There's a trend out there that I like to call the "Statfox Trend." Those of you who have followed my picks over the years know that it's very effective.
The premise: In Weeks 2-10, bet against any home favorite coming off a road victory of 1-3 points. Teams in that situation are just 17-38 against the spread since 2000.
Road wins are hard to come by in the NFL. If a team is victorious away from home by a small margin, maybe they do too much celebrating and aren't focused during the week. Who knows? The fact remains you can make tons of money with this trend.
Of course, there are exceptions. Here is a list of how each coach has fared coming off a slim road victory early in the season.
Coach coming off road win of 1-3 points in Weeks 2-10
Okay, the cardinals arent over rated, didn't you say Kevin Minter was a one year wonder? How would losing him affect arizona? He won't be very good in cincy, im calling it now. Losing Tony Jefferson wasnt a huge deal either as we do Have Tyrann Mathieu, and Tyvon Branch and Antoine Bethea, ontop of Harlan Miller, who also isnt trash, maybe do some research, and why does Calais walking make us bad? He's older and will be less effective in Jacksonville, though i don't think our D-Line will be a world beater, i don't think Robert Nkemdiche will be bad, so there's that.