Bortles has only thrown one touchdown in each of his last three games, but he's averaged 21.6 rushing yards per game and 287 passing yards in that stretch, which has kept him above 16 fantasy points each game. The Browns have allowed 16 or more fantasy points to opposing quarterback six of nine times this season, and Bortles should be able to reach that and possibly more.
The Giants' defense has completely fallen off a cliff this season, and they've now allowed 16 passing touchdowns and an average of 319.5 passing yards over the last six weeks, with the last big game coming against C.J. Beathard. Smith has been good on the road this season, plus Andy Reid has the reputation of putting together great game plans over bye weeks.
Mariota and the Texans are getting better and healthier, but they head to Pittsburgh this week to take on a Steelers team that allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. I like Mariota after this game, but it's going to be tough for him to get into QB1 range this week.
The Seahawks are going to be tough for any running back, but Coleman without Devonta Freeman, who is out with a concussion, is going to get enough work and is good enough to be a useful play. Whenever Coleman gets elevated touches, he's put up good numbers.
The Rams have stepped up their run defense and continue to score plenty of points each week, which sets up well for McKinnon, who needs the game to be close and Latavius Murray not getting much between the tackles. This game favors McKinnon.
The Eagles' defensive line is monstrous and has allowed just 383 rushing yards in nine games, for a miniscule 2.88 yards per carry. Morris doesn't get receiving work, so his upside will be reliant on a rushing touchdown, which the Eagles have only given up three times this year. Rod Smith could easily end up seeing more fantasy points in this game.
Miami was just eviscerated by Carolina's wide receivers, who aren't exactly the strongest group in the league. The Dolphins have allowed seven wide receiver touchdowns in their last five games, and Mike Evans is coming off a suspension and should be raring to go.
The Texans' pass defense is an everlasting garbage fire, having given up two touchdown games to Robert Woods, T.Y. Hilton and Paul Richardson over the last three weeks. Last week, Drew Stanton showed that Fitzgerald doesn't need a top quarterback to put up good numbers, and it won't take much this week for Fitzgerald to push into top fantasy wide receiver territory.
The Bears have allowed just one wide receiver touchdown over the last five weeks and only one receiver has topped 100 yards, which was Antonio Brown. It's a tough matchup, and Jones will also lose some work to now healthy Kenny Golladay, who already cut into his work last week.
This is by far the easiest start of the week, but I'm contractually obligated to point out just how bad the Giants have been against opposing tight ends this season. They've allowed 10 touchdowns to opposing tight ends through nine games and just last week gave up four receptions for 67 yards and a touchdown to third-string tight end Garrett Celek.
The Broncos have allowed the second-most fantasy points per game to tight ends, and Kroft has become a bigger part of the Bengals' offense lately. The Broncos have allowed four touchdowns to tight ends over their last five games, and with the Bengals putting their resources in to stopping A.J. Green, Kroft is set up for a good game.
The Packers haven't allowed a touchdown to a tight end all season and none have topped 61 yards. Watson is always an edge start anyway, so this week he is a fairly strong sit.