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College Basketball Picks


College Basketball Picks (Nov. 10-16): 2-2 (-$50)
College Basketball Picks (Nov. 17-23): 6-4 (+$400)
College Basketball Picks (Nov. 24-30): 3-3 (+$150)
College Basketball Picks (Dec. 1-7): 2-7 (-$1,160)
College Basketball Picks (Dec. 8-14): 1-2 (-$460)
College Basketball Picks (Jan. 19-25): 0-1 (-$330)
College Basketball Picks (Jan. 26-Feb. 1): 4-4 (-$200)
College Basketball Picks (Feb. 2-8): 7-4 (+$490)
College Basketball Picks (Feb. 9-15): 7-5-1 (+$60)
College Basketball Picks (Feb. 16-22): 8-5 (+$700)
College Basketball Picks (Feb. 23-March 1): 3-4-1 (-$290)
College Basketball Picks (March 2-8): 8-3 (+$1,460)
College Basketball Picks (March 9-15): 4-3 (+$150)
College Basketball Picks (March 16-22): 4-5 (-$210)
College Basketball Picks (March 23-29): 3-1 (+$470)
College Basketball Picks (April 4-6): 2-0 (+$500)

College Basketball Picks (Reg Season 2008-09): 66-53-2 (+$1,680)


Monday, April 6, 2009 (1-0, +$300)


Michigan State (31-6) at North Carolina (33-4)
Line: North Carolina by 7.5.


I had North Carolina winning in my brackets, and I'm not backing off now. Tom Izzo is an incredible coach, but the Tar Heels just have way more talent than anyone else. As I've said repeatedly, it's a joke that they weren't ranked No. 1 all year.


College Basketball Pick: North Carolina 85, Michigan State 74
North Carolina -7.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300









Saturday, April 4, 2009 (1-0, +$200)


Villanova (30-7) at North Carolina (32-4)
Line: North Carolina by 7.


I have North Carolina beating Villanova in my pool, so I'm not going to change that now. The Wildcats could win, but I really like the Tar Heels here. They're just far and away the most talented team in college basketball, and it's a joke that they weren't ranked No. 1 all year.


College Basketball Pick: North Carolina 90, Villanova 77
North Carolina -7 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200







Sunday, March 29, 2009 (0-1, -$330)


Michigan State (29-6) at Louisville (31-5)
Line: Louisville by 6.5.


Tom Izzo has once again done a great job with his Spartans, but I had Michigan State losing in the Elite Eight for a reason - I can't see the team hanging with Louisville. The Cardinals are just that good.


College Basketball Pick: Louisville 75, Michigan State 61
Louisville -6.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330




Saturday, March 28, 2009 (1-0, +$300)


Villanova (29-7) at Pittsburgh (31-4)
Line: Pittsburgh by 2.


I had Villanova going to the Final Four in my bracket. The Wildcats beat the Panthers by 10 the first time they met, and I think the same thing could happen here. Pittsburgh has been really unimpressive; they struggled against East Tennessee State and Oklahoma State, and probably should have lost to Xavier.


College Basketball Pick: Villanova 70, Pittsburgh 60
Villanova +2 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Friday, March 27, 2009 (1-0, +$200)


Kansas (27-7) at Michigan State (28-6)
Line: Michigan State by 1.5.


By my standards, Kansas is really flawed; they're just way too young. I like Michigan State's experience and size.


College Basketball Pick: Michigan State 77, Kansas 70
Michigan State -1.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Thursday, March 26, 2009 (1-0, +$300)


Xavier (27-7) at Pittsburgh (30-4)
Line: Pittsburgh by 6.5.


Pittsburgh hasn't advanced past the Sweet 16 since the 70s. Yet, they're supposed to win by at least seven? I'm not buying it.


College Basketball Pick: Xavier 72, Pittsburgh 70
Xavier +6.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Sunday, March 22, 2009 (1-0, +$200)


USC (22-12) at Michigan State (27-6)
Line: Michigan State by 4.


USC clobbered Boston College, so that may have dropped the line down a point or two. I'm not buying into that win; the Eagles suck, and the only reason I had them winning is because I was also down on the Trojans. Michigan State is a vastly superior team and should be able to handle business.


College Basketball Pick: Michigan State 77, USC 63
Michigan State -4 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Saturday, March 21, 2009 (1-1, +$80)


UCLA (26-8) at Villanova (27-7)
Line: Villanova by 1.5.


This line is a lot lower than it should be. Villanova struggled against a very good American team, while UCLA beat everyone's favorite darlings in VCU. If you take out Thursday's games, this line would be -3 or -4, so we're getting very good value here with the Wildcats.


College Basketball Pick: Villanova 76, UCLA 67
Villanova -1.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300



LSU (27-7) at North Carolina (29-4)
Line: North Carolina by 11.


North Carolina looked very impressive in the first round, while LSU struggled to get by Butler. This line is a bit higher than it should be, considering that North Carolina seldom blows teams out (first-round result excluded).


College Basketball Pick: North Carolina 85, LSU 80
LSU +11 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Friday, March 20, 2009 (1-0, +$300)


Siena (26-7) at Ohio State (22-10)
Line: Ohio State by 3.


OK, so the stuff I was doing throughout the regular season apparently doesn't work in the NCAA Tournament. Well, maybe what I should have done yesterday is go against the crappy Big Ten, which only deserved two teams (Michigan State and Purdue) in the NCAA Tournament.


College Basketball Pick: Siena 78, Ohio State 67
Siena +3 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Thursday, March 19, 2009 (0-3, -$770)


Binghamton (23-8) at Duke (28-6)
Line: Duke by 22.


Binghamton hasn't lost in two months, while Duke hasn't beaten anyone by more than 11 points since Groundhog Day. Duke lives and dies by the three, and it should be noted that the Bearcats surrender just 31.7 percent from beyond the arc.


College Basketball Pick: Duke 78, Binghamton 70
Binghamton +22 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330



Radford (21-11) at North Carolina (28-4)
Line: North Carolina by 25.


North Carolina seldom blows teams out and Radford hasn't lost by double digits in a while. The thing here is that Ty Lawson probably won't play.


College Basketball Pick: North Carolina 90, Radford 76
Radford +25 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



UT-Chattanooga (18-16) at Connecticut (27-4)
Line: Connecticut by 20.5.


Chattanooga hasn't been blown out in a while, and Connecticut hasn't been the same team without Jerome Dyson. Since Dyson's injury, the Huskies are just 4-3, and their margin of victory has been: 8, 14, 11 and 7.


College Basketball Pick: Connecticut 76, UT-Chattanooga 64
UT-Chattanooga +20.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Wednesday, March 18, 2009 (1-0, +$200)


Bowling Green (19-13) at Creighton (26-7)
Line: Creighton by 11.5.


I feel this line was set too high; Bowling Green hasn't lost by more than eight since the middle of January, while Creighton doesn't usually blow other teams out.


College Basketball Pick: Creighton 69, Bowling Green 68
Bowling Green +11.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Tuesday, March 17, 2009 (0-1, -$220)


Weber State (21-9) at San Diego State (23-9)
Line: San Diego State by 12.5.


Weber State hasn't lost by double digits since late December. San Diego State, meanwhile, hasn't beaten this spread since early February.


College Basketball Pick: San Diego State 72, Weber State 70
Weber State +12.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Sunday, March 15, 2009 (0-1, -$110)


Florida State (24-8) at Duke (27-6)
Line: Duke by 6.


I was hoping this line would be a lot higher. Florida State seldom gets blown out, and Duke often keeps things close as well.


College Basketball Pick: Duke 65, Florida State 64
Florida State +6 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110




Saturday, March 14, 2009


Florida State (23-8) at North Carolina (27-3)
Line: North Carolina by 9.


I went with Florida State against Duke a week ago because the Seminoles seldom get blown out. I'm going with them again here; North Carolina has only one huge victory in the past month, and Ty Lawson's injury will likely keep it that way.


College Basketball Pick: North Carolina 72, Florida State 69
Florida State +9 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Friday, March 13, 2009 (0-1, -$330)


Ball State (13-16) at Buffalo (19-10)
Line: Buffalo by 7.5.


Once again, the oddsmakers are basing this line completely on the records of these two squads. Buffalo may be 19-10, but they haven't beaten a team by more than THREE points since Feb. 12. Ball State, meanwhile, hasn't suffered a loss greater than four points since Feb. 11. So, shouldn't this line be 3.5 or something?


College Basketball Pick: Ball State 63, Buffalo 60
Ball State +7.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330




Thursday, March 12, 2009 (1-0, +$200)


Wyoming (18-12) at New Mexico (21-10)
Line: New Mexico by 9.5.


This game should be pretty close. Wyoming has been competitive in every game they've played since the beginning of February, while New Mexico hasn't really blowed... blewed... uhh... blowned out many opponents recently.


College Basketball Pick: New Mexico 76, Wyoming 74
Wyoming +9.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Wednesday, March 11, 2009 (1-0, +$200)


SMU (9-19) at Houston (18-10)
Line: Houston by 11.


Here's what I wrote on Saturday:

Save for one game (understandably against Memphis), SMU hasn't gotten blown out since Jan. 28. As for Houston, the team is 2-3 in its previous five contests. Both of the victories were by five points.

Here's what I'm writing today:

Gooooo SMUUUU!!!


College Basketball Pick: Houston 71, SMU 69
SMU +11 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Tuesday, March 10, 2009 (1-0, +$200)


Northern Illinois (10-19) at Kent State (18-13)
Line: Kent State by 12.


Since the second week of February, Northern Illinois is 4-4. Two of the four losses were decided by five or less. Meanwhile, check out Kent State's margin of victory since Feb. 3: 4, 6, 3, 13, 4, 3 and 7. The Flashes don't blow teams out.


College Basketball Pick: Kent State 69, Northern Illinois 67
Northern Illinois +12 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Monday, March 9, 2009 (0-1, -$110)


North Texas (19-11) at Western Kentucky (21-8)
Line: Western Kentucky by 4.5.


Not much to choose from tonight, but North Texas looks appealing. Western Kentucky has been here before, so they know what it takes. That also means that everyone expects them to win, and that could be too much for a group of kids. North Texas is a good team; since the beginning of February, the Mean Green have lost just twice - by margins of three and four points.


College Basketball Pick: North Texas 77, Western Kentucky 72
North Texas +4.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110




Sunday, March 8, 2009 (1-0, +$200)


Eastern Michigan (7-23) at Ball State (13-15)
Line: Ball State by 8.


The oddsmakers are once again basing this point spread entirely off the records of these two teams (i.e. public perception). Eastern Michigan played terrible basketball earlier in the year, but they've been "hot" lately. By "hot," I mean that they're 4-4 straight up and 7-1 against the spread in their last eight, and their losses in that period have been by 5, 8, 9 and 12. I doubt they get blown out by a horrific Ball State squad that has won its recent games by 7, 2, 4 and 9. The Cardinals don't have a double-digit victory since the middle of January.


College Basketball Pick: Eastern Michigan 58, Ball State 57
Eastern Michigan +8 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Saturday, March 7, 2009 (2-1, +$280)


Duquesne (18-10) at Dayton (24-6)
Line: Dayton by 6.


Interesting that this line is six... Duquesne hasn't lost by six or more since the middle of January. Dayton, meanwhile, is just 3-4 in its last seven, and the three victories have been by six or less.


College Basketball Pick: Duquesne 73, Dayton 72
Duquesne +6 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



SMU (9-19) at Houston (18-10)
Line: Houston by 15.


Save for one game (understandably against Memphis), SMU hasn't gotten blown out since Jan. 28. As for Houston, the team is 2-3 in its previous five contests. Both of the victories were by five points.


College Basketball Pick: Houston 71, SMU 69
SMU +15 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300



Air Force (9-19) at BYU (23-6)
Line: BYU by 22.


This is yet another instance where Vegas has set a line based on the records of the two teams and not how they've been playing recently. Air Force hasn't won in a billion years, but check out its margin of defeat in recent games: 3, 3, 5, 12, 15, 10. Not bad. BYU, meanwhile, hasn't beaten anyone by more than 16 points since Feb. 11.


College Basketball Pick: BYU 73, Air Force 63
Air Force +22 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Friday, March 6, 2009 (1-0, +$200)


LMU (3-27) at San Diego (15-15)
Line: San Diego by 14.


It may seem odd to say that a 3-27 team isn't getting much respect, but the fact remains that this line isn't indicative of how these teams have played recently. LMU was 5-2 against the spread in February. Only one of the losses - at Gonzaga - was a blowout. San Diego, meanwhile, hasn't beaten anyone by more than 10 points since Jan. 17.


College Basketball Pick: San Diego 61, LMU 56
LMU +14 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Thursday, March 5, 2009 (1-0, +$200)


Stanford (16-11) at Arizona State (21-7)
Line: Arizona State by 9.5.


Stanford has been playing some tough basketball lately. I know they're 2-5 in their last seven, but all but one of their games in February have been decided by single digits. Arizona State, meanwhile, hasn't really blown anyone out since Jan. 10. This should be close.


College Basketball Pick: Arizona State 72, Stanford 70
Stanford +9.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Wednesday, March 4, 2009 (1-0, +$200)


Colorado State (9-20) at San Diego State (19-8)
Line: San Diego State by 15.5.


Colorado State's previous three losses have been by 2, 3 and 10. They also have a win in that span. Meanwhile, San Diego State hasn't covered a spread since Feb. 7, owning just two victories in that period. This line is way too high because it's based on the records of the two squads; and not how they've been playing recently.


College Basketball Pick: San Diego State 70, Colorado State 68
Colorado State +15.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Tuesday, March 3, 2009 (2-0, +$600)


Florida State (22-7) at Duke (24-5)
Line: Duke by 12.


Losing a bet by two points sucks. Ugh. At any rate, I love Florida State here. The Seminoles have just two double-digits losses all year, and just one since Dec. 3. Duke, meanwhile, hasn't beaten anyone by 12 or more (the spread) since Feb. 1. Also, Florida State is 6-3 against the spread at Duke in the past nine years.


College Basketball Pick: Duke 73, Florida State 72
Florida State +12 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400



Detroit (7-22) at Cleveland State (21-10)
Line: Cleveland State by 17.


Why is this line so high? Well, we know why. Public perception. But reality is that Cleveland State hasn't beaten anyone by more than 15 since Jan. 8. Detroit, meanwhile, has played tough in most of their recent games.


College Basketball Pick: Cleveland State 64, Detroit 59
Detroit +17 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Monday, March 2, 2009 (0-1, -$220)


Davidson (24-6) at Elon (10-18)
Line: Davidson by 14.


Davidson can't lose this game. Not with Stephen Curry. If they do, they'll lose their automatic bid into the NCAA Tournament, should they somehow lose in their conference tournament.


College Basketball Pick: Davidson 83, Elon 60
Davidson -14 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Sunday, March 1, 2009 (0-1, -$220)


Buffalo (17-9) at Ohio (14-13)
Line: Ohio by 5.


Ohio at home. Take it to the bank. The Bobcats are 6-1 straight up, 5-2 against the spread as hosts in MAC play.


College Basketball Pick: Ohio 71, Buffalo 60
Ohio -5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Saturday, February 28, 2009 (1-1-1, -$20)


Evansville (17-11) at Northern Iowa (19-10)
Line: Northern Iowa by 7.


The last time Evansville lost by more than seven points was on Jan. 20 against MVC powerhouse Creighton. Northern Iowa, meanwhile, is 2-5 in its previous seven games. I'll take the points.


College Basketball Pick: Evansville 68, Northern Iowa 67
Evansville +7 (3 Units) -- Push; $0



Eastern Michigan (5-23) at Central Michigan (9-17)
Line: Central Michigan by 9.


Eastern Michigan was a team I went against religiously earlier in the year, but they've played well recently; they've either won or lost by single digits since Feb. 7. I don't see why that should change here.


College Basketball Pick: Central Michigan 61, Eastern Michigan 58
Eastern Michigan +9 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Morehead State (16-14) at Tennessee-Martin (20-8)
Line: Tennessee-Martin by 7.5.


Morehead State is an extremely competitive team. The last time they lost by more than seven points (spread is 7.5 here) was Dec. 18 - and that was by just eight points!


College Basketball Pick: Tennessee-Martin 75, Morehead State 74
Morehead State +7.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Thursday, February 26, 2009 (1-1, -$20)


Youngstown State (11-16) at Butler (23-4)
Line: Butler by 17.


This line is way too high; it's based solely on the records and not on how these teams have played recently. Youngstown State has either won or lost by single digits in this past month. Butler, meanwhile, has just two victories of more than 17 points in the same time span.


College Basketball Pick: Butler 68, Youngstown State 66
Youngstown State +17 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Miami of Ohio (15-10) at Ohio (13-13)
Line: Miami of Ohio by 1.


In Ohio University, I trust. At least when they're at home. Ohio is 5-1 straight up, 4-2 against the spread as hosts in MAC play. The Bobcats seldom lose at home.


College Basketball Pick: Ohio 66, Miami of Ohio 58
Ohio +1 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Wednesday, February 25, 2009 (1-2, -$250)


Rice (8-18) at Central Florida (16-10)
Line: Central Florida by 12.


Rice hasn't lost by more than 12 in a month. Central Florida, meanwhile, has just one victory in February. I feel as though this line is too high because of the disparity between the records. The spread is focusing on how these teams have played the whole year; not how they've performed recently.


College Basketball Pick: Central Florida 68, Rice 65
Rice +12 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300



Richmond (14-13) at Fordham (3-21)
Line: Richmond by 11.


Going against Fordham again. They really suck. They've lost their last six by 19 or more.


College Basketball Pick: Richmond 75, Fordham 56
Richmond -11 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Villanova (22-5) at DePaul (8-19)
Line: Richmond by 11.


DePaul sucks. They've lost their last seven games by: 19, 45, 23, 23, 15, 19 and 22. It's pretty obvious they've thrown in the towel. The school really should fire the coach and revoke everyone's scholarship at this point.


College Basketball Pick: Villanova 84, DePaul 57
Villanova -13 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330




Tuesday, February 24, 2009 (1-0, +$200)


Tulane (11-15) at Southern Miss (14-12)
Line: Southern Miss by 7.


This line is too high, in my opinion. Tulane has just two double-digit losses since Jan. 3. Southern Miss, meanwhile, has lost six of seven. They also have just one victory of more than seven since Dec. 30.


College Basketball Pick: Tulane 67, Southern Miss 66
Tulane +7 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Sunday, February 22, 2009 (0-1, -$220)


Wake Forest (20-4) at Duke (21-5)
Line: Duke by 6.5.


Duke doesn't impress me. The Blue Devils haven't impressed college basketball bettors either, failing to cover their last five games. In fact, they're 4-9-1 against the spread since New Years. Wake Forest has just one loss of more than seven in that time span; this game could go down to the wire.


College Basketball Pick: Duke 81, Wake Forest 80
Wake Forest +6.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Saturday, February 21, 2009 (3-1, +$580)


Rhode Island (19-8) at Fordham (3-20)
Line: Rhode Island by 17.5.


Four picks on Saturday, starting with Rhode Island.

You're not going to make a lot of money laying 17.5 on the road - unless the team you're betting against happens to be Fordham. Fordham is awful; they've lost their last five by 23 or more. Is it crazy to believe that this line should be 10 points higher?


College Basketball Pick: Rhode Island 85, Fordham 56
Rhode Island -17.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Stanford (15-9) at Oregon (6-20)
Line: Stanford by 5.


I really don't understand this line. I thought it was shady until I saw that California was -6 at Oregon a few days ago. The Ducks are playing awful basketball right now, having lost their last three games by 18, 19 and 29. They've covered just two games since Jan. 4!


College Basketball Pick: Stanford 77, Oregon 66
Stanford -5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Denver (12-14) at Arkansas State (13-13)
Line: Arkansas State by 5.


I feel as though this line is off by a few points. Denver's record is mediocre, but the team is playing really well. The Pioneers are 8-3 against the spead since Jan. 8, and all of their losses have been by nine points or less dating all the way back to Dec. 9! Meanwhile, Arkansas State hasn't even won a game since Jan. 24.


College Basketball Pick: Denver 65, Arkansas State 61
Denver +5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300



Saint Peter's (9-17) at Youngstown State (10-16)
Line: Youngstown State by 7.5.


Another line that seems way too high. Saint Peter's has failed to cover only twice since December. They've beaten number in five of the past six games; the only exception was a loss to 21-7 Niagara. At 10-16, Youngstown State is not Niagara; in fact, the Penguins are 0-3 straight up and against the spread as favorites.


College Basketball Pick: Saint Peter's 69, Youngstown State 64
Saint Peter's +7.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Friday, February 20, 2009 (1-0, +$200)


Dartmouth (6-16) at Penn (8-13)
Line: Penn by 10.


I hate Duke. No, I'm not a Tarheel fan or anything, but the way they play sometimes really pisses me off. Laying 11, the Blue Devils were up by 12-17 for 95 percent of the second half. St. John's made a run to cut the lead to 10 with a minute left. Unfortunately, the Blue Devils missed FIVE free throws and had two turnovers in the final minute alone. Pathetic. Duke missed the cover by four.

Let's hope for better luck tonight. This line doesn't make much sense to me. Penn isn't that good, while Dartmouth has lost by double digits only once since Dec. 30.


College Basketball Pick: Penn 67, Dartmouth 63
Dartmouth +10 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Thursday, February 19, 2009 (1-2, -$240)


Duke (20-5) at St. John's (12-13)
Line: Duke by 11.


Duke always schedules St. John's in the middle of conference play, so you'd think that they'd look past the pathetic Red Storm. Think again. Duke has beaten St. John's by double digits every year since the beginning of time. The reason why this line is so low is because the Blue Devils are on a four-game skid. Well, let's buy Duke low here because St. John's simply doesn't have the talent to hang with Coach K's crew.


College Basketball Pick: Duke 83, St. John's 61
Duke -11 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Wisconsin (16-9) at Indiana (6-18)
Line: Wisconsin by 9.5.


One of the most frustrating games I've watched this year was the Illinois-Indiana tilt on Sunday. Indiana, a 10-point home dog, lost by 13. The Hoosiers were their own worst enemy, hitting just 11-of-24 from the free throw line. How do you go 11-of-24 from the charity stripe? That's embarrassing.

Well, here's to hoping that doesn't happen again. Indiana is playing really hard and should be able to cover against a Wisconsin team that is 2-4 in Big Ten road games. Besides, Indiana matches up much better against the Badgers than the Illini; Illinois had two big men that Indiana just couldn't contend with. Wisconsin is more of a smaller squad.


College Basketball Pick: Wisconsin 65, Indiana 61
Indiana +9.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Northern Colorado (12-15) at Portland State (17-9)
Line: Portland State by 11.


This line was made way too high to compensate for the difference in the records. Northern Colorado is a very competitive team that has only one double-digit loss since Jan. 6. They should be able to cover the number here.


College Basketball Pick: Portland State 74, Northern Colorado 71
Northern Colorado +11 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Wednesday, February 18, 2009 (1-1, -$20)


Ball State (11-12) at Toledo (4-21)
Line: Ball State by 1.5.


I'm going to fade Toledo. The Rockets haven't covered a game since Jan. 31, and they've beaten the spread only once since Jan. 20. In the past seven games, they've lost by 33, 5, 13, 28, 13, 9 and 13. I like my chances here with Ball State.


College Basketball Pick: Ball State 68, Toledo 57
Ball State -1.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Miami of Ohio (15-8) at Akron (16-9)
Line: Akron by 3.


I love Akron at home. This is a huge game for the Zips. Meanwhile, the last time Miami of Ohio traveled, it lost at 7-16 Central Michigan.


College Basketball Pick: Akron 73, Miami of Ohio 57
Akron -3 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Tuesday, February 17, 2009 (1-0, +$200)


Seton Hall (14-10) at Marquette (21-4)
Line: Marquette by 12.5.


Again, there aren't too many games on tonight, but one that caught my eye was this one. Seton Hall has been playing pretty well lately, while Marquette is on somewhat of a three-game skid. The Pirates have covered five of six and haven't lost a game by double digits since Jan. 18. I like them to keep this one close.


College Basketball Pick: Marquette 80, Seton Hall 75
Seton Hall +12.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Monday, February 16, 2009 (1-0, +$200)


Louisiana Tech (10-15) at New Mexico State (13-12)
Line: New Mexico State by 9.


You have to love it when you're taking +10 and your team loses by 13 despite hitting 11-of-24 free throws. As I told my friend Scott, "We could have hit a better percentage while on LSD."

There aren't many games to choose from tonight, but this one caught my eye. I think this line is way too high. Since Jan. 8, Louisiana Tech has either won or lost by eight points or less, save for one occasion. Meanwhile, New Mexico State has only beaten one team by more than eight points since Jan. 3.


College Basketball Pick: New Mexico State 70, Louisiana Tech 67
Louisiana Tech +9 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Sunday, February 15, 2009 (1-2, -$460)


Illinois (20-5) at Indiana (6-17)
Line: Illinois by 10.


I understand the disparity between the records, but I don't get how Illinois can be favored by double digits. Take a look at how they've fared on the road in Big Ten play:

at Purdue - Win, 71-67
at Michigan - Loss, 74-64
at Michigan State - Loss, 63-57
at Minnesota - Loss, 59-36
at Wisconsin - Loss, 63-50
at Northwestern - Win, 60-59

They're 2-5 on the road and their two victories were by 1 and 4 points. Awesome.

Indiana, meanwhile, has just one victory in Big Ten play, but all but one of their home games have been decided by 10 points or less. The lone exception was a 93-81 loss to Ohio State on Jan. 31.


College Basketball Pick: Illinois 66, Indiana 62
Indiana +10 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330



Michigan (15-10) at Northwestern (13-9)
Line: Northwestern by 3.5.


Going with another Big Ten home team. This conference really stinks. Save for Michigan State, every Big Ten team has major problems scoring on the road. Michigan is a dreadful 1-6 as a visitor, while Northwestern is 11-3 (7-3 against the spread) as a host.


College Basketball Pick: Northwestern 65, Michigan 57
Northwestern -3.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330



DePaul (8-17) at Louisville (18-5)
Line: Louisville by 21.5.


When a team is 4-16 against the spread on the season, that's a clear indication that they're not trying hard. That definitely is the case with DePaul, a squad that has totally mailed it in. DePaul is the sort of team that will completely give up if it falls behind by double digits. Louisville is too talented to let them hang around. I hate laying 20-plus, so this isn't a big play.


College Basketball Pick: Louisville 82, DePaul 55
Louisville -21.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Saturday, February 14, 2009 (4-0, +$1,000)


Minnesota (19-5) at Penn State (17-8)
Line: Penn State by 3.


This is a huge game for Penn State and I don't think the line is reflecting that. Minnesota's record is impressive, but they've really struggled lately; they've covered just one game since Jan. 15, and they simply can't score on the road. The Nittany Lions are 12-4 at home.


College Basketball Pick: Penn State 68, Minnesota 57
Penn State -3 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400



Toledo (4-20) at Ohio (12-11)
Line: Ohio by 12.5.


Once again, Ohio is awesome at home, while Toledo simply sucks. The Rockets are 6-15 against the spread this year and they've covered ony one of their past six contests.


College Basketball Pick: Ohio 71, Toledo 52
Ohio -12.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Kansas (19-5) at Kansas State (17-7)
Line: Kansas by 1.5.


Kansas State beat Kansas at home last year. Why is this important? It's the only time they've knocked off the Jayhawks at home in the past 11 years! The difference was Michael Beasley. Well, he's gone - and so is Kansas State's shot of beating Kansas again.


College Basketball Pick: Kansas 82, Kansas State 71
Kansas -1.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Purdue (18-6) at Iowa (13-12)
Line: Purdue by 6.


I don't get why Purdue is favored by six. These Big Ten teams simply can't win on the road. Even a slop Iowa squad is 11-2 as a host.


College Basketball Pick: Iowa 61, Purdue 56
Iowa +6 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Thursday, February 12, 2009 (0-0-1, $0)


Buffalo (16-5) at Eastern Michigan (3-20)
Line: Buffalo by 9.


Eastern Michigan is a team that has given up on its season. Look at its margin of defeat in this past month: 12, 37, 15, 22, 8, 20 and 12.


College Basketball Pick: Buffalo 72, Eastern Michigan 52
Buffalo -9 (3 Units) -- Push; $0




Wednesday, February 11, 2009 (1-1, -$130)


Ball State (10-11) at Akron (15-8)
Line: Akron by 14.


Going with old reliable again. Akron and Ohio seem to always cover at home in conference play for whatever reason.


College Basketball Pick: Akron 73, Ball State 52
Akron -14 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330



Arkansas (13-8) at Auburn (14-9)
Line: Auburn by 6.


Think winning on the road in the SEC is tough? Ask these two squads. Arkansas is 1-5 in away games. Auburn is 12-3 as a host.


College Basketball Pick: Auburn 81, Arkansas 66
Auburn -6 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Tuesday, February 10, 2009 (1-1, -$130)


Florida (19-4) at Kentucky (16-7)
Line: Kentucky by 4.


Winning on the road in the SEC is really difficult. Florida is just 2-3 in away games and just 3-8 at Kentucky in the past 11 years.


College Basketball Pick: Kentucky 84, Florida 72
Kentucky -4 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330



Seton Hall (13-9) at DePaul (8-16)
Line: Seton Hall by 1.5.


DePaul's just not putting forth any effort right now. They've lost their past four games by 23, 15, 21 and 22.


College Basketball Pick: Seton Hall 76, DePaul 65
Seton Hall -1.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Monday, February 9, 2009 (0-1, -$220)


Tennessee State (6-17) at Jacksonville State (11-11)
Line: Jacksonville State by 12.


Tennessee State just doesn't care anymore. They've lost their past few games by 20-plus points. If they get down by double digits in this contest, they're the kind of team that'll just give up.


College Basketball Pick: Jacksonville State 84, Tennessee State 63
Jacksonville State -12 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Sunday, February 8, 2009 (1-0, +$300)


Western Michigan (7-14) at Akron (14-8)
Line: Akron by 11.


Going with old reliable again - Ohio and Akron simply dominate at home. This line is way too low.


College Basketball Pick: Akron 76, Western Michigan 51
Akron -11 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Saturday, February 7, 2009 (3-2, +$150)


Pittsburgh (20-2) at DePaul (8-15)
Line: Pittsburgh by 14.5.


Lots of value here with DePaul. No way Pittsburgh takes them seriously. A line of 14.5 is way too high. Right?

Eh... no. DePaul is garbage. Not only do they lack talent, they're not even trying hard. It's a joke. DePaul is the sort of team to give up if it gets down by double digits early. I think Pittsburgh wins this one going away.


College Basketball Pick: Pittsburgh 87, DePaul 55
Pittsburgh -14.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Kent State (11-11) at Ball State (10-10)
Line: Kent State by 3.5.


I don't know how these MAC teams do it, but they're pretty good at home. Ball State is 4-0 in conference home tilts, while Kent State struggles on the road (3-6). I have no idea why the Flashes are favored here.


College Basketball Pick: Ball State 63, Kent State 59
Ball State +3.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Arkansas (13-7) at Mississippi State (15-7)
Line: Mississippi State by 7.5.


Mississippi State showed me something when it beat Kentucky on the road. The Bulldogs are 10-3 at home, so I like them to cover the touchdown and hook against an Arkansas squad that is just 1-4 on the road this year.


College Basketball Pick: Mississippi State 76, Arkansas 60
Mississippi State -7.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300



Eastern Michigan (3-19) at Ohio (11-10)
Line: Ohio by 16.


I talked about DePaul quitting. Eastern Michigan's even worse. They're losing to everyone by 30 points. Ohio is unbeatable at home. I like them to cover the high number.


College Basketball Pick: Ohio 77, Eastern Michigan 48
Ohio -16 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330



Northwestern (13-7) at Iowa (12-11)
Line: Iowa by 2.


Northwestern had a huge victory over Wisconsin last week. They went on to struggle against Chicago State. Now, they have to go on the road where they haven't been successful (2-5). Iowa, meanwhile, is 10-2 as a host.


College Basketball Pick: Iowa 68, Northwestern 59
Iowa -2 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Thursday, February 5, 2009 (2-1, +$70)


Northern Illinois (6-13) at Ohio (10-10)
Line: Ohio by 13.5.


One thing that I should have gone with all year is betting blindly on Ohio at home. I simply forgot that for whatever reason, the Bobcats cover their home games at a 67-percent clip or better every year. I can't explain why, but it happens.


College Basketball Pick: Ohio 80, Northern Illinois 55
Ohio -13.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Alabama (13-8) at Vanderbilt (13-8)
Line: Vanderbilt by 7.5.


Vanderbilt had been struggling for a while, but they just won on the road as big underdogs, so that has me thinking that they've got things back on track. It's very tough to win away games in the SEC; Alabama is 1-4 on the road this year.


College Basketball Pick: Vanderbilt 77, Alabama 64
Vanderbilt -7.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330



Arizona (14-8) at Oregon State (10-10)
Line: Arizona by 5.


I don't understand how Arizona is favored here. The Wildcats haven't won a single game on the road (0-6). Meanwhile, Oregon State has won four in a row, so they're playing with fire right now. This is a big statement game for them.


College Basketball Pick: Oregon State 66, Arizona 63
Oregon State +5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Wednesday, February 4, 2009 (1-1, -$30)


Auburn (13-8) at Ole Miss (12-9)
Line: Ole Miss by 3.5.


Ole Miss is a pretty good home team that just went on the road and knocked off Mississippi State as large underdogs. I don't trust Auburn to win as visitors here.


College Basketball Pick: Ole Miss 78, Auburn 66
Ole Miss -3.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300



USC (15-6) at UCLA (17-4)
Line: UCLA by 8.5.


These UCLA-USC games are always close. Seldom do they fail to go down to the wire. I think 8.5 points is way too much.


College Basketball Pick: UCLA 74, USC 71
USC +8.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330




Sunday, February 1, 2009 (0-1, -$330)


Iowa (12-9) at Illinois (17-4)
Line: Illinois by 12.5.


I feel really sorry for Iowa here. The Hawkeyes, just 1-6 on the road, have to battle Illinois off a loss. Off a defeat, the Illini are 3-0 straight up and against the spread, and have beaten their opponents by an average score of 73-45.


College Basketball Pick: Illinois 75, Iowa 55
Illinois -12.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330




Saturday, January 31, 2009 (1-3, -$470)


Vanderbilt (12-8) at Auburn (13-7)
Line: Auburn by 7.


Vanderbilt is just 1-4 on the road this year. They've played very poorly lately, so I love Auburn here, a squad that owns an 11-2 record at home.


College Basketball Pick: Auburn 76, Vanderbilt 64
Auburn -7 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330



Oregon (6-14) at Oregon State (9-10)
Line: Oregon State by 3.5.


Both of these squads have losing records, but these are two teams moving in opposite directions. Oregon isn't playing well at all right now, and it appears as though head coach Ernie Kent has lost his players. Oregon State, meanwhile, is a young squad that has started winning lately under a new coach. The Beavers have been the neglected step-sister in this rivalry, so this is a huge statement game for them.


College Basketball Pick: Oregon State 75, Oregon 56
Oregon State -3.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Nebraska (12-7) at Texas Tech (11-9)
Line: Texas Tech by 2.5.


Nebraska is 1-4 on the road. Texas Tech is 10-2 at home. Red Raiders win, right?


College Basketball Pick: Texas Tech 79, Nebraska 67
Texas Tech -2.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Wisconsin (12-8) at Northwestern (11-7)
Line: Wisconsin by 1.


I can't tell you what the reason is, but winning on the road in the Big Ten is really difficult. Wisconsin always sucks in visiting arenas, while Northwestern is 9-2 at home this season. This is a bit of a statement game for the Wildcats.


College Basketball Pick: Northwestern 62, Wisconsin 54
Northwestern +1 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Thursday, January 29, 2009 (1-0, +$100)


Alabama (12-7) at Arkansas (12-5)
Line: Arkansas by 5.5.


Alabama is 1-3 on the road this year, while Arkansas is 12-2 at home. Winning on the road in the SEC is very difficult for average or poor teams. The only thing that worries me here is that the Razorbacks have lost four in a row.


College Basketball Pick: Arkansas 81, Alabama 71
Arkansas -5.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100




Wednesday, January 28, 2009 (2-0, +$500)


Michigan (14-6) at Ohio State (13-5)
Line: Ohio State by 4.


Ohio State should be able to win this by a wide margin. It's tough to win on the road in the Big Ten, which would explain why the Wolverines are 1-3 as visitors. The Buckeyes, meanwhile, are 10-2 at home, and have beaten Michigan in seven of the past nine meetings in Columbus.


College Basketball Pick: Ohio State 68, Michigan 54
Ohio State -4 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Vanderbilt (12-7) at South Carolina (14-4)
Line: South Carolina by 6.


Like Michigan, Vanderbilt is 1-3 on the road. South Carolina is 12-1 at home. Winning away is even tougher in the SEC.


College Basketball Pick: South Carolina 79, Vanderbilt 67
South Carolina -6 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Sunday, January 25, 2009 (0-1, -$220)


Florida (16-3) at Vanderbilt (12-6)
Line: Florida by 1.


Call me crazy, but I don't think a team that's 1-2 on the road (sole victory coming at crappy Auburn) deserves to be favored as a visitor. Vanderbilt always plays the Gators well at home. They're 9-3 as hosts.


College Basketball Pick: Vanderbilt 69, Florida 64
Vanderbilt +1 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Saturday, December 13, 2008 (0-1, -$330)


San Francisco (6-4) at Boise State (6-2)
Line: Boise State by 3.5.


First college hoops game in a while. This is a tough scheduling situation for San Francisco, as they have to go to Boise State. The Broncos are very good at home on their blue court.


College Basketball Pick: Boise State 76, San Francisco 69
Boise State -3.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330




Tuesday, December 9, 2008 (1-1, -$130)


Denver (1-5) at CS-Northridge (1-6)
Line: CS-Northridge by 10.


CS-Northridge is one of the sloppiest teams in the nation, committing 22 turnovers per game. There's no way the Matadors cover if they match that figure in this contest.


College Basketball Pick: CS-Northridge 66, Denver 63
Denver +10 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330



CS-Fullerton (4-5) at Montana State (3-3)
Line: CS-Fullerton by 2.


This is the first time CS-Fullerton is favored this year, and I think that responsibility is too great for them. They're a sloppy team, turning the ball over 18 times per game. Montana State, much careful with the rock, should be able to win.


College Basketball Pick: Montana State 77, CS-Fullerton 70
Montana State +2 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Sunday, December 7, 2008 (1-1, +$80)


Niagara (5-2) at Loyola-Maryland (2-6)
Line: Niagara by 5.5.


It figures that the one game I picked yesterday I got wrong, and the two selections I thought about listing (Michigan and Western Kentucky) I got right.

Time to turn this around. Loyola-Maryland takes care of the ball and I think this is a nice spot for them at home.


College Basketball Pick: Loyola-Maryland 74, Niagara 65
Loyola-Maryland +5.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Canisius (3-4) at Saint Peter's (1-5)
Line: Canisius by 2.5.


Taking another home MAAC dog. Canisius is pretty sloppy with the basketball, so I think Saint Peter's has a real shot.


College Basketball Pick: Saint Peter's 68, Canisius 64
Saint Peter's +2.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Saturday, December 6, 2008 (0-1, -$330)


Temple (3-3) at Penn State (7-1)
Line: Penn State by 6.5.


Stupid Iona had a 3-point lead with 14 seconds left and somehow lost by two. Jerks!

Penn State has been covering like crazy this year. Apparently, they finally have a talented hoops team up in Happy Valley. Temple, meanwhile, recently lost to Miami of Ohio and Buffalo.


College Basketball Pick: Penn State 82, Temple 64
Penn State -6.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330




Friday, December 5, 2008 (0-1, -$220)


Iowa (2-3) at Marist (2-4)
Line: Iona by 2.


Iona and Marist have similar records, but Iona is a much better team. Recently, they almost beat Iowa and then defeated Valparaiso on a neutral court. They shouldn't have a problem with Marist.


College Basketball Pick: Iona 74, Marist 59
Iona -2 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Wednesday, December 3, 2008 (0-2, -$550)


Brown (3-3) at Providence (4-3)
Line: Providence by 16.


Providence is not a very good team. They've lost to some shaky squads this season, and are consequently 1-4 against the spread.

Brown, meanwhile, has hung with the likes of Rhode Island, so they should be able to cover versus disinterested Providence.


College Basketball Pick: Providence 74, Brown 64
Brown +16 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Rhode Island (5-2) at Northeastern (3-3)
Line: Pick.


Hello, shady point spread! Rhode Island has beaten some good teams this year and nearly knocked off Duke. They're regarded as a Cinderella sleeper. However, they just had a tough game against Villanova, so they're due for a let-down against a capable Northeastern squad.


College Basketball Pick: Northeastrn 75, Rhode Island 68
Northeastern PK (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330




Tuesday, December 2, 2008 (1-1, +$80)


South Carolina (4-1) at Princeton (2-2)
Line: South Carolina by 12.


This would be a huge win for Princeton. I think it's a possibility because South Carolina really isn't that good. The Gamecocks may be 4-1, but they haven't covered a spread all year.

The Tigers like to play a slow game, so in a contest where points will be at a premium, taking the underdog seems pretty lucrative.


College Basketball Pick: South Carolina 66, Princeton 60
Princeton +12 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



LMU (0-6) at Arizona (4-1)
Line: Arizona by 28.


LMU's 0-6 record has pushed this spread up way too high. They're actually 3-2 against the spread, so they tend to play close. Arizona, meanwhile, doesn't try hard when it doesn't have to.


College Basketball Pick: Arizona 78, LMU 61
LMU +28 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Monday, December 1, 2008 (0-1, -$220)


Kent State (3-2) at Kansas (4-1)
Line: Kansas by 12.


I'm not sure how Kansas will get up for Kent State. The Golden Flashes are a pretty solid squad and should be able to cover the number.


College Basketball Pick: Kansas 79, Kent State 75
Kent State +12 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Sunday, November 30, 2008 (1-0, +$200)


Northern Arizona (1-4) at Arizona (3-1)
Line: Arizona by 17.5.


I don't see the motivation for Arizona here; they've looked pretty disinterested against their non-conference opponents this season, owning a meager 1-3 spread record. Northern Arizona is 1-4, but kept up with UNLV as a big dog.


College Basketball Pick: Arizona 78, Northern Arizona 67
Northern Arizona +17.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Wednesday, November 26, 2008 (0-1, -$220)


Elon (1-2) at Virginia Tech (3-2)
Line: Virginia Tech by 20.


Virginia Tech should have an easy time with Elon. This is the Hokies' final game before Christmas Break, so they'll be focused. Elon, meanwhile, has struggled this year in the wake of losing Scott Grable to a season-ending knee injury.


College Basketball Pick: Virginia Tech 84, Elon 52
Virginia Tech -20 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Tuesday, November 25, 2008 (1-0, +$300)


Penn State (4-0) at Penn (1-2)
Line: Penn State by 3.5.


What a terrible night for basketball. I lost the Toledo cover by two points, Idaho game by one point, and the Orlando Magic NBA pick by three points. Ugh.

I like Penn State this year. They had a lot of injuries last season, but everyone is now back. Penn is missing one of its best players, guard Darren Smith, who is out with a knee.


College Basketball Pick: Penn State 77, Penn 67
Penn State -3.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Monday, November 24, 2008 (1-2, -$130)


Toledo (0-2) at Florida International (2-1)
Line: Florida International by 2.5.


I'm fading three of my favorites teams again today.

I don't like Florida International's chances without forwards Josue Soto and Alex Galindo.


College Basketball Pick: Toledo 69, Florida International 62
Toledo +2.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Eastern Michigan (1-3) at St. John's (3-1)
Line: St. John's by 9.5.


Eastern Michigan looks lost without its best player, Carlos Medlock, who is out for the year. St. John's should cover easily.


College Basketball Pick: St. John's 77, Eastern Michigan 62
St. John's -9.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Idaho (2-2) at Eastern Washington (2-1)
Line: Eastern Washington by 9.


I don't have much faith in Eastern Washington to cover this game without its starting point guard Adris DeLeon. Nine points is way too many to lay without a starting floor general.


College Basketball Pick: Eastern Washington 72, Idaho 71
Idaho +9 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110




Sunday, November 23, 2008 (1-0, +$300)


Saint Bonaventure (2-1) at Rutgers (3-0)
Line: Rutgers by 10.


Ugh - not a good Saturday in college hoops.

Too many points for a Big East team taking on a perennially down A-10 squad. These teams are about even if you keep in mind that two of Rutgers' starters are out with injuries.


College Basketball Pick: Rutgers 77, Saint Bonaventure 72
Saint Bonaventure +10 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Saturday, November 22, 2008 (0-2, -$660)


Fresno State (1-1) at San Diego State (1-1)
Line: San Diego State by 16.5.


I went against San Diego State on Monday night, and I'm doing the same thing here. The Aztecs are a very good team, but their top player, Lorenzo Wade, has been suspended for allegedly stealing a TV. Unfortunately, Wade found out that it was an old black-and-white set, and tried to give it back. That's when he was caught. OK, maybe I made up some of that story.

Fresno State showed me something when it covered at Saint Mary's, an NCAA Tournament-caliber squad. San Diego State is not as good as Saint Mary's, especially without Wade.


College Basketball Pick: San Diego State 68, Fresno State 60
Fresno State +16.5 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$440



Arkansas (2-0) at Missouri State (1-1)
Line: Missouri State by 2.5.


Arkansas sucks. Let's get that out of the way. Missouri State's the better team. But they won't be on Saturday; two of the host's three best players (guards Justin Fuehrmeyer and Shane Laurie) are out. Fuehrmeyer has a sprained ankle, while Laurie is coming off a concussion.


College Basketball Pick: Arkansas 71, Missouri State 62
Arkansas +2.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Friday, November 21, 2008 (1-0, +$200)


North Carolina (2-0) at UC-Santa Barbara (1-1)
Line: North Carolina by 17.5.


It may not sound appealing to go against North Carolina, but that's what I'm going to do here.

The Tar Heels are really banged up. Everyone knows about Tyler Hansbrough's injury. Guard Marcus Ginyard has also been out. Now, impressive freshman Tyler Zeller, who has taken Hansbrough's place in the lineup, is out for the year.

North Carolina easily dispatched Kentucky a few nights ago, but couldn't cover against Penn.

UC-Santa Barbara is a solid team expected to contend for an automatic NCAA Tournament bid out of the Big West.


College Basketball Pick: North Carolina 80, UC-Santa Barbara 70
UC-Santa Barbara +17.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Thursday, November 20, 2008 (1-0, +$300)


Florida International (2-0) at Washington (1-1)
Line: Washington by 18.


Stupid Cal Irvine can't beat Eastern Washington and their backup point guard. You guys suck.

One may wonder why Washington is favored by 18 when it just lost to Portland and struggled to beat Eastern Kentucky. Well, Florida International is missing its best player, Alex Galindo. Jose Soto, a JUCO transfer expected to contribute immediately, is also out. A mid-major like Florida International needs all hands on deck to knock off a high major like Washington. Without Galindo and Soto, that won't happen.


College Basketball Pick: Washington 86, Florida International 59
Washington -18 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Wednesday, November 19, 2008 (1-2, -$240)


Niagara (1-0) at Villanova (2-0)
Line: Villanova by 18.5.


Villanova is missing considerable fire power here, as starting shooting guard Dwayne Anderson is out with a foot injury. Their backup center is doubtful as well. Niagara, completely healthy, is a sleeper to qualify for the NCAA Tournament this year, so they definitely have the talent to keep up with the Wildcats.


College Basketball Pick: Villanova 82, Niagara 70
Niagara +18.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Murray State (1-0) at Arkansas State (1-1)
Line: Arkansas State by 1.


I don't get this line. Murray State is favored to win its conference. The Racers are experienced with four starters returning. Meanwhile, Arkansas State, a mediocre team, is missing one of the key transfers they were depending on to compete in the Sun Belt conference.

With a shady line like this, could this game be fixed? I don't see the point. There won't be any bets on this game, so Vegas doesn't stand to win or lose much money either way.


College Basketball Pick: Murray State 84, Arkansas State 70
Murray State +1 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110



Eastern Washington (0-1) at UC-Irvine (0-1)
Line: UC-Irvine by 7.5.


UC-Irvine was debacled in its first game, though it was playing USC. The Anteaters should have an easier time against Eastern Washington, a team missing its starting point guard. Adris DeLeon is out because of academics.

Hey, idiot, go to class, and the teachers will give you an easy A. I've seen it happen before!


College Basketball Pick: UC-Irvine 65, Eastern Washington 50
UC-Irvine -7.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330




Tuesday, November 18, 2008 (1-0, +$200)


Arizona State (1-0) at San Diego State (1-0)
Line: Arizona State by 3.


San Diego State is a team predicted to content for the Mountain West title this year. Unfortunately, their top scorer, Lorenzo Wade, has been suspended for allegedly stealing a TV. Let's hope it was a flat screen!


College Basketball Pick: Arizona State 80, San Diego State 69
Arizona State -3 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Monday, November 17, 2008 (1-0, +$300)


Eastern Michigan (1-0) at Purdue (1-0)
Line: Purdue by 20.5.


Eastern Michigan is supposed to be pretty good this season, so why are they massive underdogs? Well, they just lost their start point guard Carlos Medlock for the year. I don't know how the Eagles are going to cover without their stud floor general.


College Basketball Pick: Purdue 88, Eastern Michigan 60
Purdue -20.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Sunday, November 16, 2008 (1-1, -$130)


Columbia (1-0) at Seton Hall (1-0)
Line: Seton Hall by 13.5.


Columbia may have won its first game of the season, but don't expect too many victories for the Lions any time soon. Columbia lost four starters to graduation and was counting on forward Brian Grimes to lead the team. Unfortunately, Grimes tore his ACL a week ago and will miss the entire season. I don't know how the Lions are going to compete with a Seton Hall squad that returns three starters, including its point guard.

I usually don't like laying high numbers, but the talent disparity is too much to overlook here.


College Basketball Pick: Seton Hall 77, Columbia 57
Seton Hall -13.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Rutgers (1-0) at Delaware (0-0)
Line: Delaware by 4.


Rutgers, a team with just 11 wins last year, returns all five starters. Great news, right? Not really. Forwards Jaron Griffin and J.R. Inman, and guard Anthony Farmer have been suspended indefinitely for violating team rules.

I like Delaware this season. No, they didn't post a winning record last year, but the Blue Hens are more experienced and now boast a dynamic background comprised of senior Marc Egerson and junior Brian Johnson. Eric Maynor is the best point guard in the CAA, but Johnson isn't far behind.


College Basketball Pick: Delaware 70, Rutgers 59
Delaware -4 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330




Saturday, November 15, 2008 (1-1, +$80)


Louisiana Tech (0-0) at Louisiana-Lafayette (0-0)
Line: Louisiana-Lafayette by 8.5.


Because there are so many teams in college basketball, the public can't follow all of them. Thus, they miss important things, such as major injuries.

Louisiana-Lafayette is really banged up right now. Their best player, Randell Daigle, is out with a broken hand. Also out is sharp-shooter Chris Gradnigo.

A healthier Louisiana Tech returns three starters, so I like them to cover the number.


College Basketball Pick: Louisiana Tech 63, Louisiana-Lafayette 61
Louisiana Tech +8.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300



UT-Chattanooga (0-0) at Tennessee (0-0)
Line: Tennessee by 18.


Tough spot for Tennessee. The Vols are a team returning just two starters. Their sixth man last year, J.P. Prince, expected to step into the starting rotation, is out with a shoulder. They have a new point guard running the show, and their backup point guard is also out. Chattanooga isn't that good, but they have more experience, and could cover the number.


College Basketball Pick: Tennessee 70, UT-Chattanooga 60
UT-Chattanooga +18 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


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2009-10: 2009-10 -
2008-09: 2008-09 -
2007-2008: December - January - February - March -
2006-2007: November - December - January - February - March - April -


2003-2004 Season: 138-107-6 (56.3%)
2004-2005 Season: 168-148-6 (53.2%)
2005-2006 Season: 188-173-7 (52.1%)
2006-2007 Season: 273-255-8 (51.7%), +$945
2007-2008 Season: 71-64-5 (52.6%), +$1,420
2008-2009 Season: 66-53-2 (55.5%), +$1,680

Career Against The Spread: 906-780-32 (53.7%), +$4,045



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