NBA Picks (Dec. 30-Jan. 5): 5-2 (+$370)
NBA Picks (Jan. 6-12): 3-3 (+$60)
NBA Picks (Jan. 13-19): 3-4 (-$140)
NBA Picks (Jan. 20-26): 4-4 (+$60)
NBA Picks (Jan. 27-Feb. 2): 3-2 (+$80)
NBA Picks (Feb. 3-9): 3-4 (-$140)
NBA Picks (Feb. 10-16): 2-1-1 (-$20)
NBA Picks (Feb. 17-23): 3-1-2 (+$190)
NBA Picks (Feb. 24-March 2): 3-2-1 (-$30)
NBA Picks (March 3-9): 4-5 (-$150)
NBA Picks (March 17-23): 0-1 (-$110)
NBA Picks (March 24-30): 2-2 (+$180)
NBA Picks (March 31-April 6): 0-1 (-$110)
NBA Picks (April 14-20): 1-1 (-$10)
NBA Picks (April 21-27): 4-3 (+$70)
NBA Picks (April 28-May 4): 6-2 (+$380)
NBA Picks (May 5-11): 2-2 (-$20)
NBA Picks (May 12-18): 2-3 (-$130)
NBA Picks (May 19-25): 1-3 (-$230)
NBA Picks (May 26-June 1): 3-2 (+$80)
NBA Picks (June 2-8): 2-0 (+$200)
NBA Picks (June 9-15): 0-2 (-$220)
2013-14 NBA Picks (Season): 59-51-4 (+$760)
2012-13 NBA Picks (Season): 51-45 (+$1,180)
2011-12 NBA Picks (Season): 38-46-1 (-$3,005)
2010-11 NBA Picks (Season): 113-89-4 (+$2,690)
2009-10 NBA Picks (Season): 116-98-4 (+$1,375)
2008-09 NBA Picks (Season): 122-119-6 (-$2,280)
2007-08 NBA Picks (Season): 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
Follow @walterfootball for updates.
Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 5.5.
8:10 PM ET (Game 709-710)
What a weird series. Miami easily could have won the first two games in San Antonio, yet the team was obliterated in two home contests. It’s very difficult to close out a team after a victory, so I like Miami’s chances tonight. Then again, I’ve gone with the Heat in Games 3 and 4.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Heat +5.5 (1 Unit)
San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 5.
9:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)
Let’s try this again. I’m taking Miami for the third game in a row. The Spurs won on Tuesday, but they won’t be fortunate enough to shoot 70 percent from the field again. The Heat always rebound well off a loss, and LeBron and company will be desperate for a victory, given that going down 3-1 with two games left in San Antonio would probably spell the end for them.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Heat -5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 4.5.
9:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)
No idea why this game starts at 9, but whatever. I’m picking Miami again. This series might be 2-0 right now if someone didn’t turn off the air conditioning in Game 1. LeBron James is the best player in the NBA, and as much as I don’t like him, he just won’t be denied.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Heat -4.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 4.5.
8:30 PM ET (Game 703-704)
The public money is on Miami, but sometimes the public side is the right side. I’m going with the Heat tonight. They played pretty evenly with San Antonio on Thursday night in a game in which the Spurs were playing much tougher because of the revenge factor. They were able to pull away once LeBron James cramped up. That won’t happen this evening unless someone switches off the air conditioning again.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Heat +4.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 5.
9:00 PM ET (Game 701-702)
I think Miami will win this series in six or seven. However, as with the Heat-Pacers series, I’m taking the eventual losing team tonight. The Spurs have been waiting for this game all year. All they’ve wanted is revenge. They’ll play much harder than Miami will tonight. The sharps tend to agree because they are backing San Antonio.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Spurs -5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 3.
8:30 PM ET (Game 523-524)
This spread is all over the place. If you like the Thunder, take them at -3 on 5Dimes. If you want to bet the Spurs, you can get +4 on Bovada. I’m rolling with Oklahoma City again. What happened in Game 5 confused me, but I still think the Thunder match up well with San Antonio, especially when playing at home.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Thunder -3 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 8.
8:30 PM ET (Game 521-522)
Miami should be able to destroy Indiana tonight. The Pacers went all out to win Game 5 because they were desperate. The Heat, meanwhile, was more relaxed because it knew it would come back home for a sixth game. LeBron James barely played, yet Indiana barely escaped. Miami will close things out tonight.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Heat -8 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 5.
9:00 PM ET (Game 519-520)
I’m going to keep riding the Thunder. They match up so much better with San Antonio now that Serge Ibaka is back in the lineup, and as I’ve been saying, the Spurs haven’t had enough time to compensate for this. I don’t feel as strongly about this pick as I did with the other ones because of the zig-zag theory, but Oklahoma City seems like the right side.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Thunder +5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Heat by 2.
8:30 PM ET (Game 517-518)
It seems like everyone is betting on Miami tonight. Well, the sharps are on the Pacers – this spread has dropped from -2 to pick, but can still be found at -2 on Bovada – and it’s easy to see why. It’s very difficult to close out a team, especially on the road. The Pacers will be way more desperate, while Miami knows it can go back home to win this series in Game 6.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Pacers +2 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 2.5.
9:00 PM ET (Game 515-516)
I’m going with the Thunder again. Two things helped them win Sunday’s game: The long break and Serge Ibaka’s return. Now, the Spurs don’t have enough time to adjust, and they’ll continue to struggle in the paint with Ibaka there.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Thunder -2.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 2.
8:30 PM ET (Game 511-512)
Let’s try the Thunder one more time. They absolutely have to win this game to keep their season alive. If they lose, they’re done. They’ll be playing more desperate basketball, and I think the ridiculous amount of time off may have allowed them to come up with a good game plan against San Antonio. Also, consider that despite all the action on the Spurs, this spread is holding steady at 2.5 (you can get it at -2 -105 at Bovada though).
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Thunder -2 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 6.5.
8:30 PM ET (Game 509-510)
I’m rolling with the Pacers again. They fit the zig-zag theory, but more importantly, they kept Game 2 close when Miami was the more desperate team. The Pacers are the squad that needs to win now, so I like them to cover all of these points.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Pacers +2 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Heat by 2.
8:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)
I hate going against the zig-zag theory, but I’m going to do that tonight because I really like Indiana again. Everyone is saying that Miami will get its act together and that Indiana had a fluke victory, but this ignores everything that’s happened in the past 10 days. The Pacers were very impressive against the solid Bullets, while Miami only escaped Brooklyn because the overwhelmed Jason Kidd kept screwing up in the final minutes. Also keep in mind that Indiana is 7-1 versus Miami at home in the previous eight meetings at this location.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Pacers +2 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 6.
9:05 PM ET (Game 503-504)
This seems like a bit of a square play, but Oklahoma City seems like the right side. Six points is just too many for a game in which both teams are even. In fact, the Thunder swept the Spurs in the regular season, so it could have their number. Of course, the big news is that Serge Ibaka is out, but I like betting on good teams missing a starter. The talking heads on ESPN, including Stephen The Smith, are saying it’s a “long shot” for Oklahoma City to win, which is ridiculous.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Thunder +6 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Heat by 2.5.
3:30 PM ET (Game 501-502)
Everyone in the world is betting on the Heat this afternoon, so the books stand to lose a lot of money if Miami covers this spread. There’s a reason Vegas always comes out on top, so I would suggest either taking Indiana or staying away.
I’m betting on the Pacers. They looked like crap against the Hawks and early on in the next series, but they seemed to turn things around against a solid Washington squad. They’ve been waiting for this opportunity all year, and they’re undoubtedly confident they can get the job done, given that they’re 6-1 versus Miami at home in their previous seven games.
Miami, meanwhile, hasn’t done anything too impressive in the playoffs. It beat a crappy Charlotte team and then got past Brooklyn in a series that maybe would have gone seven had Jason Kidd had any sort of clue about last-minute execution.
Perhaps the Heat will win this series easily, but that’s the sentiment all of the talking heads share on ESPN. I love to fade them whenever possible, so that’s what I’m doing here.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Pacers +2.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 4.5.
10:30 PM ET (Game 743-744)
I’m going with Los Angeles tonight. As I wrote yesterday, it’s very difficult to knock out a team facing elimination. The Clippers, who fit the zig-zag theory, will be completely desperate for a victory in this contest. The Thunder, meanwhile, knows that it was lucky to win Tuesday’s game, and it also knows that it can advance on Saturday if it doesn’t win tonight’s matchup.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Clippers -4.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 7.
7:00 PM ET (Game 737-738)
As we found out two nights ago, it’s difficult to close out a desperate team. The Nets, who can be considered a zig-zag play, will be doing everything in their power to extend their season. Miami accomplished what it wanted to on Monday – win one game in Brooklyn – so I don’t know if it’ll be going completely hard tonight.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Nets +7 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Los Angeles Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 5.
9:30 PM ET (Game 735-736)
ESPN analysts were screaming yesterday about the Clippers figuring out the Thunder by putting Chris Paul on Kevin Durant. I expect Durant to rebound with a big performance. It’s also worth noting that Oklahoma City satisfies the zig-zag theory.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Thunder -5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
San Antonio Spurs at Portland Trail Blazers.
Line: Spurs by 4.5.
10:30 PM ET (Game 731-732)
Sorry for my hiatus, but I was swamped with draft coverage. That’s over, so I’m back. I’m going to deviate from the zig-zag theory because I expect San Antonio to sweep tonight. The sharps do as well. This really reminds me of the Sixers-Pacers series back in the late 90s. The Sixers were an up-and-coming team, but they just ran into a wall when trying to overcome a much more seasoned squad. Philly was swept in that series. Portland will regroup and come back stronger next year, but this is it for them.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Spurs -4.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Indiana Pacers at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 4.5.
8:05 PM ET (Game 717-718)
It’s a good thing I didn’t make a pick yesterday because the Nets and Blazers fit the zig-zag theory, and I feel like I would’ve talked myself into one of them. The Bullets fit the zig-zag theory, and I’m taking them tonight. They’re the better team and should win this series rather easily.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Bullets/Wizards -4.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Los Angeles Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 5.
9:30 PM ET (Game 711-712)
The Clippers were dominant in the first game, but let’s not forget that this is a team that nearly lost in the first round to a Golden State squad missing its starting center. Oklahoma City is desperate for a win, and the zig-zag theory applies here.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Thunder -5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 8.
7:05 PM ET (Game 705-706)
Brooklyn had some trouble with the Raptors because Toronto provided a tough matchup. Conversely, the Nets stack up well against Miami, which would explain how they were able to sweep the season series. With public perception down on the Nets, there’s a good amount of value available at +8.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Nets +8 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Washington Bullets at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 4.
7:05 PM ET (Game 701-702)
I feel like this is such a square pick, but sometimes the public play is the right side. I’m taking Washington. The Pacers have been garbage for months, while Washington is playing better basketball right now.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Bullets/Wizards +4 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 6.5.
3:30 PM ET (Game 549-550)
Hopefully I’ll have better luck today with a favorite instead of an underdog. The Spurs fit the zig-zag theory, and they should be able to win pretty easily after Dallas put 100 percent into its Game 6 victory.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Spurs -6.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Atlanta Hawks at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 6.5.
5:30 PM ET (Game 537-538)
The Hawks fit the zig-zag theory. They’ve also been competitive in five of the six games this series, so I don’t get why the Pacers are favored by 6.5. Atlanta has already won twice in Indiana, so I don’t see why it can’t happen a third time.
NBA Pick: Hawks +6.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 9.5.
8:00 PM ET (Game 537-538)
Two picks today! Again, this series is close, so I’m taking the zig-zag underdog. Oklahoma City put so much energy into Game 6 because of the Mr. Unreliable crap, so there might be a bit of a letdown today. Memphis, meanwhile, will match the Thunder’s intensity.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies +9.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Toronto Raptors at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Nets by 4.5.
7:00 PM ET (Game 531-532)
The zig-zag theory applies to the Nets, but the public doesn’t care; there’s tons of money on the Raptors this evening. The Nets are completely desperate, as they need to win this game to stay alive. Toronto, meanwhile, still has a chance to prevail at home in a Game 7, so the team may not put forth as much effort as Brooklyn tonight.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Nets -4.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Thunder by 2.5.
8:00 PM ET (Game 525-526)
There’s only one game that fits the zig-zag system that interests me tonight. The Pacers could be done (and there’s sharp movement on Atlanta), while the Warriors could lose because Adam Silver may want to appease the Clippers and their fans. That leaves the Thunder. I feel like Oklahoma City took Game 5 for granted after winning the previous contest on the road. The team will be more focused and desperate tonight.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Thunder -2.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 6.5.
7:00 PM ET (Game 517-518)
I considered the Nets, but my only play tonight is on the Mavericks. All of the games in this series have been close, so 6.5 is too high of a number. Dallas also fits the zig-zag theory.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Mavericks +6.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 7.
10:30 PM ET (Game 511-512)
The Wicked Witch of the Western Conference has been banished for life, so the Clippers may actually decide to try in this game. They should have a ton of energy, unlike what they showed in Game 4. This fits the zig-zag theory, and I love getting a good team coming off a blowout loss.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Clippers -7 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Atlanta Hawks at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 7.
8:05 PM ET (Game 503-504)
This feels like a square play, but I like the Hawks and the points. Atlanta fits the zig-zag theory, while Indiana is trash and shouldn’t be favored by this much. There’s some sharp action on the host, but whatever.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Hawks +7 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Chicago Bulls at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 2.
1:00 PM ET (Game 753-754)
The Bullets (or Wizards, if you’re into calling that team by its crappy name) seems like the superior squad in this series by a slim margin. It appears as though they took Game 3 for granted because they were up 2-0 in the series after winning two games in Chicago. They’ll be more prepared this afternoon.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Bullets/Wizards -2 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Heat by 5.
7:00 PM ET (Game 749-750)
I hate to sound like a broken record – OK, maybe I don’t hate it – but Miami is overrated and won’t take these games very seriously. The Heat is up 2-0 in the series and won’t overexert itself in the first round. The sharps are backing desperate Charlotte.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Hornets/Bobcats +5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Toronto Raptors at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Nets by 4.5.
7:00 PM ET (Game 739-740)
I thought the public would be all over the Nets, but that’s not the case, as the money is evenly split. Despite this, the spread has risen from -4 to -4.5 or -5, indicating some sharp action on the host. It makes sense, as Brooklyn is the superior squad and fits the zig-zag theory.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Nets -4.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Clippers by 3.
10:30 PM ET (Game 737-738)
I wrote in the comment board below a couple of days ago that I would be picking the Warriors in Game 3. I like taking good teams off blowout losses; Golden State will rebound after not putting much effort into Game 2. Plus, the media is completely slurping the Clippers again, so the visitor could be full of itself entering this matchup.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Warriors +3 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 10.
3:30 PM ET (Game 711-712)
I wrote a couple of days ago that I was going to take Charlotte in Game 2. The Hornets/Bobcats kept Game 1 close throughout and should have covered. Miami is overrated and won’t put full effort into their first-round games.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Hornets/Bobcats +10 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Washington Bullets at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 5.
9:30 PM ET (Game 725-726)
I’m using the zig-zag theory again tonight, meaning I’m picking the Bulls. The media is now saying Chicago will lose this series. How many times did Tony Kornheiser yell that the Bulls can’t score? It’s almost as if everyone forgot how dominant Chicago was during the regular season. I love fading ridiculous media overreactions.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Bulls -5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 7.
8:00 PM ET (Game 717-718)
Right side, wrong result yesterday, as Charlotte kept it close the entire game until the very end. I’m going to pick them again for Game 2. As for tonight, I like Memphis because of the zig-zag theory. The Grizzlies will be much more desperate tonight. I also like the fact that sharp action pushed this spread down from +7.5 to +7 (+6.5 in some places).
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies +7 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 10.
3:30 PM ET (Game 711-712)
Miami showed that it wasn’t the same team as in past years when it couldn’t redeem itself off two or more consecutive losses earlier in the season. The Heat is wildly overrated, thanks to ESPN shoving LeBron James down our throats, and this number is too high as a consequence. Furthermore, I wouldn’t expect Miami to overexert itself in the first round when it knows that tougher challenges await. Double-digit underdogs in the playoffs tend to cover, so I’m going to roll with Charlotte on this Easter afternoon.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Hornets/Bobcats +10 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 7.
3:30 PM ET (Game 707-708)
You can make lots of money betting against the media. Remember the Super Bowl, when everyone on ESPN said the Broncos would beat the Seahawks? Or in March Madness, when every single ESPN analyst predicted Michigan State to win the NCAA Tournament? The consensus is that the Clippers will easily win this series because the Warriors are missing their center. I even saw someone on Twitter say that he’s going to drive to Vegas just to bet on the Clippers to win the NBA Championship at 10:1 odds, which is a horrible wager. Everyone has already advanced Los Angeles, but Golden State can give them a battle and perhaps even win this game.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Warriors +7 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Mavericks by 8.
10:30 PM ET (Game 527-528)
This spread is way too high. The Lakers have been competitive in most of their recent games. They even beat the Suns this past Sunday. The Mavericks, on the other hand, are coming off a huge win last night against the Clippers, so they could be a bit tired. There’s so much public money coming in on Dallas, yet this spread is dropping. That’s an indication that the Lakers are the right side.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Lakers +8 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Spurs by 8.
9:00 PM ET (Game 869-870)
I took the Nuggets at +13.5 in San Antonio, so I obviously have to like them at +8 at home, right? I think they’re the right side again. San Antonio hasn’t beaten many opponents with winning records by large margins during its winning streak. The Spurs also have to play tomorrow night, so they may not go at 100 percent, especially in altitude. It’s also worth noting that there has been sharp action on Denver ever since the spread rose to +8.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Nuggets +8 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Clippers by 1.
8:30 PM ET (Game 807-808)
Three reasons to take Dallas tonight: 1) This game means much more to the Mavericks, who are currently tied for the eighth spot in the Western Conference. Los Angeles has a comfortable lead in its division. 2) The Clippers haven’t been playing good basketball lately. They just lost to the Pelicans last night, so they haven’t had time to fix what’s wrong. 3) There’s sharp action on the home underdog.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Mavericks +1 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Denver Nuggets at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 13.5.
8:30 PM ET (Game 765-766)
The Spurs are on a 14-game winning streak, but do you know how many teams with winning records they’ve beaten by more than this posted spread in this span? One. That’s it. They should be able to pull out another victory tonight, but this line is just way too high when considering how well the Nuggets have played lately. Denver is 5-3 in its previous eight, having beaten the Heat and the Clippers. I like them to cover tonight.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Nuggets +13.5 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
New York Knicks at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Knicks by 7.5.
10:30 PM ET (Game 657-658)
Perception versus reality. Perception: The Knicks are hot (won eight of nine), while the Lakers are cold (2-7 last nine). Reality: The Knicks have played crap teams to win their games, while the Lakers have battled the Spurs twice, Thunder twice and Clippers in that span. This spread is too high, and there’s too much action on the inflated road favorite. The sharps love the Lakers, and so do I.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Lakers +7.5 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Toronto Raptors at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 1.
8:00 PM ET (Game 607-608)
Sorry for my hiatus, but I’m back. I was busy with all of the NFL Free Agents. I’m coming back with the (surprise) Pelicans, who are getting sharp action tonight. The Raptors played last night and have the Thunder coming up on Friday, so they could be distracted.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Pelicans -1 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Heat by 4.5.
1:00 PM ET (Game 801-802)
Two reasons why I’m taking Miami today: First, the Heat is 14-3 straight up, 12-5 against the spread following two or more consecutive losses over the past three seasons. Second, the Bulls have compiled a good record because they try so much harder than everyone else. The problem is that they can’t win if the other team tries just as hard. Miami will be giving maximum effort today after coming off two straight defeats.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Heat -4.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Charlotte Hornets at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 9.
8:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)
This spread opened at +6.5, but it has risen to +9 since, meaning there’s good value with the Hornets/Bobcats. Memphis played a tough game at Chicago last night and could be tired. Charlotte also played last night, but it’s more likely to be up for this matchup.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Hornets/Bobcats +9 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 10.5.
9:00 PM ET (Game 817-818)
This spread is an overreaction from last night’s blowout loss. The Lakers won at Portland on Monday, so it’s not like they’re completely inept. The Nuggets, meanwhile, have just two victories since Feb. 5, so they don’t deserve to be favored by this much.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Lakers +10.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 3.5.
8:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)
I’m going to continue to back the Heat. They let me down on Tuesday, but they were playing the second game of a back-to-back. They’re coming off rest now, and I’m sure they’ll be completely focused for San Antonio. Speaking of the Spurs, they are just 4-7 straight up and 2-9 against the spread versus opponents that have a .667 record or better this year.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Heat +3.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Memphis Grizzlies at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Grizzlies by 2.
7:30 PM ET (Game 707-708)
One of the reasons I bet the Nets on Monday is because it was their chance to go to .500. Well, if they’re victorious tonight, they’ll have a winning record for the first time all year. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are a bit overrated, as they’ve covered the spread just four times in their previous 14 games.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Nets +2 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Miami Heat at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 1.5.
8:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)
Once again, I’m going with Miami. The team is just locked in and ready to crush everyone. It played last night, but Dwyane Wade wasn’t on the court. Wade is extra motivated tonight, as someone said he doesn’t belong in the top 10 ahead of James Harden.
NBA Pick: Heat +1.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Los Angeles Clippers at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Clippers by 4.5.
9:00 PM ET (Game 509-510)
This spread doesn’t make much sense to me. Factoring in three points for homecourt, this line says the Clippers are 7.5 points better than Phoenix. That’s just not right, even with Eric Bledsoe out. There’s so much money on the Clippers, so perhaps Phoenix will cover because Vegas has such a liability on this game.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Suns +4.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Chicago Bulls at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Nets by 3.
7:30 PM ET (Game 703-704)
The Bulls are on fire, so why is this spread rising in Brookyln’s favor despite lots of money coming in on Chicago? A few reasons: First, the Bulls registered most of their victories against inferior competition. Second, this is a big revenge game for the Nets, who suffered a blowout loss to Chicago a few weeks ago. And finally, the Nets can get to .500 with a victory, so this is huge for them.
NBA Pick: Nets -3 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 12.
7:30 PM ET (Game 705-7-6)
As I wrote on Saturday, Miami seems to be on a mission right now. Just like at this time last year, the Heat is trying to finish strong so it heads into the playoffs on a roll. This should be a complete blowout. The Hornets/Bobcats, meanwhile, have to be exhausted after battling Oklahoma City tough last night.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Heat -12 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Orlando Magic at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 14.
7:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)
I’m usually not one to lay tons of points, but Miami seems to be on a mission right now. Just like at this time last year, the Heat is trying to finish strong so it heads into the playoffs on a roll. This should be a complete blowout. It’s also worth noting that the Magic have failed to cover in four of its previous five meetings with Miami.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Heat -14 (1 Unit) — Push; $0
Utah Jazz at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 4.5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 801-802)
I’m going with the Jazz again, who have been playing some good basketball lately. They have tomorrow night off, so they can concentrate on this game more than the Cavaliers can; Cleveland plays tomorrow night against Memphis. It’s also worth noting that the Cavs are coming off a big win against Oklahoma City, so they could have a letdown.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Jazz +4.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Brooklyn Nets at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nets by 1.
10:30 PM ET (Game 507-508)
The Nets are coming off a blowout loss against Portland, so that could play into their favor; they are 5-2 against the spread this year after losing by 20 or more. I don’t like that they’re playing in altitude on no rest, but the Nuggets are a disaster area right now. They’ve failed to cover in eight of their previous nine games. Also, this spread has moved two points in Brooklyn’s direction despite there being equal action. That indicates that the Nets are the right side.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Nets -1 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Phoenix Suns at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 1.5.
9:00 PM ET (Game 715-716)
The Suns opened as two-point favorites, but the line has moved 3.5 points in Utah’s direction despite there being tons of action on Phoenix. The Suns could be tired from playing last night, while the Jazz has won four of seven.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Jazz -1.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 3.5.
9:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)
The Suns are coming off an emotional loss and could struggle to get up for this game. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves, who have won three of four, don’t play their next game until Saturday, so they’ll be completely focused for this matchup.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves +3.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Los Angeles Clippers at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Clippers at 4.5.
8:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)
The Clippers had a huge victory over the Thunder yesterday. Do you think they’ll be motivated to play the “lowly” Pelicans after traveling on no rest? I think they’ll take this game off. If so, New Orleans will win; the team is underrated and has been a covering machine in February. There’s so much money on Los Angeles tonight; Vegas has a big liability on the road favorite.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Pelicans +4.5 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Rockets by 1.5.
9:00 PM ET (Game 811-812)
The Rockets keep getting credit they don’t deserve. They shouldn’t have been favored at Golden State, and the same applies here. Houston won eight consecutive games prior to Thursday night’s loss, but all eight victories were either at home or on the road against crappy opponents. The Suns should be -2.5 or -3, so we’re getting about four points of value with them.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Suns +1.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
New Orleans Pelicans at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 6.5.
7:00 PM ET (Game 801-802)
I must be smitten with the Pelicans because I keep picking them. I just don’t think they should be underdogs by nearly a touchdown against an Eastern Conference team. Washington is 8-14 versus the West.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Pelicans +6.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
New Orleans Pelicans at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 3.
7:00 PM ET (Game 801-802)
The Hornets/Bobcats have a better record than the Pelicans, but we all know that New Orleans is the superior team because it plays in the Western Conference. With that in mind, this spread is just way too high. It should be about pick ’em.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Pelicans +3 (1 Unit) — Push; $0
Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Rockets by 1.5.
10:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)
I know Andrew Bogut is out for Golden State, but I’m not buying Houston as a road favorite in this matchup, especially given that the Warriors play so well at home. Besides, the Rockets used a lot of energy last night to help Dwight Howard get his revenge and then traveled on no rest.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Warriors +1.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Indiana Pacers at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Pacers by 3.5.
8:00 PM ET (Game 711-712)
The Pacers played last night, so they could be tired after traveling to play the rested Timberwolves. Minnesota has played very well against Eastern opponents this year, which shouldn’t be a surprise. This spread doesn’t make much sense to me considering that fact.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves +3.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Atlanta Hawks at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 10.
7:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)
The Hawks usually play the Pacers tough. This is a big game for them because they hate Indiana and recently lost to them. Ten points is way too much, especially when considering that Indiana has to travel and play a road game tomorrow night.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Hawks +10 (1 Unit) — Push; $0
Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Thunder by 11.
10:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)
There is a ton of money coming in on Oklahoma City tonight, yet this spread has dropped from -11.5 to -10.5 in most places (it’s -11 -115 at Bovada). If that doesn’t tell you the Lakers are the right side, I just feel like this number is way too large. Only truly inept teams deserve to be double-digit home underdogs in the NFL and NBA. The Lakers are bad, but they’re not truly inept (like the Sixers are right now, for example).
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Lakers +11 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Sacramento Kings at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 6.5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 713-714)
Ugh, right side, wrong result last night. I still have no idea how Phoenix didn’t cover. At any rate, I’m taking the Kings tonight. The Knicks have been playing like crap lately, and they happen to be coming off an emotional loss against Oklahoma City.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Kings +6.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Miami Heat at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Heat by 4.
9:00 PM ET (Game 509-510)
The NBA season is very long, so it’s difficult for teams to bring 100 percent every night. This will be especially challenging for Miami in this contest. The Heat has a bigger game against Golden State tomorrow night, so it may conserve energy – especially considering that LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh will all be playing in the All-Star game coming up. The Suns don’t have any All-Stars, and they also don’t have another game for a week, so this is their “Super Bowl.” While Miami won’t be at 100 percent, Phoenix will be doing everything in its power to prove to the nation that it can compete with the NBA’s best.
On top of this, we have reverse line movement, which favors the Suns. This spread opened at +4, yet it’s down to +3 or +3.5 in most places, save for Bovada, where you can still get Phoenix at +4 -105.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Suns +4 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
New Orleans Pelicans at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 7.
7:00 PM ET (Game 703-704)
I’m going to try the Pelicans again. They were blown out last night, but in a back-to-back, they may have been conserving their energy. The Raptors have the better record, but it’s deceiving because they play in the Eastern Conference. They have a losing record versus Western opponents. They also could be emotionally drained from losing to the Clippers at the end of their long road trip.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Pelicans +7 (1 Unit) — Push; $0
New Orleans Pelicans at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Nets by 5.
6:00 PM ET (Game 805-806)
This is a similar game as Grizzlies-Hawks. The Pelicans and Nets have the same amount of victories, but New Orleans is much better because it plays in the toughest conference (and most taxing division). We’re getting points with the better team, so I can’t turn that down. The sharps can’t either, apparently.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Pelicans +5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 1.5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)
These teams have similar records, yet one is much better than the other. Memphis plays in the much tougher Western Conference, which would explain why it’s 9-4 versus Eastern teams compared to 17-18 against Western foes. Meanwhile, Atlanta has an 8-11 record when playing non-conference tilts. Despite equal action on both sides, this spread has moved one point in Memphis’ favor, indicating that the Grizzlies are the right side.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies +1.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Sacramento Kings at Boston Celtics.
Line: Kings by 2.5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 809-810)
I’m usually not one to take road favorites, but this will be an exception. The sharps have bet the Kings up 1.5 points for good reason; they’re a hot team that is fully capable of taking care of Eastern Conference trash like Boston. DeMarcus Cousins’ return to the lineup has been a huge boost.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Kings -2.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
San Antonio Spurs at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Nets by 6.
8:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)
Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili are all out. So what? The Spurs won without those three in Golden State as seven-point underdogs. They also covered in a loss to Miami without their three stars last season. This San Antonio team is deep, and the rest of the players will shine. It’s also worth noting that the Spurs are 9-3 straight up, 8-4 against the spread in the second game of back-to-backs.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Spurs +6 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Toronto Raptors at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Pick.
10:00 PM ET (Game 721-722)
I’m going with what worked Monday night. The Kings are starting to gain momentum and have proven that they can handle decent Eastern Conference foes at home. Toronto, meanwhile, has to be exhausted, playing its fourth road game in six days. It’s worth noting that Pinny, the sharpest book on the Web, is dying for its customers to take the Raptors, listing them at +1.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Kings PK (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Indiana Pacers at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Pacers by 3.5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 501-502)
The public is pounding the Pacers, yet there has been reverse line movement, as the spread has dropped from -3.5 to -3 in most books (Bovada, a square shop, still has -3.5). Casual bettors are ignoring the fact that Atlanta is the better team and will be playing on two days’ rest. The Pacers, meanwhile, took the court last night and haven’t been very good lately, failing to cover five of their previous seven games. The two exceptions have come against the crappy Lakers and Magic, and I’d say Atlanta is just a bit better than those squads.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Hawks +3.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Chicago Bulls at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 1.
10:00 PM ET (Game 721-722)
I’m fading the Bulls again, as they continue to have a “halo effect” after Wednesday’s victory at San Antonio. The Kings have a brutal record, but they’ve been a lot better lately. They’re actually a decent 4-5 SU and 5-4 ATS in home games against Eastern Conference foes. The sharps are on Sacramento as well.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Kings -1 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Chicago Bulls at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 1.
8:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)
The public just saw the Bulls upset the Spurs on Wednesday, so they’re betting a ton on them tonight. The sharps are on the Pelicans, however, knowing that New Orleans has won four of its previous six and hails from the superior conference. Chicago could be feeling a little too good about itself following the San Antonio victory.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Pelicans -1 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 1.5.
9:00 PM ET (Game 811-812)
This game is similar to the one last night: A solid team from a better conference that is missing a key player (Ty Lawson) is taking on an inferior opponent. The Raptors also have to worry about playing tomorrow night. This spread doesn’t make much sense to me, so I like Denver.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Denver -1.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Phoenix Suns at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 12.5.
7:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)
I like picking good teams missing key players because the rest of the squad tends to step up. The Suns should not be underdogs of this many points. They’re just too good. The Pacers, meanwhile, are coming back from a long road trip and haven’t been playing very well lately. I also like the idea of picking a Western Conference team in a non-conference matchup. The sharps, by the way, are on Phoenix at +12 and +12.5.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Suns +12.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Orlando Magic at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Pistons by 7.
7:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)
Four reasons to take the Magic tonight: First, Orlando has been playing better of late, covering four of its previous seven. Second, Detroit is favored by too much for a pedestrian team. Third, the Pistons take on the Hawks tomorrow night, so they may save some energy for that game. And finally, the sharps are betting Orlando tonight.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Magic +7 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Minnesota Timberwolves at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Timberwolves by 4.
8:00 PM ET (Game 709-710)
We’re not getting a great number, as the Timberwolves have been pushed up by the sharps from -1.5 to -4, but they appear to be the right side. Minnesota has dominated Eastern teams this year, while the Bulls have struggled against the West. I haven’t done well picking road favorites this year, but perhaps my luck will change.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves -4 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Phoenix Suns at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 2.
6:00 PM ET (Game 807-808)
There’s sharp action on the Cavaliers. The Suns are the better team, but they’re in a tough spot. They’re beginning their East Coast road trip and have a game tomorrow night, so they might be looking to conserve energy. Besides, they haven’t played very well recently, going 3-5 in their previous eight games, most of which were at home.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Cavaliers -2 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Indiana Pacers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Pacers by 2.
9:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)
The Pacers played last night and will be asked to beat a tough Denver team in altitude on the latter half of a back-to-back. That will prove to be difficult. The Nuggets, meanwhile, had last night off, so they’ll be rested for this big game. The sharps have bet this down from +4 to +2, so we’re not getting as much value on Denver, but the home dog is still the right side.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Nuggets +2 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Oklahoma City Thunder at Boston Celtics.
Line: Thunder by 7.5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 811-812)
The public is pounding Oklahoma City, while the wise guys are all over Boston. The sharpest sportsbook, Pinny, is begging you to take the Thunder, listing it at -6.5 +100. The squarest book, Bovada, has the spread at 7.5. The Celtics have been better lately – they nearly beat Miami recently – while Oklahoma City has another game on Saturday, so it could take it easy. This is the first of my two picks tonight.
NBA Pick: Celtics +7.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 3.
10:30 PM ET (Game 825-826)
The sharp bettors are also taking the Timberwolves, as you can see with the spread dropping 1.5 points in their favor despite public money on Golden State. The Wariors have struggled immensely lately, covering just one of their previous six games. Minnesota is playing better basketball right now.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves +3 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers.
Line: Trail Blazers by 7.
10:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)
I love the Nuggets tonight, so hopefully they can help me snap out of my funk. The sharps are all over them too, and for good reason. They’ve had three days off to prepare for this nationally televised contest. The Blazers, meanwhile, are coming off an emotional loss against the Thunder. They may not be up for playing against an “inferior” team.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Nuggets +7 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic.
Line: Hawks by 5.5.
7:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)
It’s not often that the sharps pound a road favorite, but that’s what’s happening here. The Hawks should easily dispatch the Magic, a team that has quit in many games this season. Orlando is playing its third game in four nights and the latter contest in a back-to-back. It could be tired against a far superior team.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Hawks -5.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Minnesota Timberwolves at Utah Jazz.
Line: Timberwolves by 4.5.
9:00 PM ET (Game 509-510)
The public has bet Minnesota all the way up from -3.5 to -4.5, and now the sharps are betting on the Jazz. It’s easy to see why. Minnesota just beat Utah a couple of days ago, so there’s a revenge factor for the home dog. Also, the Jazz are the hotter team (7-3 ATS last 10), while the Timberwolves could be looking ahead to their matchups against the Warriors and Blazers.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Jazz +4.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Portland Trail Blazers at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 2.5.
8:00 PM ET (Game 715-716)
There’s some public action on the Blazers because they’re getting points as the team with the better record. However, there’s some sharp action on the Rockets, who have won four of five. They’ll be up for the Blazers, who may not be focused on tonight’s contest because they have to battle Oklahoma City tomorrow.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Rockets -2.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Sacramento Kings at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 8.5.
7:00 PM ET (Game 807-808)
Ugh, tough beat last night. I’m going with the Kings again. I mentioned how hot they’ve been on Friday. They’ve won four of six and covered five of the games in that span. The Thunder, meanwhile, is playing its third game in four days, fresh off a track-meet victory over the Warriors. Kevin Durant could be especially fatigued after going for a career high. The sharps are all over the Kings, and so am I.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Kings +8.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Heat by 6.5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)
It’s always scary to bet against the Heat, but they’re just 17-22 against the spread this year. LeBron and his teammates just don’t care too much about most of these regular-season games. Given that they played last night, they could take it easy in this contest against the Hornets, who have won two of three. The sharps love Charlotte tonight.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Hornets/Bobcats +6.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 5.5.
8:00 PM ET (Game 815-816)
I’m actually making two picks tonight, both of which will be road underdogs. The Kings are very hot right now, winning four of five. The sharps are on them as well, as perhaps they recognize that the Grizzlies have just one victory by more than eight points since Dec. 28. Memphis keeps things close, so Sacramento will have a chance to win tonight.
NBA Pick: Kings +5.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 1.
9:30 PM ET (Game 823-824)
This seems so easy for the public. Oklahoma City by one? They’ll win for sure! Well, the sharps are on the Warriors. They recognize that the Thunder is just 4-5 in its previous nine games and could be tired from last night’s victory over Houston. Golden State lost the last time these teams met, so there’s a revenge factor.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Warriors +1 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 4.5.
10:30 PM ET (Game 723-724)
The Clippers are in a tough situational spot, as they have to pack their bags for a long East Coast trip that begins on Friday with a game at New York. It’s going to be tough for them to be completely focused for the Mavericks, who have won four of their previous five games. Dallas, which will be seeking revenge for an earlier loss this season, is getting sharp action tonight.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Mavericks +4.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Thunder by 1.
8:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)
I’ve been in a slump lately, so hopefully I can get out of it. I know the sharps are all over the Grizzlies tonight, and I’ll be going in that direction as well. The Thunder has struggled recently, going just 4-3 in its previous seven. The Grizzlies should be favored; they’re on fire lately, winning seven of their previous 11, as they’ve covered six in a row.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies +1 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz.
Line: Nuggets by 5.5.
9:00 PM ET (Game 713-714)
The sharps have driven up this line, so there’s not as much value as the Nuggets as there was when they opened at -3, but I still like them. They’re very hot, having won and covered their previous four. They’ll also want revenge on the Jazz for beating them in the middle of December.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Nuggets -5.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 6.
7:00 PM ET (Game 805-806)
This is a huge game for the Timberwolves. They’ll want to do everything in their power to beat San Antonio. The Spurs, meanwhile, have to play tomorrow night, so they won’t be focused for a team they’ve already beaten this year. The sharps like Minnesota, and so do I.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves +6 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Houston Rockets at Washington Bullets.
Line: Rockets by 2.
7:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)
I’m joining the sharps in picking against the Rockets again. As I mentioned yesterday, Houston hasn’t been playing well lately, as the team hasn’t covered the spread since Dec. 26. Washington, on the other hand, had been performing above expectations prior to last night’s blowout loss at Indiana. I’ll chalk that up as a mulligan.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Bullets +2 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Houston Rockets at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Rockets by 2.5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 805-806)
I’m going with the Hawks as a home underdog again. I feel like their victory over the Pacers could spark them going forward. The Rockets, meanwhile, aren’t playing their best basketball right now, as they haven’t covered the spread since Dec. 26. They also play tomorrow night, so they’ll be worried about that. The sharps are on Atlanta, and so am I.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Hawks +2.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Miami Heat at New York Knicks.
Line: Heat by 8.
8:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)
I usually like to take home underdogs, but I’m going with a road favorite tonight. The sharps are as well. Despite equal betting action, this spread has risen from -7 to -8 or -8.5. The reason the wise guys are pounding the Heat is because the Knicks are dealing with some sort of illness. Tyson Chandler (doubtful), Kenyon Martin and Andrea Bargniani are all sick. Miami is healthy and has a big advantage here.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Heat -8 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Indiana Pacers at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Pacers by 5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 707-708)
The Hawks have been waiting for this game all year. Indiana knocked them out of the playoffs last spring, so they want revenge. The Pacers, meanwhile, just played last night, so they could be a bit tired. The public is pounding Indiana, while the sharps are all over the Hawks. That’s why this spread has dropped from -5 to -4.5 or -4, though it’s still +5 at Bovada.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Hawks +5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Spurs by 6.
8:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)
The public is pounding San Antonio like there’s no tomorrow, but the sharps are picking the home underdog. Why? Well, this is a tough spot for the Spurs, who beat the Clippers in a big game recently and have to worry about the Mavericks tomorrow night. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies, who are 5-3 in their previous eight contests, don’t play again until Friday. They’re going to put everything into this game because they hate the Spurs, who have already beaten them twice this year.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies +6 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 6.5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 811-812)
The Mavericks are coming off an emotional loss against the Clippers, while the Knicks have seemed to gain some positive momentum after beating the Spurs. The sharps are on New York, and I will be as well.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Knicks +6.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Cleveland Cavaliers at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Nets by 6.5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)
The Cavaliers are getting a ton of sharp action. The line movement has to confuse the public, but the wise guys apparently don’t care about Kyrie Irving’s absence. The Nets, who put all of their energy into Thursday’s win over the Thunder, are favored by way too much for a team that’s just 2-6 in its previous eight games. Brooklyn will be flat for this contest.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Cavaliers +6.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
New Orleans Pelicans at Boston Celtics.
Line: Pelicans by 3.5.
7:30 PM ET (Game 803-804)
There’s some sharp money on the Celtics tonight, and that seems to be the right side. I don’t know who the Pelicans are to be laying 3.5 points on the road when they’re just 1-6 in their previous seven away games. New Orleans has to worry about battling Indiana tomorrow night, so it may not be completely focused.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Celtics +3.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Memphis Grizzlies at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 5.5.
9:00 PM ET (Game 513-514)
The Grizzlies have struggled this year, but they’ve played better lately, having won three of five. The sharps have taken noticed of this and have pounded this line down. The public is all over Phoenix, predictably, as casual bettors are not taking into account that the Suns could be flat off their big victory against the Clippers.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies +5.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Philadelphia 76ers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 9.
9:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)
As bad as the Sixers have been, the Nuggets don’t deserve to be favored by this much. They’ve been terrible lately and happen to be coming off a very crushing loss against the Heat. Philadelphia has enjoyed extra rest, so it’ll have the stamina to endure Denver’s thin-air environment. The sharps are also on the Sixers.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: 76ers +9 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Portland Trailblazers at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 6.
8:00 PM ET (Game 513-514)
I’m once again going against the Blazers, who are in a major funk right now. The sharps have pounded the Thunder up from -4.5 to -6, and I still think there’s value with an Oklahoma City team that will be very motivated to avenge a loss to Portland earlier in the season. I did some research, and the Thunder is 111-71 against the spread in revenge games. That makes sense, as you’re getting Kevin Durant at his best.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Thunder -6 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Portland Trailblazers at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Trailblazers by 2.
8:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)
The public is pounding the hell out of the Blazers, yet this spread is moving in New Orleans’ favor. The sharps are all over the Pelicans, and for good reason. First of all, New Orleans is a “bet on” team right now because it’s better than its record indicares. Second, Portland is coming off a very emotional loss to Miami, so it won’t be up for this “inferior” opponent.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Pelicans +2 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Warriors by 7.
6:00 PM ET (Game 803-804)
Road favorites usually aren’t sharp plays, but that’s the case in this scenario. The wise guy shave bet up the Warriors from -5.5 to -7, and for good reason. Golden State is on fire and happens to be coming off rest. It has nothing to look back on and nothing to look forward to. The Cavaliers, however, just played a tough game last night and could be tired.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Warriors -7 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Charlotte Hornets at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 6.
7:30 PM ET (Game 509-510)
You may expect me to fade the Hornets after they suffered a close loss to the Thunder last night, but I’m going the other way. The sharps are all over Charlotte, and it’s easy to see why. The Hawks have played three overtimes in their previous two games, and the most recent one proved costly, as Al Horford was lost for the year. Atlanta also has to worry about playing tomorrow night, so with all of these things going against the host, I’ll take the points.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Hornets/Bobcats +6 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 3.
8:00 PM ET (Game 811-812)
The Pelicans are the best side I can find today. They’ve been on and off this season, but they’ve seemed to find themselves after nearly beating Portland and achieving a victory after that. The Nuggets, meanwhile, have been smacked around by superior opponents recently and they have to worry about playing Memphis tomorrow night, so they could be flat and unfocused for this contest. The sharps are all over New Orleans.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Pelicans -3 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Atlanta Hawks at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Hawks by 3.
7:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)
I haven’t made NBA selections thus far because I wanted to concentrate more on my NFL Picks. However, football season is winding down, so I’ll be posting NBA picks almost every day going forward.
I’m starting off with the Cavaliers +3. The sharps are all over this home dog, quite possibly because the Hawks suffered an unbelivably emotional loss against the Heat earlier this week. I can’t imagine Atlanta getting up for Cleveland.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Pick: Cavaliers +3 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
NFL Picks - Nov. 23
2025 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 20
NFL Power Rankings - Nov. 19
Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 4
