So what if Zeke is a rookie? And they didn't draft him #4 overall, given that he's a prototype 3-down back, to have him in a timeshare with Morris or McFadden. Behind that line, coupled with his skills as a runner, receiver, and pass blocker, there's no way he should fall past the first round.
@Walter I don't see how you think Fitz is "fine" there, given the fact you pointed out Palmer's diminishing arm strength and generally not liking older players. I get he's produced with awful QBs and they're not running him deep anymore, but even so, the point you made about AP apply even more to Fitz. Bad pick
There's a trend out there that I like to call the "Statfox Trend." Those of you who have followed my picks over the years know that it's very effective.
The premise: In Weeks 2-10, bet against any home favorite coming off a road victory of 1-3 points. Teams in that situation are just 17-38 against the spread since 2000.
Road wins are hard to come by in the NFL. If a team is victorious away from home by a small margin, maybe they do too much celebrating and aren't focused during the week. Who knows? The fact remains you can make tons of money with this trend.
Of course, there are exceptions. Here is a list of how each coach has fared coming off a slim road victory early in the season.
Coach coming off road win of 1-3 points in Weeks 2-10