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2010 NCAA Tournament: Stats, Trends and Tips


The following stats, facts, trends and tips are tools you can use to win your 2009 NCAA Tournament office pools.


2010 NCAA Tournament Picks:
Midwest | West | East | South | Final Four | Credo | Winning Tips | 2010 NCAA Tournament Home
2010 NCAA Tournament Preview:
ACC | Atlantic 10 | Big 12 | Big East | Big Ten | Mid-Majors | Mountain West | Pac 10 | SEC




2010 NCAA Tournament - The Slop

If a team has trouble scoring, do you really want to be rooting for it if it's down eight with six minutes to go? Here are the 2010 NCAA Tournament teams that scoredless than 68 points per game this year (a lot less this season than last season).

  1. Winthrop, 62.4
  2. Northern Iowa, 63.3
  3. Arkansas-Pine Bluff, 64.9
  4. Temple, 65.4
  5. Old Dominion, 67.5
  6. Wisconsin, 67.9



2009 NCAA Tournament - The Slop

If a team has trouble scoring, do you really want to be rooting for it if it's down eight with six minutes to go? Here are the 2009 NCAA Tournament teams that scored less than 68 points per game this year.

  1. Wisconsin, 64.4 - Lost in second round
  2. American, 64.5 - Lost in first round
  3. Illinois, 65.0 - Lost in first round
  4. Cleveland State, 66.1 - Lost in second round
  5. Minnesota, 66.5 - Lost in first round
  6. Morgan State, 66.5 - Lost in first round
  7. Ohio State, 66.6 - Lost in first round
  8. Akron, 66.9 - Lost in first round
  9. Dayton, 67.0 - Lost in second round
  10. Michigan, 67.2 - Lost in second round
  11. Butler, 67.6 - Lost in first round
  12. Northern Iowa, 67.7 - Lost in first round



2008 NCAA Tournament - The Slop

If a team has trouble scoring, do you really want to be rooting for it if it's down eight with six minutes to go? Here are the 2008 NCAA Tournament teams that scored less than 68 points per game this year.

  1. Coppin State, 59.8 - Lost in play-in game
  2. Mississippi Valley State, 62.7 - Lost in first round
  3. American, 65.1 - Lost in first round
  4. Winthrop, 65.6 - Lost in first round
  5. San Diego, 65.6 - Lost in second round
  6. Washington State, 67.1 - Lost in Sweet 16
  7. Wisconsin, 67.5 - Lost in Sweet 16



And here are the 2007 NCAA Tournament teams that scored less than 68 a game last year and how they fared. Wisconsin* had its stats masked by an easy non-conference schedule.:

  1. Miami-Ohio, 59.6 - Lost in first round
  2. Southern Illinois, 63.2 - Lost in Sweet 16
  3. Holy Cross, 64.2 - Lost in first round
  4. Illinois, 64.5 - Lost in first round
  5. Wright State, 64.6 - Lost in first round
  6. Michigan State, 65.1 - Lost in second round
  7. Eastern Kentucky, 65.2 - Lost in first round
  8. Washington State, 66.5 - Lost in second round
  9. Creighton, 67.2 - Lost in first round
  10. Wisconsin* - Lost in second round





2010 NCAA Tournament - Road Woes

Why would anyone ever have a team advancing deep into the tournament when it had trouble winning on the road in the regular season? These squads fall very quickly. Here are the 2010 NCAA Tournament teams that couldn't win on the road this year.

  • Georgia Tech, 3-8
  • Ohio, 5-9
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff, 6-14
  • Oklahoma State, 3-7
  • Minnesota, 3-7
  • Notre Dame, 3-6
  • Winthrop, 6-11
  • Louisville, 4-7
  • Missouri, 4-6
  • Washington, 4-6
  • Wake Forest, 5-7
  • Clemson, 5-6
  • Mississippi State, 5-6
  • Texas, 5-6
  • UC-Santa Barbara, 6-7
  • Lehigh, 7-8


    2009 NCAA Tournament - Road Woes

    Why would anyone ever have a team advancing deep into the tournament when it had trouble winning on the road in the regular season? These squads fall very quickly. Here are the 2009 NCAA Tournament teams that couldn't win on the road this year.

  • Arizona, 2-9 - Lost in Sweet 16
  • USC, 2-8 - Lost in second round
  • Maryland, 2-6 - Lost in second round
  • Michigan, 3-8 - Lost in first round
  • Morehead State, 4-12 - Lost in first round
  • Wisconsin, 4-7 - Lost in second round
  • Texas, 4-6 - Lost in second round
  • Minnesota, 4-6 - Lost in first round
  • Oklahoma State, 4-6 - Lost in second round
  • Ohio State, 4-6 - Lost in first round
  • UT-Chattanooga, 5-10 - Lost in first round
  • Dayton, 5-6 - Lost in second round
  • Utah, 6-7 - Lost in first round


    2008 NCAA Tournament - Road Woes

    Why would anyone ever have a team advancing deep into the tournament when it had trouble winning on the road in the regular season? These squads fall very quickly. Here are the 2008 NCAA Tournament teams that couldn't win on the road this year.

  • Arkansas, 3-7 - Lost in second round
  • Kentucky, 4-8 (no road wins vs. winning teams except Georgia, 17-16) - Lost in first round
  • Vanderbilt, 4-6 (no road wins vs. winning teams except Georgia, 17-16) - Lost in first round
  • Michigan State, 4-6 - Lost in Sweet 16
  • Miami, 4-6 - Lost in second round
  • Kansas State, 5-9 - Lost in second round


    The following are the 2007 NCAA Tournament teams that couldn't win on the road last year and how they fared:

  • Michigan State, 3-10 - Lost in second round
  • Georgia Tech, 3-9 - Lost in first round
  • Virginia, 4-8 - Lost in second round
  • Purdue, 5-10 - Lost in second round
  • Miami-Ohio, 6-12 - Lost in first round
  • Indiana, 5-9 - Lost in second round





    2010 NCAA Tournament - Freshmen Point Guards

    Do you really want some acne-ridden kid who had problems finding a prom date just a few months ago ruining your bracket? I think not. Freshmen point guards seldom advance deep into the tournament. The only exception is if the player in question is a once-in-a-decade point guard prospect like Mike Conley and Derrick Rose. Here are the 2010 NCAA Tournament Freshmen Point Guards in this year's Big Dance:

  • D.J. Cooper, Ohio
  • Matthew Dellavedova, Saint Mary's
  • Fred Gulley, Oklahoma State
  • C.J. McCollum, Lehigh
  • John Wall*, Kentucky



    2009 NCAA Tournament - Freshmen Point Guards

    Do you really want some acne-ridden kid who had problems finding a prom date just a few months ago ruining your bracket? I think not. Freshmen point guards seldom advance deep into the tournament. The only exception is if the player in question is a once-in-a-decade point guard prospect like Mike Conley and Derrick Rose. Here are the 2009 NCAA Tournament Freshmen Point Guards in this year's Big Dance:

  • Dee Bost, Mississippi State - Lost in first round
  • Lewis Jackson, Purdue - Lost in Sweet 16
  • Shelvin Mack, Butler - Lost in first round
  • Isaiah Thomas, Washington - Lost in second round


    2008 NCAA Tournament - Freshmen Point Guards

    Do you really want some acne-ridden kid who had problems finding a prom date just a few months ago ruining your bracket? I think not. Freshmen point guards seldom advance deep into the tournament. The only exception is if the player in question is a once-in-a-decade point guard prospect like Mike Conley and Derrick Rose. Here are the 2008 NCAA Tournament Freshmen Point Guards in this year's Big Dance:

  • Jordan Crawford, Indiana - Lost in first round
  • O.J. Mayo, USC - Lost in first round
  • Derrick Rose, Memphis - Lost in NCAA Championship


    And here are the 2007 NCAA Tournament Freshman Point Guards and how they fared last year:

  • Ty Lawson, North Carolina - Lost in Elite Eight
  • Javaris Crittenton, Georgia Tech - Lost in first round
  • Edgar Sosa, Louisville - Lost in second round
  • Greivis Vasquez, Maryland - Lost in second round
  • Tory Jackson, Notre Dame - Lost in first round
  • Scottie Reynolds, Villanova - Lost in first round
  • Mike Conley Jr., Ohio State - Lost in 2007 NCAA Championship
  • D.J. Augustin, Texas - Lost in second round
  • Stephen Curry, Davidson - Lost in first round
  • Ramar Smith, Tennessee - Lost in Sweet 16




    2010 NCAA Tournament - The "Experts"

    The so-called "experts" on ESPN and CBS usually get a lot of things wrong. As you'll see below, they're incorrect more often than not. Also, the players listen to these shows. If someone like Dick Vitale bad-mouths a program, that team will usually respond with a victory. There always seems to be one disrespected school that goes to the Sweet 16. Here are some of the more Controversial Comments made on Selection Sunday:


  • Seth likes San Diego State over Tennessee
  • Seth likes Michigan State over Maryland in Round 2
  • Seth likes Butler over UTEP
  • Seth likes Vanderbilt to the Sweet 16
  • Seth likes Marquette over New Mexico
  • Seth likes Siena to the Sweet 16
  • Seth likes Baylor over Villanova
  • Seth likes Georgetown over Ohio State
  • Dicky V angrily states that Wake Forest doesn't belong in the NCAA Tournament
  • Bilas says No. 12 Cornell should be a No. 5 seed
  • Bilas says No. 13 Murray State over No. 4 Vanderbilt
  • Bilas says BYU to the Sweet 16
  • Digger likes No. 11 Washington over No. 6 Marquette


    2009 NCAA Tournament - The "Experts"

    The so-called "experts" on ESPN and CBS usually get a lot of things wrong. As you'll see below, they're incorrect more often than not. Here are some of the more Controversial Comments made on Selection Sunday:


  • Seth loves Siena over Ohio State. - RIGHT

  • Seth says UConn and Memphis "walk" to the regional final. - WRONG: Memphis lost in the Sweet 16

  • Seth disses Wisconsin being in the NCAA Tournament. - WRONG: Upset No. 5 Florida State as No. 12 seed

  • Seth likes VCU to beat UCLA. - WRONG: UCLA wins

  • Seth likes Florida State to beat Xavier. - WRONG: Xavier wins

  • Seth likes Western Kentucky over Illinois. - RIGHT

  • Seth picks Pittsburgh to win the national championship. - WRONG: Pittsburgh lost in the Elite Eight

  • Seth thinks Clemson can knock off Oklahoma. - WRONG: Oklahoma won and advanced to Elite Eight

  • Anthony likes Butler over LSU. - WRONG: LSU won

  • Hubert picks Clemson to go to the Sweet 16. - WRONG: Clemson lost in first round

  • Bobby Knight thinks women shouldn't have a say in the NCAA Tournament. - HILARIOUS




    2008 NCAA Tournament - The "Experts"

    The so-called "experts" on ESPN and CBS usually get a lot of things wrong. As you'll see below, they're incorrect more often than not. Also, the players listen to these shows. If someone like Dick Vitale bad-mouths a program, that team will usually respond with a victory. There always seems to be one disrespected school that goes to the Sweet 16. Here are some of the more Controversial Comments made on Selection Sunday:


    CBS Bold Predictions:

  • Seth says Notre Dame will go to Sweet 16. - WRONG: Notre Dame lost in Round 2

  • Seth says No. 4 seed Vanderbilt will lose to Siena in the first round. - RIGHT

  • Seth says No. 10 Davidson has a great chance to make the Sweet 16. - RIGHT: Davidson advances to Elite Eight

  • Kellogg says Memphis is going to the Final Four. - RIGHT

  • Kellogg likes No. 6 Marquette to go deep. - WRONG: Marquette lost in second round

  • Seth says No. 12 Temple will beat No. 5 Michigan State. - WRONG

  • Seth says Drake will go to the Sweet 16. - WRONG: Drake lost in first round

  • Kellogg likes No. 7 West Virginia to go deep. - PUSH: West Virginia advances to Sweet 16




    ESPN Bold Predictions:

  • Dicky V, Digger and Bilas have no respect for Baylor. - RIGHT: Baylor loses straight up and against the spread in first round

  • Dicky V picks No. 11 Kentucky over No. 6 Marquette. - RIGHT

  • Dicky V picks No. 14 Georgia over No. 3 Xavier. - WRONG

  • Dicky V says No. 6 USC will beat No. 3 Wisconsin in the second round. - WRONG: USC lost in first round




    Below are some of the more Controversial Comments made on Selection Sunday in 2007:

  • Gottlieb no respect for Vanderbilt. - WRONG: Vanderbilt advanced to Sweet 16

  • Digger and Seth call Old Dominion over Butler. - WRONG: Butler beats ODU by 11 and eventually advances to Sweet 16

  • Bilas calls GT over UNLV. - WRONG: UNLV beats Georgia Tech and eventually advances to Sweet 16

  • Seth calls Oral Roberts over Washington State. - WRONG: WSU beats Oral Roberts by 16

  • Dicky V says Duke to 16. - WRONG: Duke loses in first round

  • Bilas, Dicky V no respect for Xavier. - WRONG: Almost beat Ohio St. in second round (OSU last-second three to force OT)

  • Digger, Dicky V, Gottlieb no respect for Arkansas. - RIGHT: Arkansas lost in first round

  • Hubert no respect for Illinois. - RIGHT: Illinois lost in first round






    2010 NCAA Tournament - Random Facts

    Here are some of the things you should know about the tournament.

    Random NCAA Tournament Trends:

    First-round NCAA Tournament Trends:

  • No. 8 seeds are 13-15 vs. No. 9 seeds since 2003.
  • No. 7 seeds are 18-10 vs. No. 10 seeds since 2003.
  • No. 6 seeds are 20-8 vs. No. 11 seeds since 2003.
  • No. 5 seeds are 17-11 vs. No. 12 seeds since 2003 (worse than 7vs10 and 6vs11!)
  • No. 4 seeds are 22-6 vs. No. 13 seeds since 2003.
  • No. 3 seeds are 26-2 vs. No. 14 seeds since 2003.
  • No. 2 seeds have lost to No. 15 seeds just four times in NCAA Tournament history.
  • No No. 1 seed has ever lost to a No. 16 seed.

    Second-round NCAA Tournament Trends:

  • Of the 32 No. 1 seeds since 2002, 29 have advanced to the Sweet 16.
  • Of the 32 No. 2 seeds since 2002, 20 have advanced to the Sweet 16.
  • Of the 32 No. 3 seeds since 2002, 21 have advanced to the Sweet 16.
  • Of the 32 No. 4 seeds since 2002, 11 have advanced to the Sweet 16.
  • Of the 32 No. 5 seeds since 2002, 14 have advanced to the Sweet 16.
  • Of the 32 No. 6 seeds since 2002, 8 have advanced to the Sweet 16.
  • Of the 32 No. 7 seeds since 2002, 7 have advanced to the Sweet 16.
  • Of the 32 No. 8 seeds since 2002, 2 have advanced to the Sweet 16.
  • Of the 32 No. 9 seeds since 2002, 1 has advanced to the Sweet 16.
  • Of the 32 No. 10 seeds since 2002, 5 have advanced to the Sweet 16.
  • Of the 32 No. 11 seeds since 2002, 2 have advanced to the Sweet 16.
  • Of the 32 No. 12 seeds since 2002, 6 have advanced to the Sweet 16.
  • Of the 32 No. 13 seeds since 2002, 1 has advanced to the Sweet 16.
  • Of the 32 No. 14 (and 15-16) seeds since 2002, 0 have advanced to the Sweet 16.
  • All four No. 1 seeds have advanced to the Sweet Sixteen 9 times in last 13 years.

    Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament Trends:

  • Of the 32 No. 1 seeds since 2002, 23 have advanced to the Elite Eight.
  • Of the 32 No. 2 seeds since 2002, 15 have advanced to the Elite Eight.
  • Of the 32 No. 3 seeds since 2002, 9 have advanced to the Elite Eight.
  • Of the 32 No. 4 seeds since 2002, 3 have advanced to the Elite Eight.
  • Of the 32 No. 5 seeds since 2002, 2 have advanced to the Elite Eight.
  • Of the 32 No. 6 seeds since 2002, 1 has advanced to the Elite Eight.
  • Of the 32 No. 7 seeds since 2002, 2 have advanced to the Elite Eight.
  • Of the 32 No. 8 seeds since 2002, 1 has advanced to the Elite Eight.
  • Of the 32 No. 9 seeds since 2002, 0 have advanced to the Elite Eight.
  • Of the 32 No. 10 seeds since 2002, 2 have advanced to the Elite Eight.
  • Of the 32 No. 11 seeds since 2002, 1 has advanced to the Elite Eight.
  • Of the 32 No. 12 seeds since 2002, 1 has advanced to the Elite Eight.
  • Of the 32 No. 13 seeds (and 14-16) since 2002, 0 have advanced to the Elite Eight.
  • All four No. 1 seeds have advanced to the Elite Eight just four times since 1996.

    Final Four NCAA Tournament Trends:

  • Of the 32 No. 1 seeds since 2002, 14 have advanced to the Final Four.
  • Of the 32 No. 2 seeds since 2002, 8 have advanced to the Final Four.
  • Of the 32 No. 3 seeds since 2002, 5 have advanced to the Final Four.
  • Of the 32 No. 4 seeds since 2002, 2 have advanced to the Final Four.
  • Of the 32 No. 5 seeds since 2002, 2 have advanced to the Final Four.
  • Only one seed lower than No. 6 (George Mason) has advanced to the Final Four since 2002.
  • All four No. 1 seeds have never reached the Final Four since 1996.
  • Only once has no No. 1 seed reached the Final Four (2006) since 1996.

    NCAA Championship Trends:

  • Of the 32 No. 1 seeds since 2002, 8 have advanced to the NCAA Championship.
  • Of the 32 No. 2 seeds since 2002, 4 have advanced to the NCAA Championship.
  • Of the 32 No. 3 seeds since 2002, 3 have advanced to the NCAA Championship.
  • Of the 32 No. 4 seeds since 2002, 0 have advanced to the NCAA Championship.
  • Of the 32 No. 5 seeds since 2002, 1 has advanced to the NCAA Championship.
  • No seed No. 6 or lower has advanced to the NCAA Championship since 1996.
  • A No. 1 seed has appeared in the NCAA Championship 7 out of the last 11 years.



    2010 NCAA Tournament Picks:
    Midwest | West | East | South | Final Four | Credo | Winning Tips | 2010 NCAA Tournament Home
    2010 NCAA Tournament Preview:
    ACC | Atlantic 10 | Big 12 | Big East | Big Ten | Mid-Majors | Mountain West | Pac 10 | SEC




    2010 NFL Free Agents - March 16


    2010 Pro Day Results - March 16


    2010 NFL Mock Draft - March 16


    2010 NCAA Tournament - March 15 (Picks)


    2011 NFL Mock Draft - March 14


    Matt McGuire's 2010 NFL Mock Draft - March 7


    2010 NBA Mock Draft - Feb. 25





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