Free Baseball Picks

Last Week's Winnings (April 28-May 4, 2008): 8-6 (+$540)
2008 Season Winnings (as of May 4): -$50

Baltimore Orioles (17-18) at Kansas City Royals (15-19)
Line: Orioles +130; Royals -140.

I can't believe I'm betting the Royals at -140, but that's the price we're going to have to lay to fade Steve Trachsel. Trachsel is one of the worst pitchers in baseball right now. Another bad start could spell the end for the 37-year-old cheese-baller, so this could be our final chance to bet against him. I think I'm about to cry.

Prediction: Royals 7, Orioles 3
Royals -140 (1 Unit)


Houston Astros (18-17) at Los Angeles Dodgers (19-15)
Line: Astros +165; Dodgers -1.5 +125.

Derek Lowe is a strong-willed pitcher and usually rebounds extremely well off stinkers. He'll do great against the Astros, who hit just .224 on the road. As for Houston, I don't know why they're going with Brian Moehler. He's a junk pitcher who can't strike anyone out. The Dodgers hit extremely well at home, so I don't feel hesitant about betting the run line.

Prediction: Dodgers 10, Astros 2
Dodgers -1.5 +125 (2 Units)

Philadelphia Phillies (20-15) at Arizona Diamondbacks (22-12)
Line: Phillies +145; Diamondbacks -155.

You know what pisses me off? I make my picks the night before so readers can check them out as soon as possible. Well, I took the Giants, thinking some rookie pitcher was taking the hill. Well, San Francisco switched him out in favor of Baked Zito. While it probably wouldn't have mattered because the Giants scored only one run, I definitely wouldn't have picked them if I knew Zito was starting. From now on, I'm going to recheck pitching matchups the day of. I learned my lesson.

I think the Phillies have a great chance of winning this afternoon despite Brandon Webb's pristine 7-0 record. Webb is a remarkable pitcher, don't get me wrong, but his numbers might be skewed just a bit. Webb has beaten the Mets, Padres, Giants (twice), Rockies (twice) and the Reds. I'm going to exclude the Mets because Webb surrendered four earned runs in five innings. The other squads Webb defeated can't hit at all. Only Colorado averages more than four runs per game, and they're only at 4.4.

The Phillies have one of the top lineups in the majors and hit righties especially well. They have a solid shot behind Brett Myers.

Prediction: Phillies 4, Diamondbacks 3
Phillies +145 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100


Boston Red Sox (22-14) at Detroit Tigers (14-21)
Line: Red Sox -125; Tigers +115.

Your basic fade of Justin Verlander, who has been an abomination this year, and now has to go up against one of the top lineups in the majors. Good luck with all that.

Prediction: Red Sox 9, Tigers 5
Red Sox -125 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100


Texas Rangers (15-20) at Seattle Mariners (14-21)
Line: Rangers +150; Mariners -160.

Felix Hernandez is coming off one of his worst outings of the year. He has a history of rebounding well, so I'm expecting a solid performance from him tonight. Meanwhile, Texas' Kason Gabbard seldom strikes anyone out. The Mariners also have a low strikeout total, so they should be able to put a lot of balls in play. Hopefully that materializes into something.

Prediction: Mariners 4, Rangers 0
Mariners -160 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$160

San Francisco Giants (14-19) at Pittsburgh Pirates (13-19)
Line: Giants +105; Pirates -115.

It's an absolute joke that Phillip Dumatrait is pitching tonight. In seven big-league starts, Dumatrait has lasted longer than 4.2 innings only once. In one of his starts, he surrendered three home runs - without even recording a single out. The Pirates are coming off one of their double-digit outputs, meaning they may have trouble putting runs on the board tonight.

Prediction: Giants 7, Pirates 3
Giants +105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Milwaukee Brewers (16-15) at Florida Marlins (17-14)
Line: Brewers +110; Marlins -120.

Yesterday I faded two snowball pitchers. Jeff Suppan, like Kevin "The Human Dorito" Millwood and Javier Vazquez, is coming off a horrific performance, but he has a history of rebounding well from adversity. The Brewers have lost three in a row at Houston, but I blame that on a lack of energy after they took two of three from the Cubs. Milwaukee should be able to get back on track against the Marlins, an overrated team as far as I'm concerned.

Prediction: Brewers 4, Marlins 2
Brewers +110 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200


Boston Red Sox (21-13) at Detroit Tigers (14-19)
Line: Red Sox +100; Tigers -110.

A small play on the Red Sox. What in the world happened to Nate Robertson? He used to be a pretty solid pitcher. This year, he's given up at least four earned runs every single game he has pitched. Seems like a good fade if you can play the other side as the underdog. Meanwhile, Tim Wakefield has lost to Detroit just once since June 1999. He's 6-1 against the team since that time, which includes a three-hit, one-earned run victory against them this April.

Prediction: Red Sox 8, Tigers 4
Red Sox +100 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100

Chicago White Sox (14-15) at Toronto Blue Jays (15-17)
Line: White Sox +100; Blue Jays -110.

Javier Vazquez is coming off his worst outing of the year, which spells trouble for Chicago. Vazquez is what I like to call a snowball pitcher; once things start going wrong for him, the wheels come off. That sort of matches how the White Sox are playing right now; they've lost five in a row. The suddenly hot Blue Jays seldom strike out against righties, which matches up favorably for them because Vazquez's strikeout totals are down in his past two outings. Chicago, meanwhile, hasn't scored more than three runs snce April 27.

Prediction: Blue Jays 6, White Sox 2
Blue Jays -110 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300


Texas Rangers (13-19) at Seattle Mariners (13-19)
Line: Rangers +120; Mariners -130.

Like Javier Vazquez, Kevin Millwood is a snowball pitcher. Once the festively plump Millwood goes into a swoon, he drowns himself in Cheetos and cupcakes on his off days, and allows runs every single inning. Jarrod Washburn is the opposite; coming off a poor outing, he usually bounces back well. Both of these teams have sucked enough to compile 13-19 records, but I have to believe Seattle will get out of its losing streak. The Rangers are just terrible, especially on the road.

Prediction: Mariners 5, Rangers 3
Mariners -130 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

San Diego Padres (12-19) at Florida Marlins (16-14)
Line: Padres -120; Marlins +110.

I'm not buying into Florida. The only reason the Marlins are only +110 with this gargantuan pitching mismatch is because they're 16-14. Well, if you look at the stats over the past eight games, they're actually averaging less runs per contest than the Padres are in the same time period. These teams are about even, so laying -120 with Greg Maddux is tremendous value.

Florida's Andrew Miller is pitching like he's about to have a George Minkowski-like brain aneurysm. Out of his six starts this season, four have been very poor at best. This shouldn't be surprising, as he closed out the 2007 campaign with three terrible efforts. Miller needs to be sent down to the minors, and he may be headed that way if he gets "debacled" this afternoon.

Prediction: Padres 6, Marlins 1
Padres -120 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$240


Milwaukee Brewers (16-14) at Houston Astros (15-16)
Line: Brewers -155; Astros +145.

Talk about symmetry - Ben Sheets was 7-1 against the Astros in his first eight games against them in his career. However, he has struggled recently, going 1-7 when playing his NL Central rival in the previous eight clashes. It looks like Houston has his number. Statistically, Chris Sampson looks like the worse pitcher in this matchup. He is, but his numbers (1-3, 7.15 ERA) don't indicate what sort of pitcher he is. He screwed up in two outings - the other three were solid - and he'scoming off a 5-run letdown at Arizona. Sampson has rebounded well in the past off horrendous outings, so here's to hoping history repeats itself.

Prediction: Astros 5, Brewers 4
Astros +145 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$290


Chicago Cubs (18-12) at St. Louis Cardinals (19-12)
Line: Cubs +105; Cardinals -115.

The Cubs have the better offense and the pitching matchup looks even on paper. Chicago's Jason Marquis is coming off a 10-hit, 5-run outing against the Brewers, in what was his first huge clunker of the year. That bodes well for Mark Cuban's future team, as Marquis has historically rebounded off poor performances.

Prediction: Cubs 3, Cardinals 1
Cubs +105 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100

Pittsburgh Pirates (12-17) at Washington Nationals (12-18)
Line: Pirates +100; Nationals -110.

I love the Nats here for a number of reasons. Paul Maholm is coming off a complete game. Good news, right? Not so much - when coming off a complete game in his career, Maholm has an ERA of 9.81 and a 1.73 WHIP the following outing. Not so hot. Also, the Pirates just scored 11 runs. Following a double-digit run performance, Pittsburgh has averaged two runs per contest the following day.

Matt Chico's numbers suck (0-5, 6.68 ERA, 1.67 WHIP) but those are based on his past three appearances. He was terrible against the Mets, but he wasn't so bad in the other two outings; he allowed one homerun and walked a total of five batters in those games. He was just a victim of a lot of ground balls getting through the infield. Chico should be able to find better luck versus a weaker lineup.

Prediction: Nationals 7, Pirates 3
Nationals -110 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300


Baltimore Orioles (16-13) at Los Angeles Angels (18-13)
Line: Orioles +115; Angels -125.

Taking a small play here with the Angels. Jonny Garland usually performs well after a terrible outing, and the Orioles are a sub-.500 team on the road. Call me crazy, but I think their 16-13 start is a bit of a mirage.

Prediction: Angels 2, Orioles 1
Angels -125 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100


Detroit Tigers (14-16) at Minnesota Twins (14-14)
Line: Tigers -125; Twins +115.

I was correct in thinking the Tigers would be flat on Friday night, and I wouldn't be surprised if their lethargy lingers throughout the weekend. I can't fault them though; it's a pretty big deal to go into the Bronx and sweep the Yankees. But that's not the only reason I'm taking the Twins. Righty Sam Baker is a pretty sharp pitcher coming off a poor outing. He rebounded well late last year in such situations. Meanwhile, it looks like Justin Verlander has lost all confidence. Once a dynamic pitcher, Verlander's numbers (1-4, 6.50 ERA) don't lie. He has no control, walking batters left and right. Until he gets his act together, fading him as a favorite seems like a good move.

Prediction: Twins 9, Tigers 3
Twins +115 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$230

Detroit Tigers (14-15) at Minnesota Twins (13-14)
Line: Tigers -140; Twins +130.

It was so frustrating watching Seattle's bullpen blow the game last night. What's wrong with J.J. Putz, and why is he closing with an ERA greater than 10?

The Tigers are coming off a sweep in the Bronx, so you might see a lot of action on their side tonight, especially with a low -140 tag. With that in mind, Detroit could be flat, as this game may seem meaningless after battling the Yankees. That gives us good value with the Twins, who have won three of four. Livan Hernandez just had his worst outing of the season, which bodes well for Minnesota because he usually bounces back with a strong performance. Armando Galarraga has thrown well thus far for the Tigers, but I'm curious if he can keep up his torrid pace.

Prediction: Twins 3, Tigers 2
Twins +130 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$260

Tampa Bay Rays (15-12) at Baltimore Orioles (15-12)
Line: Rays +100; Orioles -110.

The Devil Rays are for real. It's hard to believe they're playing so well. It's also hard to believe that despite having the same record, being a host and starting a pitcher with superior stats on the mound, the Orioles are just -110. Maybe that's a hint that something odd's going to happen. How about the fact that Brian Burres is bound to struggle? Burres is coming off a long outing. No big deal, right? Well, immediately following his four career appearances that have lasted at least seven innings, Burres is 0-4 with a 11.25 ERA and a WHIP greater than two.

Prediction: Rays 7, Orioles 5
Rays +100 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


Pittsburgh Pirates (12-16) at Washington Nationals (11-17)
Line: Pirates +120; Nationals -130.

When things start going bad for Zach Duke, everything goes wrong. He doesn't recover from poor outings well. The Nationals, who have won five of six, have the underrated Odalis Perez on the mound tonight. Perez's strikeout numbers have increased lately, which doesn't bode well for Pittsburgh's lineup, which averages seven strikeouts per game. Speaking of the Pirates' hitting, the team had just one game prior to yesterday's bashing of the Mets where it scored 10 or more runs. They followed that up with a 2-run effort at Atlanta.

Prediction: Nationals 6, Pirates 3
Nationals -130 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


Seattle Mariners (13-15) at Cleveland Indians (13-15)
Line: Mariners +140; Indians -150.

The Mariners seem like a good value play here. They should be able to pile on the runs against Paul Byrd, a junk pitcher who doesn't strike anyone out. Seattle seldom strikes out (4.6 per game), so there will be a lot of balls in play from their side. Meanwhile, the Indians are just 8-15 in non-Clifton Lee starts. Their lineup may struggle versus Miguel Batista, a better pitcher than his numbers indicate. Batista is mentally sharp and often bounces back with a strong performance after a bad start. He had his worst outing of the year a few days ago, lasting just one inning. Using history as a trend, Cleveland could be in trouble.

Prediction: Mariners 8, Indians 4
Mariners +140 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Colorado Rockies (11-16) at San Francisco Giants (12-16)
Line: Rockies +100; Giants -110.

Ubaldo Jimenez pitched really well last year, but his control has been inexplicably off this season. When he struggled in an outing in 2007, he usually bounced back. Well, that hasn't happened yet this season, as he's pitched three consecutive clunkers. Meanwhile, Giants southpaw Jonathan Sanchez has been awesome, striking out 10 or more batters twice in five starts. Colorado's lineup strikes out a lot (7.1 times per game.)

Prediction: Giants 5, Rockies 1
Giants -110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


Toronto Blue Jays (11-16) at Boston Red Sox (16-12)
Line: Blue Jays +150; Red Sox -160.

Playing the Blue Jays at Fenway might not seem like such a good idea until you consider they are 10-9 at Boston the past three years. Weird. Toronto right-hander Dustin McGowan is coming off his worst outing of the year, which is actually promising for the Jays. McGowan is a confident pitcher and has a history of bouncing back strong after poor performances. The only time McGowan battled the Red Sox in his young career was on Sept. 17, 2007, when he struck out nine in a 6-1 victory.

Prediction: Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 3
Blue Jays +150 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Chicago White Sox (14-10) at Minnesota Twins (11-14)
Line: White Sox +105; Twins -115.

The White Sox are playing well and should be able to win this series behind the suddenly hot Gavin Floyd. Minnesota's Boof Bonser has had control issues lately and doesn't accumulate a lot of strikeouts, which might be disastrous for his team; Chicago takes a lot of walks and doesn't strike out often. The White Sox should be able to put a lot of balls in play tonight.

Prediction: White Sox 9, Twins 3
White Sox +105 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300

Cincinnati Reds (11-15) at St. Louis Cardinals (16-10)
Line: Reds +130; Cardinals -1.5 +150.

This is a situation I like - a crappy offense with a struggling pitcher on the road versus a team with a superior lineup.

Prediction: Cardinals 8, Reds 2
Cardinals -1.5 +150 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

New York Yankees (12-13) at Cleveland Indians (12-12)
Line: Yankees -105; Indians -105.

It's tough to go against Chuck Wang, and C.C. Sabathia is about 500 pounds overweight, but the Indians have New York's number. Something weird's going to happen.

Prediction: Indians 3, Yankees 2
Indians -105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$210

New York Yankees (12-12) at Cleveland Indians (11-12)
Line: Yankees +110; Indians -110.

I find it amusing that the Indians can't beat the Red Sox and the Yankees can't beat the Indians. Might as well go with Cleveland.

Prediction: Indians 10, Yankees 4
Indians -110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

Texas Rangers (7-15) at Detroit Tigers (9-13)
Line: Rangers +160; Tigers -1.5 +130.

Going with the Tigers for the same reason I've done so the past two days.

Prediction: Tigers 6, Rangers 2
Tigers -1.5 +130 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$390


Minnesota Twins (10-11) at Oakland Athletics (13-9)
Line: Twins +105; Athletics -115.

Same formula as Rangers-Tigers. The Twins are a poor offensive team on the road with a struggling pitcher on the mound versus a decent hitting club.

Prediction: Athletics 6, Twins 1
Athletics -115 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

Texas Rangers (7-14) at Detroit Tigers (8-13)
Line: Rangers +150; Tigers -1.5 +130.

Going with the Tigers for the same reason I did yesterday.

Prediction: Tigers 6, Rangers 3
Tigers -1.5 +130 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$390

Texas Rangers (7-13) at Detroit Tigers (7-13)
Line: Rangers +150; Tigers -1.5 +130.

The Rangers... ARE WHO I THOUGHT THEY WERE! If you recall, I tried fading them at the beginning of the year. They inexplicably got off to a hot start, but they've reverted to what they should be, losing four in a row and eight of 10. The Tigers, meanwhile, are 5-3 in their last eight.

Prediction: Tigers 7, Rangers 3
Tigers -1.5 +130 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$260

New York Mets (10-7) at Chicago Cubs (12-6)
Line: Mets +125; Cubs -135.

It's weird to see a top-level team like the Cubs as just -135. I'm going with the Mets here.

Prediction: Mets 6, Cubs 4
Mets +125 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300

San Diego Padres (8-9) at Arizona Diamondbacks (13-4)
Line: Padres +135; Diamondbacks -145.

I went with the Giants over Cardinals yesterday because I spotted a shady line. Well, this one takes the cake. Arizona, with Randy Johnson on the mound, is just -145 over woeful San Diego? I don't get it.

Prediction: Padres 3, Diamondbacks 2
Padres +135 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$270


New York Mets (10-6) at Philadelphia Phillies (8-10)
Line: Mets +100; Phillies -110.

Domination, much? The red-hot Mets own the Phillies.

Prediction: Mets 4, Phillies 3
Mets +100 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300

San Francisco Giants (6-11) at St. Louis Cardinals (12-5)
Line: Giants +100; Cardinals -110.

Taking another shot with the Giants. I don't know. Like I said, it's a shot. Just seems like this line is very shady.

Prediction: Giants 2, Cardinals 1
Giants +100 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


New York Mets (9-6) at Philadelphia Phillies (8-9)
Line: Mets -110; Phillies +100.

It seems like the Mets have gotten over their mental hump and are back to dominating the Phillies.

Prediction: Mets 7, Phillies 4
Mets -110 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300

Detroit Tigers (5-11) at Toronto Blue Jays (8-8)
Line: Tigers -110; Blue Jays +100.

The Tigers lost yesterday, but I think they'll bounce back against the Blue Jays, who aren't playing all that well themselves right now.

Prediction: Tigers 5, Blue Jays 3
Tigers -110 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


San Francisco Giants (6-10) at St. Louis Cardinals (11-5)
Line: Giants +130; Cardinals -140.

This is a pretty shady line. Why are the dominant Cardinals just -140 over the horrific Giants? Something's up.

Prediction: Giants 2, Cardinals 1
Giants +130 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Detroit Tigers (5-10) at Cleveland Indians (5-10)
Line: Tigers +115; Indians -125.

Two in a row! w00t! I'm riding out this Tigers winning streak.

Prediction: Tigers 3, Indians 2
Tigers +115 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Detroit Tigers (4-10) at Cleveland Indians (5-9)
Line: Tigers +150; Indians -160.

Holy crap, I got a baseball pick right yesterday. Drinks on me! Hopefully I can break out of my slump along with the Tigers. Detroit seems to have gotten its act together; with a win here, it'll have the same record as Cleveland.

Prediction: Tigers 5, Indians 3
Tigers +150 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$300

Boston Red Sox (8-6) at Cleveland Indians (5-8)
Line: Red Sox -110; Indians +100.

Wow, so if the Houston Rockets coming back from nowhere to push wasn't bad enough, the Indians blew a 4-1 lead to the Red Sox. But I guess that's the point - Boston owns Cleveland. The Indians can't possibly come back from another meltdown, can they?

Prediction: Red Sox 5, Indians 4
Red Sox -110 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300

Boston Red Sox (7-6) at Cleveland Indians (5-7)
Line: Red Sox +115; Indians -125.

Let's hope my weekend off has somehow improved my baseball picking ability. Yeah, I know, dumb, but who knows?

I'm taking the Indians - the Red Sox are coming off a tough series with the Yankees and could be unfocused. Cleveland, meanwhile, wants revenge for losing to Boston in the Doggone Playoff.

Lots of units here, so I'm going with the money line.

Prediction: Indians 6, Red Sox 4
Indians -125 (5 Units) -- Incorrect; -$625


New York Yankees (6-7) at Tampa Bay Rays (6-6)
Line: Yankees -120; Rays +110.

Like the Red Sox, the Yankees could be a bit unfocused here. By the way, did you know that the Yankees are just 12-10 against the Rays the past two years? That's +7.1 Units on Tampa Bay if you bet them blindly.

Prediction: Rays 5, Yankees 1
Rays +110 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$400

Detroit Tigers (1-7) at Boston Red Sox (4-5)
Total: 10.5 (-130/+110).

So, I thought I should try something different because my baseball picks have been tanking. Well, I've been doing some research and I think I've found something. Detroit and Boston have struggling offenses and both pitchers are at least semi-decent. Umpire Charlie Reliford has a huge strike zone, so there won't be too many walks in this game. This has the makings of a 3-2 contest.

Prediction: Tigers 3, Red Sox 2
Under -10.5 +110 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300

Cincinnati Reds (4-4) at Milwaukee Brewers (6-1)
Line: Reds +130; Brewers -1.5 +150.

My baseball picks keep sucking harder and harder than Aurora Snow does for a living. I have faith that this is going to turn around. I hope. Milwaukee should be able to pound Josh Fogg into submission.

Prediction: Brewers 9, Reds 5
Brewers -1.5 +150 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300


Minnesota Twins (3-5) at Chicago White Sox (5-2)
Line: Twins +115; White Sox -1.5 +160.

The Twins have one of the worst lineups in baseball, and I can't see them having much success on the road.

Prediction: White Sox 6, Twins 1
White Sox -1.5 +160 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300

Baltimore Orioles (5-1) at Texas Rangers (3-3)
Line: Orioles +130; Rangers -1.5 +135.

My baseball picks have sucked lately. When I've been wrong, I've been wrong, and when I've been right, I've had BS go against me. Well, what can you do? I don't have much faith in Baltimore's ability to win on the road, especially with Brian Burres.

Prediction: Rangers 5, Orioles 2
Rangers -1.5 +135 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Florida Marlins (3-3) at Washington Nationals (3-4)
Line: Marlins +115; Nationals -1.5 +170.

The Angels really pissed me off on Saturday night. First, they couldn't get any runs in with the bases loaded and one out. Then, idiot manager Mike Scioscia decides to pull Jered Weaver amid a shutout on a 93 pitch count in the eighth inning. At least let him go eight, moron! Ugh. Texas hit a home run in that inning.

Prediction: Nationals 6, Marlins 2
Nationals -1.5 +170 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Texas Rangers (2-3) at Los Angeles Angels (4-2)
Line: Rangers +155; Angels -1.5 +130.

Vicente Padilla is another overweight pitcher I just don't trust on the road. Too many restaurants, too many distractions.

Prediction: Angels 8, Rangers 5
Angels -1.5 +130 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

San Francisco Giants (1-3) at Milwaukee Brewers (3-1)
Line: Giants +170; Brewers -1.5 +125.

Going Brew Crew over Giants again today. San Francisco might be one of the worst teams baseball has ever seen. Oh, and by the way, Jason Kendall is pathetic. Milwaukee batted its pitcher eighth and Kendall ninth yesterday. I've never seen a pitcher hit eighth before. Congratulations, Jason Kendall! You suck.

Prediction: Brewers 7, Giants 3
Brewers -1.5 +125 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300


Texas Rangers (2-2) at Los Angeles Angels (3-2)
Line: Rangers +145; Angels -1.5 +140.

The Angels had plenty of opportunities last night but blew all of them. Their starting pitcher sucked too. Here's to hoping that was a fluke.

I don't trust Kevin Millwood on the road; I feel as though he's going to spend too much time looking for restaurants for after the game.

Prediction: Angels 9, Rangers 2
Angels -1.5 +140 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

San Francisco Giants (1-2) at Milwaukee Brewers (2-1)
Line: Giants +180; Brewers -1.5 +115.

Just so you know, I'm never going to have more than two plays on a given day. I'm taking a pair today. Milwaukee should eat Jonathan Sanchez alive, and the Giants probably won't get much offense on the board.

Prediction: Brewers 9, Giants 1
Brewers -1.5 +115 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$460


Texas Rangers (1-2) at Los Angeles Angels (3-1)
Line: Rangers +130; Angels -1.5 +140.

I like the Angels a lot as well; they should be able to blow Texas out in two of these three games, especially with guys like Kason Gabbard on the mound for the Rangers.

Prediction: Angels 7, Rangers 3
Angels -1.5 +140 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300

Pittsburgh Pirates (1-1) at Atlanta Braves (1-2)
Line: Pirates +130; Braves -1.5 +140.

The Pirates may have everyone in Pittsburgh excited about this 1-1 start, but I'm not buying it. I still say they stink. And I have no faith in Zach Duke, especially on the road.

Prediction: Braves 6, Pirates 3
Braves -1.5 +140 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200

Texas Rangers (1-1) at Seattle Mariners (1-1)
Line: Rangers +130; Mariners -1.5 +145.

Yeah, yeah, going with Seattle over Texas again. Hopefully this time, the Mariners' manager doesn't pull his starting pitcher in a 1-1 game on a pitch count of 90. Idiot.

At any rate, Texas' Jason Jennings is one of the worst pitchers in baseball. Fading him on the road seems like a good idea to me.

Prediction: Mariners 8, Rangers 5
Mariners -1.5 +145 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$435

Texas Rangers (0-1) at Seattle Mariners (1-0)
Line: Rangers +180; Mariners -1.5 +120.

Going with the Mariners again. Vincente Padilla is yet another fat Texas pitcher who can't be trusted on the road; if you faded him last year, you were 8-4 on the Run Line, which is like hitting 72-75 percent in the NFL or NBA when you factor in the positive juice.

Prediction: Mariners 8, Rangers 3
Mariners -1.5 +120 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$300

Texas Rangers (0-0) at Seattle Mariners (0-0)
Line: Rangers +170; Mariners -1.5 +120.

We're getting poor value going with Erik Bedard here, who is a bit overrated, but nothing beats fading the obese Kevin Millwood, who's about two months away from showing up to the games with Dorito stains on his jersey. Millwood was 2-10 on the road last year.

Prediction: Mariners 7, Rangers 3
Mariners -1.5 +120 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$240

Atlanta Braves (0-0) at Washington Nationals (0-0)
Line: Braves -160; Nationals +150.

The Braves are a bit overrated, and the Nationals can't be any worse than they were last year - that's because they finished the season on a torrid streak. They're opening their new stadium, so this game means a lot more to them than it does to Atlanta.

Prediction: Nationals 4, Braves 2
Nationals +150 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$300

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Free Baseball Picks:
2008: April -
2007: April - May - June - July - August - Sept/Oct -

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Last Week's Winnings (April 28-May 4, 2008): 8-6 (+$540)

2006 Season Winnings: -$655 (+$2,640 since Aug. 19)
2007 Season Winnings: -$5,840
2008 Season Winnings (as of May 4): -$50

Career Winnings (as of May 4): -$6,495