NFL Betting Trends: Hello, Good Bye



One of the best NFL trends that I'm aware of is something called the "Hello, Good Bye."

Sounds silly, but it's 30-5 against the spread since 2002. Yeah... wow. The only downside is that this is available about only five times per year.

Basically, you bet on a favorite of 6.5 points or more a week before their bye. The thought process behind this is that a good team (if they're favored by 6.5+, they must be good) will be extremely focused prior to their week off.

As usual, let's look at a coach-by-coach breakdown:


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Team
Coach
ATS Record: Favorite of 6.5+ Going into Bye
ARZ
Ken Whisenhunt
0-0
ATL
Dan Quinn
0-1
ATL
Mike Smith
0-1
BAL
John Harbaugh
1-1
BUF
Dick Jauron
0-0
CAR
Ron Rivera
1-0
CHI
Lovie Smith
1-1
CIN
Marvin Lewis
2-1
CLE
Romeo Crennel
0-0
DAL
Wade Phillips
1-1
DEN
John Fox
1-0
DEN
Mike Shanahan
1-0
DET
Rod Marinelli
0-0
GB
Mike McCarthy
2-1
HOU
Bill O'Brien
0-1
HOU
Gary Kubiak
1-0
IND
Tony Dungy
4-1
JAX
Jack Del Rio
1-1
KC
Herman Edwards
0-0
MIA
Tony Sparano
0-0
MIN
Mike Zimmer
1-0
MIN
Brad Childress
2-0
NE
Bill Belichick
5-1
NO
Sean Payton
1-1
NYG
Tom Coughlin
0-2
NYJ
Eric Mangini
0-0
OAK
Lane Kiffin
0-0
PHI
Doug Pederson
1-0
PHI
Andy Reid
2-0
PIT
Mike Tomlin
1-0
SD
Norv Turner
1-0
SEA
Mike Holmgren
3-0
SF
Mike Nolan
0-0
STL
Scott Linehan
0-0
TB
Jon Gruden
3-1
TEN
Jeff Fisher
0-0
WAS
Jim Zorn
0-0
FA
Steve Mariucci
1-0
FA
Mike Martz
2-0
FA
Jim Mora Jr.
2-0
FA
Bill Parcells
2-0
FA
Dan Reeves
1-0
FA
Marty Schottenheimer
2-0
FA
Mike Sherman
1-0
FA
Mike Tice
0-1
Total Record
47-16





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