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2012 Fantasy Football: My Round-by-Round Strategy




Aug. 21, 2012.

The following is a round-by-round blueprint of how I plan on drafting in my fantasy football leagues this summer.

Keep in mind that depending on the circumstances, you might not be able to completely follow this strategy once your draft begins. There could be a run on a certain position; an unexpected player could fall; or another owner may take one of the key sleepers early. You have to be able to play a lot of it by ear, but having a strategy going into the draft helps a lot.

Also, most of this assumes a 12-man league with two running backs, two receivers and a flex (ESPN standard). If your league makes you start two quarterbacks or three receivers, you'll need to adjust.

Follow me @walterfootball for updates.


Drafting Early: Picks 1-3:

ROUND 1: If I'm lucky enough to draw a top-three pick, I'm going to take the best running back available between Ray Rice, Arian Foster and LeSean McCoy. The top player in my 2012 Fantasy Football Top 250 Cheat Sheet is McCoy, but it's close between the three. Take whomever you like best.

ROUNDS 2-3: I'm always a fan of taking the best player available. Based on what I've seen in the mock drafts I've done - click here for my most recent 2012 Fantasy Football Mock Draft - I should be able to get players like Greg Jennings, Matthew Stafford, Hakeem Nicks or Ahmad Bradshaw here.

I won't be afraid to go WR-WR. Unlike running backs, wide receivers are generally dependable. Thus, if Ser Stafford is off the board, I'd probably go with Jennings and Nicks to complement my elite running back.

I should note that if I'm in a league that only starts two running backs and two receivers (no flex), I don't think I'd go WR-WR unless they were the top players on the board by far.

ROUNDS 4-5: I wouldn't wait until the end of Round 6 for a quarterback, so I'd think about grabbing someone like Eli Manning, Matt Ryan, Philip Rivers or Tony Romo in Round 5. My other selection would be used on the top player available. With luck, Ahmad Bradshaw might make it here. I've seen him fall into the fourth round of several mocks. Otherwise, players like Percy Harvin, Fred Jackson, Jordy Nelson and Steve Johnson would work.

ROUNDS 6-7: If, for some reason, I don't have a quarterback yet, I'm definitely taking one in these two rounds; waiting until the bottom of Round 8 is way too risky.

If I already have a signal-caller, then I'm just filling out my starting lineup and top backup positions. Jeremy Maclin, Antonio Brown and Demaryius Thomas are wide receiver options. Running back choices include Mark Ingram, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Willis McGahee, Stevan Ridley and Kevin Smith.

ROUNDS 8-9: I'm taking the best running back, wide receiver or tight end available with these two picks. I would love it if I could get Kevin Smith or Darrius Heyward-Bey this late. Malcom Floyd, Torrey Smith, Jonathan Stewart, Titus Young and Donald Brown work as well.

ROUNDS 10-11: I'm taking a tight end here if I haven't already (Brent Celek has been available in mocks). I'm also picking a backup quarterback here if I don't have one.

If I still have a pick left over, I'll be looking at the top running back or receiver available. I'd love to get Evan Royster, C.J. Spiller, Ryan Williams, Greg Little or Kendall Hunter.

ROUNDS 12-13: Nothing but high upside players for me. Check out my 2012 Fantasy Football Late-Round Sleepers (will be posted soon) for a list of players to take. Oh, and don't take a defense or kicker yet. That's just lazy.

ROUNDS 14-16: Round 14 is my final skill-position player - a super-high upside long shot. Round 15 is my defense. Round 16 is my kicker.

As far as defenses are concerned, I love playing matchups. Go to my 2012 Fantasy Football Defense Rankings for details.





Drafting Middle: Picks 4-7:

ROUND 1: If the top three backs (listed above) are off the board, I'm going for the following guys in this order: Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Calvin Johnson and Chris Johnson. Move the two Johnsons ahead of Brady if it's a PPR league.

*** The following assumes I don't take Chris Johnson with the No. 4-7 Pick (if I go with Johnson, it'll be the same as Drafting Early):

ROUNDS 2-3: I'd love to pair Calvin Johnson or my elite quarterback with Andre Johnson. He's been available in the middle of Round 2 of several mock drafts I've seen. Greg Jennings is also an option. Once again, I'm not going to shy away from the WR-WR strategy because they're safe.

Other options include Rob Gronkowski, Maurice-Jones Drew and Matthew Stafford (Calvin version, obviously).

As for Round 3, Ahmad Bradshaw should be there if I haven't grabbed a running back yet. Otherwise, I might be looking at Hakeem Nicks, A.J. Green or Victor Cruz.

ROUNDS 4-5: Best available running back, receiver or Antonio Gates in Round 4. Dez Bryant, Percy Harvin, Fred Jackson and Gates are all strong options at this spot.

If I went the Calvin route, I'm taking a quarterback in Round 5 unless most of the teams drafting after me have already taken a one, in which case it'll be safe to wait until Round 6. Then again, if you know someone in your league is a jerk who spends two early picks on quarterbacks, I'll play it safe.

THE REST: The rest of the draft will follow Drafting Early.





Drafting Late: Picks 8-12:

ROUNDS 1-2: This assumes that McCoy, Rice, Foster, Rodgers, Brady and the two Johnsons are off the board. Otherwise, I'm going with them and following Drafting Middle.

I'm probably going WR-WR here, perhaps Larry Fitzgerald and then Julio Jones. If I can only get one, my second-round pick might be Jones-Drew, Andre Johnson, Jennings or Gronkowski. If I'm in a 3-WR league, it'll definitely be two wideouts. If it's a 2-WR, no flex league, however, then only one choice will be used on a wideout.

ROUNDS 3-4 (Standard): I'm applying the same scenario as Drafting Middle without Johnson. Yes, I'd consider a third wideout here to use as a flex or WR3. For example, my top four picks in an experts' fantasy league (PPR, 3-WR) went: Fitzgerald, Andre Johnson, Ahmad Bradshaw, Brandon Marshall. No one can beat my receiving corps.

Fred Jackson, Harvin and Gates are other players I'd target.

ROUNDS 5-6 (standard league): I'm once again applying the same scenario as Drafting Middle without Johnson. I'm also definitely taking a quarterback at this juncture if I haven't already. Remember what I said earlier about looking at the teams ahead of you to see if they've taken a signal-caller already.

ROUNDS 5-6 (3-WR league): I'm taking my third receiver here unless I'm forced to reach. With my other pick, I'd go with either a quarterback or running back, depending on who happens to be available. Remember to check my 2012 Fantasy Football Top 250 Cheat Sheet.

ROUNDS 5-6 (2-WR, no flex league): I should have one quarterback, 2-3 running backs, two receivers and maybe a tight end after these six picks.

THE REST: The rest of the draft will follow the Drafting Early strategy.




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03-10-2013 02:20 am xxx.xxx.xxx9.43 (total posts: 16)
3     4

Cody 09-03-2012 06:37 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.243 (total posts: 1)
13     7

Is this a good team for a 6 team league?

QB- Tom Brady
RB- Ray Rice
RB- Trent Richarson
WR- Andre Johnson
WR- Hakeem Nicks
TE- Aaron Hernandez
FLEX- AJ Green
K- Matt Bryant
D- Patriots

Bench-
QB- Matt Ryan
RB- Ahmad Bradshaw
RB- Doug Martin
WR- Miles Austin
WR- Brandon Lloyd
WR- Malcom Floyd
TE- Jason Witten

Im worried about my RB situation, should I trade for one? Im a Patriots fan so I have hope that Patriots defense could do something this year.
Gavin 08-31-2012 09:17 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.90 (total posts: 1)
9     9

Walt, thanks for your advice in this article!
In a 10-team league, I just drafted:

Romo
RRice
Bradshaw
H Nicks
G Jennings
A Gates
Maclin (flex)

Bench:
Garcon/N Washington/T Young
C Benson/M Leshoure
RG3
emwa 08-28-2012 02:49 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.134 (total posts: 1)
7     10

am i in trouble with mjd??

10 player ppr league

qb-tony romo
rb-mjd
rb-willis mcgahee
wr-andre johnson
wr-greg jennings
flex-mike wallace
defense-49ers

bench
ridley
donald brown
rg3
ben tate

bub 08-28-2012 12:55 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.56 (total posts: 1)
9     10

Qb- RG III

Rbs- foster and McFadden

Wr- nicks and Reggie Wayne/bowe

Te- Antonio gates

Wr/te/rb- Ahmad Bradshaw

12 team ppr... foster fell to me at 6
Jacked_Up 08-25-2012 08:56 am xxx.xxx.xxx.205 (total posts: 1)
7     9

@Sir Isaac Newton. I think so because the second tier QBs, Eli, Phillip Rivers, Romo, Matt Ryan are going to put up numbers not far behind Newton but you can get these guys in the 5th round or so.
Sir Issac Cam Newton 08-23-2012 03:03 am xxx.xxx.xxx0.47 (total posts: 1)
7     219

Is it terrible to take Cam Newton in the first two rounds with picks 8-12???
Stacked at WR 08-22-2012 06:37 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.174 (total posts: 3)
19     9

@ff

I love watching guys reach for RBs while I get 2 top-5 WRs and a top 10 WR as my flex.

I'm with you.
Tommer 08-22-2012 02:07 am xxx.xxx.xxx.243 (total posts: 1)
15     15

9th pick in 12 man standard scorIng.

QB- Michael Vick
RB- Darren McFadden
RB- Trent Richardson
WR- AJ Green
WR- Mike Wallace
WR - Percy Harvin
TE- Jared Cook

Bench
Donald Brown
Kevin Smith
Darrius Heyward Bey
Greg Little
Evan Royster
Montario Hardesty
Josh Freeman
ff 08-21-2012 11:59 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.193 (total posts: 1)
297     17

Too funny
ff 08-21-2012 11:13 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.119 (total posts: 1)
114     234

Just throwing this out for conversation. I'm a big fan of rbs in fantasy football. But if I have the first pick in a ten team league and I take my top rb, and the other nine guys think they they have to take two rbs in the first two rounds does that leave me Rodgers and megatron for my next two picks? Just wondering. Don't sit there and hit dislike 60 times in 60 seconds. Like I said this is just for conversation. I think the guys who have the first three picks want people to take rbs so they can have the top wrs to go with their top rb.
Jones'n for Julio 08-21-2012 05:18 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.248 (total posts: 1)
34     25

8th Pick, 12 man league, Standard Scoring

QB: Matt Ryan
RB: DeMarco Murray
RB: Amhad Bradshaw
WR: Larry Fitzgerald
WR: Julio Jones
WR/RB: Dez Bryant
TE: Jermain Gresham

Bench:
Jonathan Stewart
Ben Tate
Mark Ingram
James Starks
Piere Garcon
Alshon Jeffery
Stacked at WR 08-21-2012 04:30 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.174 (total posts: 3)
12     97

Sometimes I don't even pick TE, K, or DEF. I just keep picking guys like J. Baldwin, Nate Washington, and stud RB handcuffs (Dwyer, Ronnie Brown). Then I have trade bait and/or insurance. Then I just hit the waiver wire before the 1st game for a decent TE, K, and DEF
Stacked at WR 08-21-2012 04:25 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.174 (total posts: 3)
13     36

@ all who dislike WR WR

Heck, I've been goiing WR with my first THREE picks and am rocking. This is typical in a 14 team league picking @ #11:

WR = Fitz, Julio, Percy (Antonio Brown and Malcom Floyd as reserves)

RB = McGahee, Bradshaw (K. Smith and Gerhart as reserves)

QB = Matt Ryan, Schaub

TE = Pettigrew, Celek

K = Henery

DEF = #3 or #4 1st week matchup.

This lineup scores fantasy points, plain and simple.

No stud at RB but these guys produce. Be ready to pick up the likes of Kalil Bell, etal. when studs go down.
Matt 08-21-2012 02:53 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.235 (total posts: 1)
12     12

In a 12 team 1/2 ppr league that starts 1qb, 2rb, 3 WR

At 5th pick, do you go with brady or calvin?

3 WRs 12 team means 36 WRs are starting each week




More 2012 Fantasy Football Articles:
2012 Fantasy Football: Home

2012 Fantasy Football Rankings:
2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: Quarterbacks - 9/2 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: Running Backs - 9/3 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: Wide Receivers - 9/2 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: Tight Ends - 9/2 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: Kickers - 6/2 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: Defenses - 6/3 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Downloadable Spreadsheets - 9/2 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Auction Values - 7/28 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings (Re-Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings (Dynasty) - 5/6 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Playoff Rankings - 1/2 (Walt)
Week 17 Fantasy Football Rankings - 12/27 (Walt)
Week 17 Fantasy Football Injury Reports - 12/27 (Walt)
Week 17 Fantasy Football Start Em, Sit Em - 12/27 (Walt)
Week 16 Fantasy Football Start Em, Sit Em - 12/20 (Walt)
WalterFootball.com $1,000 Contest on FanDuel.com - 11/4

2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets:
2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Traditional Scoring - 9/4 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: PPR Scoring - 9/4 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Touchdown Scoring - 9/4 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: 2-QB Format - 9/4 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Traditional Scoring PRINTABLE - 9/4 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: PPR Scoring PRINTABLE - 9/4 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Touchdown Scoring PRINTABLE - 9/4 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: 2-QB Format PRINTABLE - 9/4 (Walt)

2012 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts:
2012 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft - 8/23 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Mock Draft - 8/16 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum 2-QB PPR Mock Draft - 8/9 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Auction Mock Draft - 8/2 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum PPR Mock Draft - 7/27 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum 2-QB Mock Draft - 7/17 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum Standard 14-Team Mock Draft - 7/12 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum PPR Mock Draft - 7/6 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum Touchdown-Format Mock Draft - 7/4 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum Standard Mock Draft - 7/3 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum PPR Mock Draft - 6/22 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum Mock Draft - 6/14 (Walt)
The Four-Man PPR Fantasy Mock Draft - 5/18 (Walt)

2012 Fantasy Football Articles:
2012 Fantasy Football Stock: Training Camp, OTAs - 9/3 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Preseason Stock - 8/31 (Walt)
2012 NFL Preseason Recap, Fantasy Football Notes - 8/31 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football: Quarterback Targets - 8/31 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football: 20 Sleepers - 8/28 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football: Round-by-Round Strategy - 8/21 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Busts - 6/5 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Sleepers (Early-Middle Rounds) - 6/5 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football All-Value Team - 5/26 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Stock Report: Quarterbacks - 5/8 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Stock Report: Running Backs - 5/8 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Stock Report: Wide Receivers - 5/8 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Stock Report: Quarterbacks, Tight Ends - 4/3 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Stock Report: Running Backs - 4/3 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Stock Report: Wide Receivers - 4/3 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football: First-Round Bust History - 2/17 (Walt)
Running Backs with Most Carries - 2/17 (Walt)




Fantasy Football Rankings - July 31


2016 NFL Mock Draft - July 24


2015 NFL Mock Draft - July 23


2015 NBA Mock Draft - July 1


NFL Free Agents


NFL Picks - Feb. 2



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