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NCAA Hoops Picks - January 2008

Last Week (Feb. 11-17, 2008): 5-6-1, -$810
2007-2008 Season (as of Feb. 17): 55-51-2 (53.7%), +$820


Thursday, Jan. 31, 2008 (1-0, +$300)


Youngstown State (7-13) at Loyola-Illinois (7-13)
Line: Loyola-Illinois by 6.5.


I can think of one guy on my forums who will be a fan of this pick. Loyola-Illinois is coming off a very tough two-game road trip in which they played Butler close and beat Valparaiso. I have to think they'll be flat for this matchup. Youngstown State is hot, covering seven of its previous nine.


Prediction: Loyola-Illinois 62, Youngstown State 61
Youngstown State +6.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Wednesday, Jan. 30, 2008 (2-1, +$380)


Mississippi State (14-5) at Arkansas (14-5)
Line: Arkansas by 2.5.


Talk about a crappy night. First, my Miami pick loses by half a point. Then, Austin Peay couldn't manage to jump out to a lead in any of their three overtimes. And finally, Marquette decides to have its worst shooting night of the season. Ugh.

Let's go back to something dependable. Arkansas is an unranked home favorite playing a ranked visitor. This system is 8-3 in its previous 11.


Prediction: Arkansas 74, Mississippi State 68
Arkansas -2.5 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400



Indiana State (10-9) at Bradley (11-10)
Line: Bradley by 6.5.


I like Bradley tonight. Not because they've won four of five and have started to heat up, although that is definitely a factor. Indiana State just played its Super Bowl, nearly defeating rival Illinois State as a double-digit dog. I don't think they're going to have any energy for Bradley tonight.


Prediction: Bradley 77, Indiana State 63
Bradley -6.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Kansas (20-0) at Kansas State (14-4)
Line: Kansas by 7.


One of the greatest angles in college basketball over the past decade has been taking the visitor in this series. How good an angle? The Jayhawks are 10-0 straight up and against the spread in Manhattan! Can the Wildcats finally break that trend? Not with a freshman leading the way. I don't care how good he is - a guy who had his prom nine months ago isn't going to take down what could be the top team in the nation.


Prediction: Kansas 84, Kansas State 66
Kansas -7 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Tuesday, Jan. 29, 2008 (0-3, -$880)


Miami (15-4) at Wake Forest (12-6)
Line: Wake Forest by 1.5.


Back with a three-unit play after a night off. Wake Forest is coming off a close loss to a powerful Clemson squad (80-75 in overtime). They put all of their energy into that game, and will have nothing left for underrated Miami.


Prediction: Miami 77, Wake Forest 71
Miami +1.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330



Austin Peay (13-8) at SE Missouri State (11-11)
Line: Austin Peay by 4.


Austin Peay has shown the ability to win on the road, and shouldn't have a problem against a SE Missouri State squad that gave everything it had in an 86-85 loss at Murray State on Saturday.


Prediction: Austin Peay 71, SE Missouri State 60
Austin Peay -4 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330



South Florida (10-10) at Marquette (14-4)
Line: Marquette by 14.5.


Believe it or not, but this line is too low. The only reason it's 14.5 and not 22 is because of South Florida's record. Well, as I mentioned a few days ago when I faded them, the Bulls' 10 victories are a result of one of the softest non-conference schedules in the nation. This game is going to get ugly quickly.


Prediction: Marquette 78, South Florida 51
Marquette -14.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Sunday, Jan. 27, 2008 (1-2, -$40)


Vanderbilt (17-2) at Florida (17-3)
Line: Florida by 5.


Our final unranked host favored over a ranked visitor of the week. For the record, this system is 7-3 in its previous 10 instances.


Prediction: Florida 87, Vanderbilt 74
Florida -5 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400



Providence (12-6) at Syracuse (13-7)
Line: Syracuse by 5.


The Orange Men just played the game of their lives against Georgetown, losing by two as double-digit dogs. They're a young team, and I don't see them recovering emotionally.


Prediction: Providence 81, Syracuse 76
Providence +5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330



LA-Lafayette (8-11) at Troy State (9-10)
Line: Troy State by 2.


LA-Lafayette is 10-5 against the spread this year. They've covered 10 of their past 11 games, including three days ago, when they battled Southern Alabama down to the wire despite being a 12-point dog. With all that in mind, why are they underdogs at Troy State? Seems fishy to me. I think the Ragin Cajuns will be flat here. I'll take a shot with Troy.


Prediction: Troy State 80, UL-Lafayette 66
Troy State -2 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110




Saturday, Jan. 26, 2008 (3-1, +$360)


Ole Miss (15-2) at Mississippi State (13-5)
Line: Mississippi State by 6.


Yet another game where an unranked host is favored over a ranked visitor. In case you're new, this is a lovely system that works about 70 percent of the time.


Prediction: Mississippi State 78, Ole Miss 60
Mississippi State -6 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400



Georgetown (15-2) at West Virginia (15-4)
Line: West Virginia by 2.5.


In the words of Biggie Smalls, "And another one." In my NCAA Tournament Profiles page (look through the menu for that), I talk about why I don't think Georgetown is all that good.


Prediction: West Virginia 84, Georgetown 73
West Virginia -2.5 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$440



Marshall (10-7) at Houston (14-3)
Line: Houston by 10.5.


Marshall hates West Virginia University. All of the Thundering Herd players were overlooked in the recruiting process and want revenge every year. What does that have to do with this game? Marshall just played its Super Bowl, nearly knocking off the Mountaineers, losing by two. There's no way they're going to be mentally focused for this contest.


Prediction: Houston 84, Marshall 68
Houston -10.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



UCLA (17-2) at Oregon State (6-13)
Line: UCLA by 17.


I'm probably an idiot for laying this many points on the road. However, I watched the entirety of Thursday's USC-Oregon State blowout, and I have to say that the Beavers are one of the worst teams I've ever seen. The Trojans won by at least 20, and they were sleepwalking, turning the ball over continuously and missing free throws by the dozen. UCLA could play its bench and still win by 30.


Prediction: UCLA 80, Oregon State 37
UCLA -17 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Thursday, Jan. 24, 2008 (2-1, +$280)


USC (11-6) at Oregon State (6-12)
Line: USC by 8.


USC, you just knocked off UCLA, winning your Super Bowl. Where are you going now? "We're going to Corvalis!" Doesn't sound right, does it? USC will be flat in this contest. I don't trust O.J. Mayo as a huge road favorite just yet.


Prediction: USC 68, Oregon State 66
Oregon State +8 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Washington State (16-1) at Arizona (12-6)
Line: Arizona by 2.


You know where I'm going this. Unranked home favorite over a ranked visitor. Works 70 percent of the time at the very least.


Prediction: Arizona 78, Washington State 69
Arizona -2 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400



UCLA (16-2) at Oregon (12-6)
Line: UCLA by 4.


I hate taking road favorites in college basketball, which I made clear yesterday. However, I completely trust UCLA. Coming off a home loss to USC, I think the Bruins will be extra sharp for this battle in Eugene.


Prediction: UCLA 79, Oregon 63
UCLA -4 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100




Wednesday, Jan. 23, 2008 (1-1, -$120)


Villanova (13-3) at Rutgers (8-11)
Line: Villanova by 9.


Ugh, I feel like such a n00b taking a big favorite like this. But hey, it's a system play of sorts. Rutgers just battled double-digit DePaul extremely close, losing by two points. I have to believe they'll be flat against a Villanova squad that has shown the ability to win on the road, recently beating superior Syracuse by 10.


Prediction: Villanova 83, Rutgers 62
Villanova -9 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Louisville (13-5) at South Florida (10-9)
Line: Louisville by 7.5.


Another big road favorite. Double n00b! Bahh!!! We're now entering Mark Foster of Step by Step territory. But whatever - I'm fading South Florida until it shows any signs of life. The Bulls were able to build a decent non-conference record by beating up on the likes of Winston-Salem, St. Francis-NY and East Carolina. In conference play, they're 1-5 straight up and against the spread, only beating Rutgers. This team is just overmatched.


Prediction: Louisville 77, South Florida 62
Louisville -7.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100




Tuesday, Jan. 22, 2008 (1-2, -$360)


Drake (16-1) at Creighton (14-3)
Line: Creighton by 5.5.


Our first unranked home favorite playing a ranked visitor of the week. Tears of joy. By the way, how is Drake favored? Who is Drake? Sounds like an actor in a cheesy soap opera.


Prediction: Creighton 80, Drake 69
Creighton -5.5 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$440



Tennessee (16-1) at Kentucky (7-9)
Line: Tennessee by 5.


I feel as though Tennessee is one of the top teams in the country. I have no doubt they can go on the road and beat up on a crappy opponent.


Prediction: Tennessee 86, Kentucky 72
Tennessee -5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Illinois (9-10) at Ohio State (12-6)
Line: Ohio State by 6.5.


Seems like an odd line, doesn't it? What's more fishy is that despite action on Ohio State, this line has dropped from -7 to -6.5. It seems like the oddsmaker knows something the public doesn't. Could it be that Ohio State played way above its head at Tennessee on Saturday, causing the team to be flat this evening? That's what I see happening anyway.


Prediction: Illinois 70, Ohio State 66
Illinois +6.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Monday, Jan. 21, 2008 (2-0, +$350)


Syracuse (13-6) at Georgetown (14-2)
Line: Georgetown by 12.


A small play on Syracuse, as I like getting double digits in a big rivalry. Big East teams seldom do well as big favorites.


Prediction: Georgetown 73, Syracuse 68
Syracuse +12 (1.5 Units) -- Correct; +$150



Pepperdine (6-13) at Santa Clara (9-8)
Line: Santa Clara by 9.


Pepperdine played the game of its life against No. 24 St. Mary's on Saturday, nearly beating the Gaels despite being 20.5-point underdogs. Just a feeling, but I think they're going to be really flat in this spot.


Prediction: Santa Clara 72, Pepperdine 50
Santa Clara -9 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Sunday, Jan. 20, 2008 (1-0, +$400)


Marquette (13-3) at Connecticut (11-5)
Line: Connecticut by 2.5.


Here's another situation where an unranked home favorite is playing a ranked visitor. I don't know why they're starting this game at 1. Don't they know college kids can't function before 2 p.m. on weekends?


Prediction: Connecticut 80, Marquette 71
Connecticut -2.5 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400




Saturday, Jan. 19, 2008 (2-1, +$580)


Ohio State (12-5) at Tennessee (15-1)
Line: Tennessee by 11.


Ohio State knocked Tennessee out of the NCAA Tournament last year. Now it's time for the Vols, one of the top teams in the country, to get revenge.


Prediction: Tennessee 87, Ohio State 69
Tennessee -11 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Miami (14-2) at N.C. State (11-5)
Line: N.C. State by 1.5.


For the one millionth time, I love taking unranked home favorites over ranked visitors. It works like 67 percent of the time or something. I don't know.


Prediction: N.C. State 77, Miami 66
N.C. State -1.5 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400



Arizona State (14-2) at Stanford (14-3)
Line: Stanford by 8.


Not one, but two situations like this one today. Actually, there are three, but I woke up too late for Syracuse-Villanova. Damn noon start times.


Prediction: Stanford 83, Arizona State 70
Stanford -8 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400




Thursday, Jan. 17, 2008 (2-1, +$260)


Marquette (13-2) at Louisville (12-4)
Line: Louisville by 3.5.


Horrible Wednesday. Let's bounce back or lose our shirts. Either or. I like Louisville here. Unranked home favorite playing a ranked visitor.


Prediction: Louisville 83, Marquette 68
Louisville -3.5 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400



Providence (11-5) at Connecticut (11-4)
Line: Connecticut by 8.5.


The Huskies are 4-7 against the spread this year, which will tell you they're overrated. They're coming off a 3-point loss to Georgetown as a double-digit underdog, so I think they're goinig to be flat in this spot.


Prediction: Connecticut 81, Providence 77
Providence +8.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300



Arizona State (13-2) at California (11-4)
Line: California by 5.5.


I can't remember the last time we had two instances where an unranked home squad was favored over a ranked visitor. Sexy time, very nice.


Prediction: California 79, Arizona State 69
California -5.5 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$440




Wednesday, Jan. 16, 2008 (1-3, -$560)


Duke (13-1) at Florida State (12-5)
Line: Duke by 6.


I don't know why, but Florida State always seems to have Duke's number, especially when playing at home. The Seminoles even swept the superior Blue Devils last year. With the money on Duke, this line has dropped from 6 to 5.5 at Pinnacle, though still available at the original number at Bodog.


Prediction: Duke 83, Florida State 80
Florida State +6 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Rutgers (8-9) at Syracuse (12-5)
Line: Syracuse by 16.


One system I like to use is fading Syracuse when it plays at home. It's about a 67-percent trend, so it doesn't work all the time, but I see nothing wrong with going 12-6 every year. The Orange Men are perennially overrated and usually favored by too much as hosts.


Prediction: Syracuse 75, Rutgers 66
Rutgers +16 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Michigan (5-11) at Illinois (8-9)
Line: Illinois by 11.


Michigan isn't that good of a team, but neither is Illinois. In fact, the Fighting Illini have looked strong in only a handful of contests this year, one of which was Sunday at Indiana. You can actually argue that was their mid-season Super Bowl. I think they show up flat in a possible loss to the Wolverines.


Prediction: Michigan 66, Illinois 65
Michigan +11 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Auburn (9-5) at LSU (7-9)
Line: LSU by 5.5.


Who is LSU to be favored? Is it because they finally played a solid game against Ole Miss, nearly winning as 14.5-point underdogs? Give me a break.


Prediction: Auburn 69, LSU 67
Auburn +5.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100




Tuesday, Jan. 15, 2008 (1-1, +$180)


Miami (14-1) at Boston College (11-4)
Line: Boston College by 1.5.


I love taking unranked home favorites over ranked visitors. It's a system that seems to work about 70 percent of the time. And what's cool is that when it doesn't work, you know you can count on the road squad to cover in a visiting role over the next month or more.


Prediction: Boston College 81, Miami 70
Boston College -1.5 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400



Kentucky (7-7) at Mississippi State (11-5)
Line: Mississippi State by 9.


Horrible spot for Kentucky - the Wildcats are coming off an emotional overtime victory against an undefeated team. Now, they have to go to Mississippi State, a squad playing really well right now that will be prepared for Kentucky.


Prediction: Mississippi State 78, Kentucky 62
Mississippi State -9 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Monday, Jan. 14, 2008 (1-0, +$200)


Georgetown (13-1) at Pittsburgh (14-2)
Line: Georgetown by 2.5.


It seems odd that No. 7 Georgetown is just a 2-point favorite over Pittsburgh. With the money on the Hoyas, this line has fallen from -2 to -1.5 in Pinnacle. I'm grabbing +2.5, which is still available at Bodog.


Prediction: Pittsburgh 79, Georgetown 73
Pittsburgh +2.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Sunday, Jan. 13, 2008 (0-1, -$220)


Illinois (8-8) at Indiana (13-1)
Line: Indiana by 12.5.


Just one pick today. I like Indiana despite the insane amount of points I'm being forced to lay. Illinois is complete garbage and cannot compete with top-tier teams on the road. Indiana is young, but I trust them at home.


Prediction: Indiana 82, Illinois 62
Indiana -12.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Saturday, Jan. 12, 2008 (2-1, +$390)


N.C. State (11-3) at North Carolina (16-0)
Line: North Carolina by 20.5.


I love taking big underdogs in rivalry games. N.C. State should be able to cover this massive spread, as the Tar Heels are coming off an emotional overtime victory at Clemson.


Prediction: North Carolina 83, N.C. State 76
N.C. State +20.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110



Temple (6-7) at Charlotte (9-5)
Line: Charlotte by 4.5.


So, Charlotte goes into Clemson and pulls off a huge upset. Now, armed with a much better record than Temple, they're just 4.5-point favorites? Every single square bettor will be on the host.


Prediction: Temple 71, Charlotte 70
Temple +4.5 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400



Tennessee (13-1) at South Carolina (8-7)
Line: Tennessee by 6.


I bet against Tennessee twice about a month ago because the team fell under the unranked-home-favorite category. Well, I was wrong both times, as I learned the Vols are a great team that can go into tough environments and come out victorious. I trust them laying six at South Carolina.


Prediction: Tennessee 87, South Carolina 77
Tennessee -6 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100




Thursday, Jan. 10, 2008 (0-3, -$880)


West Virginia (11-3) at Louisville (10-4)
Line: Louisville by 2.


Louisville is one of the most underrated teams in the country. Everyone keeps praising their talent, but I just don't see it. That's why they're 4-8 against the spread this year. I like the Mountaineers here.


Prediction: West Virginia 83, Louisville 72
West Virginia +2 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Illinois (8-7) at Wisconsin (12-2)
Line: Wisconsin by 11.


I've watched Illinois a few times this year, but it only took one game to realize how bad they were. After seeing them play, I vowed to bet against them on the road at every opportunity. There's no reason why Wisconsin shouldn't blow them out of the water here.


Prediction: Wisconsin 79, Illinois 54
Wisconsin -11 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Washington State (13-0) at USC (9-5)
Line: USC by 2.


Undefeated Washington State an underdog? This has "sucker bet" written all over it. I like USC - another situation where an unranked host is favored over a ranked visitor. I'm also loving the fact that the line has moved from -1.5 to -2 despite action on the Cougars. Who knows, maybe some of O.J. Mayo's 80 shots will actually go in tonight.


Prediction: USC 74, Washington State 66
USC -2 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$440




Wednesday, Jan. 9, 2008 (1-0, +$100)


Mississippi State (9-5) at LSU (7-7)
Line: Mississippi State by 3.


Taking a stab here with Mississippi State. It's hard to win on the road in the SEC, but LSU flat out sucks. They aren't even coming close to covering their games, as the oddsmaker has been off on them all year. In fact, they're just 1-8 against the spread. Mississippi State has won a few away games this year, so I trust them.


Prediction: Mississippi State 79, LSU 66
Mississippi State -3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100




Tuesday, Jan. 8, 2008 (0-1, -$220)


Indiana (12-1) at Michigan (4-10)
Line: Indiana by 10.5.


A couple of reasons I think Michigan is the right side: Indiana is a young squad and cannot be trusted to cover large spreads on the road. The Wolverines, despite struggling earlier in the year, actually came close to winning at 10-4 Purdue on Saturday. A nice time to show a sign of life. Also, while this line is 10 or 10.5 in most books, it's only 9.5 at Pinnacle, the sharpest shop on the Web.


Prediction: Indiana 73, Michigan 70
Michigan +10.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Sunday, Jan. 6, 2008 (1-1, +$290)


Marquette (11-1) at West Virginia (10-3)
Line: West Virginia by 3.5.


Another unranked home favorite over a ranked visitor. I like how this line has moved from -2.5 to -3.5 despite 65-percent action on Marquette.


Prediction: West Virginia 84, Marquette 72
West Virginia -3.5 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400



North Carolina (14-0) at Clemson (12-1)
Line: North Carolina by 4.5.


Tough game for the Tar Heels. Clemson is 12-1 and perennially plays extremely well at home. But this North Carolina squad is special. It has the tournament experience to go into a hostile environment and win.


Prediction: North Carolina 92, Clemson 81
North Carolina -4.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110




Saturday, Jan. 5, 2008 (1-3, -$460)


South Florida (10-4) at Syracuse (11-3)
Line: Syracuse by 8.5.


We've been through this before, haven't we? Syracuse sucks a big home favorite because they're a big name that is almost always overrated. I'll take the points with a solid South Florida squad.


Prediction: Syracuse 80, South Florida 79
South Florida +8.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



UCLA (13-1) at California (10-2)
Line: UCLA by 5.


California just beat USC. Don't think for a second that the Bruins don't know that. UCLA is one of the top teams in the country and knows how to win on the road. They're a veteran group, unlike the Trojans, and will take care of business.


Prediction: UCLA 85, California 69
UCLA -5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Minnesota (10-2) at Michigan State (12-1)
Line: Michigan State by 11.5.


It seems like Tom Izzo's team is in its annual January groove. They're destroying everyone right now. Minnesota, despite its record, sucks. However, the 10-2 mark will have Izzo's attention. I think this is a blowout.


Prediction: Michigan State 77, Minnesota 57
Michigan State -11.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330



TCU (8-5) at San Diego State (10-3)
Line: San Diego State by 11.5.


A bonus fourth game because there are tons of Saturday matchups. I think you'll find a lot of people taking the generous amount of points here because TCU nearly knocked off Texas. Well, that's exactly why I'm laying 11.5. I don't see the Horned Frogs being too focused after playing their Super Bowl.


Prediction: San Diego State 76, TCU 61
San Diego State -11.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110




Thursday, Jan. 3, 2008 (2-1, +$480)


USC (9-3) at California (9-2)
Line: California by 2.


This is more than a system play. Sure, California is an unranked home favorite playing a ranked visitor. That's great, and it's what caught my attention. But I don't trust USC on the road just yet, as O.J. Mayo will undoubtedly attempt to impress the crowd by hogging the ball and shooting 50,000 times. I like how California has gone up from -1.5 to -2 despite there being tons of action on the Trojans.


Prediction: California 71, USC 64
California -2 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400



Morehead State (4-7) at Tennessee State (4-7)
Line: Tennessee State by 11.


Tennessee State just knocked off Illinois, making it extremely overrated. That was the team's Super Bowl. No way they're focused for Morehead State. I want Morehead! Zing.


Prediction: Tennessee State 71, Morehead State 67
Morehead State +11 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300



Wright State (8-3) at Wisconsin-Milwaukee (5-7)
Line: Wright State by 2.5.


Wright State is an NCAA Tournament-tested team, and should have no problem knocking off Wisconsin-Milwaukee in a game where they'll be 100-percent focused.

And as you've probably noticed, unlike the NBA and NHL, I'm covering more than one game. I've decided that because there are so many matchups every night, I should post a maximum of three. It'll help me familiarize myself with some of these squads for March Madness.


Prediction: Wright State 78, Wisconsin-Milwaukee 70
Wright State -2.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Wednesday, Jan. 2, 2008 (2-1, +$390)


Akron (10-2) at Dayton (11-1)
Line: Dayton by 6.5.


I'm going to start posting these games much earlier now that football season is winding down. Dayton just smashed Pittsburgh, which was its early-season Super Bowl. I have no idea how they're going to be focused for a tough Akron squad. I like that despite tons of action on the Flyers, the line has dropped from 7 to 6.5.


Prediction: Akron 75, Dayton 71
Akron +6.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300



St. John's (6-5) at Syracuse (10-3)
Line: Syracuse by 11.5.


Another shady line drop says to take St. John's. Syrcause has never been good at covering big home spreads.


Prediction: Syracuse 76, St. John's 74
St. John's +11.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Penn State (8-4) at Northwestern (5-4)
Line: Pick.


Penn State has a great record, but all of its wins have come at home. Seriously - the Nittany Lions have no road or neutral-site victories. It's tough to win away games in the Big Ten, so I'm siding with Northwestern here.


Prediction: Northwestern 72, Penn State 69
Northwestern PK (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110




Tuesday, Jan. 1, 2008 (1-0, +$200)


Cincinnati (5-7) at Louisville (9-3)
Line: Louisville by 13.5.


Sorry for posting this game a half hour before tip-off, but it's 2 p.m. and I just woke up. I'm not drinking for a while - at least a week. At any rate, this line seems a bit low to me, which leads me to believe Vegas is inducing action on Louisville. The Cardinals are vastly overrated; their 3-7 spread record indicates that. This is a big rivalry, and I think Cincinnati covers the number.


Prediction: Louisville 72, Cincinnati 65
Cincinnati +13.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Season:
2013-14: 2013-14 -
2012-13: 2012-13 -
2011-12: 2011-12 -
2010-11: 2010-11 -
2009-10: 2009-10 -
2008-09: 2008-09 -
2007-2008: December - January - February - March -
2006-2007: November - December - January - February - March - April -


2003-2004 Season: 138-107-6 (56.3%)
2004-2005 Season: 168-148-6 (53.2%)
2005-2006 Season: 188-173-7 (52.1%)
2006-2007 Season: 273-255-8 (51.7%), +$945
2007-2008 Season: 71-64-5 (52.6%), +$1,420
2008-2009 Season: 66-53-2 (55.5%), +$1,680

Career Against The Spread: 906-780-32 (53.7%), +$4,045


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