2010 Fantasy Football Rankings: 2010 NFL Draft Stock Down
In one of many 2010 Fantasy Football articles to come, here are my 2010 Fantasy Football Draft Stock Up players. There will be many more 2010 Fantasy Football features in the late spring and summer, including tons of 2010 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts, Player Rankings, Sleepers and Busts. I'll also have an extensive 2010 NFL Fantasy Football Preseason Stock Report.
2010 Fantasy Football - Stock Down:
Jerome Harrison, RB, Browns
I guess Mike Holmgren was at the buffet when Jerome Harrison tore it up at the end of the 2009 season. There really was no need to spend such a high pick on another running back. It's unfortunate, but Montario Hardesty could take as much as half of Harrison's touches away, including any goal-line work.
Fred Jackson, RB, Bills
This is an obvious one. Fred Jackson had a very good 2009 campaign, but the Bills aren't keeping C.J. Spiller on the bench.
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Steelers
Good news and bad news: The good news was that Maurkice Pouncey was added to the interior of the offensive line. The bad news was that five rounds later, Pittsburgh selected Jonathan Dwyer. Dwyer won't challenge for much of Rashard Mendenhall's workload early on, but there is already some talk that the Georgia Tech rookie could be the team's new short-yardage back. If so, Mendenhall's fantasy value will take a sharp dive.
Lee Evans, WR, Bills
Poor Lee Evans. His quarterbacks during his six NFL seasons: a fossilized Drew Bledsoe, Kelly Holcomb, J.P. Zohan, Trent Edwards, Ryan Fitzpatrick and Brian Brohm. Yuck. The inept Bills had a chance to draft Jimmy Clausen or potentially trade for Ben Roethlisberger. They eschewed both opportunities, ensuring yet another mediocre campaign from everyone on their offense, including Evans.
Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Cardinals
The Cardinals are another team that had a chance to get Jimmy Clausen, but blew it. Without Clausen, Donovan McNabb or Kurt Warner, Larry Fitzgerald will be stuck with mediocre quarterback play and will consequently be overdrafted in all leagues.
Think Matt Leinart's the answer? I covered this earlier, but here are the numbers again - Fitzgerald's 2007 stats with each quarterback (it adds up to 15 starts because Fitzgerald missed one game):
With Leinart (5 starts): 15 catches, 212 yards. 0 TDs.
With Warner (10 starts): 85 catches, 1,197 yards. 10 TDs.
Now, because Warner took half of Leinart's snaps in three games, it's reasonable to say that Fitzgerald's numbers with Leinart translate to 3.5 starts. With that in mind, here's what you get if you extrapolate those statistics over a full 16-game slate:
69 catches, 969 yards. 0 TDs.
Ouch. Fitzgerald is due for a sharp decline.
Eddie Royal, WR, Broncos
If there was ever any chance that Josh McDaniels would utilize Eddie Royal properly, that flew out the window when McDaniels drafted Demaryius Thomas No. 22 overall.
I would bet 10 units on both the Packers and Patriots, and then 5 units on the Packers in the Super Bowl. The Packers will obviously blow out the Falcons and Tom Brady is the best QB of all time. They've both won 7 consecutive games (Rodgers and Brady) and they are both unstoppable. Rodgers will obviously throw a touchdown in the final seconds to win the Super Bowl. I would bet a million dollars that this will happen.
So Big Ben, who has struggled all year on the road despite the competition and is banged up, is just going to magically find his groove and torch us? Anything's possible, but using the Seahawks game, which was ages ago and came shortly after we had to adjust after the Jamie Collins trade, is pretty dumb on your part.