Super Bowl LX was only a few months back, but of course there’s already big betting money on the 2026/27 season. That is mainly focused on futures bets as to who will take home the Super Bowl LXI trophy at the end of the season, but MVP futures and even matchup odds are already available too.
This article will look at four different teams and how the betting markets are rating their chances, as well as where the money is going where concrete info or rumors are available. On top of that it will discuss some of the candidates for the MVP markets and look at why QBs dominate the field in that market once again this year.
Buffalo Bills are In Contention – Could they Be a Breakout Pick?
The Bills are around +1000 to +1100 at most major US sportsbooks to take home Super Bowl LXI in early 2027. They have been consistent contenders for years now with multiple deep playoff runs, and star QB Josh Allen remains statistically among the league’s elite.
Despite late disappointments in recent years, analysts and sportsbooks continue to rate the Bills’ chances of at least being in with a chance of taking it all come the playoff end of the season.
Allen, more on him later, is also the early favorite for season MVP by most ‘books. Statistically, MVP winners usually make deep playoff runs, so the ‘books confidence in Allen also says a lot about the Bills chances over the season too.
Regardless of how the season actually shapes up, the amount of betting already shows just how much interest there is in the market – even internationally. For example bettors looking for a Stake promo code available in Canada will often try comparison sites like Covers.com, where you’ll find that many offers are tailored to NFL fans. That’s on top of all the other factors – like payment speeds and markets – that these guides look into. Demonstrating bettors will put a lot of effort into choosing a sportsbook and the particular bets.
Los Angeles Rams Still Favorite Despite Falling at the Last in 25/26
The Rams are the team to beat, according to most US sportsbooks at this time. Although the Rams fell short against the Seattle Seahawks, on home turf in California too, they are expected to put on a continued strong showing in 26/27.
Most operators have pegged them at around +750 to a low of +600 to win Super Bowl LXI. Which works out at around 10% implied odds. Which is relatively long but for this early on, before preseason even, that is higher than you’ll often see.
If you look at the favorites in each matchup now scheduled across the season, the Rams are the ‘books pick for 16 out of 17 games. They are only the underdog for one road match against the Seahawks, to whom they lost three times last season. That is a significant stat which shows just how much the market values the Rams and their 2025 MVP-winning QB Matthew Stafford.
Sportsbooks often base their lines more on consistent data than preseason patterns or hype draft picks and coaching changes – so the Rams and the Bills both being near the top of the favorites market is a clear indication of that.
Miami Dolphins Could be one to Fade at Long Shot Odds
At some books they are low as +50,000 or an implied 0.2% probability of winning Super Bowl LXI – which is by far the longest single odds of any team.
Averaged out, they sit at around +19500 or 0.5% implied. That does put them more in line with bottom-rated teams the New York Jets and the Cleveland Browns. Which might convince some fans and long shot bettors to give them a go. However, the huge outlier odds suggest some ‘books consider it basically a dead cert the Dolphins won’t be in serious contention.
The Dolphins have attempted to build a team around explosive offense – a strategy that has yet to pay off. With several years of poor form behind them and the playoffs dominated by defensive teams, markets are starting to see the potential regression as injuries and confidence hit this strategy hard.
The Dolphins are only favorite in one matchup over the season, and that is at home against the New York Jets. Only the Arizona Cardinals have averaged worse odds across the season and for Super Bowl futures.
Josh Allen Tops MVP Markets Dominated by QBs
Josh Allen is the clear sportsbooks’ favorite for MVP. The Bills QB is rated at around +550 or +600 to take home the award. QBs also dominate the list:
- Lamar Jackson +700
- Drake Maye +900
- Joe Burrow +1000
- Patrick Mahomes +1100
- Justin Herbert +1100
As a side note, those top six MVP favorites are all also AFC QBs as well. The first NFC player in the odds list is Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott.
Two interesting points from that. Last season’s MVP Matthew Stafford of the Rams is way down in the betting at around +1400. That’s despite his team being early favorite for the Super Bowl.
Another factor of interest is the absence of any rookies in early MVP odds contention. Partly because of the dearth of top elite QB picks in the 2026 draft. By far the biggest pick of the year was Fernando Mendoza for the Las Vegas Raiders.
Heisman-winning QB Mendoza remains at long odds (around +15000) for MVP and has apparently been attracting a lot of market interest. At some sportsbooks, more money has reportedly been on Mendoza than reigning MVP Stafford.

Walt
Charlie Campbell