2012 Fantasy Football Draft: Forum Fantasy PPR Mock Draft
July 6, 2012.
This is a 2012 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft I took part in with 11 other members of the forum. As usual, I'll have analysis of my picks, as well as the best and worst selections from each two rounds.
Just a heads up that we have 2012 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts every Wednesday evening. Check out the fantasy mock draft thread for details.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 1-2: I've said this many times this summer. I'm not going to reach for a running back at the end of the first round because after the first four or five, all of the backs are really risky this season. You can't win your fantasy league in the first couple of rounds, but you can certainly lose it by drafting busts.
I'd say the two guys I obtained are as safe as you can get. Larry Fitzgerald produces every year, while Wes Welker is a PPR stud.
BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 1-2: Most of the backs chosen in Round 2 carry high risk. Darren Sproles doesn't. He could easily catch 80 passes again. The next safest player at the position, despite being a rookie, is Trent Richardson.
WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 1-2: I liked Bundy's second pick, but I wasn't a fan of Drew Brees at ninth overall. He could decline a bit because of Bountygate.
The worst selection of these two rounds was easily Adrian Peterson, as Marshawn No Lynch predicted I would say in the chat. Peterson's not worth the risk in the second round, especially in a PPR league because he's not utilized in the passing game.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 3-4: I was pretty happy that Matthew Stafford dropped to 3.12. He's good enough to be chosen at the end of the second round. And yeah, still no running back. All of the ones available were reaches, and Percy Harvin was the top player available in my 2012 Fantasy Football PPR Cheat Sheet. Harvin would be a tremendous flex player if this were a real team.
BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 3-4: It's funny because Mocknulty didn't want to draft Ahmad Bradshaw; his computer froze, so it automatically gave him the Giants' running back. Bradshaw was a steal at 3.07, but Mocknulty wanted a receiver because he went with Maurice Jones-Drew and Darren McFadden in the first two rounds.
Mocknulty struck again in Round 4 with Cam Newton, who dropped for some reason. I also liked the Roddy White, Hakeem Nicks, Fred Jackson and Julio Jones choices.
WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 3-4: Team No. 4 was a random computer. I usually don't mind having one random per mock draft because there's always one stupid owner in every fantasy league. Taking Steven Jackson at 3.04 is the mark of a stupid owner. And speaking of decrepit running backs, Frank Gore is way too injury-prone to grab in the third round.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 5-6: And the running back parade begins. Roy Helu will probably start for the Redskins, at least at first, while Jonathan Stewart is utilized much more in the passing game than DeAngelo Williams. It's safe to say though that I have the weakest running backs in this league. That can change quickly though; I'll remind you that players like Helu, DeMarco Murray and C.J. Spiller (and in some leagues, Michael Bush) were all available on the waiver wire last year.
BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 5-6: The five receivers chosen in Round 5, especially Miles Austin-Jones and Dwayne Bowe, all provide quality value. Jahvid Best was a nice gamble by Sancho at 6.02. Meanwhile, Jason Witten was a steal at 6.05.
WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 5-6: I hope G.O.A.T. drafts a strong QB2 because he'll need him in the 4-6 games QB Dog Killer will undoubtedly miss this year.
Two picks I didn't get in the sixth round were Donald Brown and Jacob Tamme. Brown just isn't a very good player, while Tamme needs Peyton Manning to be close to 100 percent.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 7-8: More running backs! Ben Tate will be very useful if Arian Foster goes down, while Toby Gerhart can be started until Adrian Peterson gets healthy.
BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 7-8: I was really hoping James Starks would fall to me, as I considered him atop the sixth round. Darrius Heyward-Bey was a steal at 8.11. And Willis McGahee is a starting running back, so he went way too late at 8.09. Yeah, I can't believe I just gave the damn computer a best pick.
WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 7-8: Peyton Hillis went two rounds too early. He's stuck behind Jamaal Charles. I also can't understand why Ronnie Hillman went before McGahee. John Fox hates utilizing rookies, so I don't expect Hillman to see too much action until 2013.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 9-10: Santana Moss has looked great in OTAs, so I'm happy with him as my fourth receiver. And Mikel Leshoure has some upside as a backup running back. He's coming off a torn Achilles, but he'll get the carries once Jahvid Best inevitably gets hurt.
BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 9-10: I was really hoping Titus Young would fall to me, but that didn't happen. Stevan Ridley has some upside as a mid-round running back, as does David Wilson. Jay Cutler is a starting-caliber quarterback obtained in the middle of Round 9.
WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 9-10: Did Brian Quick just get picked before Michael Floyd, Justin Blackmon and Kendall Wright? Why? I don't like Santonio Holmes at all, but the worst pick in these two rounds was easily Chad Ochocinco. He stinks.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 11-12: Ugh, I hate it when owners start taking their backup tigth end in Round 10 or 11. That left me with Tony Gonzalez as my starter. I considered Jason Witten at 5.11/6.01, so I probably should have selected him then. Matt Schaub, meanwhile, is a quality fantasy quarterback who can start if Matthew Stafford goes down.
BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 11-12: Robert Griffin could be a steal in Round 11 if he's anything like Cam Newton. I would have gladly picked him at 11.12/12.01. I also like Shane Vereen's upside as a PPR running back.
WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 11-12: Justin Blackmon will likely be a waste of a selection because of Blaine Gabbert. Mike Williams is a bum, while Doug Baldwin doesn't have much upside.
MY PICKS, ROUNDS 13-15: Top fantasy kicker. Score. The Lions battle the Rams at home in Week 1. Kyle Rudolph has some upside as a backup tight end despite the addition of John Carlson.
BEST PICKS, ROUNDS 13-15: Of the four consecutive quarterbacks chosen in Round 13, Jake Locker has the most fantasy upside by far. And speaking of upside, Vincent Brown, Michel Floyd, Kevin Smith and Rashad Jennings offer exactly that.
WORST PICKS, ROUNDS 13-15: The quarterback who offers the least fantasy upside is Kevin Kolb, who will probably be injured by October - if he even wins the starting job. I'd rather have John Skelton on my fantasy roster. Meanwhile, Cedric Benson's not even in the league anymore, but I'm sure Mocknulty was on auto-draft at that point.
My Fantasy Team:
QB - Matthew Stafford, Lions
RB - Roy Helu, Redskins
RB - Jonathan Stewart, Panthers
WR - Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals
WR - Wes Welker, Patriots
RB/WR - Percy Harvin, Vikings
TE - Tony Gonzalez, Falcons
K - Sebastian Janikowski, Raiders
DEF - Lions Defense
BN - Ben Tate, Texans RB
BN - Toby Gerhart, Vikings RB
BN - Santana Moss, Redskins WR
BN - Mikel Leshoure, Lions RB
BN - Matt Schaub, Texans QB
BN - Kyle Rudolph, Vikings TE
As usual, my running backs suck. But you know what? Most teams' running backs will suck this year, so I'm more than happy to be stacked elsewhere, and that's certainly the case at quarterback and wide receiver. And who knows? Maybe Roy Helu will go off in Mike Shanahan's system, or maybe Adrian Peterson won't be able to stay healthy (opening the door for Toby Gerhart) or maybe Arian Foster will suffer an injury, making Ben Tate an RB1. Or perhaps I'll pick up a running back on the waiver wire. Either way, my team will always be competitive because of Matthew Stafford and the wideouts.
I think Dalvin Cook is the best fit, but it's close...they need a CB to replace Josh Norman, but it's a deep class. And I'm sure Rivera is looking at Barnett and Charlton, a DE is always on their list.
As the NFL Draft approaches, I will be making weekly adjustments up until the 27th of April. Rest of the writeups will be coming later this week. Any questions/comments/criticisms can be voiced in the comments. I will respond to all.