There's a trend out there that I like to call the "Statfox Trend." Those of you who have followed my picks over the years know that it's very effective.
The premise: In Weeks 2-10, bet against any home favorite coming off a road victory of 1-3 points. Teams in that situation are just 17-38 against the spread since 2000.
Road wins are hard to come by in the NFL. If a team is victorious away from home by a small margin, maybe they do too much celebrating and aren't focused during the week. Who knows? The fact remains you can make tons of money with this trend.
Of course, there are exceptions. Here is a list of how each coach has fared coming off a slim road victory early in the season.
Coach coming off road win of 1-3 points in Weeks 2-10
I too believe that Watson will be Watson number one. Can't tell me that Goff can be a number one pick, but Watson can't. I love your trade with the Browns and the Titans. As a Titans fan, that's a dream scenario. Good job.