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2012 Fantasy Football Draft: Forum Fantasy PPR Mock Draft




July 6, 2012.

This is a 2012 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft I took part in with 11 other members of the forum. As usual, I'll have analysis of my picks, as well as the best and worst selections from each two rounds.

Just a heads up that we have 2012 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts every Wednesday evening. Check out the fantasy mock draft thread for details.

Oh, and you can see our chat log here.




MY PICKS, ROUNDS 1-2: I've said this many times this summer. I'm not going to reach for a running back at the end of the first round because after the first four or five, all of the backs are really risky this season. You can't win your fantasy league in the first couple of rounds, but you can certainly lose it by drafting busts.

I'd say the two guys I obtained are as safe as you can get. Larry Fitzgerald produces every year, while Wes Welker is a PPR stud.

BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 1-2: Most of the backs chosen in Round 2 carry high risk. Darren Sproles doesn't. He could easily catch 80 passes again. The next safest player at the position, despite being a rookie, is Trent Richardson.

WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 1-2: I liked Bundy's second pick, but I wasn't a fan of Drew Brees at ninth overall. He could decline a bit because of Bountygate.

The worst selection of these two rounds was easily Adrian Peterson, as Marshawn No Lynch predicted I would say in the chat. Peterson's not worth the risk in the second round, especially in a PPR league because he's not utilized in the passing game.



MY PICKS, ROUNDS 3-4: I was pretty happy that Matthew Stafford dropped to 3.12. He's good enough to be chosen at the end of the second round. And yeah, still no running back. All of the ones available were reaches, and Percy Harvin was the top player available in my 2012 Fantasy Football PPR Cheat Sheet. Harvin would be a tremendous flex player if this were a real team.

BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 3-4: It's funny because Mocknulty didn't want to draft Ahmad Bradshaw; his computer froze, so it automatically gave him the Giants' running back. Bradshaw was a steal at 3.07, but Mocknulty wanted a receiver because he went with Maurice Jones-Drew and Darren McFadden in the first two rounds.

Mocknulty struck again in Round 4 with Cam Newton, who dropped for some reason. I also liked the Roddy White, Hakeem Nicks, Fred Jackson and Julio Jones choices.

WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 3-4: Team No. 4 was a random computer. I usually don't mind having one random per mock draft because there's always one stupid owner in every fantasy league. Taking Steven Jackson at 3.04 is the mark of a stupid owner. And speaking of decrepit running backs, Frank Gore is way too injury-prone to grab in the third round.




MY PICKS, ROUNDS 5-6: And the running back parade begins. Roy Helu will probably start for the Redskins, at least at first, while Jonathan Stewart is utilized much more in the passing game than DeAngelo Williams. It's safe to say though that I have the weakest running backs in this league. That can change quickly though; I'll remind you that players like Helu, DeMarco Murray and C.J. Spiller (and in some leagues, Michael Bush) were all available on the waiver wire last year.

BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 5-6: The five receivers chosen in Round 5, especially Miles Austin-Jones and Dwayne Bowe, all provide quality value. Jahvid Best was a nice gamble by Sancho at 6.02. Meanwhile, Jason Witten was a steal at 6.05.

WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 5-6: I hope G.O.A.T. drafts a strong QB2 because he'll need him in the 4-6 games QB Dog Killer will undoubtedly miss this year.

Two picks I didn't get in the sixth round were Donald Brown and Jacob Tamme. Brown just isn't a very good player, while Tamme needs Peyton Manning to be close to 100 percent.



MY PICKS, ROUNDS 7-8: More running backs! Ben Tate will be very useful if Arian Foster goes down, while Toby Gerhart can be started until Adrian Peterson gets healthy.

BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 7-8: I was really hoping James Starks would fall to me, as I considered him atop the sixth round. Darrius Heyward-Bey was a steal at 8.11. And Willis McGahee is a starting running back, so he went way too late at 8.09. Yeah, I can't believe I just gave the damn computer a best pick.

WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 7-8: Peyton Hillis went two rounds too early. He's stuck behind Jamaal Charles. I also can't understand why Ronnie Hillman went before McGahee. John Fox hates utilizing rookies, so I don't expect Hillman to see too much action until 2013.




MY PICKS, ROUNDS 9-10: Santana Moss has looked great in OTAs, so I'm happy with him as my fourth receiver. And Mikel Leshoure has some upside as a backup running back. He's coming off a torn Achilles, but he'll get the carries once Jahvid Best inevitably gets hurt.

BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 9-10: I was really hoping Titus Young would fall to me, but that didn't happen. Stevan Ridley has some upside as a mid-round running back, as does David Wilson. Jay Cutler is a starting-caliber quarterback obtained in the middle of Round 9.

WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 9-10: Did Brian Quick just get picked before Michael Floyd, Justin Blackmon and Kendall Wright? Why? I don't like Santonio Holmes at all, but the worst pick in these two rounds was easily Chad Ochocinco. He stinks.



MY PICKS, ROUNDS 11-12: Ugh, I hate it when owners start taking their backup tigth end in Round 10 or 11. That left me with Tony Gonzalez as my starter. I considered Jason Witten at 5.11/6.01, so I probably should have selected him then. Matt Schaub, meanwhile, is a quality fantasy quarterback who can start if Matthew Stafford goes down.

BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 11-12: Robert Griffin could be a steal in Round 11 if he's anything like Cam Newton. I would have gladly picked him at 11.12/12.01. I also like Shane Vereen's upside as a PPR running back.

WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 11-12: Justin Blackmon will likely be a waste of a selection because of Blaine Gabbert. Mike Williams is a bum, while Doug Baldwin doesn't have much upside.




MY PICKS, ROUNDS 13-15: Top fantasy kicker. Score. The Lions battle the Rams at home in Week 1. Kyle Rudolph has some upside as a backup tight end despite the addition of John Carlson.

BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 13-15: Of the four consecutive quarterbacks chosen in Round 13, Jake Locker has the most fantasy upside by far. And speaking of upside, Vincent Brown, Michel Floyd, Kevin Smith and Rashad Jennings offer exactly that.

WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 13-15: The quarterback who offers the least fantasy upside is Kevin Kolb, who will probably be injured by October - if he even wins the starting job. I'd rather have John Skelton on my fantasy roster. Meanwhile, Cedric Benson's not even in the league anymore, but I'm sure Mocknulty was on auto-draft at that point.




My Fantasy Team:

QB - Matthew Stafford, Lions
RB - Roy Helu, Redskins
RB - Jonathan Stewart, Panthers
WR - Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals
WR - Wes Welker, Patriots
RB/WR - Percy Harvin, Vikings
TE - Tony Gonzalez, Falcons
K - Sebastian Janikowski, Raiders
DEF - Lions Defense

BN - Ben Tate, Texans RB
BN - Toby Gerhart, Vikings RB
BN - Santana Moss, Redskins WR
BN - Mikel Leshoure, Lions RB
BN - Matt Schaub, Texans QB
BN - Kyle Rudolph, Vikings TE

As usual, my running backs suck. But you know what? Most teams' running backs will suck this year, so I'm more than happy to be stacked elsewhere, and that's certainly the case at quarterback and wide receiver. And who knows? Maybe Roy Helu will go off in Mike Shanahan's system, or maybe Adrian Peterson won't be able to stay healthy (opening the door for Toby Gerhart) or maybe Arian Foster will suffer an injury, making Ben Tate an RB1. Or perhaps I'll pick up a running back on the waiver wire. Either way, my team will always be competitive because of Matthew Stafford and the wideouts.






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Andre 01-03-2014 12:00 am xxx.xxx.xxx2.12 (total posts: 1)
3     2

You mean place to play? Well, in the real world, anywhere there is a mritaiune battle! Epic ones like Warhammer 40k, D&D Mass Combat Rules or Battletech. I love seeing the elaborate sets. I love to paint mritaiunes (good old lead). Haven't done it forever. Never got into Warhammer 40k because I couldn't afford their over-priced plastic.When I was gaming, we would play at the comic book store. They had an upstairs loft area that overlooked the shop. Very appropriate setting.
SS 08-09-2012 11:38 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.157 (total posts: 1)
11     11

Look at it this way...next year you will have the first pick.
KP 07-14-2012 07:41 am xxx.xxx.xxx4.92 (total posts: 1)
9     29

Actually Jacob Tamme is on the Broncos so he does have Peyton Manning.
Dude 07-12-2012 09:49 am xxx.xxx.xxx1.83 (total posts: 1)
10     9

Anymore Walt, a good PPR league allows you to also use a TE as your flex option, which makes grabbing a solid 2nd very doable! I'll grab a 2nd TE like Hernandez, Finley, Vernon Davis, or even Witten every time before I take some scrub WR/RB who has nothing but 'upside'! Get with the times Walt!
Judd 07-11-2012 02:06 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.207 (total posts: 1)
9     9

Wow, these guys are harsh on you, Walt. While I DO think you should have taken Redman instead of Harvin, otherwise I think you had a solid draft from the 12th position for a PPR league. The huge points you will get from your top 3 picks will offset your mediocre RB totals, and you team will be competitive week in and week out. Winning it all might be a long-shot, though.
Jeff 07-09-2012 05:30 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.234 (total posts: 1)
11     10

Walter,

I enjoy your website very much. I love your player ranking and how you break down each player for PPR and non PPR. I actually depend on your site for my fantasy football knowledge. That said, WHAT IN THE WORLD are you thinking with this team. Your first pick I can understand. Your second pick I dislike but can live with. Your 3rd and 4TH picks are MIND BOGGLING! You missed out on some big time bargain wide receivers with your picks in rounds 5-9..but you had to because you left yourself no choice. I actually hate your team and question my dependence on your website after seeing your mock drafts. I have always valued your knowledge, but after seeing your mocks...I would love for you to be in my money league haha.

Jeff
bill 07-09-2012 01:28 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.90 (total posts: 1)
11     10

If anyone is interested in a Fantasy Football League for Money, please email me
xxbasil3xx@aim.com
Jimmy 07-07-2012 12:32 am xxx.xxx.xxx.109 (total posts: 1)
22     12

Your team sucks
Markb 07-06-2012 06:53 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.39 (total posts: 1)
19     12

Walt, dude...you can't win if you don't get out of the gate fast. You are out thinking the simple basics. Your strategy works better in a much deeper league. There has to be better balance in your approach. You screwed this one up dude. Trade a WR now for a decent RB, or you will be kicking yourself in the butt. Helu and Stewart...what were you thinking?
Erik 07-06-2012 11:28 am xxx.xxx.xxx1.82 (total posts: 1)
20     14

I agree that its a terrible drafting strategy. The Harvin pick was a waste pick for sure. Shouldve grabbed redman or even reggie bush who is solid in ppr. GOAT is ridiculously stacked..Mccoy and Murray 1&2 rb with white and colston..GOAT should dominate
Hoodmorning 07-06-2012 10:59 am xxx.xxx.xxx.125 (total posts: 1)
19     12

I don't think I have ever drafted a team quite that bad. As you said you can't win a draft in the early rounds, but you can lose one, and my good sir, you just lost this fantasy league. In PPR you HAVE to target a 3 down back in the early rounds. It is required, lest you be utterly screwed by the guys who got Lesean Mccoy or even rookies like Trent Richardson and Doug Martin. And don't say that they have so much worse receivers when you can grab guys like antonio brown and miles austin in the middle rounds.

Pairing your crappy RBs with studs like welker and fitzgerald will get less overall points than a combo of richardson or mccoy and martin or bradshaw would with antonio brown and percy harvin. Two great players who have been going relatively late. BECAUSE its a crappy RB class and a really really deep WR class, your only option is to get at the very least one RB in the first few rounds, and you can still get capable WRs later on. Especially in this draft class.
RB's are overrated in PPR 07-06-2012 10:38 am xxx.xxx.xxx8.60 (total posts: 1)
12     14

I've won 2 of 5 leagues and been in the top 3 in the other 3 over the last two years by concentrating on WR and QB in the early rounds. My rationale is just that all RB's are too risky for the first 3 or 4 rounds because they get injured so much more than other players. The other reason being that you can predict what RB's will be productive week to week if you have a stable of 5 or 6 decent ones. You cannot predict what WR's will be productive (against a weak defense) because with WR's the studs always produce and everyone else is inconsistent. With RB's, you can expect 10-15 points a week from a mediocre starter against a weak defense, plus you are absolutely stacked everywhere else. In PPR, not in other formats, it really does work.
Z 07-06-2012 09:28 am xxx.xxx.xxx05.9 (total posts: 2)
15     15

I don't have a problem with taking two clutch WRs in Fitz and Welker to start it off, or even Stafford at the end of the 3rd. But how do you take Percy Harvin when you already have two elite WRs and no RBs yet!!?? You gotta take someone like Isaac Redman in that spot. That's your last chance at a decent RB to start. Instead 2 backup RBs as your starters...IDK, I can't draft like that
Ben 07-06-2012 09:18 am xxx.xxx.xxx05.9 (total posts: 2)
16     14

Why would you take Percy Harvin over someone like Isaac Redman, especially when you have Larry and Welker and no RBs yet???
Guy LeDouche 07-06-2012 09:13 am xxx.xxx.xxx.118 (total posts: 1)
25     14

Wow, I appreciate you showing everyone how not to draft a winning team. Your teams are consistently awful. The whole running backs are no good this year so I'll wait and take even worse ones is retarded, so so retarded. Wow you can pick up one of the waiver wire, great strategy, who was the best waiver pick up last year? Victor Cruz, wide receiver, so by that logic shouldn't you just draft crappy receivers and wait to pick someone up off waivers?


More 2012 Fantasy Football Articles:
2012 Fantasy Football: Home

2012 Fantasy Football Rankings:
2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: Quarterbacks - 9/2 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: Running Backs - 9/3 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: Wide Receivers - 9/2 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: Tight Ends - 9/2 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: Kickers - 6/2 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: Defenses - 6/3 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Downloadable Spreadsheets - 9/2 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Auction Values - 7/28 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings (Re-Draft) - 5/6 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings (Dynasty) - 5/6 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Playoff Rankings - 1/2 (Walt)
Week 17 Fantasy Football Rankings - 12/27 (Walt)
Week 17 Fantasy Football Injury Reports - 12/27 (Walt)
Week 17 Fantasy Football Start Em, Sit Em - 12/27 (Walt)
Week 16 Fantasy Football Start Em, Sit Em - 12/20 (Walt)
WalterFootball.com $1,000 Contest on FanDuel.com - 11/4

2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets:
2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Traditional Scoring - 9/4 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: PPR Scoring - 9/4 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Touchdown Scoring - 9/4 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: 2-QB Format - 9/4 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Traditional Scoring PRINTABLE - 9/4 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: PPR Scoring PRINTABLE - 9/4 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Touchdown Scoring PRINTABLE - 9/4 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: 2-QB Format PRINTABLE - 9/4 (Walt)

2012 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts:
2012 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft - 8/23 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Mock Draft - 8/16 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum 2-QB PPR Mock Draft - 8/9 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Auction Mock Draft - 8/2 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum PPR Mock Draft - 7/27 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum 2-QB Mock Draft - 7/17 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum Standard 14-Team Mock Draft - 7/12 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum PPR Mock Draft - 7/6 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum Touchdown-Format Mock Draft - 7/4 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum Standard Mock Draft - 7/3 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum PPR Mock Draft - 6/22 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Forum Mock Draft - 6/14 (Walt)
The Four-Man PPR Fantasy Mock Draft - 5/18 (Walt)

2012 Fantasy Football Articles:
2012 Fantasy Football Stock: Training Camp, OTAs - 9/3 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Preseason Stock - 8/31 (Walt)
2012 NFL Preseason Recap, Fantasy Football Notes - 8/31 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football: Quarterback Targets - 8/31 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football: 20 Sleepers - 8/28 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football: Round-by-Round Strategy - 8/21 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Busts - 6/5 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Sleepers (Early-Middle Rounds) - 6/5 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football All-Value Team - 5/26 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Stock Report: Quarterbacks - 5/8 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Stock Report: Running Backs - 5/8 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Stock Report: Wide Receivers - 5/8 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Stock Report: Quarterbacks, Tight Ends - 4/3 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Stock Report: Running Backs - 4/3 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football Stock Report: Wide Receivers - 4/3 (Walt)
2012 Fantasy Football: First-Round Bust History - 2/17 (Walt)
Running Backs with Most Carries - 2/17 (Walt)




2014 NFL Mock Draft - April 23


2014 NBA Mock Draft - April 23


NFL Free Agents - April 22


2015 NFL Mock Draft - April 17


Fantasy Football Rankings - March 28


NFL Picks - Feb. 2



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