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NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 7 matchup
Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · Line: Seahawks -2.5 (Circa)
Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.
| Chiefs | Seahawks | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Power rank ◀ | #8 |
| 5-0 | Record (straight up) ◀ | 3-3 |
| 3-2 | Against the spread ◀ | 1-4-1 |
| 1-1on the road | ATS on the road / at home ◀ | 0-2-1at home |
| 0-0as underdog | ATS as favorite / underdog n/a | 1-4-1as favorite |
| +4.7pts per game | Avg. cover margin ◀ | -0.8pts per game |
| +57 | Point differential ◀ | +22 |
| 24.2avg. opp. rank | Strength of schedule so far ▶ | 15.7avg. opp. rank |
| #3 | Net EPA rank ◀ | #11 |
Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Weeks 2-6, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Chiefs offense | Seahawks defense | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | EPA per play ▶ | #4 |
| #8 | Dropback EPA ▶ | #3 |
| #3 | Rush EPA ◀ | #9 |
| #1 | Success rate ◀ | #2 |
| #826.1% of dropbacks | Pressure rate allowed vs. pressure rate ▶ | #236.9% of dropbacks |
| Chiefs defense | Seahawks offense | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | EPA per play ◀ | #21 |
| #15 | Dropback EPA ◀ | #20 |
| #7 | Rush EPA ◀ | #18 |
| #6 | Success rate ◀ | #20 |
| #1529.9% of dropbacks | Pressure rate vs. pressure rate allowed ◀ | #3136.7% of dropbacks |
Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
Kansas City ChiefsCHIEFS 31, Broncos 10 (KC -3). Outside of one early drive, the Chiefs struggled in the first half with some shaky play from Patrick Mahomes. Kenneth Walker wore down the Broncos in the second half, and Denver could do nothing offensively with Bo Nix not scrambling at all. 392-176 KC, 5.9-3.7 KC
CHIEFS 33, Colts 30 (KC -6.5). This was a back-and-forth game where barely any defense was played. The Chiefs won with two possessions in overtime compared to the Colts' one. 523-329 KC, 6.7-5.2 KC
Chiefs 24, DOLPHINS 10 (MIA +11.5). The Chiefs were up 14-7 when they began making mistakes. The Dolphins were able to hang around despite losing DeVon Achane, but the Chiefs eventually scored two late touchdowns to put the game out of reach. 334-329 KC, 6.8-4.9 KC
Chiefs 30, RAIDERS 27 (LV +4.5). This was a back-and-forth game where the Raiders took the lead with five minutes to go. The Raiders fumbled a punt return following a late Chiefs touchdown, which basically ended the game. 437-399 LV, 6.9-5.6 KC
CHIEFS 22, Chargers 6 (KC -8). Justin Herbert had no chance battling Kansas City's relentless pressure. The Chargers had the ball on five occasions in Chiefs territory, but could only manage six points, thanks to a field goal after getting to the 1-yard line and a lost fumble. 422-259 KC, 7.4-4.1 KC
Seattle SeahawksSEAHAWKS 13, Patriots 10 (SEA -3). Sam Darnold got hurt on the opening drive, and the Seahawks couldn't do anything offensively until the second half when the Patriots fell asleep at a late hour. A.J. Brown got hurt, while Drake Maye and Romeo Doubs made numerous mistakes.
Seahawks 31, CARDINALS 7 (ARZ +4). The Seahawks hit a big play to Jaxon Smith-Njigba to start the game, and then the Cardinals tied. Arizona could do nothing in the second half due to immense Seattle pressure, and Drew Lock once again hit Smith-Njigba twice more for touchdowns. 381-151 SEA, 5.7-3.2 SEA
REDSKINS 33, Seahawks 31 (WAS +7.5). The Seahawks gave the Redskins two free scores with a Jadarian Price fumble and a Sam Darnold pick-six. The Seahawks constantly trailed, with Darnold getting a bunch of yardage in garbage time. The Seahawks had a chance at the end, but couldn't get off the field. 437-258 SEA, 6.8-4.0 SEA
SEAHAWKS 30, Chargers 27 (SEA -7). The Seahawks led 30-13, with Justin Herbert doing nothing the whole game before a back-door push where the Chargers were able to get scores on ridiculous plays. 301-286 LAC, 4.9-4.4 SEA
49ers 32, SEAHAWKS 29 (SEA -3). The Seahawks committed a number of mistakes throughout the game, giving the 49ers plenty of scoring opportunities. Mike Evans took advantage with a dominant performance. The Seahawks still had a chance to win, but Jaxon Smith-Njigba dropped a pass in field goal range. 269-251 SF, 4.8-4.2 SF
BRONCOS 17, Seahawks 14 (DEN +2.5). The Broncos led 14-3 for a chunk of the game. Sam Darnold saw lots of pressure and couldn't move the ball for a while, but converted two scoring drives at the end. However, an interception in overtime gave the Broncos a field goal to win.
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
All Week 7 matchups · Kansas City Chiefs team page · Seattle Seahawks team page
