomandre Stevenson LLL 5

WR/TE

  • A.J. Brown out 2-IR
  • Mack Hollins out 5

OL

  • Michael Onwenu out 3-IR
  • Morgan Moses DDL 4 (in)
  • Morgan Moses LLL 5

Int DL

  • Dre'Mont Jones LLL 2 (in)
  • Dre'Mont Jones out 3
  • Dre'Mont Jones LLL 4 (returns)
  • Christian Barmore out 4
  • Christian Barmore LLF 5
  • Dre'Mont Jones LLL 5

Pass Rush

  • Harold Landry out 1-PUP

LBs

  • Christian Elliss LLL 4 (in)
  • Christian Elliss LLL 5

CBs

  • Carlton Davis DDD 2 (out)
  • Carlton Davis returns 3
  • Christian Gonzalez out 4-5
  • Carlton Davis out 5

Safeties

  • Craig Woodson DDL 3 (out)
  • Craig Woodson LLL 4 (returns)
  • Craig Woodson LLL 5

Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.