NBA Picks



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NBA Picks (Oct. 26-Nov. 1): 3-3 (+$170)
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NBA Picks (Jan. 25-31): 6-2 (+$380)
NBA Picks (Feb. 1-7): 4-4 (-$40)
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2015-16 NBA Picks: 50-46-4 (+$95)
2014-15 NBA Picks: 62-53-4 (+$250)
2013-14 NBA Picks: 59-51-4 (+$760)
2012-13 NBA Picks: 51-45 (+$1,180)
2011-12 NBA Picks: 38-46-1 (-$3,005)
2010-11 NBA Picks: 113-89-4 (+$2,690)
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2007-08 NBA Picks: 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Thursday, Feb. 11, 2016


New Orleans Pelicans at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 12.

8:00 PM ET (Game 701-702)

Everyone thinks the Thunder is great, but that's not the case. Oklahoma City is 2-7 against the spread in its previous nine games and a ghastly 20-36 ATS the entire year. This team is just overvalued, and their spreads have been inflated as a consequence. The Pelicans should be able to cover.

Here are our NBA FanDuel Value Picks for tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Pelicans +12 (1 Unit)

LOADING COMMENTS...





Wednesday, Feb. 10, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Denver Nuggets at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Nuggets by 5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 705-706)

The Pistons have the better record, but the Nuggets have been playing better basketball lately, especially on the road, where they're 17-9 ATS. I've backed them a number of times lately, and I'll do that again tonight.

Here are our NBA FanDuel Value Picks for tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Nuggets +5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100








Tuesday, Feb. 9, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Celtics by 5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)

The Celtics have been on fire, but this number (available at Bovada) is too high. The Bucks would be +11 at Boston, which just doesn't seem right to me. Also, the Celtics could be looking ahead to their matchup against the Clippers tomorrow night.

Here are our NBA FanDuel Value Picks for tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Bucks +5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Monday, Feb. 8, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


Chicago Bulls at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 6.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

The Hornets continue to be large home favorites over better teams for some reason. I get that Jimmy Butler is out, but I still like the Bulls. People tend to overreact to injuries, and this spread is too high based on that. Chicago sustained an embarrassing loss recently, so I expect it to rebound tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Bulls +6.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Sunday, Feb. 7, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Denver Nuggets at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 4.

1:00 PM ET (Game 853-854)

The Nuggets continue to be the hottest team in terms of covering, so I'm going to bet them again. They're 16-8 against the spread on the road, and they should have their way with the Knicks, who can't seem to put a good first half together.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Nuggets +4 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Saturday, Feb. 6, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Washington Bullets at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 4.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)

The Bullets have gone through some tough times lately, thanks to a ridiculously tough schedule and Bradley Beal's injury. However, this is a softer opponent, and Beal is getting healthier. The sharps like Washington tonight for those reasons (presumably), and so do I.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Bullets +4.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Feb. 5, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


Memphis Grizzlies at New York Knicks.
Line: Grizzlies by 4.

7:30 PM ET (Game 861-862)

The Knicks didn't try hard at all in the first half last night, which makes me think they were looking forward to this game. The Grizzlies are a bit overrated, as their recent victories have come against teams like the Magic, Bucks, Kings and Pelicans. New York should be able to cover this.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Knicks +4 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Thursday, Feb. 4, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


New York Knicks at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Pistons by 4.

7:00 PM ET (Game 701-702)

The sharps have been betting the Knicks all day, which makes sense to me. The Pistons' previous three wins have been against bad teams, while the Knicks have battled much tougher opponents recently. Thus, these teams are about even despite their records, so there's some value with New York at +4, which is available at Bovada.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Knicks +4 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Wednesday, Feb. 3, 2016 (2-0, +$200)


Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 8.

9:00 PM ET (Game 517-518)

The Nuggets continue to be undervalued, which I don't understand. They cover every game, and I don't see why that would be different tonight. Utah has been successful lately, but most of the teams it has beaten have been pretty weak. The Bulls are an exception, but that contest went into overtime.

NBA Pick: Nuggets +8 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100


Minnesota Timberwolves at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 11.

10:30 PM ET (Game 521-522)

The Timberwolves embarrassed themselves last night, losing to the Lakers. Thanks to recency bias, this spread has shot up. People suddenly forget that Minnesota challenged Portland the game before. I think the Timberwolves can keep this game close.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Timberwolves +11 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Feb. 2, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


Milwaukee Bucks at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 7.

10:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)

The Blazers have played a bunch of easy opponents at home, while the Bucks have lost a bunch of games recently, albeit ones that were close. I think this spread has been inflated by a couple of points as a result, so I like the underdog here.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Bucks +7 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Monday, Feb. 1, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


Washington Bullets at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 10.

8:00 PM ET (Game 509-510)

I've been monitoring this one all day, hoping to get +10. The spread finally went up to that number, so I'll happily take the Bullets. Oklahoma City is overvalued by the public; the Thunder is an abysmal 6-14 ATS in its previous 20 games, and it hasn't covered in its previous five.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Bullets +10 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Sunday, Jan. 31, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Minnesota Timberwolves at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 7.

9:00 PM ET (Game 841-842)

I thought we were going to get Minnesota to cash Friday night, but the game got away from them in the final half quarter. I still like their chances of covering as dogs tonight; they're a frisky team, having covered six of their previous 10, and they're 13-10 ATS on the road.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Timberwolves +7 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Saturday, Jan. 30, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 9.

7:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

As long as the public continues to undervalue the Nuggets, I'll continue to bet them. This number is way too high, as the Pacers have failed to cover six of their previous eight games.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Nuggets +9 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Jan. 29, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


Minnesota Timberwolves at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 8.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 863-864)

I took the Timberwolves recently, citing that they had a habit of covering as large underdogs. I think they'll do that tonight, especially against the Jazz, who are 3-5 straight up and ATS in their previous eight. Utah's only wins have come against the Lakers, Nets and Hornets. Granted, the Timberwolves aren't great either, but they're 13-9 ATS on the road.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Timberwolves +8.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Thursday, Jan. 28, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Denver Nuggets at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 7.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 701-702)

This spread is high because the Nuggets played last night. However, they are 6-4 ATS on back-to-backs, so this is a misleading line. I like the frisky Nuggets to cover here, as the Bullets have dropped four of five.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Nuggets +7.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Wednesday, Jan. 27, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Denver Nuggets at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 9.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 705-706)

This is a weird game for the Nuggets, as they haven't played on the road since Jan. 8. However, they've been solid as visitors, nearly beating the Warriors and Thunder. This number is too high, so I like Denver to cover.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Nuggets +9.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Jan. 26, 2016 (1-1, -$10)


Washington Bullets at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 8.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 705-706)

I lost going against the Raptors two days ago, but I still maintain what I said - that they are overrated because they've barely beaten anyone during their long winning streak. The Bullets have a solid track record of covering games as road dogs, so I think they can hang within this number.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Bullets +8.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110


Oklahoma City Thunder at New York Knicks.
Line: Thunder by 7.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 709-710)

I've mentioned that the Thunder have been overrated for quite some time. That may seem strange when looking from a distance, but when investigating further, you can see that they are 6-11 ATS over their past 17 games. This spread is way too high, so I thnk the Knicks will cover.

NBA Pick: Knicks +7.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Monday, Jan. 25, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Minnesota Timberwolves at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 13.

7:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

I'm going to fade the Cavaliers again, as that seemed to work on Saturday. I don't get why they fired David Blatt, but they seem to be in turmoil right now. That's good for us, as we get to back the Timberwolves on a ridiculous line. Minnesota is 7-5 ATS on the road this year, so the team can definitely stay within the number.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Timberwolves +13 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Sunday, Jan. 24, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


Los Angeles Clippers at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 2.5.

6:00 PM ET (Game 835-836)

The public is pounding Toronto today, as the team has won seven in a row. However, looking closer, the Raptors have beaten up on numerous bad teams, including the 76ers and Nets. In fact, the last strong opponent they played, the Cavaliers, beat them by 22. The Clippers are the better team, so I like getting points with them.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Clippers +2.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Saturday, Jan. 23, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Chicago Bulls at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 10.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 511-512)

Had a tough loss yesterday with the Bulls - they were down three late in the game - but I'm going to go back to them tonight. This spread is just too large, so I think they can stay within the number, especially with the Cavaliers in turmoil in the wake of their stupid coaching change.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Bulls +10.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Jan. 22, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


Chicago Bulls at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 4.

7:30 PM ET (Game 855-856)

The Celtics appear to be the hotter team, given that they've won three of five. The Bulls, on the other hand, have dropped five of seven. However, the Celtics haven't exactly beaten the toughest competition, so that makes me wonder why they're favored by four in this matchup. This appears to be an even game, so I like the value with Chicago.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Bulls +4 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Thursday, Jan. 21, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


Atlanta Hawks at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 1.5.

10:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)

The Kings seem to be one of the shrappy picks tonight, given that they're favored despite having a worse record, but the Hawks are just the much better team, and I think they should be able to win this game. I went with Sacramento a couple of times last week, but battling a Blake Griffin-less Clippers squad is much different than taking on Atlanta.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Hawks +1.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Wednesday, Jan. 20, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


Charlotte Hornets at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 9.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 515-516)

I went against the Thunder last night, citing that it was overrated, based on its low level of competition. I still believe that, and now the schedule is going against the team as well. Oklahoma City is playing its third game in four nights, and in two days, it'll begin a long road trip with a game at Dallas. This is set up well for the Hornets, who have covered three of their previous four games.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Hornets +9.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Tuesday, Jan. 19, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Thunder by 9.

9:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)

Last night's loss hurt, as a 5.5-point underdog couldn't cover in overtime. Hopefully we'll have better success tonight. I like the Nuggets here, as this spread is just way too high. The Thunder has won 10 of its previous 12, but the team has played just four road contests in that stretch, and all four of those opponents - Hornets, Lakers, Blazers, Timberwolves - have losing records. The Nuggets are pretty competitive, so they should be able to hang around.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Nuggets +9 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Monday, Jan. 18, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 5.5.

10:30 PM ET (Game 519-520)

A couple of days ago, I discussed how the Clippers were overrated despite their winning streak. They lost to the Kings, and I could see them dropping this one as well. The Rockets seem to be in the Clippers' heads.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Rockets +5.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Sunday, Jan. 17, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


Miami Heat at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 10.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 855-856)

I've discussed the Thunder's struggles in terms of covering recently. They've beaten the spread twice in a row now, but one cover was against the terrible Timberwolves, while the other was versus a skeleton-crew Dallas team. I know that Dwyane Wade is questionable, but I like the Heat to stay within the number regardless.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Heat +10.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Saturday, Jan. 16, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 6.

10:30 PM ET (Game 515-516)

The Clippers, despite being without Blake Griffin, have been on fire. Everyone wants to bet them tonight, yet they're just six-point favorites. Well, if you look at whom they've played, it's been nothing but cream puffs. The Kings might be considered one as well, but I think they can keep this close and perhaps win straight up.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Kings +6 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Jan. 15, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


Phoenix Suns at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 9.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 855-856)

The sharps have been betting the Suns, which isn't much of a surprise. I liked them a few days ago, but they lost to the Pacers by 19. They hung around Indiana until late, however, so I'll go back to them again. The Celtics are just 2-6 straight up and against the spread in their previous eight games, so who are they to be favored by nearly double digits? This spread, by the way, is +9.5 at Bovada.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Suns +9.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Thursday, Jan. 14, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Sacramento Kings at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 2.

9:00 PM ET (Game 709-710)

This spread is begging for action on the Jazz - the team with the better record has to win by just a couple of points, after all - and casual bettors are pounding them as a result. The sharps, meanwhile, are on the Kings, and so am I. Sacramento was blown out by New Orleans last night, but that doesn't bother me. In fact, I love buying on bad news. The Kings will put forth a much better effort tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Kings +2 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Wednesday, Jan. 13, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


New Orleans Pelicans at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 8.5.

10:00 PM ET (Game 515-516)

There's a chance Anthony Davis won't play tonight, but I don't care. Injuries are overblown in the NFL, and the Kings shouldn't be laying this many points anyway. They have just two victories of nine or more since Christmas and just four since Dec. 1. There has been some sharp money coming in on New Orleans.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Pelicans +8.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Jan. 12, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


Phoenix Suns at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 10.

7:00 PM ET (Game 701-702)

People think the Suns stink because they're 1-10 in their previous 11 games. They're not good, but I wouldn't call them terrible either. They recently nearly beat Oklahoma City; they defeated Charlotte; and they hung with Miami. The Pacers, meanwhile, are exhausted, coming off a four-game road trip that featured an overtime contest and big comeback. They have to go to Boston tomorrow night, so I don't see them being very focused.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Suns +10 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Monday, Jan. 11, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Washington Bullets at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 8.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)

The Bulls have been hot, winning six of seven. However, most of their victories have been at home. I know they're hosts again tonight, but this spread has been inflated. The Bullets haven't won much without Bradley Beal, they've actually covered eight of their previous 11 games.

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NBA Pick: Bullets +8.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Sunday, Jan. 10, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Thunder by 7.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 815-816)

This number is inflated. The Thunder is a public team, while the Blazers have dropped three in a row. However, Portland has battled three tough opponents during that losing streak. Oklahoma City, meanwhile, is 2-6 against the spread in its previous eight games. It barely beat the Lakers on Friday night!

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NBA Pick: Trailblazers +7.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Saturday, Jan. 9, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Miami Heat at Utah Jazz.
Line: Heat by 1.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 865-866)

I stand by what I said about the Heat yesterday. They are overrated. They didn't win, but the game was just a two-point margin with three minutes remaining. The Jazz, meanwhile, will be playing their easiest opponent since New Year's Eve.

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NBA Pick: Jazz +1.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Jan. 8, 2016 (0-1, -$115)


Miami Heat at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Heat by 6.

9:30 PM ET (Game 865-866)

Miami's record is much better than Phoenix's. However, the Heat are overvalued right now. Why? They've played 23 home games compared to just 12 road contests. They're just 6-6 as visitors. This number is inflated as a result, so I'll take this live dog in Phoenix. This spread is available at +6 -115 at Bovada.

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NBA Pick: Suns +6 -115 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$115





Thursday, Jan. 7, 2016 (0-0-1, $0)


Utah Jazz at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 9.

8:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)

What I wrote yesterday about injuries applies to this game as well. The Jazz have Rudy Gobert and Derrick Favors, who are hurt, prompting this number to be inflated. Who are the Rockets to be laying nine points (on Bovada). The Rockets have won by double digits thrice all year - and two of the victories were against the lowly Lakers!

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NBA Pick: Jazz +9 (1 Unit) -- Push; $0





Wednesday, Jan. 6, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Dallas Mavericks at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 8.

8:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)

Injuries are sometimes overblown in sports when it comes to gambling. Dirk Nowitzki and Deron Williams are sitting for rest purposes, so that doesn't exactly qualify, but it's the same principle. The Pelicans have won by more than eight points just twice since Thanksgiving, so this number doesn't make much sense. Also, there's some sharp money on Dallas, so that doesn't hurt.

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NBA Pick: Mavericks +8 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Jan. 5, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


Milwaukee Bucks at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 8.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 703-704)

This line has risen from -7 to -8.5 because of the news that Derrick Rose may play. I'm on the Bucks, so I'm hoping he does. Rose is one of the most inefficient players in the NBA right now. Chicago has won without him, so the chemistry could be disrupted with him back. As for Milwaukee, the team had been playing well prior to last night's blowout loss to the Spurs. I think they can get on the right track tonight.

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NBA Pick: Bucks +8.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Monday, Jan. 4, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 8.

7:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)

The Raptors haven't been playing great lately, but some of it isn't their fault. Jimmy Butler went insane out of nowhere, and that's not going to happen every night. The Cavaliers have been sluggish as well, but this spread is high because the public is betting them.

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NBA Pick: Raptors +8 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Saturday, Jan. 2, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Thunder by 9.

7:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

This number is steaming up because Nicolas Batum has been ruled out. I actually think this might help the Hornets because Batum was the reason they lost by 10 in their previous game. Batum, hindered by an injury, was completely ineffective. Charlotte will be better without him. Meanwhile, the Thunder is now 3-7 ATS in its previous 10 games, so who is it to be laying nine on the road?

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NBA Pick: Hornets +9 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Friday, Jan. 1, 2016 (0-1, -$110)


New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 7.

8:00 PM ET (Game 807-808)

The Knicks are 1-4 in their previous five games, but every team they've lost to in that span has a winning record. You could say the same thing about the Bulls, but they won't have Derrick Rose on the court tonight. Chicago is not that good anyway, going 2-5 against the spread in its previous seven games. This number is just way too high.

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NBA Pick: Knicks +7 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Thursday, Dec. 31, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Phoenix Suns at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 15.

8:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

Eric Bledsoe is out for the year, prompting the public to pound the Thunder as if it's guaranteed money. I don't get it. Granted, the Suns are on a long losing streak, but they recently nearly beat the Cavaliers. The Thunder, meanwhile, is 3-6 against the spread in its previous nine games. This spread is way too high, so I'm going with Phoenix.

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NBA Pick: Suns +15 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Wednesday, Dec. 30, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Washington Bullets at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 7.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 707-708)

The public is pounding the Raptors, but I can't understand why. The Bullets just got blown out by the Clippers, but they had won four in a row before that. Meanwhile, the Raptors have failed to cover five of their previous seven games despite pretty much playing weak competition.

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NBA Pick: Bullets +7.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Dec. 29, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Milwaukee Bucks at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 13.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

I went against the Thunder on Christmas, and that worked out pretty well. I see no reason why that strategy should stop working. Oklahoma City is not playing great basketball right now, and the team is struggling too much to be favored by this many points. The Bucks have dropped two in a row, but people seem to have forgotten that they had played well before that, nearly sweeping the Warriors.

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NBA Pick: Bucks +13.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Monday, Dec. 28, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Cleveland Cavaliers at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Cavaliers by 9.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 719-720)

The Suns just lost to the Sixers. Eric Bledsoe is out. Kyrie Irving will play tonight. No wonder everyone is betting the Cavaliers. I won't be. Cleveland is not playing well right now, and having Irving in the lineup could hurt because he has struggled since returning from his absence. The Suns, once upon a time, were playing well, so I think they could rekindle that after such an embarrassing loss to Philadelphia.

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NBA Pick: Suns +9.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Sunday, Dec. 27, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Portland Trailblazers at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 9.

9:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

This spread is too high. Damian Lillard is out, sure, but that doesn't matter. The Kings are not a good basketball team, and they've had trouble maintaining success. They also have to deal with Golden State tomorrow night, so they may not be completely focused. Portland has covered two of its three previous contests, including a blowout victory over Cleveland last night.

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NBA Pick: Trailblazers +9 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Saturday, Dec. 26, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Houston Rockets at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Rockets by 1.

7:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)

Everyone saw the Pelicans lose to the Heat and the Rockets upset the Spurs on Christmas, so naturally, all the public money is coming in on Houston. And there is a ton of it. This, however, is a case of recency bias; the Pelicans had triumphed in three of their previous four contests beforehand. The Rockets, meanwhile, won their "Super Bowl." They still aren't a very good team, as most of their recent victories have come against teams with sub-.500 records.

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NBA Pick: Pelicans +1 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Dec. 25, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Chicago Bulls at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 9.

2:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)

The Bulls were huge underdogs like this just once this year, and it happened to be against the Warriors. Golden State covered, but won by "just" 12, so in other words, Chicago was able to keep it close. This number is inflated because Chicago lost to Brooklyn, and Joakim Noah being out doesn't help either, but this is just another case of public overreaction. Noah has been relegated to the bench, while Chicago simply overlooked the Nets. They'll get it together with a strong effort at Oklahoma City. I don't know if the Bulls will win, but they should be able to cover this massive number.

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NBA Pick: Bulls +9 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Wednesday, Dec. 23, 2015 (1-0, +$200)


Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 9.

7:30 PM ET (Game 721-722)

The Nuggets lost Danilo Gallinari to injury, yet the books didn't compensate in their previous game. Now, they've overcompensated. There's no way in hell the Suns should be nine-point favorites over any team not named the Sixers or Lakers.

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NBA Pick: Nuggets +9 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





Tuesday, Dec. 22, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 2.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)

Both teams have won four of their previous five games, but Miami could be more up for this game. The Pistons are coming off a quadruple-overtime victory that they may have celebrated too much, while Miami will be seeking revenge after losing to Detroit by 23 back on Nov. 25.

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NBA Pick: Heat -2.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Monday, Dec. 21, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Minnesota Timberwolves at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 7.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 703-704)

The Celtics have battled a series of tough games recently, and they've lost them all. Now, they're favored here over a Minnesota squad that has been playing well recently? I'm just not buying that, and neither are the sharps, as this number has dropped despute public money coming in on Boston.

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NBA Pick: Timberwolves +7.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Sunday, Dec. 20, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 1.

8:00 PM ET (Game 513-514)

This spread doesn't make much sense to me. The Pelicans have been terrible all year, as they've never rebounded like I thought they would earlier. The Nuggets have been better, and they've won four of their previous five. This might just be a case of price memory.

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NBA Pick: Nuggets -1 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Friday, Dec. 18, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Milwaukee Bucks at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 19.

10:30 PM ET (Game 523-524)

I usually like to go against the public narrative, but I think it's correct here, as the Warriors are legitimately pissed off at the Bucks for celebrating too much during their win. Milwaukee has struggled since that victory, and I think this could be a blood bath.

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NBA Pick: Warriors -19 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Thursday, Dec. 17, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Toronto Raptors at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Raptors by 3.

7:00 PM ET (Game 701-702)

This spread opened Hornets -1.5, but they are now +3 because Nicolas Batum is doubtful. Fading injury overreactions is a solid strategy when they're overblown, and this one is because the Hornets have a viable bench option to replace Batum.

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NBA Pick: Hornets +3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Wednesday, Dec. 16, 2015 (0-1-1, -$110)


Charlotte Hornets at Orlando Magic.
Line: Pick.

7:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)

Two picks tonight, as each is following sharp movement. The Hornets have been off since Saturday night, so they'vehad time to work things out against the Magic, who are kind of in a W-L-W-L pattern. I'm taking Charlotte.

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NBA Pick: Hornets PK (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110


Minnesota Timberwolves at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)

Everyone looking at this game must be thinking that the Timberwolves don't have a chance because they're 1-7 in their previous eight, but the Knicks haven't been much better, dropping four of their previous five to mostly bad teams. They're also coming off a long road trip, which is generally a bad spot for teams.

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NBA Pick: Timberwolves +5 (1 Unit) -- Push; $0





Tuesday, Dec. 15, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics.
Line: Cavaliers by 2.

7:30 PM ET (Game 701-702)

"Oh, all the Cavaliers have to do is win by a couple of points on the road? They can do that, derp!" That's the public sentiment on this game, as nearly 80 percent of the action is coming in on Cleveland. I like the Celtics, who have been playing better basketball. The Cavaliers have covered just once since Nov. 28. Boston, having playoff revenge on its side, is 5-3 straight up, 6-1-1 ATS since that date. This spread is +1 mostly everywhere, but available at +2 on Bovada.

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NBA Pick: Celtics +2 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Monday, Dec. 14, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 4.

8:30 PM ET (Game 513-514)

The sharps bet down the Suns at +4.5. I still think they provide good value at +4. The Suns have played well lately, having won three of four, and it was almost four of five because they lost by two at Memphis. They might be considered the better team here, and I'm not worried about the fact that they played last night; they're 2-2 ATS this year on no rest.

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NBA Pick: Grizzlies +3 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Sunday, Dec. 13, 2015 (0-0-1, $0)


Memphis Grizzlies at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 3.

6:00 PM ET (Game 703-704)

The Grizzlies have struggled to maintain success, going W-L-W-L. Per that pattern, they're due for a win tonight, and they should be able to get it against a Miami squad that is playing very poorly right now. The sharps have bet Memphis down.

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NBA Pick: Grizzlies +3 (1 Unit) -- Push; $0





Saturday, Dec. 12, 2015


Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 3.

7:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)

The Celtics suffered a tough loss to the Warriors. Will that negatively affect their play tonight? I thought so, but I just looked it up, and teams are 6-3 ATS following games against the Warriors. Boston is the play tonight, as the Hornets could be the team that has a letdown tonight following their blowout victory over Memphis last night.

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NBA Pick: Celtics +3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Dec. 11, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 703-704)

The Pacers are coming off a tough loss to the Warriors, and I'd be surprised if they show up for this game. This seems like a better spot for the Heat, who have beaten the Cavaliers and Thunder lately. The sharps have bet this down from +5.5 to +5 despite two-thirds action on Indiana.

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NBA Pick: Heat +5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Thursday, Dec. 10, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Atlanta Hawks at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 7.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)

I said that Oklahoma City was a bit underrated two days ago because it had trouble covering most spreads. The Thunder beat down the Grizzlies, but only because Marc Gasol got hurt. I like the Hawks' chances of covering this high number, and the sharps apparently do as well. By the way, if you're concerned about the Hawks being on no rest, they're 2-2 ATS this season with no time off playing a team that is coming off rest, so that shouldn't be an issue.

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NBA Pick: Hawks +7.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Wednesday, Dec. 9, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Memphis Grizzlies at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Pistons by 3.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 709-710)

I was waiting on Marc Gasol, and he's apparently going to play. As a result, I'll try my luck with the Grizzlies again. They've gone W-L-W-L, so they're on track to win. The Pistons, meanwhile, have an inflated record as a result of beating up on weak teams. Memphis should be able to redeem itself tonight.

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NBA Pick: Grizzlies +3.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Dec. 8, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Thunder by 2.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

These teams have similar record, but they've been playing quite differently lately. Oklahoma City is just 2-9 against the spread in its previous 11 games, so it hasn't been as impressive as the public wants the team to be. The Grizzlies have been better, so I don't know why they're home underdogs in this matchup.

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NBA Pick: Grizzlies +2.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Monday, Dec. 7, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Boston Celtics at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Celtics by 1.

8:00 PM ET (Game 711-712)

The sharps have put money on the Celtics, and I agree with that being the right side. Boston has won four of six, while the Pelicans could be a bit too happy about defeating Cleveland on Friday night. The Cavaliers have struggled lately, so I don't know how impressive that victory is. Let's take advantage of the value and bet the Celtics.

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NBA Pick: Celtics -1 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Sunday, Dec. 6, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Dallas Mavericks at Washington Bullets.
Line: Mavericks by 2.

6:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

Both of these teams have gone W-L-W-L lately, as they've struggled to maintain success. By those patterns, Dallas is due for a victory. The Mavericks are the better team anyway, as the Bullets recently lost to the Lakers, which is just pathetic. The sharps, by the way, are on Dallas.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Mavericks -2 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Saturday, Dec. 5, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Portland Trailblazers at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 1.5.

8:05 PM ET (Game 707-708)

There's a bit of sharp action on the Blazers, which is understandable. They were horrible at the beginning of the year, but they've won four of seven since. They're the better team, so I'll take them for a unit in this matchup.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Trailblazers +1.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Dec. 4, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Los Angeles Lakers at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 11.

8:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

The last time the Lakers won a game, they lost their next contest by 19 points at Suns. They are horrible, and I can't see them maintaining success. Speaking of which, the Hawks keep going W-L-W-L, so coming off a loss, they're poised to rebound.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Hawks -11 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Thursday, Dec. 3, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Orlando Magic at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 4.

9:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)

Rough beat last night, getting four points with a team that lost in overtime by five. I'll take another four-point dog here; the Jazz played their hearts out against the Warriors, so I could see them being flat against the Magic, who have been on fire. The sharps have been pounding Orlando, so I'm going that way as well.

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NBA Pick: Magic +4 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Wednesday, Dec. 2, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Phoenix Suns at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Pistons by 4.

7:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)

This is a sharps versus public game where the latter likes the host and the former has pounded the visitor. The Suns have been in a funk lately, but they're still the better team and they're getting too many points as a result. They're available at +4 on Bovada.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Suns +4 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Monday, Nov. 30, 2015 (1-0, +$200)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Thunder by 3.

7:30 PM ET (Game 501-502)

The sharps are betting the Hawks, and I like them as well. They've gone W-L-W-L-W-L, and I think that pattern continues here. The Hawks have been on the road a lot, prompting some losses. I think this is a nice rebound spot for them. Oklahoma City, meanwhile, hasn't been tested in a while. Its previous six games were against Detroit, Brooklyn, Utah, Dallas, New York (loss) and New Orleans.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Hawks +3 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





Sunday, Nov. 29, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Indiana Pacers at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Pacers by 9.5.

9:35 PM ET (Game 715-716)

Sure, this is a square pick, but the Pacers should obliterate the Lakers. This spread isn't high enough, as the public doesn't realize how bad the Lakers truly are. Kobe Bryant is completely done, yet continues to play too much. Los Angeles won't win until it gets rid of him.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Pacers -9.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Saturday, Nov. 28, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Toronto Raptors at Washington Bullets.
Line: Raptors by 4.

7:05 PM ET (Game 501-502)

The public pounded this spread all the way to Raptors -4. The sharps have taken Washington, and understandably so. The Bullets are a solid 3-3 as hosts, so they shouldn't be home dogs by this much. Toronto, meanwhile, has to play tomorrow night, whereas Washington has a few days off after this.

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NBA Pick: Bullets +4 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Nov. 27, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Milwaukee Bucks at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 4.

7:05 PM ET (Game 701-702)

The Bucks and Magic have covered just once in the past dozen days. However, I think the former has been more impressive lately. Orlando has struggled against the likes of Minnesota at home. Milwaukee could easily win this straight up.

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NBA Pick: Bucks +4 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Wednesday, Nov. 25, 2015 (1-1, -$10)


Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 3.

8:00 PM ET (Game 711-712)

Two picks tonight, both at 8 p.m. It's amazing to me that the public refuses to acknowledge that the Rockets are garbage. They've won just one game since Nov. 7, yet they're still favored for some reason. The Grizzlies played last night, but they're 3-1 SU and ATS on the second half of a back-to-back.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100


Atlanta Hawks at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Hawks by 3.

8:00 PM ET (Game 717-718)

The books tend to supress the spread on teams playing on the second night of a back-to-back, but they shouldn't have done that for the Hawks, who are 4-0 straight up, 3-1 ATS in such situations. This number is way too low, and both the sharps and public have responded in kind by pounding Atlanta.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Hawks -3 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Tuesday, Nov. 24, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 17.

10:30 PM ET (Game 511-512)

The Warriors are laying two touchdowns and a field goal, but I still like them to cover this high number. They don't play again until Friday, so I think they'll be focused. Meanwhile, the Lakers have a horrible spread record this year, which was predictable. Not only do they suck, but Kobe Bryant has been such an ungrateful douche throughout his career that the opposition is now lining up to embarrass him. As a Hall of Fame running back once said, "What come around go around... unless it get lost."

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Warriors -17 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Monday, Nov. 23, 2015 (0-1, -$220)


New York Knicks at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 705-706)

I was anti-Knicks in the beginning of the season because Carmelo Anthony is one of the most overrated players in the NBA, but Kristaps Porzingis is the real deal. I don't get this spread. The Heat shouldn't be favored by this much, especially after nearly losing to the Sixers. Miami is inflated because of its fraudulent 8-4 record. The Knicks might be the better team, and they could win this one outright.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Knicks +5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Friday, Nov. 20, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Houston Rockets at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 4.

8:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)

Sharp money has bet this spread down from +5, and it's easy to see why. Houston fired Kevin McHale, and the team responded with a victory. The Rockets didn't cover - they were seven-point favorites, after all - but I think getting in the win column will help their confidence. I like them here against the Grizzlies, who have to play in San Antonio tomorrow night.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Rockets +4 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Wednesday, Nov. 18, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Toronto Raptors at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 3.5.

9:05 PM ET (Game 517-518)

The Jazz might just be 5-5, but they're 7-3 against the spread this year. They've been a money-maker, and the sharps have recognized this, betting the number up from -2.5 to -3.5 despite there being slight action on Toronto. The Raptors covered last night, but they put everything they had into trying to beat Golden State. They came up short, so I could see them being flat tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Jazz -3.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Nov. 17, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 9.5.

10:30 PM ET (Game 713-714)

I'm surprised the public hasn't been betting Golden State tonight. The sharps are, taking the Warriors from -8.5 to -9.5. I'll be on them as well, as their home dominance should continue. By the way, I was looking at the Heat tonight if Ricky Rubio is out again.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Warriors -9.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Monday, Nov. 16, 2015 (1-0, +$200)


Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 11.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)

The sharps have bet up the Suns, and I'll be on that side as well. The Lakers are a horrible team coming off a win, so it's a good time to bet against them, especially considering that they played last night. Phoenix is great and shouldn't have an issue with Los Angeles, especially after getting a day off.

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NBA Pick: Suns -11.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





Friday, Nov. 13, 2015 (0-0-1, $0)


Los Angeles Lakers at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 8.

8:30 PM ET (Game 717-718)

I'm going to continue my fade of the Lakers, but this time, I'll be going with the sharps as well. The pros have bet this up from -7.5 to -8 (or -8.5 in some places), which makes sense because Los Angeles is absolutely horrible.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Mavericks -8 (2 Units) -- Push; $0





Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2015 (0-2, -$330)


Los Angeles Lakers at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 8.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 701-702)

I'm going to keep betting against the Lakers. They are absolutely horrible, and the oddsmakers still haven't correctly adjusted the lines, thanks to the talking heads on NBA who tell us that Kobe Bryant is still great. Bryant is absolutely done, and it doesn't help the Lakers that Nick Young is one of the worst team players in professional sports history.

NBA Pick: Magic -8.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110


New York Knicks at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 6.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)

I don't know what happened last night, but one loss isn't going to deter me from betting against the Knicks when coming off a win. New York sucks, so it's not surprising that the sharps have pounded the Hornets.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Hornets -6.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2015 (0-1, -$220)


New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 8.

7:30 PM ET (Game 507-508)

The best time to bet against a bad team is when they're coming off a win. The Knicks just prevailed over the Lakers, so I don't see them being focused tonight against the Raptors, who will be looking to rebound off a blowout loss at Miami.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Raptors -8 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Monday, Nov. 9, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Orlando Magic at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 4.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 513-514)

Sorry for no picks during the weekend. I had a wedding (another one) Saturday night, and then the NFL distracted me yesterday. I'm back, however, and I like the Magic here. The Pacers just had a tough battle against the Cavaliers last night and could be drained for this contest. Orlando, meanwhile, is coming off rest. The team also happens to own a perfect 7-0 ATS record, as the oddsmakers haven't properly adjusted to them.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Magic +4.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Friday, Nov. 6, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Atlanta Hawks at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Hawks by 3.

8:00 PM ET (Game 513-514)

The Pelicans are 0-4, and I was burned picking them earlier in the week, but I think I'll try them again. They're 0-4, but they're still a solid team, and I think we're getting good value with them at +3, given that they might be a slight favorite if they didn't have the misfortune of playing Golden State twice. I'm going against the professional money here, but I think New Orleans is the right side.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Pelicans +3 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Thursday, Nov. 5, 2015 (1-0, +$200)


Utah Jazz and Denver Nuggets.
Line: Jazz by 2.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)

The best time to bet against a bad team is after they win a game. The Nuggets just defeated the horrible Lakers, so they're set up for failure here, especially with a game at Golden State tomorrow night. The Jazz, meanwhile, are coming off a blowout loss, so I think this is a nice rebound spot for them. The sharps have already pushed this up from -1.5 to -2.5, so I want to get in on Utah before the line moves up even further.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Jazz -2.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





Wednesday, Nov. 4, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 10.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Knicks are a crap team, but they are always able to summon inexplicable energy and play closely with the Cavaliers, at least in early-season meetings. Carmelo Anthony thinks he's a great player and usually wants to prove that he's as special as LeBron James, so the Knicks, as large underdogs, have covered almost every early-season meeting versus the James-led Cavaliers or Heat.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Knicks +10.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2015 (1-1, -$120)


Orlando Magic at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)

Two games tonight. I like the Pelicans quite a bit here. Both teams are 0-3, but New Orleans is so much better; the team just has had the misfortunate of playing the Warriors twice. The Pelicans should get their first victory against the crappy Magic, and the sharps agree, as they've bet this number up.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 2.

10:35 PM ET (Game 713-714)

I'm not going with the sharps on this one. They've bumped this up from pick, but I don't get it. The Lakers are the worst team in the league, as Kobe Bryant is completely finished, so I'm going to keep my promise to myself that I'll bet against them at every chance.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Nuggets +2 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Monday, Nov. 2, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks.
Line: Spurs by 8.

7:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)

I went against the Knicks a few nights ago, and I'll be doing the same thing here. Like last time, they were coming off a victory, which is bad news for them because they don't handle success well. The Spurs should be able to take care of business quite easily. The pros agree, pushing this spread up from -7 to -8.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Spurs -8 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Sunday, Nov. 1, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Mavericks by 3.

9:30 PM ET (Game 713-714)

I came into this season wanting to fade the Lakers as much as possible. They're the worst team in the league, and Kobe Bryant, at this stage of his career, is the most-overrated player in the NBA. The Mavericks are much better, so I like their chances of covering. Both the sharps and public are on Dallas, which can be dangerous, but I'm still confident it'll cover.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Mavericks -3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Saturday, Oct. 31, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Brooklyn Nets at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 12.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

It feels weird backing a double-digit favorite, but I'm betting on Memphis tonight. The Nets are one of the worst teams in the league, and they haven't been competitive in either game thus far. The Grizzlies are much better, and they're actually rested, whereas Brooklyn played last night.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Grizzlies -12.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Friday, Oct. 30, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Washington Bullets at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bullets by 1.

8:05 PM ET (Game 711-712)

Both teams were unimpressive in their debut, but the Bullets - not the Wizards - won, albeit against a poor Magic team. The Bucks lost to the Knicks, prompting an overreaction spread. As a result, the Bullets opened -2 even though these teams are pretty close to being even. The sharps saw this and moved the line to Bucks +1, and I'll be going with that as well.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Bucks +1 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Thursday, Oct. 29, 2015 (1-0, +$200)


Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks.
Line: Hawks by 4.5.

8:05 PM ET (Game 503-504)

I've taken two underdogs thus far, but I'm going with a favorite tonight. The Hawks lost to a pretty solid Detroit team in the opener, so I like them to rebound against a dreadful New York squad. Bad teams like the Knicks don't usually fare well coming off a win, and I have to believe that they won't be playing up to their (limited) potential. The sharps appear to agree, moving this spread from -3 to -4.5 despite there being equal action on the game.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Hawks -4.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





Wednesday, Oct. 28, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 6.5.

7:35 PM ET (Game 709-710)

ESPN loves to have hard-ons for teams like Miami because of big names like Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh. However, the reality is that the Heat are old and injured, and they and Hornets are pretty close to being even, despite Michael Kidd-Gilchrist being out. The sharps agree, as this spread has dropped from +7 to +6.5 despite a slight public lean on the host.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Hornets +6.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2015 (1-0, +$200)


Detroit Pistons at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 6.5.

8:05 PM ET (Game 503-504)

I'd normally be pretty annoyed that the NBA is coming back so soon - a shortened regular season would be so much better for the sport - but my NFL Picks have been so miserable that I'm happy to have something else to bet on.

The Pistons seem like a good play tonight. They're not much worse than the Hawks - most power rankings have them 6-8 spots apart - so this spread is a bit too high. The sharps agree, as they've dropped this spread from +7 to +6.5 despite the fact that two-thirds of the public action is on the host.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

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NBA Pick: Pistons +6.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200






2017 NFL Mock Draft - Feb. 12


2016 NFL Mock Draft - Feb. 11


NFL Free Agents


NFL Picks - Feb. 7


2016 NBA Mock Draft - Feb. 2


Fantasy Football Rankings - Jan. 15





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chucksteratdiffcomputer (Anonymous Poster)
5 hour(s) 32 minute(s) ago - hide
Wow,  no NBA and nothing in a very small college board.  Let's play some "ice."  Going in an ongoing second tier spot of my NHL par will be the Rangers -115.  A (as usual)  small hedge play on the Kings.  I see some folks are playing the Redwings tonight and indeed that might be the play of the night, however,  I just can't justify laying -190 (even in a parlay)  on a team that is barely over .500.  Anyway good luck to all tonight.
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chucksteratdiffcomputer (Anonymous Poster)
6 hour(s) 15 minute(s) ago - hide
Okay results yesterday in sports.  NBA:  Got a start up teaser off to a good start last night...Thank you Thunder -4.  NHL:  Ditto with a start up par play coming in...Thank you Caps -140. College basketball: Another friggin high ranked team gets clobbered last night against a inferior foe.  This time it was #11 Oregon who went on the road and got destroyed,  of course my two other selections made it through....Argg.  I can't wait for March madness to come and then be over with so I can lick my wounds on a fairly bad college basketball season for me. Congrats to winners  and back in a while with some picks.
1    0 Reply
Joe Kool (Anonymous Poster)
23 hour(s) 46 minute(s) ago - hide

@ walt 

i love how u say that Okc is overrated .. It's not so much that they great but it's about scenarios.. I took them because they wer at home today wher they do blowout bad teams  n had not played since Monday !!! 3 days rest n the Pelicans just played last night n won a close hard fought game n had to travel today to Okc!! Cmon walt, do be such a sucker to take double digit dogs!! 

0    5 Reply
chucksteratdiffcomputer (Anonymous Poster)
23 hour(s) 10 minute(s) ago - hide
@Joe "Stool": Really???  Your going to post  and slam Walter on a game that was 3.5 quarters already played??   "CLASSY." Not to mention Completely Worthless commentary. 
3    0 Reply
YAPPPP (Anonymous Poster)
7 hour(s) 13 minute(s) ago - hide

@joe kool

yappppp yappp  yappp... can you please provide a breakdown of your horrible SB pick?

1    0 Reply
PCorn 215 Posts (239 )
7 hour(s) 58 minute(s) ago - hide

NHL Friday

Feb 9-3 week 3-2

**Detroit -170 340/200. Line has been running on this. 

**Florida -120 120/100

GL

2    0 Reply
Cash $$ 28 Posts (42 )
8 hour(s) 40 minute(s) ago - hide

Yale -9

ASU +1

Monmouth -5

22-20

1    0 Reply
Quan sucks (Anonymous Poster)
20 hour(s) 46 minute(s) ago - hide
Stumbled across "Quan" on Twitter today.   Thought "Hey I remember him being decent on Walt's board."   Tailed his picks today.   Big mistake.  If anyone comes across him, don't bother.  Must've lost his mojo.  Down a looooot today.  
7    0 Reply
nba (Anonymous Poster)
23 hour(s) 2 minute(s) ago - hide
@Joe Kool  u can't trash talk while the games almost over. That's weak.
2    0 Reply
BIGBoom1 (Anonymous Poster)
1 day(s) 4 hour(s) ago - hide

@PCorn 

where did you get it at -150?

0    0 Reply
PCorn 215 Posts (239 )
1 day(s) 2 hour(s) ago - hide

@BIGBoom1 

line opened -135 

This morning I hit it at -140 and then added at -160 for a -150 average 

this line is now -165 to -180 

GL

2    0 Reply
BIGBoom1 (Anonymous Poster)
1 day(s) 0 hour(s) ago - hide

@PCorn 

Cool thanks. Good Luck tonight. always enjoy your picks. 

1    0 Reply
chucksteratdiffcomputer (Anonymous Poster)
1 day(s) 2 hour(s) ago - hide
College basketball:  Three team teaser with:  Iowa +11.5, Oregon +9.5,  Mercer +9.5.  NBA: Three team open teaser with: Thunder -4,  two open.  A little scary going against Walters pick (albeit my play is teased)  as Walter usually has a good sense of value plays,  especially value with the dogs.  Room enough for all to be happy,  we will see.  NHL:  Three team open par with the Caps - 130,  two open and as usual a very small hedge play on the comeback with MN.  GLTA  tonight.
1    0 Reply
billy Baroo (Anonymous Poster)
2 day(s) 3 hour(s) ago - hide
Are you taking into account that the pistons are retiring billups jersey tonight? Last time they retired someone's jersey they beat the best team in the nba (warriors). Just sayin
2    3 Reply
Piggy Back (Anonymous Poster)
2 day(s) 2 hour(s) ago - hide

Detroit is also 8-0 ATS at home against teams under .500.

 

2    2 Reply
Walter 1842 Posts (2410 )
1 day(s) 3 hour(s) ago - hide

@billy Baroo 

I feel like that's usually more of a distraction than anything

1    0 Reply
Better numbers (Anonymous Poster)
1 day(s) 4 hour(s) ago - hide
@BIGBoom1 my house -165 
0    0 Reply
PCorn 215 Posts (239 )
1 day(s) 4 hour(s) ago - hide

NHL Thursday

Feb 8-3, week 2-2

**Edmonton -150 300/200

GL

1    0 Reply
Cash $$ 28 Posts (42 )
3 day(s) 6 hour(s) ago - hide

Akron - 4.5

Dallas Mavericks -1.5

VT\Virginia under 133

18-15

1    0 Reply
Cash $$ 28 Posts (42 )
2 day(s) 5 hour(s) ago - hide

@Cash $$ 

Iowa State -2

Loyola vs Bradley over 120

San Jose State +15.5

20-16

1    0 Reply
Cash $$ 28 Posts (42 )
1 day(s) 5 hour(s) ago - hide

@Cash $$ 

Murray State -6.5

VCU -11

Temple +5

21-18

1    0 Reply
myoung81 38 Posts (51 )
1 day(s) 6 hour(s) ago - hide

Taking  Wizards +1.5

12-9 NBA

2    0 Reply
chucksteratdiffcomputer (Anonymous Poster)
1 day(s) 6 hour(s) ago - hide
A small downturn in yesterdays sports.  NBA: Closed and won a three team teaser...Thank you Spurs and  Cavs.  However I ran into bad luck with GST (teased down to -8) vs. the Suns.  Sure would have been nice to know that the Warriors Coach was going to PULL Curry for the ENTIRE fourth quarter.  Warriors were up by 16 after three and I guess he was "saving"  Curry  to be somewhat  fresh for the All Star game.  Anyway the Suns were 8 points better than the Warriors in the fourth quarter giving me a push/equals loss for this game.....ARGG.  In NHL: Penguins lay down at home to the Rangers and get shut out costing me some coin, even with a small hedge play on the Penguins. Congrats to winners and back soon with a very small board to choose from today.
0    0 Reply
Duckyfrench (Anonymous Poster)
2 day(s) 2 hour(s) ago - hide

do yourselves a favor again and take 

texas Tech +2.5. 

1    0 Reply
Dolla Dolla Bills (Anonymous Poster)
2 day(s) 4 hour(s) ago - hide

NHL

Pitts/NYR Over 5

Pitts -1.5

NBA

Sac - 5

Tor - 6

Bos - 1

LA/Bos Under 211

Utah+6.5/Sac-1/Tor-2 (Teaser)

0    1 Reply
chucksteratdiffcomputer (Anonymous Poster)
2 day(s) 6 hour(s) ago - hide
NBA: Closing my on going  teaser from last night (Spurs) with: Spurs again at Pick and closing this teaser with Cavs - 7.5.  A start up teaser tonight with Clippers +9.5 and the Warriors either at -9 or (hopefully) -8.5,  one open.  I find no college game to my liking,  so a pass on that tonight. NHL:  In an ongoing par from last night, sticking the Penguins -140 in the second tier spot, one open.  I am still considering the Nuggets in NBA tonight,  so I'll post on that if it comes about.  GL tonight folks.
0    0 Reply
PCorn 215 Posts (239 )
2 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago - hide

NHL Wednesday

Feb: 8-2  Week: 2-1

3 game tonight:

**Pitt -140 140/100

Par for fun(I play the par but do not count pars in the totals)

**Senators +1.5 , Pitt ML, AZ ML (50/174)

GL

1    0 Reply
chucksteratdiffcomputer (Anonymous Poster)
2 day(s) 8 hour(s) ago - hide
Just so-so results in sports yesterday.  NHL:  My favorite par with  the Blues and the Blackhawks  got blown up real good with both Home teams losing.  I hedged against both teams but I still lose coin on the original play.  I did manage to get a start up par off to a good start with the Caps winning....two spots still open there.  NBA: Big boy basketball has been saving my bacon overall for the past month or so and again last night with the Warriors -6  closing and winning another NBA teaser for me.  I also get a start up teaser off to a good start with the Spurs (plus a half)  getting the win last night against Miami.  College basketball went South on me again last night as NC doesn't come close to covering their teased down line and friggin #5 Xavier gets destroyed  last night....Crazy stuff.  I do get a start up teaser off to a good start with Nova -6 covering easily.  Congrats to winners and back in a while with some picks.
0    0 Reply
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