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NBA Picks

NBA Picks (Oct. 28-Nov. 2): 4-1 (+$180)
NBA Picks (Nov. 3-9): 3-1-1 (+$290)
NBA Picks (Nov. 10-16): 5-1-1 (+$390)
NBA Picks (Nov. 17-23): 2-2 (-$130)
NBA Picks (Nov. 24-30): 4-1 (+$290)
NBA Picks (Dec. 1-7): 1-4 (-$340)
NBA Picks (Dec. 8-14): 0-2 (-$220)
NBA Picks (Dec. 15-21): 4-2 (+$180)
NBA Picks (Dec. 22-28): 3-4 (-$140)
NBA Picks (Dec. 29-Jan. 4): 3-2 (+$80)
NBA Picks (Jan. 5-11): 3-2-1 (+$80)
NBA Picks (Jan. 12-18): 3-2-1 (+$80)
NBA Picks (Jan. 19-25): 4-1 (+$290)

2014-15 NBA Picks: 39-25-4 (+$1,030)
2013-14 NBA Picks: 59-51-4 (+$760)
2012-13 NBA Picks: 51-45 (+$1,180)
2011-12 NBA Picks: 38-46-1 (-$3,005)
2010-11 NBA Picks: 113-89-4 (+$2,690)
2009-10 NBA Picks: 116-98-4 (+$1,375)
2008-09 NBA Picks: 122-119-6 (-$2,280)
2007-08 NBA Picks: 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Saturday, Jan. 24, 2015


Brooklyn Nets at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 4.5.

9:05 PM ET (Game 507-508)

I took the Nets over the Kings a few days ago because I liked how they had time off to fix some things. They covered that game, but were blown out the following night against the Clippers. That was just a talent mismatch, however, so I like their chances of bouncing back against a poor team that should not be favored by this many points.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Nets +4.5 (1 Unit)

LOADING COMMENTS...






Friday, Jan. 23, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


New Orleans Pelicans at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Pelicans by 6.5.

8:05 PM ET (Game 813-814)

I normally don't like taking road favorites, but I'm going to do that tonight. This isn't a high-volume game, so I don't think the high betting percentage on New Orleans matters all that much. The Pelicans should be able to win this game easily, as the Timberwolves have been awful since losing three of their starters.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -6.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100










Thursday, Jan. 22, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Boston Celtics at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 7.

10:05 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Blazers haven't been playing well lately. They've lost four of five, and their one victory was just a four-point triumph over lowly Sacramento. Portland lost a tough battle last night at Phoenix, so the team could be gassed for this contest. The Celtics, on the other hand, should be fresh, coming off two days of rest.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Celtics +7 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Wednesday, Jan. 21, 2015 (2-0, +$200)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Washington Bullets.
Line: Pick.

8:05 PM ET (Game 717-718)

I like the Thunder tonight. The team is on fire and should continue to stay hot. Oklahoma City would be favored if it didn't play last night, but that's not a big deal because the team is 5-1 against the spread on no rest when playing a team with rest.

NBA Pick: Thunder PK (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100


Brooklyn Nets at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 5.5.

10:05 PM ET (Game 721-722)

The Nets have been struggling for a while now, but they've had a rough schedule with very little rest. They just had three days off, however, which may have allowed them to work on stuff. The Kings, meanwhile, haven't won in a while either, so I don't think they deserve to be favored by this much.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Nets +5.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Monday, Jan. 19, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 10.5.

10:05 PM ET (Game 721-722)

The Lakers have dropped four in a row, so this spread has been inflated to compensate for that. Most of their losses have been close though, and they even battled tough opponents like the Cavaliers and Blazers. The Suns, meanwhile, have a three-game stretch coming up against the Blazers, Rockets and Clippers, which they could be looking ahead to. They may look past the lowly Lakers.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Lakers +10.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Saturday, Jan. 17, 2015 (1-1, -$10)


Philadelphia 76ers at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Pistons by 13.

7:35 PM ET (Game 503-504)

Detroit is hot, but no one has been paying attention to the 76ers, who have covered five of their previous seven games. I think this spread is too high; the Pistons have failed to beat the number the last two times they were favorites.

NBA Pick: 76ers +13 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110


Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 12.

9:05 PM ET (Game 511-512)

The Nuggets are coming off two tough games against the Mavericks and have another taxing battle coming up against Golden State on Monday. They may look past the Timberwolves, who have covered four of the past five times they were double-digit underdogs.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves +12 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Jan. 16, 2015 (2-0, +$200)


Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 3.

10:05 PM ET (Game 823-824)

These teams are about even, but I think Miami has a big edge tonight in that it doesn't play again until Tuesday. The Kings, on the other hand, have to take on the Clippers tomorrow night, so they could have one eye on that game.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Heat +3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100


Cleveland Cavaliers at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 8.

10:35 PM ET (Game 825-826)

Buying on bad news is usually a good idea when it comes to stock trading. It also applies to sports betting, and the bad news here is that Cleveland is dysfunctional. The Cavaliers could easily turn things around though, given the amount of talent they have. The Clippers are just favored by too much tonight.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers +8 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Wednesday, Jan. 14, 2015 (0-0-1, $0)


Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 15.

10:35 PM ET (Game 717-718)

Too many points. Miami has played well lately, winning three of four, so I like it to cover, even if Dwyane Wade doesn't play. The Warriors have games against the Thunder and Rockets coming up this weekend, so they could be looking ahead. It's also worth mentioning that Golden State is just 3-6 ATS at home as a favorite of 13.5 or more.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Heat +15 (1 Unit) -- Push; $0





Tuesday, Jan. 13, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


San Antonio Spurs at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 1.

7:05 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Spurs have been a great fade this year, but they've quietly been playing better lately, having won four of five. Washington, meanwhile, could have one eye on its game against Chicago tomorrow night.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Spurs +1 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Friday, Jan. 9, 2015 (0-1-1, -$110)


Chicago Bulls at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 1.

8:05 PM ET (Game 807-808)

The Bulls were just blown out by the Jazz, but they overlooked their opponent. They'll be more focused on this contest, and they should be able to beat the Bullets, who have dropped three of their previous five, which includes a win over the dreadful Knicks by only 10 points.

NBA Pick: Bulls +1 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110


Phoenix Suns at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 5.

8:35 PM ET (Game 815-816)

This spread doesn't make much sense to me, as the Spurs are still inflated based on last year's championship. They haven't played well lately, covering four of their previous 12. The Suns, meanwhile are red hot, so I like them to perhaps win outright tonight.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Suns +5 (1 Unit) -- Push; $0





Thursday, Jan. 8, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Miami Heat at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 8.

10:35 PM ET (Game 505-506)

I'm upset I missed +10 and +9 - thanks for betting it down, sharps - but I still think Miami is the right side at +8. Portland's recent game saw the team barely beat the Lakers despite Los Angeles being on no rest. That was telling. The Heat, coming off three days off, should be able to cover.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Heat +8 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Utah Jazz at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 10.5.

8:05 PM ET (Game 713-714)

The Jazz are 6-4 in their previous 10 games, so I don't think Chicago should be favored by so many points. The Bulls haven't been covering against inferior competition, so they may not take Utah seriously following a big win over Houston.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Jazz +10.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Monday, Jan. 5, 2015 (2-0, +$200)


Charlotte Hornets at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 5.5.

7:35 PM ET (Game 705-706)

I discussed why the Hornets are a bit underrated during Saturday's pick. I like them again, especially against this crap Boston team that has dropped six of its previous seven.

NBA Pick: Hornets +5.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100


Atlanta Hawks at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 5.5.

10:35 PM ET (Game 719-720)

I'm also taking the 5.5-point underdog in this game. The Hawks have won 18 of 20 since Thanksgiving, while the Clippers haven't been challenged at all since Christmas, so Atlanta could make things difficult for them.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hawks +5.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Saturday, Jan. 3, 2015 (1-0, +$100)


Charlotte Hornets at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 4.

7:05 PM ET (Game 501-502)

Maybe I'll have better luck going against the Magic tonight. The Hornets had a stretch in which they won four games in a row. They've suffered five consecutive defeats heading into this contest, but four of their previous opponents have been tough foes. Orlando is a major step down, and Charlotte also has revenge going for it as well.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hornets +4 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Jan. 2, 2015 (0-1, -$110)


Brooklyn Nets at Orlando Magic.
Line: Nets by 2.5.

7:05 PM ET (Game 803-804)

The Nets have been hot lately, winning five of six, which includes victories over Chicago and Sacramento. They also don't have a game tomorrow, so they'll be focused. Orlando, conversely, has to play tomorrow night.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Nets -2.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Wednesday, Dec. 31, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


New Orleans Pelicans at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 4.5.

7:05 PM ET (Game 709-710)

I went with the Spurs last night, which ended up costing me. Maybe going against them tonight will work. They're missing a couple of starters, while the Pelicans have been hot lately, covering four of their previous five.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +4.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Dec. 30, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 2.

8:05 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Spurs have not met expectations this year, but they're coming off a nice win versus Houston, so perhaps that's a positive sign going forward. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, are struggling as well. They've dropped four of five without Zach Randolph. I like the Spurs tonight.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Spurs +2 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Monday, Dec. 29, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Milwaukee Bucks at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 3.

7:05 PM ET (Game 703-704)

This spread is off. The Bucks are a much better team, as they're just a few days removed from crushing the Hawks by 30. The Hornets won four in a row recently, but they've played badly in their previous two contests, both of which were losses. Charlotte beat Milwaukee a week ago, so this is a revenge spot for the latter.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bucks +3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Saturday, Dec. 27, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


New Orleans Pelicans at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 10.

8:05 PM ET (Game 509-510)

This is a high number, which is inflated because the Pelicans just played last night. However, they're still a young team, so being on the court with no rest has no effect on them. In fact, they're a perfect 5-0 ATS on no rest when battling a team with rest. The Bulls are hot, but they're favored by too much over a solid New Orleans squad.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +10 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Dec. 26, 2014 (1-1, -$10)


Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 9.

7:35 PM ET (Game 807-808)

The Hawks have beaten four tough opponents in a row, triumphing over the Cavaliers, Rockets, Mavericks and Clippers. Now, they go from underdogs to favorites, and they've had all Christmas break to hear about how great they are. They could be flat tonight against a Milwaukee squad that has played well recently.

NBA Pick: Bucks +9 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100


Charlotte Hornets at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 7.

8:05 PM ET (Game 813-814)

As we've learned, the Thunder isn't the same team without Kevin Durant. It should upset the Spurs yesterday, but San Antonio wasn't taking that game seriously. I don't know if Oklahoma City can cover this spread, especially considering that the Hornets have been hot lately, winning their previous four.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hornets +7 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Thursday, Dec. 25, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 1.5.

10:35 PM ET (Game 509-510)

The Clippers have been in a major funk lately, failing to cover their previous five games. They've generally disappointed most of this season. The Warriors are the better team, and we're getting points with them. That might explain why the sharps have taken them today.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Warriors +1.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Tuesday, Dec. 23, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 1.5.

9:05 PM ET (Game 719-720)

This seems like a square play to me, but sometimes, the square side is the right side. The Suns haven't been home in more than a week, so they could be dealing with distractions. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are the superior team. They lost last night, so they could be determined to get back on the winning track.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +1.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Monday, Dec. 22, 2014 (1-1, -$10)


Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 8.5.

8:05 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Grizzlies have predictably fallen back to Earth following their impressive wins over the Warriors and Spurs. They've dropped two in a row, including a game last night against the Cavaliers. On a quick turn-around, they could be gassed against a Jazz squad that has covered four of its previous five games. Utah doesn't play again until Saturday, so it'll be focused for this contest.

NBA Pick: Jazz +8.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100


Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 11.

10:35 PM ET (Game 513-514)

The sharps have bet the Kings tonight, and it's easy to see why. This spread is just way inflated because of Golden State's recent success. The Warriors have another game tomorrow night, so they could have one eye on that. The Kings, meanwhile, have been playing better lately. They've dropped two of three, but their two losses were both very close against quality opponents.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Kings +11 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Saturday, Dec. 20, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Indiana Pacers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 3.5.

9:05 PM ET (Game 511-512)

The Pacers seem like the right side. They've had a couple of days off, while the Nuggets played a tough game last night. They beat the Clippers and seem like they're due for a letdown. The sharps agree, as they've bet down Indiana despite an overwhelming amount of action on Denver.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pacers +3.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Dec. 19, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Portland Trailblazers at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 4.5.

8:05 PM ET (Game 815-816)

The Spurs have been a nice fade lately. They're 2-4 in their previous six games, with their wins coming against the terrible Knicks and Nuggets. They have to be exhausted following their triple-overtime loss to Memphis, and they have another game tomorrow night at Dallas and the newly acquired Rajon Rondo.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers +4.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Thursday, Dec. 18, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 2.5.

10:35 PM ET (Game 507-508)

The Warriors appear to be in a funk, and I like the Thunder to win this game. Oklahoma City is a desperate team because it knows it needs to rack up as many victories as possible to get back into the playoff picture. There's sharp action on the Thunder.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Thunder +2.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Wednesday, Dec. 17, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Milwaukee Bucks at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 10.

10:05 PM ET (Game 715-716)

I normally don't like to pick teams that have to play the following night, but the Bucks are 6-1 ATS in such situations, so they're fine. With that in mind, this spread is too high. A lot is being made over the Jabari Parker injury, but the Bucks should still be OK. Portland, meanwhile, is a bit overrated. The Trailblazers haven't beaten a quality opponent in more than a month. They defeated San Antonio a couple of nights ago, but all the Spurs' regulars were out. The Bucks should be able to give them a tough game.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bucks +10 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Dec. 16, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 3.

8:05 PM ET (Game 509-510)

This is being billed as a big game, but the Grizzlies could have one eye on tomorrow's matchup against the Spurs. The Warriors could be more focused, so I like getting three points with them versus a Memphis team that barely beat Charlotte and Philadelphia recently.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Warriors +3 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Monday, Dec. 15, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Milwaukee Bucks at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 5.5.

9:05 PM ET (Game 711-712)

I've been stuck on 19 wins for a while, so I need to get on the winning track. I think the Bucks are the right side tonight. Phoenix had a tough game yesterday against the Thunder, while the Bucks have been playing well, covering seven of their previous 10 games.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bucks +5.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Saturday, Dec. 13, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic.
Line: Hawks by 3.

7:05 PM ET (Game 503-504)

The sharps have bet this from +4 to +3, probably because they think Orlando is a good play in the wake of the Hawks' win over the Magic the previous night. What I think they're missing is that road favorites are an OK 71-65 ATS versus a team they just beat as home favorites. The Hawks are simply better than the Magic, so I'm going to take the value and wager a unit on Atlanta.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hawks -3 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Tuesday, Dec. 9, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


New York Knicks at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 6.5.

8:05 PM ET (Game 707-708)

The Knicks are an awful team, but this seems like the right time to take them. They've been playing hard and covering spreads, as they are desperate for a win. The Pelicans, meanwhile, have a big game at Dallas tomorrow night, so they probably won't be up for this contest.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Knicks +6.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Saturday, Dec. 6, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


New Orleans Pelicans at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 9.

10:35 PM ET (Game 511-512)

I'm going to try the Pelicans again. The Clippers, following their victory over the Dwight Howard-less Rockets, have beaten some pretty pedestrian teams, which has improved their record and increased this spread as a result. It also must be noted that home teams have losing records with all three refs in this game.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +9 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Friday, Dec. 5, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 1.5.

8:35 PM ET (Game 819-820)

I went against the sharps last night, but I'm with them this time. The Bucks are coming off two brutal losses to the Cavaliers and Mavericks, so they could be spent. Miami has dropped three of four, but it has lost to some pretty decent teams. The Heat should cover against an easier foe. Also, home teams are just 202-237 ATS when Zach Zarba officiates.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Heat +1.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Thursday, Dec. 4, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 9.5.

10:35 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The sharps have bet up the Warriors, but that has created some line value with the Pelicans. Golden State has an awesome record, but guess how many teams it has played this year that currently have a winning record? TWO! The Warriors have beaten up on crap teams all season, and the Pelicans are a solid team (albeit at .500) that can steal a win here. Also, home teams don't have winning records with any of the three NBA refs in tonight's contest.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +9.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Tuesday, Dec. 2, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Dallas Mavericks at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 1.

8:05 PM ET (Game 511-512)

I'm taking the Mavericks tonight. Chicago is playing its first home game in a couple of weeks, so there could be distractions for the players. Derrick Rose will also be on the court tonight, but with another contest tomorrow, he could be a bit limited. Keep this in mind as well: Home teams are just 178-244 ATS when Tony Brothers officiates.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +1 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Monday, Dec. 1, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Miami Heat at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 5.

7:05 PM ET (Game 701-702)

The oddsmakers haven't adjusted this spread for Nene's injury. The Bullets haven't covered a game since Nene has gotten hurt, and he's doubtful for tonight's contest. Miami is playing better basketball right now, so I'm taking them. I'm not a fan of the fact that they played yesterday, but the Heat is 2-1 ATS this year when on no rest and battling a team with rest. Also, all three NBA refs assigned to this game have a negative ATS record pertaining to home teams.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Heat +5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Sunday, Nov. 30, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Orlando Magic at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 10.5.

8:05 PM ET (Game 811-812)

Like the other two games this weekend, this spread has been inflated because the favorite has beaten up on crappy teams. The Suns have won five of seven, but their victories have come against the Celtics, Pistons, 76ers, Pacers and Nuggets. That's not impressive at all. Orlando, meanwhile, has dropped four straight, but three of its foes have been tough (Heat, Cavaliers, Warriors). Also, we get another opportunity to fade Scott Foster; home teams are now an alarming 188-251 ATS when he officiates.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Magic +10.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Saturday, Nov. 29, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Houston Rockets at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 3.

9:05 PM ET (Game 509-510)

The sharps have bet this up from pick to -3, but I'm going the other way. In addition to the spread value created by the line movement, we have a situation like last night in which an inferior team that has beaten up on crappy opponents is favored over a superior foe. Additionally, all three NBA refs tonight have a negative record pertaining to hosts.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Rockets +3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Nov. 28, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers.
Line: Trail Blazers by 4.

10:05 PM ET (Game 721-722)

The Grizzlies and Blazers have similar records, but one team is clearly better than the other. Whereas Memphis has victories over tough opponents like the Rockets, Kings and Raptors, eight of Portland's previous nine wins have come against the Hornets (twice), 76ers, Celtics, Bulls (without Derrick Rose), Nets and Nuggets (twice). The toughest team they've beaten in this stretch was 7-6 New Orleans. On top of that, all three NBA refs tonight have a negative record pertaining to home teams.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +4 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Nov. 25, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Atlanta Hawks at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 4.5.

7:05 PM ET (Game 501-502)

In another opportunity to go against Scott Foster, I'm taking the Hawks. They floundered for a couple of games because they played the Cavaliers and then were flat after the loss. They should be up for this game, whereas the Bullets will be looking ahead to battling Cleveland tomorrow night. Washington will be without Nene, and the team has really struggled when he's been injured in the past.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hawks +4.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Monday, Nov. 24, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 9.

7:05 PM ET (Game 701-702)

The sharps are fading the Cavaliers once again, and so am I. This spread has dropped from +10 to +9, so we're not getting as much value on Orlando. However, the Magic is 7-2 against the spread in road games this year, while the struggling Cavaliers are still trying to figure themselves out. Also, keep in mind that Brent Barnaky is another ref you want to fade; home teams are only 94-120 ATS when he officiates.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Magic +9 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Saturday, Nov. 22, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 3.

7:35 PM ET (Game 705-706)

The sharps bet this down from +4.5 to +3, but I still think the Raptors are the right side. The Cavaliers will be dominant as this season progresses, but they're still finding themselves, just as Miami did a few years ago. This is a bigger game for Toronto, anyway. Oh, and I'd be remiss if I didn't mention that home teams are just 188-248 against the spread when NBA ref Scott Foster officiates games.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Raptors +3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Nov. 21, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Los Angeles Lakers at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 11.

8:35 PM ET (Game 517-518)

The Mavericks are playing great basketball, having won five in a row, but they have to travel to Houston tomorrow night for a big game, so they could be distracted. The Lakers have been better lately. They just won at Houston and Atlanta, so I don't see why they couldn't hang this number.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Lakers +11 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110







Wednesday, Nov. 19, 2014 (0-1, -$220)


Los Angeles Clippers at Orlando Magic.
Line: Clippers by 5.

7:05 PM ET (Game 505-506)

There's more money on the Clippers than any other team tonight, and I can't figure out why. Has anyone watched the Clippers play this year? There's a reason they are 1-8 against the spread. They also have to battle Miami tomorrow night, so they won't be fully focused. Meanwhile, the Magic have performed well lately, winning three of four. They have no distractions on the horizon, so they can fully concentrate on beating the Clippers tonight.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Magic +5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Monday, Nov. 17, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Chicago Bulls at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 6.

10:35 PM ET (Game 517-518)

The Clippers have covered just one game this year. That was against Phoenix after four days of rest when the Suns didn't have any. The Bulls, meanwhile, have been OK without Derrick Rose, and they don't have any tough games on the horizon, so they can fully concentrate on the Clippers tonight.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bulls +6 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Sunday, Nov. 16, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Houston Rockets at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Rockets by 5.

7:05 PM ET (Game 705-706)

There's so much money on a team that only beat the Sixers by one point. The Rockets are getting all of the action, but they've been sloppy ever since defeating the Spurs. The Thunder haven't been good either, but they haven't been as bad as their record indicates. They've only played four home games this season. In those contests, they've beaten the Nuggets and Kings, and they lost a close game to the Grizzlies. They did have a bad loss recently, but I like them to cover this contest.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Thunder +5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Saturday, Nov. 15, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Spurs by 1.5.

10:05 PM ET (Game 513-514)

The Spurs don't give it their all in some games during the regular season because they know they have to pace themselves to thrive in the playoffs. This might be a night where they take it easy, given that they played yesterday. The Kings, meanwhile, are a pretty decent team that has blown big leads on the road. They could have more success at home, and I think they'll take this game more seriously than San Antonio. Also keep in mind that there's a high percentage of action on the Spurs.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Kings +1.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Nov. 14, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 4.5.

7:35 PM ET (Game 705-706)

I normally don't like going with publicly backed teams with the Heat, but they seem like the right side tonight. The Hawks, as I mentioned, are overrated following their sweep of the Knicks. Miami won at Dallas recently, so it could easily upset Atlanta tonight.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Heat +4.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Thursday, Nov. 13, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 6.

8:05 PM ET (Game 503-504)

The Grizzlies have an impressive 7-1 record, but they haven't played very well lately. They've barely squeaked by awful teams like the Thunder and Lakers, and they also lost at Milwaukee. The Kings should be able to hang this number.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Kings +6 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Wednesday, Nov. 12, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Utah Jazz at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 7.

7:35 PM ET (Game 703-704)

The Hawks just beat up the Knicks twice, so they're a little overrated now. New York is terrible, while Atlanta is good, but not great enough to be favored over a pretty decent Jazz team.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Jazz +7 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Nov. 11, 2014 (0-0-1, $0)


Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 8.

8:35 PM ET (Game 507-508)

This spread is too high. The Mavericks have not been playing good basketball lately, failing to cover three of their previous four. The Kings, meanwhile, are 5-2. They are coming off a loss, but they were battling a desperate Thunder team. Sacramento will perform better tonight.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Kings +8 (1 Unit) -- Push; $0





Monday, Nov. 10, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks.
Line: Hawks by 1.5.

7:35 PM ET (Game 705-706)

The public is on the Knicks. The sharps are taking the Hawks. I'm with the sharps. The Knicks are still overrated following their fluke victory over the Cavaliers; their only other victory this season has been against the Hornets by three in a non-cover. Atlanta is the better team, and isn't favored by enough.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hawks -1.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Saturday, Nov. 8, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 7.5.

7:35 PM ET (Game 707-708)

The Heat and the Timberwolves are two pretty average teams, so this spread seems like it's too high - especially with Miami having a big game against Dallas tomorrow. The Heat may not take this contest seriously.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves +7.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Friday, Nov. 7, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Cleveland Cavaliers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Cavaliers by 5.

10:35 PM ET (Game 521-522)

I feel like a square by taking the Cavaliers, but I think they're the right side tonight. Much is being made of their losing streak, but they've lost to a couple of decent teams in the Jazz and Blazers. The Nuggets are not a good squad; they even lost to the Thunder last weekend. The Cavaliers will be focused to get back on the winning track, so I think they'll get it done tonight.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers -5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Wednesday, Nov. 5, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Atlanta Hawkins at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 8.

8:35 PM ET (Game 515-516)

The Spurs don't give it their all in most of their regular-season games, which means that fading them can often be profitable. This spread is just too high; the Hawks are a solid team, and it seems like a victory would mean more to them than it would to San Antonio.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hawks +8 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2014 (0-0-1, $0)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 12.

7:35 PM ET (Game 703-704)

This spread is ridiculous. Raptors by 12? They are not that good. Everyone is overreacting to Oklahoma City's loss yesterday, yet the Thunder has beaten the Nuggets and took the Clippers down to the wire without Russell Westbrook.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Thunder +12 (1 Unit) -- Push; $0





Monday, Nov. 3, 2014 (1-0, +$200)


Utah Jazz at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 9.

10:35 PM ET (Game 511-512)

The Clippers are not as good as everyone thinks they are. They barely beat the Kevin Durant- and Russell Westbrook-less Thunder and horrible Lakers, and then they lost to the Kings yesterday. The Jazz are closer to the Clippers than this spread indicates, yet the public continues to pound Los Angeles at a 70-percent clip.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Jazz +9 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





Sunday, Nov. 2, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 10.

3:35 PM ET (Game 701-702)

The Clippers are 2-0, but they've underachieved in both games, failing to cover their double-digit spreads. I don't see why they'd suddenly do it. The Kings aren't terrible, so they should be able to play close. I also have my eye on the Hornets today, but I want them at +4.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Kings +10 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Saturday, Nov. 1, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Phoenix Suns at Utah Jazz.
Line: Suns by 2.5.

9:05 PM ET (Game 521-522)

The Suns had a huge victory over the Spurs last night. They now have to travel and battle a desperate Utah team, so I expect the host to play with more intensity.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Jazz +2.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Oct. 31, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Cleveland Cavaliers at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 3.5.

8:05 PM ET (Game 703-704)

Overreaction, much? The public has bet up the Bulls from -2.5 to -3.5 in the wake of Cleveland's loss to New York last night. We're getting some value with the Cavaliers, who were simply distracted. It was a bad loss, but the Knicks deserve credit for getting up for a game after being embarrassed. I think Cleveland bounces back tonight.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers +3.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Thursday, Oct. 30, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 13.

10:35 PM ET (Game 509-510)

Not a good start to the season, but hopefully I can rebound tonight. This spread is an overreaction to Oklahoma City's loss last night, as the public bet up the Clippers from -9.5 to -13. There's been sharp action on Oklahoma City +13. Don't be concerned about a revenge spot; I doubt the Clippers view this as an opportunity to make for their playoff loss because Kevin Durant won't be on the court.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Thunder +13 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Oct. 28, 2014 (0-1, -$220)


Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Rockets by 7.

10:35 PM ET (Game 505-506)

I can't believe the NBA is back already. I figured I'd start on time this year. The Lakers look like the right side in this matchup; this definitely seems like a "no one believes in us" type of dynamic. Kobe Bryant has spent the entire offseason hearing about how he's a waste of money right now. I think he and his team come out strong with a victory here, though the Lakers will ultimately fade away into oblivion by January or February.

It's also worth noting that Vegas has a liability on this game, as there is more action on the Rockets tonight than any of the six NBA sides.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Lakers +7 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




NFL Picks - Jan. 25


2015 NFL Mock Draft - Jan. 21


2016 NFL Mock Draft - Jan. 18


2015 NBA Mock Draft - Jan. 7


Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 5


NFL Free Agents





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