Week 8 notes...Hey guys, I unearthed some interesting situational trends/angles for this week. First off, road teams coming off of a tie are 0-7 SU and ATS the following week, losing by an avg. of 19.3 points. This makes sense considering they played an entire extra quarter, and now have to travel. This puts Seattle and Arizona in very tough spots. Seattle has to go on at 10 AM local time against Drew Bress. The Saints are averaging 36 PPG at home this season. Seattle's defense was also on the field for 47 minutes on Sunday! That's like playing a game and a half in one night. The Cardinals have to face a Panthers team coming off of a bye. Teams off a bye are 34-15 SU against teams who just played an OT game...I like how Walter lists Carolina as an underrated team. They are only giving the standard 3 points this week, and the public isn't really betting on them that much as of right now. They final appear to be a in a decent betting position....On to the New England game. Under Belichick, the Patriots are 10-2 ATS and 11-1 SU in regular season revenge games. With Brady, they are 8-0 SUATS. Brady didn't play in the first game against the Bills, but he should be completely focused considering this is his first game vs. an AFC East foe since his return. And finally, the last four times New England was looking for revenge in the regular season, they won by a combined score of 166-51! Trends and angles don't mean everything, but I still wanted to pass along this info.
The Ravens send the Chargers their 1st and 3rd rd picks this yr and next for their 1st rd pick
The Cowboys send QB Romo to the Jest for their 2nd rd pick
The Dolphins sned QB Tanneyhill to the 49ers for their 2nd rd pick
The Bears send QB Cutler to the Dolphins for their 2nd rd pick
Jared Sullinger, PF, Ohio State, Fr.
I don't care if it was against IUPUI (ooooo-weeeee-pooooo-eeeee) or if it did come the day after his uncle's funeral, anytime a freshman puts up 40 points and 13 boards in a college basketball game, it is extremely impressive. The most astonishing part of his double-double was his 23 trips to the free throw line. That shows Sullinger's ability to establish position on the block and demand the basketball.
His big body can do the rest of the work but having a variety of post moves and a soft touch around the rim like Sullinger does certainly adds to his success. The Buckeye freshman is cementing his status as one of the top prospects for the 2011 NBA Draft.
Rick Jackson, PF, Syracuse, Sr.
If the season ended today, Jackson would securely have a spot in the second round of the 2011 NBA Draft. He has posted seven double-doubles in nine games including a 17-point, 16-rebound performance in Cuse's win against Michigan State. Jackson is not a great offensive threat but there is always a need for a physical, rebounding presence off the bench in the NBA.
Thomas Robinson, PF, Kansas, Soph.
Stuck behind Cole Aldrich and the Morris twins last season, Robinson was pretty much a non-factor for the Jayhawks during his freshman campaign. But Robinson has really impressed me this year. He has a good combination of athleticism, length and physicality, and has shown tremendous strides early this season. Robinson will not be turning pro this summer, but if one of both of the Morris twins do declare for the 2011 NBA Draft, his role will only increase next season. More minutes and steady growth will have him in late lottery discussions moving forward.
Festus Ezeli, C, Vanderbilt, Jr.
The 6-11, 255-pounder has really shown development in his offensive game to complement his big body. He put up 24 points and 10 rebounds against Belmont and followed that up with a 16-9 outing against Missouri. His post game is still a work in progress but has really improved. With size always a need in the NBA, it is not crazy to think that he would get first-round looks.
2011 NFL Draft Stock: Selling
Wesley Witherspoon, SF, Memphis, Jr.
I was fully on the Witherspoon bandwagon entering the season, thinking he would be much improved as the leader of a young Tiger team and could be a possible lottery pick. Instead, Witherspoon remains an athletic, talented wing who has still not reached potential and looks more like a borderline first-round pick if he were to declare after this season. His shot selection remains questionable and he tends to float in and out of games if his jumper is not falling. If he does not pick up his play this season, there is a really good chance that he will be returning for his senior season.
Chandler Parsons, SF, Florida, Sr.
I sort of felt like a lot of other draft sites were overvaluing Parsons coming into this season when they had him as a high second-round pick. Parsons has not shown anything to make me believe that he truly belongs in the league. He has scored in single digits in five of the last six games, and has not shot the ball well which is supposed to be his strong suit. At this point, I would be surprised if he got drafted.